scholarly journals LITHUANIAN POPULATION AGING FACTORS ANALYSIS / LIETUVOS GYVENTOJŲ SENĖJIMĄ LEMIANČIŲ VEIKSNIŲ ANALIZĖ

2015 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 199-209 ◽  
Author(s):  
Agnė Garlauskaitė ◽  
Rasa Zabarauskaitė
Keyword(s):  
Birth Rate ◽  
Population Aging ◽  
Demographic Factors ◽  
Aging Population ◽  
Theoretical Terms ◽  
Factors Analysis ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
Aging Factors

The aim of this article is to identify the factors that determine aging of Lithuania’s population and to assess the influence of these factors. The article shows Lithuanian population aging factors analysis, which consists of two main parts: the first describes the aging of the population and its characteristics in theoretical terms. Second part is dedicated to the assessment of trends that influence the aging population and demographic factors and also to analyse the determinants of the aging of the population of Lithuania. After analysis it is concluded in the article that the decline in the birth rate and increase in the number of emigrants compared to immigrants have the greatest impact on aging of the population, so in order to show the aging of the population, a lot of attention should be paid to management of these demographic processes. Darbo tikslas – nustatyti, kokie veiksniai lemia Lietuvos gyventojų senėjimą ir įvertinti tų veiksnių įtaką. Straipsnyje atliekamą Lietuvos gyventojų senėjimą lemiančių veiksnių analizę sudaro dvi pagrindinės dalys: pirmoji skirta apibūdinti gyventojų senėjimą ir jo rodiklius teoriniu aspektu. Antroji skirta įvertinti gyventojų senėjimą ir jį lemiančias demografinių veiksnių tendencijas bei gyventojų senėjimą ir jį lemiančius veiksnius Lietuvoje. Atlikus analizę, straipsnyje daroma išvada, kad gyventojų senėjimą labiausiai įtakoja gimstamumo mažėjimas ir emigrantų skaičiaus didėjimas imigrantų atžvilgiu, todėl, siekiant pristabdyti gyventojų senėjimą, didžiausias dėmesys turėtų būti skiriamas šių demografinių procesų valdymui.

scholarly journals TRENDS AND DETERMINANTS OF DEMOGRAPHIC PROCESSES IN RUSSIA

2021 ◽  
pp. 61-69
Author(s):  
E. N. Grishina ◽  
I. P. Lapteva
Keyword(s):  
Birth Rate ◽  
Population Aging ◽  
Planning Method ◽  
Necessary Condition ◽  
Efficiency Coefficient ◽  
Population Forecast ◽  
Experimental Planning ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
The Impact

The article substantiates the need to identify trends in the development of processes demographic in individual countries and regions. The analysis of the determination of demographic processes is a necessary condition for the development of an effective demographic policy. The authors studied the dynamics of the population of the planet as whole, Europe, and Russia over the past 50 years. The assessment of the degree of influence of the measures taken in certain countries of the world on the demographic situation is given. The article deals with both methodological issues of studying the determination of demographic processes, and the results of research based on statistical information. Much attention is paid to the issues of determining the birth rate and mortality. An assessment of the impact of material payments on the birth rate is given. At the same time, the issues of determining migration processes and population aging are not left without attention. To analyze the causes of population migration in the region, the experimental planning method was used. The use of this method allowed us to identify the factors that affect migration processes and to assess the degree of influence of each of them on the level of the migration efficiency coefficient. The study showed the possibility of using the planning method in the study of socio-economic processes. The authors consider three variants of the population forecast of the Russian Federation until 2035, proposed by Rosstat, and assessed possible options for their implementation.

scholarly journals Change in the number of inhabitants of Sajkaska in the period from 1869 to 2002

2010 ◽  
pp. 293-304
Author(s):  
Ljubica Ivanovic ◽  
Branislav Djurdjev
Keyword(s):  
Social Determinants ◽  
Aging Process ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
Population Aging ◽  
Family Factors ◽  
Population Movement ◽  
Demographic Indicators ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
Number Of Individuals

Demographic processes and tendencies of the population movement represent basic social determinants which are presented by various demographic indicators. The change in the number of inhabitants in Sajkaska is the result of multi-decade variation in the birth rate, population aging process and mortality movement, which all are conditioned by a series of historical, socio-economical, cultural, educational as well local and family factors. The total number of individuals rose for 34.029 in the period between 1869 and 2002. .

scholarly journals Comparative Study of Population Aging Trend in Iran and Poland

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 102-116
Author(s):  
Hasan Hekmatnia ◽  
Kamran Jafarpour Ghalehteimouri ◽  
Ali Shamsoddini
Keyword(s):  
Older People ◽  
Elderly People ◽  
Age Structure ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
Elderly Population ◽  
Total Population ◽  
Population Aging ◽  
Aging Population ◽  
The Elderly ◽  
The Impact

Population aging and its consequences are an extremely controversial issue in the global context. An increase in the number of older people along with a decrease in the birth rate leads to an excessive burden on the economically active part of the population. Such imbalances threaten to reduce the workforce, slow economic growth, increase social spending, increase the fiscal burden. Therefore, using the country’s own experience to solve the problem of rapid aging of the nation and take measures to improve the quality of life of older people and their social integration into society is insufficient, as changes in the age structure of the population may occur for the first time. Therefore, it is necessary to study and adapt the experience of other countries to address this social issue. The purpose of this study was to conduct a comparative analysis of the aging population in Iran and Poland, as well as to assess the impact of the nation’s aging on life expectancy, fertility and gross domestic product (GDP) in these two countries. The object of the study is Poland as a representative of European countries, which is facing an increase in the number of elderly people, and Iran as a country where the age structure of the population is just beginning to change. The study period is 1950-2020. The results of the study show that there has been an increase in the elderly population, but the share of this population compared to other countries is lower. The authors of the study proved the existence of significant differences in the aging population in Poland and Iran. A feature of the demographic situation in Iran is the declining birth rate, which leads to a decrease in the total population and an increase in the proportion of elderly people. These socio-demographic transformations in the long run can have a destructive effect on Iran’s GDP. In contrast to Iran, Poland is experiencing an increase in population aging, leading to rising spending on social security and protection, as well as falling GDP. The rapid growth of the elderly population compared to the growth of the total population of the country and the increase in the share of elderly people in the coming years emphasizes the need for further planning of control over the problems associated with this population group.

scholarly journals Population aging is characteristic component of modern demographic processes

2018 ◽  
Vol 35 (6) ◽  
pp. 36-42
Author(s):  
M. Ya. Podluzhnaya ◽  
E. A. Voronova ◽  
N. V. Isaeva ◽  
E. A. Rudakova
Keyword(s):  
Russian Federation ◽  
Population Aging ◽  
Age Groups ◽  
Older Age ◽  
Gender And Age ◽  
Demographic Indices ◽  
Perm Krai ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
The Russian Federation

Aim. To analyze the demographic indices in connection with aging of the population in Perm Krai and the Russian Federation and as a result – to single out problems and ways of solution. Materials and methods. Calculation and dynamic analysis of reproduction of the population in Perm Krai and the Russian Federation over the period of 2005 – 2017 was performed using official statistic data in connection with gender-and-age-specific characterization of the population. Results. The processes of aging of the population were estimated from demographic positions. Socioeconomic problems, associated with them, were singled out, the ways of their solving were determined in accordance with national projects regarding health and health care. Conclusions. At the expense of growing index of expected average life, decrease in fertility and birth rate there is observed accumulation of older age groups of the population, i.e. process of aging. It, naturally, results in growth of chronic pathology, mortality not only in the older age periods but also in the able-bodied part of the population, thus, reducing working potential.

scholarly journals ASSESSMENT OF THE DEMOGRAPHIC SITUATION OF UKRAINE: NATURAL MOVEMENT AND POPULATION REPRODUCTION

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hanna Svydlo ◽  
◽  
Iryna Sierova ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Mortality Rate ◽  
Social Studies ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
The State ◽  
National Academy Of Sciences ◽  
Demographic Situation ◽  
Factors Influencing ◽  
Natural Movement ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
Academy Of Sciences

Due to the difficult socio-economic situation and worsening of demographic situation, including the consequences of hostilities and ongoing occupation of the part of Ukraine, today the importance of population study and the research on the factors influencing its changes is increasing. During the study of demographic processes on the basis of a thorough analysis, strategic decisions relevant to the use and reproduction of the country's labour potential, stimulation of the birth rate, reduction of mortality, increase of natural population growth, prevention of depopulation processes, providing effective employment and improvement of social protection of the people are made. The demographic factor is one of the determinants for ensuring sustainable and safe development of the country, and the issue of demographic development should be considered as a factor and at the same time as a result of the functioning of the state. The main purpose of the study is to identify trends in the changes of the main indicators characterizing demographic processes in the country. Methodologically and informationally, this paper is based on the scientific works, the materials from reccurent publications and Internet, the laws and regula-tions and the data of the State Statistics Service of Ukraine and Ptoukha Institute for Demography and Social Studies of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine. The methods used in the study are structural and dynamic analysis, comparison and generalization of the data collected by the State Statistics Service of Ukraine and Ptoukha Institute for Demography and Social Studies of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine. During a study of a phenomenon or a process, first of all, the categorical apparatus is determined. Based on the purpose of the study, the concept of reproduction and natural movement of the population is defined and their theoretical description is given. This paper considers the reproduction of the population as the historically and socio-economically conditioned process of constant and continuous renewal of hu-man generations. Since the natural movement of the population is a process analysis of the birth and death of people, this paper considers such types of population reproduction as archetype, traditional type, transitional type and modern type. For the analysis of the natural movement of the population as a component of demographic safety, the following indicators were evaluated: average life expectancy at birth; depopulation rate; the overall mortality rate of the country's population; in-fant mortality (child mortality up to the age of 1); total birth rate; net reproduction rate; marriage rate; divorce rate. The findings of the analysis show that the main rea-son of the worsening of demographic situation is decrease in the birth rate and in-crease in the mortality rate. Currently, the birth rate in Ukraine is largely limited by both economic factors (insufficient wages, shortage of jobs) and social factors (changes in reproductive habits and norms expressed in the popularity of single-parent families). The analysis revealed socio-economic factors influencing the demo-graphic situation in Ukraine.

Aging and Consumption Patterns in Turkey

2021 ◽  
pp. 149-171
Author(s):  
Reyhan Cafrı Açcı ◽  
Gülsüm Akarsu ◽  
Hanife Bıdırdı
Keyword(s):  
Social Protection ◽  
Population Aging ◽  
Panel Data Analysis ◽  
Aging Population ◽  
Consumption Patterns ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Consumption Expenditures ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
Using Data

An aging population is one of the most important issues affecting many areas such as labor and capital markets, social protection, social security, housing, and especially the demand for goods and services. Specifically, analysis of consumption patterns has become essential to prepare long-term plans for production structure and investment because consumption preferences and needs may change as a result of the aging population. Therefore, the aim of this study is to analyze how aging affects consumption patterns in Turkey considering regional heterogeneity and the effects of macroeconomic factors over the years. For this, panel data analysis was performed using data on 26 regions of Turkey over 2008-2018. Results show that population aging affects most of the share of items in household consumption expenditures. Thus, Turkey should be prepared and make development and investment plans considering the aging population.

Determinants of fertility in Russian families

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 (6) ◽  
pp. 104-123
Author(s):  
Kamilya Sakhbetdinova
Keyword(s):  
Birth Rate ◽  
World Values Survey ◽  
Level Of Education ◽  
Number Of Children ◽  
Econometric Methods ◽  
Sociocultural Attitudes ◽  
The Family ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
Positive Effect ◽  
Demographic Policy

Competent demographic policy implies an understanding by the state of the economic, social, and demographic processes taking place in society. In earlier Russian and foreign studies, the authors found a number of fertility factors, however, the direction of influence of such determinants could be opposite. Aware of the special influence of sociocultural attitudes and values of the population on the number of children in a family, the author made an attempt to identify the determinants of fertility based on an empirical study of the World Values Survey. Using statistical and econometric methods, models that reflect the determinants of fertility in modern Russia were constructed. This work revealed a positive effect on the birth rate of religiosity, traditional views and the importance of the family for the respondent. Inversely related to the number of children in a family such factors as the level of education of the population and the value of leisure.

scholarly journals TНЕ INFLUENCE OF DEMOGRAPHIC PROCESSES ON ECONOMIC SECURITY OF SUMY REGION

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Svitlana Vesperis ◽  
Hanna Samus ◽  
Olha Scherbina
Keyword(s):  
Age Structure ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
Marriage Rate ◽  
Natural Increase ◽  
Economic Security ◽  
Migration Flow ◽  
Gradual Development ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
Labor Resources ◽  
The Impact

The article analyzes the impact of demographic processes on the economic security of Sumy region. The main characteristics of economic security of the region are highlighted. It is noted that the population of the country is a kind of foundation through which all types of national security, including economic, have their practical application. The following demographic characteristics of the population are analyzed, such as birth rate, death rate, sex and age structure, quantity, migration, which determine the available labor potential of the region and significantly affect the formation of economic security in the region. The negative tendency of reduction of the available population of the region is established. The sex composition of the population is insignificantly, but women predominate. The natural increase in the population of the region is a negative indicator, which indicates a decrease in the population of the region. Negative dynamics is characteristic of the marriage rate. Divorce is growing in the region. All this indicates the decline of the institution of the family, which in turn will affect the birth rate. With regard to migration growth (reduction) in general, it should be noted that this indicator is also negative, so the number of arrivals is less than the number of departures. But the exception is interstate migration, which is characterized by positive dynamics for the region. The region is dominated by the working age population, which is positive for economic security. At the same time, the share of people of retirement age is greater than children. In order to solve demographic problems and improve the economic security of the region, measures should be implemented at the regional level (except national ones) to increase the birth rate, support the development of medical institutions to reduce mortality, which will increase natural population growth. Considerable attention should be paid to the development of the production sphere and the sphere of services in order to reduce migration flows from the region and provide available labor resources with jobs, taking into account the gender and age structure. It is necessary to improve the socio-economic living conditions of the population, which will stimulate the migration flow of the population. These events will contribute to the stable and gradual development of the demographic component of economic security of Sumy region.

scholarly journals Grouping of the Turkistan Area Regions based on a Complex Evaluation of Demographic Processes, Indices of Health, Medication Provision, and Social-economic Development of the Territory

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 268-279
Author(s):  
Myrzatay A. Buleshov ◽  
Zhusip B. Almasov ◽  
Kayrat O. Akimov ◽  
Ayzhan M. Buleshova
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
Social Economic ◽  
Demographic Situation ◽  
Complex Evaluation ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
Spatial Hierarchy ◽  
Methodological Approaches ◽  
Social Economic Development

The research objective was to elaborate methodological approaches to group the Turkistan regions through a complex evaluation of their demographic situation, public health, healthcare system, and social-economic development. The regions were grouped by normalizing a set of indices with various dimensions and vectors. The indices used were budget expenses per capita, unemployment rate, birth rate, death rate, income per capita, availability of pharmacies, provision with medical and pharmaceutical personnel, etc. During the studied period, the Turkistan area regions showed varied normalized values. The differences amounted to 1.2 times by normalized values and up to 2.4 times by complex values, which is due to the various developmentlevels, multi-faceted character and complex spatial hierarchy of the Turkistan area regions. The research showed the normalizing method to be very effective for the regional and municipal statistical service as they have consolidated medical-statistical tables for the whole area and individual regions.

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