scholarly journals Quadratic variation, models, applications and lessons

2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
pp. 0
Author(s):  
Dilip B. Madan ◽  
King Wang
Keyword(s):  
Brownian Motion ◽  
Discrete Time ◽  
Physical Process ◽  
Continuous Time ◽  
Fourier Transforms ◽  
Quadratic Variation ◽  
Market Prices ◽  
Variance Swap ◽  
Time Changes ◽  
Quadratic Variations

<p style="text-indent:20px;">Time changes of Brownian motion impose restrictive jump structures in the motion of asset prices. Quadratic variations also depart from time changes. Quadratic variation options are observed to have a nonlinear exposure to risk neutral skewness. Joint Laplace Fourier transforms for quadratic variation and the stock are developed. They are used to study the multiple of the cap strike over the variance swap quote attaining a given percentage price reduction for the capped variance swap. Market prices for out-of-the-money options on variance are observed to be above those delivered by the calibrated models. Bootstrapped data and simulated paths spaces are used to study the multiple of the dynamic hedge return desired by a quadratic variation contract. It is observed that the optimized hedge multiple in the bootstrapped data is near unity. Furthermore, more generally, it is exposures to negative cubic variations in path spaces that raise variance swap prices, lower hedge multiples, increase residual risk charges and gaps to the log contract hedge. A case can be made for both, the physical process being closer to a continuous time change of Brownian motion, while simultaneously risk neutrally this may not be the case. It is recognized that in the context of discrete time there are no issues related to equivalence of probabilities.</p>

scholarly journals Characterization Theorems for Generalized Functionals of Discrete-Time Normal Martingale

2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-6 ◽  
Author(s):  
Caishi Wang ◽  
Jinshu Chen
Keyword(s):  
Brownian Motion ◽  
Growth Condition ◽  
Discrete Time ◽  
Continuous Time ◽  
Orthonormal Basis ◽  
Continuous Time Processes ◽  
Characterization Theorems ◽  
Normal Martingale

We aim at characterizing generalized functionals of discrete-time normal martingales. LetM=(Mn)n∈Nbe a discrete-time normal martingale that has the chaotic representation property. We first construct testing and generalized functionals ofMwith an appropriate orthonormal basis forM’s square integrable functionals. Then we introduce a transform, called the Fock transform, for these functionals and characterize them via the transform. Several characterization theorems are established. Finally we give some applications of these characterization theorems. Our results show that generalized functionals of discrete-time normal martingales can be characterized only by growth condition, which contrasts sharply with the case of some continuous-time processes (e.g., Brownian motion), where both growth condition and analyticity condition are needed to characterize generalized functionals of those continuous-time processes.

scholarly journals Continuous-time gambling problems

1974 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 651-665 ◽  
Author(s):  
David C. Heath ◽  
William D. Sudderth
Keyword(s):  
Brownian Motion ◽  
Discrete Time ◽  
Continuous Time ◽  
Gambling Problems ◽  
Brownian Motion Process ◽  
Motion Process

An abstract gambler's problem is formulated in a continuous-time setting and analogues are proved for some of the discrete-time results of Dubins and Savage in their book How to Gamble if You Must. Applications are made to problems of controlling a Brownian motion process.

scholarly journals Limiting stochastic processes of shift-periodic dynamical systems

2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (11) ◽  
pp. 191423
Author(s):  
Julia Stadlmann ◽  
Radek Erban
Keyword(s):  
Brownian Motion ◽  
Random Walk ◽  
Dynamical Systems ◽  
Stochastic Processes ◽  
Discrete Time ◽  
Real Line ◽  
Continuous Time ◽  
Initial Distribution ◽  
Dynamical Behaviour ◽  
One Dimensional

A shift-periodic map is a one-dimensional map from the real line to itself which is periodic up to a linear translation and allowed to have singularities. It is shown that iterative sequences x n +1 = F ( x n ) generated by such maps display rich dynamical behaviour. The integer parts ⌊ x n ⌋ give a discrete-time random walk for a suitable initial distribution of x 0 and converge in certain limits to Brownian motion or more general Lévy processes. Furthermore, for certain shift-periodic maps with small holes on [0,1], convergence of trajectories to a continuous-time random walk is shown in a limit.

scholarly journals Strong approximation of continuous local martingales by simple random walks

2004 ◽  
Vol 41 (1) ◽  
pp. 101-126
Author(s):  
B. Székely ◽  
T. Szabados
Keyword(s):  
Brownian Motion ◽  
Random Walks ◽  
Rates Of Convergence ◽  
Quadratic Variation ◽  
Local Martingale ◽  
Motion Time ◽  
Time Changes ◽  
Necessary And Sufficient ◽  
Nested Sequence ◽  
The Given

The aim of this paper is to represent any continuous local martingale as an almost sure limit of a nested sequence of simple, symmetric random walk, time changed by a discrete quadratic variation process. One basis of this is a similar construction of Brownian motion. The other major tool is a representation of continuous local martingales given by Dambis, Dubins and Schwarz (DDS) in terms of Brownian motion time-changed by the quadratic variation. Rates of convergence (which are conjectured to be nearly optimal in the given setting) are also supplied. A necessary and sufficient condition for the independence of the random walks and the discrete time changes or equivalently, for the independence of the DDS Brownian motion and the quadratic variation is proved to be the symmetry of increments of the martingale given the past, which is a reformulation of an earlier result by Ocone [8].

scholarly journals Continuous-time gambling problems

1974 ◽  
Vol 6 (04) ◽  
pp. 651-665 ◽  
Author(s):  
David C. Heath ◽  
William D. Sudderth
Keyword(s):  
Brownian Motion ◽  
Discrete Time ◽  
Continuous Time ◽  
Gambling Problems ◽  
Brownian Motion Process ◽  
Motion Process

An abstract gambler's problem is formulated in a continuous-time setting and analogues are proved for some of the discrete-time results of Dubins and Savage in their book How to Gamble if You Must. Applications are made to problems of controlling a Brownian motion process.

Design of Programmable Wideband Low Pass Filter with Continuous-Time/Discrete-Time Hybrid Architecture

2017 ◽  
Vol E100.C (10) ◽  
pp. 858-865 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yohei MORISHITA ◽  
Koichi MIZUNO ◽  
Junji SATO ◽  
Koji TAKINAMI ◽  
Kazuaki TAKAHASHI
Keyword(s):  
Discrete Time ◽  
Continuous Time ◽  
Hybrid Architecture ◽  
Pass Filter ◽  
Low Pass Filter ◽  
Low Pass

scholarly journals Time to Intervene: A Continuous-Time Approach to Network Analysis and Centrality

Psychometrika ◽  
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Oisín Ryan ◽  
Ellen L. Hamaker
Keyword(s):  
Network Analysis ◽  
Discrete Time ◽  
Continuous Time ◽  
Centrality Measures ◽  
Time Interval ◽  
Direct Effects ◽  
Network Approach ◽  
Var Models ◽  
Auto Regressive ◽  
Conceptual Shift

AbstractNetwork analysis of ESM data has become popular in clinical psychology. In this approach, discrete-time (DT) vector auto-regressive (VAR) models define the network structure with centrality measures used to identify intervention targets. However, VAR models suffer from time-interval dependency. Continuous-time (CT) models have been suggested as an alternative but require a conceptual shift, implying that DT-VAR parameters reflect total rather than direct effects. In this paper, we propose and illustrate a CT network approach using CT-VAR models. We define a new network representation and develop centrality measures which inform intervention targeting. This methodology is illustrated with an ESM dataset.

On quasi-stationary distributions in absorbing continuous-time finite Markov chains

1967 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 192-196 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. N. Darroch ◽  
E. Seneta
Keyword(s):  
Markov Chains ◽  
Discrete Time ◽  
Continuous Time ◽  
Present Note ◽  
Time Parameter ◽  
Stationary Distributions ◽  
Finite State ◽  
Absorbing Markov Chains ◽  
Finite Markov Chains ◽  
Finite State Space

In a recent paper, the authors have discussed the concept of quasi-stationary distributions for absorbing Markov chains having a finite state space, with the further restriction of discrete time. The purpose of the present note is to summarize the analogous results when the time parameter is continuous.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document