Model Investigations of the Effects of Climate Variability and Change on Future Gulf of Mexico Tropical Cyclone Activity

2010 ◽  
Author(s):  
Greg Holland ◽  
James Done ◽  
Cindy Bruyere ◽  
Cortis K. Cooper ◽  
Asuka Suzuki
Keyword(s):  
Tropical Cyclone ◽  
Climate Variability ◽  
Gulf Of Mexico ◽  
Tropical Cyclone Activity ◽  
Cyclone Activity ◽  
Climate Variability And Change

On the Madden–Julian Oscillation–Atlantic Hurricane Relationship

2010 ◽  
Vol 23 (2) ◽  
pp. 282-293 ◽  
Author(s):  
Philip J. Klotzbach
Keyword(s):  
Tropical Cyclone ◽  
Relative Humidity ◽  
Gulf Of Mexico ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Tropical Cyclone Activity ◽  
Tropical Atlantic ◽  
Madden Julian Oscillation ◽  
Cyclone Activity ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Potential Predictability

Abstract The large-scale equatorial circulation known as the Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) has been shown to impact tropical cyclone activity in several basins around the globe. In this paper, the author utilizes an MJO index created by Wheeler and Hendon to examine its impacts on tropical genesis and intensification in the Atlantic. Large differences in frequency and intensity of tropical cyclone activity are seen, both in the tropical Atlantic as well as in the northwest Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico depending on the MJO phase. Coherent changes in upper- and lower-level winds and relative humidity are likely responsible for these differences. Since the MJO shows potential predictability out to about two weeks, the relationships discussed in this paper may be useful for short-term predictions of the probability of tropical cyclone activity in the Atlantic as a complement to the already available longer-term seasonal predictions.

scholarly journals Improving Tropical Cyclone Predictions in the Gulf of Mexico

Eos ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 99 ◽  
Author(s):  
Terri Cook
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Tropical Cyclone ◽  
Gulf Of Mexico ◽  
Atmospheric Model ◽  
Tropical Cyclone Activity ◽  
Cyclone Activity ◽  
Intraseasonal Oscillations

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s newest High Resolution Atmospheric Model captures the influence of intraseasonal oscillations on tropical cyclone activity.

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