British Election Timing Data, 1900-2001

2004 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alastair Smith
Keyword(s):  
Election Timing ◽  
Timing Data

Modifications of rainfall runoff and decision finding models for on-line simulation in real time control

1999 ◽  
Vol 39 (9) ◽  
pp. 201-207
Author(s):  
Andreas Cassar ◽  
Hans-Reinhard Verworn
Keyword(s):  
Real Time ◽  
Urban Drainage ◽  
Rain Event ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
Real Time Control ◽  
Design Storm ◽  
Time Control ◽  
Timing Data ◽  
On Line ◽  
Rainfall Runoff Model

Most of the existing rainfall runoff models for urban drainage systems have been designed for off-line calculations. With a design storm or a historical rain event and the model system the rainfall runoff processes are simulated, the faster the better. Since very recently, hydrodynamic models have been considered to be much too slow for real time applications. However, with the computing power of today - and even more so of tomorrow - very complex and detailed models may be run on-line and in real time. While the algorithms basically remain the same as for off-line simulations, problems concerning timing, data management and inter process communication have to be identified and solved. This paper describes the upgrading of the existing hydrodynamic rainfall runoff model HYSTEM/EXTRAN and the decision finding model INTL for real time performance, their implementation on a network of UNIX stations and the experiences from running them within an urban drainage real time control project. The main focus is not on what the models do but how they are put into action and made to run smoothly embedded in all the processes necessary in operational real time control.

The Element of Surprise: Election Timing and Opposition Preparedness

2021 ◽  
pp. 001041402199717
Author(s):  
Charles T. McClean
Keyword(s):  
House Of Representatives ◽  
Fixed Effects ◽  
Conventional Wisdom ◽  
Economic Conditions ◽  
Alternative Mechanism ◽  
Election Campaigns ◽  
Electoral Accountability ◽  
Fixed Effects Models ◽  
Level Data ◽  
Election Timing

How can incumbent governments benefit when they control the timing of elections? The conventional wisdom is that incumbents gain an advantage by timing elections to coincide with favorable economic conditions. An alternative mechanism that has received less attention is the element of surprise: the incumbent’s ability to exploit the opposition’s lack of election preparedness. I theorize and empirically test this surprise mechanism using candidate-level data from Japanese House of Representatives elections (1955–2017). The results show that in surprise elections, opposition parties recruit fewer, lower-quality candidates, spend less money campaigning, coordinate their candidates less effectively, and ultimately receive fewer votes and seats. Evidence from fixed effects models and exogenously timed by-elections further suggest that surprise matters more in shorter, competitive election campaigns and helps incumbents more with confronting inter-party as opposed to intra-party electoral competition. These findings add to our understanding of how strategic election timing can undermine electoral accountability.

scholarly journals Ensemble Pulsar Time Study by Pulsar Timing Observations

2004 ◽  
Vol 218 ◽  
pp. 439-440
Author(s):  
Tinggao Yang ◽  
Guangren Ni
Keyword(s):  
Time Scale ◽  
Wavelet Decomposition ◽  
Time Study ◽  
Millisecond Pulsar ◽  
Millisecond Pulsars ◽  
Pulsar Time ◽  
Pulsar Timing ◽  
Timing Data ◽  
Gravitational Wave Background

Long term timing of multiple millisecond pulsars can contribute to the study of an ensemble pulsar time scale PTens. A wavelet decomposition algorithm (WDA) was applied to define a PTens using the available millisecond pulsar timing datA. The PTens obtained from WDA is more stable than those resulting from other algorithms. The Chinese 50 m radio telescope is specially designed for PTens study and detection of gravitational wave background via millisecond pulsars timing observations. A scheme for multiple millisecond pulsar timing and ensemble pulsar time study is discussed in some detail.

What Determines the Length of a Typical Canadian Parliamentary Government?

2009 ◽  
Vol 42 (4) ◽  
pp. 881-910 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Stephen Ferris ◽  
Marcel-Cristian Voia
Keyword(s):  
Hazard Function ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Proportional Hazard ◽  
Proportional Hazard Model ◽  
Parliamentary Government ◽  
Optimal Stopping Rule ◽  
Politique Économique ◽  
Election Timing ◽  
Nous Examinons ◽  
Nous Utilisons

Abstract. In this paper we examine the length of political tenure in Canadian federally elected parliamentary governments since 1867. Using annual data on tenure length, we categorize the distribution of governing tenures in terms of a hazard function: the probability that an election will arise in each year, given that an election has not yet been called. Structuring the election call as an optimal stopping rule, we test whether that distribution responds predictably to characteristics of the political and/or economic environment. The results of using the continuous Cox and Gompertz models together with the discrete semi-parametric proportional hazard model suggest that governing parties in Canada do engage in election timing and that the only economic policy measure that is used consistently in conjunction with election timing is fiscal expenditure.Résumé. Dans cet ouvrage, nous examinons la durée d'un régime parlementaire canadien depuis la Confédération de 1867. Nous utilisons des données annuelles et nous représentons la distribution de durée de vie d'un gouvernement par une fonction de hazard, c'est-a-dire, la probabilité qu'une élection soit déclenchée durant une année spécifique étant donné qu'elle ne l'a pas encore été jusqu'à présent. Nous modélisons un déclenchement d'élection par une règle d'arrêt optimal el nous testons si la distribution dépend des caractéristiques de l'environnement politique et économique tel que prédit selon la théorie. Nous résultats basés les modèles de hazard proportionnel continu de type Cox et Gompertz et discret semi-paramétrique révèlent que les partis fédéraux au pouvoir au Canada choisissent le moment opportun pour déclencher une élection. De plus, les dépenses fiscales sont la seule variable de politique économique qui y soit systématiquement relié.

scholarly journals On the peculiarities in the spin-down of isolated radio pulsars

2012 ◽  
Vol 8 (S291) ◽  
pp. 208-208
Author(s):  
Augustine Chukwude
Keyword(s):  
Radio Astronomy ◽  
Time Resolution ◽  
Local Phase ◽  
Astronomy Observatory ◽  
Radio Pulsars ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Radio Astronomy Observatory ◽  
Long Term Changes ◽  
Timing Data

AbstractWe investigate the spin-down behaviour of a sample of 25 radio pulsars on decadal timescales (~ 18 years) using a continuous timing data obtained over a period of at Hartebeesthoek Radio Astronomy Observatory (HartRAO). Particular attention is placed on achieving a better time resolution of both the short-term and long-term changes in pulsar spin-down using local phase-coherent measurements of the spin-down rates (). We demonstrate that the spin-down of radio pulsars is generally complicated by a superposition of processes that may or may not be related. Specifically, our results show that (i) for 7 pulsars, the observed spin-down variation is largely stochastic, characterized by random and sustained jumps in of varying amplitudes, (ii) for 9 objects, the spin-down evolution shows dominant monotonic variations in superimposed on short-term stochastic jumps in the parameter, and (iii) for the remaining 9 pulsars, the long-term spin-down evolution is non-monotonic, dominated by some systematic excursion in the measured spin-down rates.

Sparse Reconstruction Method of Non-Uniform Sampling and its Application in Blade Tip Timing System

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jie Tian ◽  
Xiaopu Zhang ◽  
Yong Chen ◽  
Peter Russhard ◽  
Hua Ouyang
Keyword(s):  
Compressive Sensing ◽  
Sparse Reconstruction ◽  
Reconstruction Method ◽  
Blade Vibration ◽  
Uniform Sampling ◽  
Blade Vibrations ◽  
Timing Data ◽  
Blade Tip ◽  
Simultaneous Identification ◽  
Multi Mode

Abstract Based on the blade vibration theory of turbomachinery and the basic principle of blade timing systems, a sparse reconstruction model is derived for the tip timing signal under an arbitrary sensor circumferential placement distribution. The proposed approach uses the sparsity of the tip timing signal in the frequency domain. The application of compressive sensing in reconstructing the blade tip timing signal and monitoring multi-mode blade vibrations is explored. To improve the reconstruction effect, a number of numerical experiments are conducted to examine the effects of various factors on synchronous and non-synchronous signals. This enables the specific steps involved in the compressive sensing reconstruction of tip timing signals to be determined. The proposed method is then applied to the tip timing data of a 27-blade rotor. The results show that the method accurately identifies the multi-mode blade vibrations at different rotation speeds. The proposed method has the advantages of low dependence on prior information, insensitivity to environmental noise, and simultaneous identification of synchronous and non-synchronous signals. The experimental results validate the effectiveness of the proposed approach in engineering applications.

scholarly journals A Class of Methods for the Analysis of Blade Tip Timing Data from Bladed Assemblies Undergoing Simultaneous Resonances—Part II: Experimental Validation

2007 ◽  
Vol 2007 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Gallego-Garrido ◽  
G. Dimitriadis ◽  
I. B. Carrington ◽  
J. R. Wright
Keyword(s):  
Experimental Test ◽  
Experimental Validation ◽  
Test Rig ◽  
New Techniques ◽  
Analysis Techniques ◽  
Simultaneous Resonances ◽  
Timing Data ◽  
Blade Tip ◽  
Using Data ◽  
Double Resonances

Blade tip timing is a technique for the measurement of vibrations in rotating bladed assemblies. In Part I of this work a class of methods for the analysis of blade tip timing data from bladed assemblies undergoing two simultaneous synchronous resonances was developed. The approaches were demonstrated using data from a mathematical simulation of tip timing data. In Part II the methods are validated on an experimental test rig. First, the construction and characteristics of the rig will be discussed. Then, the performance of the analysis techniques when applied to data from the rig will be compared and analysed. It is shown that accurate frequency estimates are obtained by all the methods for both single and double resonances. Furthermore, the recovered frequencies are used to calculate the amplitudes of the blade tip responses. The presence of mistuning in the bladed assembly does not affect the performance of the new techniques.

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