scholarly journals Threshold dynamics of a West Nile virus model with impulsive culling and incubation period

2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
pp. 0
Author(s):  
Yaxin Han ◽  
Zhenguo Bai

<p style='text-indent:20px;'>In this paper, we propose a time-delayed West Nile virus (WNv) model with impulsive culling of mosquitoes. The mathematical difficulty lies in how to choose a suitable phase space and deal with the interaction of delay and impulse. By the recent theory developed in [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="b3">3</xref>], we define the basic reproduction number <inline-formula><tex-math id="M1">\begin{document}$ \mathcal {R}_0 $\end{document}</tex-math></inline-formula> as the spectral radius of a linear integraloperator and show that <inline-formula><tex-math id="M2">\begin{document}$ \mathcal {R}_0 $\end{document}</tex-math></inline-formula> acts as a threshold parameter determining the persistence of the model. More precisely, it is proved that if <inline-formula><tex-math id="M3">\begin{document}$ \mathcal {R}_0&lt;1 $\end{document}</tex-math></inline-formula>, then the disease-free periodic solution is globally attractive, while if <inline-formula><tex-math id="M4">\begin{document}$ \mathcal {R}_0&gt;1 $\end{document}</tex-math></inline-formula>, then the disease is uniformly persistent.Numerical simulations suggest that culling frequency and culling rate are strongly influenced by the biting rate. We also find that prolonging the length of the incubation period in mosquitoes can reduce the risk of disease spreading.</p>

2006 ◽  
Vol 68 (1) ◽  
pp. 3-23 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mark Lewis ◽  
Joanna Rencławowicz ◽  
P. van den Driessche

2018 ◽  
Vol 15 (6) ◽  
pp. 1479-1494 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdelrazig K. Tarboush ◽  
◽  
Jing Ge ◽  
Zhigui Lin ◽  
◽  
...  

2015 ◽  
Vol 39 (13) ◽  
pp. 3549-3568 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaxia Xu ◽  
Yanni Xiao ◽  
Robert A. Cheke

2017 ◽  
Vol 10 (08) ◽  
pp. 1750110 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdelrazig K. Tarboush ◽  
Jing Ge ◽  
Zhigui Lin

This paper is concerned with a diffusive West Nile virus model (WNv) in a heterogeneous environment. The basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] for spatially homogeneous model is first introduced. We then define a threshold parameter [Formula: see text] for the corresponding diffusive WNv model in a heterogeneous environment. It is shown that if [Formula: see text], the model admits at least one nontrivial T-periodic solution, whereas if [Formula: see text], the model has no nontrivial T-periodic solution. By means of monotone iterative schemes, the true solution can be obtained and the asymptotic behavior of periodic solutions is presented. The paper is closed with some numerical simulations to illustrate our theoretical results.


2018 ◽  
Vol 41 ◽  
pp. 313-333 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yu-Chiau Shyu ◽  
Rong-Nan Chien ◽  
Feng-Bin Wang

2019 ◽  
Vol 30 (1) ◽  
pp. 449-486 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fuxiang Li ◽  
Junli Liu ◽  
Xiao-Qiang Zhao

Viruses ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 448 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ute Ziegler ◽  
Pauline Dianne Santos ◽  
Martin H. Groschup ◽  
Carolin Hattendorf ◽  
Martin Eiden ◽  
...  

One year after the first autochthonous transmission of West Nile virus (WNV) to birds and horses in Germany, an epizootic emergence of WNV was again observed in 2019. The number of infected birds and horses was considerably higher compared to 2018 (12 birds, two horses), resulting in the observation of the first WNV epidemy in Germany: 76 cases in birds, 36 in horses and five confirmed mosquito-borne, autochthonous human cases. We demonstrated that Germany experienced several WNV introduction events and that strains of a distinct group (Eastern German WNV clade), which was introduced to Germany as a single introduction event, dominated mosquito, birds, horse and human-related virus variants in 2018 and 2019. Virus strains in this clade are characterized by a specific-Lys2114Arg mutation, which might lead to an increase in viral fitness. Extraordinary high temperatures in 2018/2019 allowed a low extrinsic incubation period (EIP), which drove the epizootic emergence and, in the end, most likely triggered the 2019 epidemic. Spatiotemporal EIP values correlated with the geographical WNV incidence. This study highlights the risk of a further spread in Germany in the next years with additional human WNV infections. Thus, surveillance of birds is essential to provide an early epidemic warning and thus, initiate targeted control measures.


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