scholarly journals ECONOMETRIC MODEL OF LITHUANIAN HEALTH CARE SYSTEM INDICATORS / LIETUVOS SVEIKATOS PRIEŽIŪROS SISTEMOS RODIKLIŲ EKONOMETRINIS MODELIS

2014 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 33-40
Author(s):  
Viktorija Stasytytė ◽  
Alina Rauktytė

The article deals with relation between Lithuanian health status,gross domestic product (GDP) and health care costs. The mainpurpose of this analysis was to estimate an adequate model,which would be able to reveal the relation between quality ofLithuanian health care system and its elements. Also, trends ofthese variables are included in the analysis. The methods ofstatistical and econometric analysis, such as PCA, deaggregationprocedure and others were employed. It was concluded that thefirst order vector auto regression model (VECM(1)) adequatelyexplains the given data. Forecast of the variables was performedon the basis of the aforementioned model. Nagrinėjamas sąryšis tarp Lietuvos visuomenės sveikatingumo, bendrojo vidaus produkto (BVP) ir išlaidų, skiriamųsveikatos priežiūrai. Pagrindinis tikslas – sudaryti adekvatų modelį, atskleidžiantį sveikatos priežiūros sistemos kokybėsbei ją lemiančių veiksnių abipusį sąryšį ir tendencijas Lietuvoje. Tyrimo metu taikyti statistiniai bei ekonometriniai analizėsmetodai, įskaitant pagrindinių komponenčių analizę (PCA) bei deagregavimo procedūrą. Buvo prieita prie išvados, kad turimusduomenis adekvačiai aprašo pirmosios eilės vektorinės autoregresijos modelis (VECM(1)). Remiantis sudarytu modeliu atliktosmodelio kintamųjų reikšmių prognozės.

PEDIATRICS ◽  
1995 ◽  
Vol 96 (4) ◽  
pp. 851-857
Author(s):  
David R. Smith

During the past 30 years, social and economic barriers to health care services have increased for many Americans, especially for the nation's most vulnerable populations. Health status actually has declined for certain populations during this time. Meanwhile, national attention has been focused primarily on containing health care costs and on devising strategies for reforming the financing of health care rather than strategies for achieving improvements in the health status of the population. Existing methods of financing health care services, health research priorities, the increasing centralization and compartmentalization of health care services, and the recent failure of national health reform all serve to hinder this nation's progress towards developing a comprehensive and accountable health care system focused on promoting and achieving improved health as well as treating sickness. Recent changes in the health care marketplace, however, including a growing movement toward measuring the outcomes of medical treatments and an emphasis on improving the quality of services, have increased interest among payers and providers of health care services in investing in preventive services. Health maintenance organizations and other integrated health care delivery systems are beginning to devise incentives for increasing preventive care as well as for containing costs. The transformation of the nation's current medical care system into a true health care system will require innovative strategies designed to merge the existing fragmented array of services into coordinated and comprehensive systems for delivering primary and preventive health care services in community settings. The community-Oriented Primary Care concept successfully blends these functions and has achieved measurable results in reducing health care costs and improving access to preventive services for identified populations. There is flexibility in existing funding sources to promote preventive services in various public and private health care settings and to assist in the transformation from a disease-oriented medical care system to one focused on health.


1993 ◽  
Vol 22 (4) ◽  
pp. 487-505 ◽  
Author(s):  
Neena L. Chappell

ABSTRACTCanada, like all industrialised countries, has become concerned over health care costs. Canada has reason to be concerned, with the most expensive system, on a per capita basis, of any country with national health insurance. This paper briefly reviews Canada's health care system, examines the rhetoric being adopted throughout the country at the current time, and discusses the changes which are now occurring. An assessment of whether change will lead to a more cost efficient and appropriate system for an aging society is then presented. It is concluded that there are profound changes taking place in the health care system in all provinces in Canada. Most of the changes to date reflect a restricting of current medical care by making ineligible previously eligible procedures, introducing user fees where there were none before, and in some instances including means testing where there was none before. In addition, hospital budgets are being cut and beds are being closed. However, a corresponding expansion of community programmes, while evident in the rhetoric, is less evident within current actions.


Author(s):  
О.А. Бадов

Важнейшим фактором, влияющим на состояние здоровья населения, является демографический. В связи с этим, исследование показателей естественного движения насе- ления, динамики численности и многих других являются основополагающими при определе- нии перспектив развития системы здравоохранения и многих других социальных объектов и услуг, так или иначе связанных с населением и поддержанием его здоровья на должном уров- не. Особый интерес представляют исследования динамики рождаемости и смертности за сравнительно большие промежутки времени, включающие в себя какие-либо события, так или иначе повлиявшие на рождаемость и смертность населения. В настоящей статье исследуется территориальная дифференциация рождаемости и смертности населения России в период 2005-2018 гг. Поскольку статья имеет полимасштаб- ный характер: демографические элементы рассматриваются по федеральным округам Рос- сии, ее регионам и, отдельно, по регионам Северо-Кавказского ФО. С целью возможности сопоставления регионов с различными географическо-социальными по- казателями (площадь, численность населения и т.д.) были применены относительные пока- затели (число рождений и смертей за год на 1000 жителей). Результатом исследований явилось выявление территориальной дифференциации основных демографических показателей населения России за 2005-2018 гг. и определение особенностей их влияния на состояние здоровья людей и структуру системы здравоохранения. The most important factor infl uencing the health status of the population is demographic factor. In this regard, the study of indicators of the vital movement of the population, population dynamics and many others are fundamental in determining the prospects for the development of the health care system and many other social facilities and services, one way or another related to the population and maintaining its health at the proper level. Of particular interest are studies of the dynamics of fertility and mortality over relatively long periods of time, including any events that somehow infl uenced the birth and mortality of the population. This article examines the territorial differentiation of the birth and death rates of the population of Russia in 2005-2018. Since the article is of a poly-scale nature, demographic elements are considered for the federal districts of Russia, its regions and, separately, for the regions of the North Caucasus Federal District. In order to be able to compare regions with different geographical and social indicators (area, population, etc.), relative indicators were used (the number of births and deaths per year per 1000 inhabitants). The result of the research was the identifi cation of territorial differentiation of the main demographic indicators of the population of Russia for 2005-2018 and determining the characteristics of their impact on the health status of people and the structure of the health care system.


2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 883-883
Author(s):  
Mostafa Mostafazadeh‐Bora ◽  
Mohsen Shahriari

Blood ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 124 (21) ◽  
pp. 2165-2165
Author(s):  
Monia Marchetti ◽  
Giovanni Barosi ◽  
Paolo Pedrazzoli

Abstract Background: International guidelines recommend erythropoiesis stimulating agents (ESA) to improve chemotherapy-related anemia (CRA), however, two meta-analyses proved that intravenous iron (II) improves the chance of obtaining a response to ESA by 28% (Gafter-Gvili 2013, Petrelli 2012). Recently, biosimilar ESAs have been approved for CRA, we therefore aimed at comparing the cost-effectiveness of different therapeutic strategies for CRA eventually including II and/or biosimilar ESAs. Methods: A decision model was built comparing 5 strategies: no ESA, brand ESA, brand ESA plus II, biosimilar ESA, biosimilar ESA plus II. Ferric gluconate was assumed to be administered 125 mg per week for 6 weeks overall: 4 infusions were planned in days different from chemotherapy administration. ESA was started at hemoglobin values lower than 11 g/dl. The model included a Markov tree of 13 health states representing hemoglobin level during 26 therapy weeks. Weekly probability of hemoglobin improvement by 1 g/dL was estimated to be 10% with ESA and 15% with ESA plus II but null without ESA. The efficacy of biosimilar ESA was assumed to be the same as ESA. Weekly probability of death was assumed to be 0.4% (Pedrazzoli 2008). The rate of severe events during II infusion was assumed to be 0.2% per week without fatal events. Quality of life at different hemoglobin levels was driven from literature. The economic analysis was run in the perspective of the Health Care System and of the society. II administration was charged €50 and blood transfusion €400. Indirect costs for iron infusions and transfusions planned in days not devoted to chemotherapy was estimated to be €100 for transportation and care-giver time. Based on local data, the per-unit cost of biosimilar ESA versus brand ESA was considered to be 1 in 5.All the analyses were run TreeAgePro2014. Microsimulations and first-order MonteCarlo analysis were run. Results: ESA improve quality-adjusted survival of patients from 14.51 to 14.82 quality-adjusted weeks but II adjunct increased the gain to 15.20 weeks. In the perspective of the health-care system, the management of cancer-related anemia without ESA costs €1,550, while ESA therapy increased the costs by €618 (biosimilars) and €2,933 (brand); ESA plus II increased the costs by €359 and €2,437, respectively. Therefore, the adjunct of II reduced overall health-care costs by €259 in the biosimilar strategy and €496 in the brand ESA strategy. Societal costs similarly increased with ESA use, but the increment was lower: €584 with biosimilar ESA and €2,866 with brand ESA. II allowed to achieve minimal savings in the biosimilar strategy, while savings were €288 in the brand ESA strategy. Savings to the health-care system and to the society were even higher (further €300 to the healthcare-system and €90 to the society) in the hypothesis that liposomial oral iron (30 mg per day for 60 days) achieved similar results as II, at €1 per day charged to the patient (in Italy liposomal iron it is not refunded). Ferric carboxymaltose 750 mg single administration at a cost of €280 might compete with multiple ferric gluconate administrations. Finally, we explored the efffect of threshold hemoglobin: starting ESA at hemoglobin levels lower than 10 g/dl instead of 11 g/dl allowed to reduce health-care costs of ESA therapy by €172, but quality of life was increased by only 0.14 and 0.59 weeks, without and with II, respectively. Conclusions: Rational allocation of health-care resources imposes to choose the most convenient therapeutic strategy among those recommended by practice guidelines. Intravenous iron allows to save health-care and society resources and to improve quality of life by a more rapid hematopoietic response to ESA. Different iron formulations need to be tested in association with ESA in this setting in order to improve the efficiency of avilable therapeutic strategies. Cost-effectiveness analyses should be shared by clinicians and hospital pharmacy to adopt the most effective and efficient therapeutic strategies. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


Author(s):  
Morris L. Barer ◽  
Robert G. Evans ◽  
Clyde Hertzman

ABSTRACTClaims that the health care system is about to be engulfed in a “wave of grey” have become commonplace. Recent cost escalation is commonly attributed to the aging of the population, and there is no shortage of dire warnings about the cost implications of the even more dramatic aging, and costs, still to come. These claims have been largely unsubstantiated. Yet they persist for a number of reasons. First, over long periods of time, the effects of demographic trends can be (and probably will be) quite substantial. But these effects move like glaciers, not avalanches. Second, the effects of aging populations on some types of services which cater differentially to seniors will be much more dramatic; observers of those sub-sectors (such as long-term care) tend to extrapolate that sector-specific experience to health care generally. Third, at the “coal-face,” health care providers are seeing their practices become ever more dominated by seniors. They mistake this increased “presence” of patients aged 65 and over in their practices as evidence of the effects of demographic changes. In this paper we discuss each of these sources of error about the effects of aging population on health care costs. We focus primarily on the confusion between changes in patterns of care for particular age groups, and changes in overall levels of care. Quite extensive empirical evidence has been collected over the past decade from analyses of British Columbia data bases, and these findings are not unique, in Canada, or beyond. The common finding of this body of research is that population aging has accounted for very little of the increase in health care costs over the past three decades, in Canada or elsewhere. Health care utilization has increased dramatically among seniors. But this has had less to do with the fact that there are more of them, than with the fact that the health care system is doing much more to (and for) them than was the case even a decade ago. This suggests that the appropriate care of elderly people should be a central issue for health care policy and management, but that demographic issues are, in the short run at least, largely a red herring.


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