scholarly journals Optimal saving and sustainable foreign debt

2021 ◽  
Vol 57 (2) ◽  
pp. 170-199
Author(s):  
Delano Villanueva ◽  
Roberto Mariano
Keyword(s):  
Open Economy ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Foreign Debt ◽  
Learning By Doing ◽  
Domestic Saving ◽  
Economy Growth ◽  
Intertemporal Consumption ◽  
Saving Rates ◽  
Optimal Saving ◽  
Open Economy Growth

This paper develops and discusses an open-economy growth model in a modi!ed Arrow learning-by-doing framework, in which workers learn through experience on the job, thereby increasing their productivity. Applying optimal control to maximize the discounted stream of intertemporal consumption, the model yields domestic saving rates of 18-22 percent of GDP, which are feasible targets in developing and emerging market economies. Sustainable gross foreign debt is in the range of 39-50 percent of GDP. Saving, debt, and growth policies are suggested.

Convergence in an open‐economy growth model

1998 ◽  
Vol 32 (2) ◽  
pp. 107-127
Author(s):  
Brian Bourdôt ◽  
Mike Frith ◽  
Graeme Wells
Keyword(s):  
Growth Model ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Economy Growth ◽  
Open Economy Growth

scholarly journals A GROWTH PERSPECTIVE ON FOREIGN RESERVE ACCUMULATION

2014 ◽  
Vol 19 (6) ◽  
pp. 1358-1379 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gong Cheng
Keyword(s):  
Central Bank ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Economic Transition ◽  
Domestic Saving ◽  
Foreign Reserves ◽  
Foreign Reserve ◽  
Reserve Accumulation ◽  
Joint Strategy ◽  
Retained Earnings

Based on a dynamic open-economy macroeconomic model, this paper analyzes the motive for foreign reserve accumulation in fast-growing emerging economies. The demand for foreign reserves stems from the interaction between productivity growth and underdevelopment of the domestic financial market. As domestic firms are credit-constrained, domestic saving instruments are necessary to increase their retained earnings in order to invest in capital. The central bank plays the role of a financial intermediary and provides liquid public bonds while investing the bond proceeds abroad in the form of foreign reserves. Foreign reserve accumulation is thus part of a catching-up strategy in an economy facing financial frictions. During economic transition, foreign reserve accumulation is proved to be welfare-improving as long as private capital flows are controlled. This joint strategy enables the central bank to channel sufficient external funding to the domestic economy while keeping domestic interest rates under control to cope with positive productivity shocks.

scholarly journals Education, Income, Wealth Inequality and Business Cycles in a General Equilibrium Growth Model

2020 ◽  
Vol 26 (4) ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
Business Cycles ◽  
General Equilibrium ◽  
Growth Model ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Wealth Inequality ◽  
Learning By Doing ◽  
Government Subsidy ◽  
Wealth Inequalities

The paper is concerned with the dynamic interactions between physical capital, human capital, income and wealth inequalities between different households with government subsidy to education. It generalizes the endogenous growth model of a small-open economy proposed by Zhang (2016). Zhang’s paper deals with income and wealth inequalities between heterogeneous households with government subsidy to education. The paper makes a contribution to the literature of economic growth with endogenous education by integrating Solow-Uzawa’s neoclassical growth theory, Uzawa-Lucas model, Arrow’s learning by doing, Zhang’s creative leisure, and Walrasian general equilibrium theory. The model treats endogenous capital and human capital accumulation as the main engines of economic growth. This study generalizes Zhang’s model by allowing constant coefficients to be time-dependent. We simulate the generalized model to demonstrate existence of business cycles due to various exogenous periodic shocks.

Elections, Capital Flows, and Politico-Economic Equilibria

2010 ◽  
Vol 100 (4) ◽  
pp. 1759-1777 ◽  
Author(s):  
Roberto Chang
Keyword(s):  
Empirical Evidence ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Capital Flows ◽  
Tax Policy ◽  
Foreign Debt ◽  
Economic Crises ◽  
Economic Equilibria ◽  
Electoral Outcomes ◽  
Investment Returns

We study an open economy where a pro-labor and a pro-business candidate compete in an election. The winner chooses taxes, which affect investment returns. Electoral outcomes depend on the size of the foreign debt, but the debt itself reflects expectations about the election. The resulting interaction is novel and has several implications. Elections are associated with increased volatility. Politico-economic crises can occur. Inefficiencies vanish if the candidates commit to an appropriate tax policy, but such commitments have predictable effects on the election. Empirical evidence supporting the theory is discussed. (JEL D72, F34, O17, O19)

scholarly journals TECHNOLOGY SHOCKS AND BUSINESS CYCLES IN INDIA

2017 ◽  
Vol 23 (5) ◽  
pp. 1721-1756 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shesadri Banerjee ◽  
Parantap Basu
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Small Open Economy ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Technology Shocks ◽  
Demand Side ◽  
Aggregate Fluctuations ◽  
Dsge Model ◽  
Dynamic Stochastic

In this paper, we develop a small open economy New Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model to understand the relative importance of two key technology shocks, Hicks neutral total factor productivity (TFP) shock and investment specific technology (IST) shock for an emerging market economy like India. In addition to these two shocks, our model includes three demand side shocks such as fiscal spending, home interest rate, and foreign interest rate. Using a Bayesian approach, we estimate our DSGE model with Indian annual data for key macroeconomic variables over the period of 1971–2010, and for subsamples of pre-liberalization (1971–1990) and post-liberalization (1991–2010) periods. Our study reveals three main results. First, output correlates positively with TFP, but negatively with IST. Second, TFP and IST shocks are the first and the second most important contributors to aggregate fluctuations in India. In contrast, the demand side disturbances play a limited role. Third, although TFP plays a major role in determining aggregate fluctuations, its importance vis-à-vis IST has declined during the post liberalization era. We find that structural shifts of nominal friction and relative home bias for consumption to investment in the post-liberalization period can account for the rising importance of the IST shocks in India.

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