Asset Price Effects Arising from Sports Results and Investor Mood: The Case of a Homogenous Fan Base Area

2011 ◽  
Vol 57 (4) ◽  
pp. 285-301 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert Gallagher, ◽  
Niall O'Sullivan,
Keyword(s):  
2005 ◽  
Author(s):  
Filippo Altissimo ◽  
Evaggelia Georgiou ◽  
Teresa Sastre ◽  
Maria Teresa Valderrama ◽  
Gabriel Sterne ◽  
...  

1995 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 3-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Frederic S Mishkin

Understanding of monetary transmission mechanisms is crucial to answering a broad range of questions. These transmission mechanisms include interest-rate effects, exchange-rate effects, other asset price effects, and the so-called credit channel. This introduction to the symposium provides an overview of the main types of monetary transmission mechanisms found in the literature and a perspective on how the papers in the symposium relate to the overall literature and to each other.


1986 ◽  
Vol 42 (1) ◽  
pp. 58-67 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vijay M. Jog ◽  
Allan L. Riding

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jose Maria Barrero

This paper studies how biases in managerial beliefs affect managerial decisions, firm performance, and the macroeconomy. Using a new survey of US managers I establish three facts. (1) Managers are not over-optimistic: sales growth forecasts on average do not exceed realizations. (2) Managers are overprecise (overconfident): they underestimate future sales growth volatility. (3) Managers overextrapolate: their forecasts are too optimistic after positive shocks and too pessimistic after negative shocks. To quantify the implications of these facts, I estimate a dynamic general equilibrium model in which managers of heterogeneous firms use a subjective beliefs process to make forward-looking hiring decisions. Overprecision and overextrapolation lead managers to overreact to firm-level shocks and overspend on adjustment costs, destroying 2.1 percent of the typical firm’s value. Pervasive overreaction leads to excess volatility and reallocation, lowering consumer welfare by 0.5 to 2.3 percent relative to the rational expectations equilibrium. These findings suggest overreaction may amplify asset-price and business cycle fluctuations.


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