scholarly journals The Impact Of Macroeconomic Variables On Real Estate Price Forecasting Modelling In Abuja Nigeria

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (5C) ◽  
pp. 67-72
Keyword(s):  
Real Estate ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Price Forecasting ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Real Estate Price ◽  
Forecasting Models ◽  
Out Of Sample ◽  
The Impact

This paper examined the impact of macroeconomic variables on real estate price forecasting modelling in Abuja, Nigeria using the family of Box-Jenkins ARIMA models. The ARIMA and ARIMAX models were used to forecast real estate residential price in Abuja, Nigeria using quarterly data from 2000Q1 to 2017Q in Naira (N). The outcome revealed that, macroeconomic variables such as consumer price index, price of crude oil, exchange rate of Naira against US dollar, GDP, interest rate, household income has significant positive impact on the real estate residential price forecasting models of 2 bedroom flat, 3 bedroom flat and 5 bedroom flat, while they have strong negative impact on the price forecasting model of 4 bedroom flat. Moreover, ARIMA and ARIMAX provides best out of sample forecasting models.

Macroeconomic factors and stock returns: Evidence from the emerging market of Asia

2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 16-20
Author(s):  
Muhammad Asad Saleem Malik ◽  
Saher Touqeer ◽  
Shumaila Zeb
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Significant Negative Impact ◽  
The Impact

This study examines the impact of macroeconomic variables on stock returns of Pakistan, India and Sri Lanka for the period of 1997-2014. GMM approach is used to analyze the impact of macroeconomic variables on stock returns. Variables of the study were T-Bills, Exchange Rate, Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Industrial Production Index (IPI). The results of study show that T-bills rate has significant negative impact while Exchange rate has a significant positive impact on the Stock Returns of the study period.

scholarly journals Determinants of Non-Performing Loan in Nepalese Commercial Banks

2017 ◽  
pp. 22-38 ◽  
Author(s):  
Seema Bhattarai
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Percent Level ◽  
Real Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Effective Exchange ◽  
Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
The Impact

The non-performing loans (NPL) of financial institutions are considered as a significant issue in the context of Nepal for last few decades. The paper aims to identify the impact of macroeconomic variables (GDP, Inflation, and Real Effective Exchange Rate) and bank specific variables (size, change in loan, real lending rate of interest, and share of loan to total assets) on the non-performing loan of the commercial banks in Nepal. The study was conducted mainly with secondary sources. The data were collected for 26 commercial banks covering the period of 2002-2012 with 227 observations. The study found that macroeconomic variables such as the real effective exchange rate have significantly negative impact on non-performing loan. The impact of GDP growth rate was found to be insignificant in this study. One year lagged inflation rate has significant positive impact on non-performing loan. The banks which charge relatively higher real interest rate have higher non-performing loan, which is consistent with the findings of previous studies. The ownership dummy has positive coefficient and significant at one percent level showing that if the bank is government owned the non-performing loan would be higher than that of the private owned banks. As well, more lending in the previous years and current year reduces the non-performing loan since the coefficient of change in loan in current and previous years have negative coefficient and significant at one percent level.Economic Journal of Development Issues Vol. 19 & 20 No. 1-2 (2015) Combined Issue, Page: 22-38

scholarly journals What Drives Bank Profitability? A Panel Data Analysis of Commercial Banks in Bangladesh

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 96-110
Author(s):  
Rana-Al-Mosharrafa ◽  
Md. Shahidul Islam
Keyword(s):  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Panel Data Analysis ◽  
Mediation Effect ◽  
Industry Concentration ◽  
Equation Modeling ◽  
Bank Profitability ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Significant Negative Impact ◽  
The Impact

Bank profitability plays a significant role in the growth and development of an emerging economy. The purpose of the study was to examine the impact of bank characteristics, industry concentration and macroeconomics variables on commercial bank profitability in Bangladesh from 2007-2017. Bank profitability is proxied by return on assets (ROA), return on equity (ROE) and net interest margin (NIM). The study is based on secondary data and Hausman test has been performed using STATA software in favor of fixed effect modeling. Panel regressions shows that cost efficiency has significant negative impact on ROA and NIM. The positive impact of loan to deposit ratio with ROA suggests that efficient fund management including investment and assessed expenditure should be emphasized. Bank size has significant negative impact on all the measures of profitability, which indicates that monopolistic competition will reduce banking profit. Credit risk has significant positive impacts on ROE. Industry concentration measured by CR3 is positively related with ROE and has significant negative relation with bank profitability (ROA). Among macroeconomic variables inflation has significant positive and bank spread has significant negative impact on ROE. The coefficients of all the macroeconomic variables have been found to be significantly related to bank profitability while measured by NIM. Our study recommends further research with other explanatory variables such as, corporate governance, corporate social responsibility (CSR) and deposit insurance to accelerate the model and construct the econometric model by using structural equation modeling, mediation effect modeling etc.

scholarly journals Empirical Testing of the Impact of Gender and Marital Status on the Price and Trend of Urban Real Estate – Evidence from Provincial Panel Data of China

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (7) ◽  
pp. 38
Author(s):  
Min Tan ◽  
Yajie Bai
Keyword(s):  
Panel Data ◽  
Real Estate ◽  
Marital Status ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Data Set ◽  
The Real ◽  
The Real Estate ◽  
Empirical Results ◽  
Real Estate Price ◽  
The Impact

This paper investigates the impact of demographic structure, especially gender and marital status, on the price of regional real estate. This paper utilizes controlled-heteroskedasticity fixed-effect model for the empirical tests based on a panel data set of 30 Chinese provinces from 2011 to 2015. Empirical results show that the gender ratio in the provincial panel data does have a significant negative impact on the regional real estate prices, which implies that when the number of women in a region increases, the real estate price in this region tends to rise. The impact of marital status on the real estate price is not significant according to empirical results.

The Impact of Cross-border Labor Mobility on Real Estate Price Trends: A Natural Experiment

2021 ◽  
pp. 016001762198939
Author(s):  
Camille Dumeignil
Keyword(s):  
Real Estate ◽  
Natural Experiment ◽  
Labor Mobility ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Housing Quality ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Real Estate Price ◽  
Cross Border ◽  
Price Trends ◽  
The Impact

This article evaluate how cross-border labor mobility affects real estate price trends. To overcome the endogeneity of mobility choice, a natural experiment is used: The implementation of the “Agreement on the Free Movement of Persons” (AFMP) between the European Union (EU) and Switzerland, on 1 June 2007. This policy change the eligibility criteria for obtaining a cross-border permit by removing residence restrictions and creates a natural experiment for a difference-in-differences analysis. Based on French administrative data, results show that cross-border labor mobility does not affect house price trends in French border regions. However, the implementation of the AFMP has had a positive impact on the evolution of apartment prices in both the short term (six months) and the medium term (three years). In addition, the evolution of apartment prices shows sensitivity to distance from the border and to the housing quality segment.

scholarly journals Impact of Macroeconomic Factors on Stock Returns of KSE 100 Index

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 133-145
Author(s):  
MUHAMMAD TAHIR KHAN ◽  
ASAF KHAN ◽  
DR. ADNAN AHMAD ◽  
OBAID ULLAH BASHIR
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Return ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Forecast Error ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Significant Negative Impact ◽  
The Impact

Positive moment of stock return is an important component for investors, the intension of this study was to examine the impact of macroeconomic variables on stock return. The monthly stocks price data of 15 firms was taken from the period of January 2008 to December 2012. The results revealed that there was a positive impact of exchange rate on stock return, while inflation rate and interest rate had a significant negative impact on stock return. The results of variance decompositions revealed that out of three macroeconomic variables Inflation rate showed greater forecast error for KSE 100 Index

043 Sleep Restriction Affects Memory in Healthy Adults: Preliminary Findings

SLEEP ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 44 (Supplement_2) ◽  
pp. A18-A19
Author(s):  
Molly Zimmerman ◽  
Christiane Hale ◽  
Adam Brickman ◽  
Lok-Kin Yeung ◽  
Justin Cochran ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Working Memory ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Healthy Adults ◽  
Task Demands ◽  
Sleep Restriction ◽  
Neuropsychological Function ◽  
Wake Time ◽  
Sleep Condition ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Introduction Sleep loss has a range of detrimental effects on cognitive ability. However, few studies have examined the impact of sleep restriction on neuropsychological function using an experimental design. The goal of this study was to examine the extent to which maintained insufficient sleep affects cognition in healthy adults compared to habitual adequate sleep. Methods This study used a randomized, crossover, outpatient sleep restriction design. Adults who regularly slept at least 7 h/night, verified by 2 weeks of screening with actigraphy, completed 2 phases of 6 weeks each: habitual sleep (>7 h of sleep/night) or sleep restriction (habitual sleep minus 1.5 h) separated by a 6-week washout period. During the sleep restriction phase, participants were asked to delay their bedtime by 1.5 hours/night while maintaining their habitual wake time. Neuropsychological function was evaluated with the NIH Toolbox Cognition Battery at baseline (week 0) and endpoint (week 6) of each intervention phase. The NIH Toolbox evaluates a range of cognitive abilities, including attention, executive functioning, and working memory. General linear models with post hoc paired t-tests were used to assess demographically-adjusted test scores prior to and following each sleep condition. Results At the time of analyses, 16 participants were enrolled (age 34.5□14.5 years, 9 women), 10 of whom had completed study procedures. An interaction between sleep condition and testing session revealed that individuals performed worse on List Sorting, a working memory test, after sleep restriction but improved slightly after habitual sleep (p<0.001). While not statistically reliable, the pattern of test results was similar on the other tests of processing speed, executive function, and attention. Conclusion In these preliminary results from this randomized experimental study, we demonstrated that sleep restriction has a negative impact while stable habitual adequate sleep has a positive impact on working memory, or the ability to temporarily hold information in mind while executing task demands. This finding contributes to our understanding of the complex interplay between different aspects of sleep quality (i.e., both sleep restriction as well as the maintenance of stable sleep patterns) on cognition and underscores the importance of routine sleep screening as part of medical evaluations. Support (if any):

scholarly journals Exploring the Relationship between Communication and Success of Construction Projects: The Mediating Role of Conflict

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (8) ◽  
pp. 4513
Author(s):  
Summaira Malik ◽  
Muhammad Taqi ◽  
José Moleiro Martins ◽  
Mário Nuno Mata ◽  
João Manuel Pereira ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Project Success ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Construction Project ◽  
Project Team ◽  
Relationship Conflict ◽  
Team Members ◽  
Mediating Role ◽  
The Impact

The success of a construction project is a widely discussed topic, even today, and there exists a difference of opinion. The impact of communication and conflict on project success is an important, but least addressed, issue in literature, especially in the case of underdeveloped countries. Miscommunication and conflict not only hinder the success of a project but also may lead to conflicts. The focus of this paper was to examine the impact of communication on project success with the mediating role of conflict. By using SPSS, demographics, descriptive statistics and correlation were determined. Smart PLS version 3.0 was used for confirmatory factor analysis (CFA), internal accuracy and validity estimates, hypothesis checking and mediation testing. The results showed that formal communication has a negative impact on the success of a construction project, resulting in conflicts among project team members, whereas informal communication and communication willingness have a positive impact on project success because people tend to know each other, and trust is developed. Task, process and relationship conflicts were used as mediating variables. It was found that task conflict effects the relations positively because project team members suggest different ways to do a certain task, and, hence, project success is achieved. On the contrary, process conflict and relationship conflict have a negative impact on communication and project success. Both of these conflicts lead to miscommunication, and project success is compromised. Hence, it is the responsibility of the project manager to enhance communication among project team members and to reduce the detrimental effects of process and relationship conflict on project success.

scholarly journals Environmental Regulation, Environmental Awareness and Environmental Governance Satisfaction

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (7) ◽  
pp. 3960
Author(s):  
Meng-Meng Geng ◽  
Ling-Yun He
Keyword(s):  
Environmental Regulation ◽  
Environmental Governance ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Subjective Evaluation ◽  
Environmental Awareness ◽  
General Social Survey ◽  
Probit Model ◽  
The People ◽  
The Impact

It is a problem worth thinking about whether the government’s environmental regulation policies can meet the residents’ requirements for environmental quality, and benefit the people. The study of the public’s subjective evaluation can more intuitively judge whether the government’s environmental regulation has realized “ecological benefits for the people”. Based on the data of the Chinese General Social Survey (CGSS) in 2013, this paper studied the impact of environmental regulation and environmental awareness on environmental governance satisfaction by an ordered probit model. The study found that environmental regulation has a significant positive impact on environmental governance satisfaction, while environmental awareness has a significant negative impact on environmental governance satisfaction. We also found that when public environmental awareness is taken into account, the positive relationship between environmental regulation and environmental governance satisfaction is affected. The robustness test proved this conclusion.

The Impact of the Business Environment on the Formalization of Informal Firms. The Case of Kosovo

Südosteuropa ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 68 (4) ◽  
pp. 505-529
Author(s):  
Kujtim Zylfijaj ◽  
Dimitar Nikoloski ◽  
Nadine Tournois
Keyword(s):  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Business Environment ◽  
Positive Influence ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Tax Reforms ◽  
Firm Level ◽  
Characteristics Analysis ◽  
Significant Negative Impact ◽  
The Impact

AbstractThe research presented here investigates the impact of the business environment on the formalization of informal firms, using firm-level data for 243 informal firms in Kosovo. The findings indicate that business-environment variables such as limited access to financing, the cost of financing, the unavailability of subsidies, tax rates, and corruption have a significant negative impact on the formalization of informal firms. In addition, firm-level characteristics analysis suggests that the age of the firm also exercises a significant negative impact, whereas sales volume exerts a significant positive impact on the formalization of informal firms. These findings have important policy implications and suggest that the abolition of barriers preventing access to financing, as well as tax reforms and a consistent struggle against corruption may have a positive influence on the formalization of informal firms. On the other hand, firm owners should consider formalization to be a means to help them have greater opportunities for survival and growth.

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