scholarly journals Evaluation of the Effect of Asset Market Fluctuations on the Financial Crisis of the Economy: An Application of Markov Switching

2021 ◽  
Vol IX (Issue 3) ◽  
pp. 191-203
Author(s):  
Neda Assadollahzadehjafari ◽  
Bahar Hafezi ◽  
Seyed
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Markov Switching ◽  
Asset Market

A study on the influence of financial crisis on the domestic asset market

2013 ◽  
Vol 27 (3) ◽  
pp. 335-353
Author(s):  
Kang, Won-Chul ◽  
kim, won-hee
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Asset Market

scholarly journals Contagious Adverse Selection

2012 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-21 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephen Morris ◽  
Hyun Song Shin
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Adverse Selection ◽  
Upper Bound ◽  
Common Knowledge ◽  
Asset Market ◽  
Small Probability ◽  
Corrosive Effect ◽  
Recent Financial Crisis

We illustrate the corrosive effect of even small amounts of adverse selection in an asset market and show how it can lead to the total breakdown of trade. The problem is the failure of “market confidence,” defined as approximate common knowledge of an upper bound on expected losses. Small probability events can unravel market confidence. We discuss the role of contagious adverse selection and the problem of “toxic assets” in the recent financial crisis. (JEL D82, G01, G12, G14)

scholarly journals THE ROLE OF INTEGRATED ISLAMIC COMMERCIAL AND SOCIAL FINANCE FOR CURBING CREDIT CYCLES AND ACHIEVING MACROPRUDENTIAL OBJECTIVE

2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 139-180
Author(s):  
Arif Widodo
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Risk Sharing ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Markov Switching ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Islamic Finance ◽  
Credit Cycles ◽  
Credit Cycle

It is widely believed that Islamic finance is inherently stable since the principle of risk-sharing and linking the financial to real counterpart in particular through its social finance are applied, hence the financial stability may successfully be attained. If mimicking the conventional finance, Islamic model will probably be facing instability, following the financial cycle. There has been a growing literature discussing credit cycle in mainstream perspective since 2008 global financial crash. However, it is quite rare to find study, in macro context, on credit cycles and the effectiveness of integrated Islamic commercial and social finance in achieving macroprudential objective: curtailing excessive credit. This study is designed to empirically examine the characteristics of cycles stemming from conventional and Islamic credit whether both have similar trend and also to investigate how the integrated Islamic commercial and social finance may be effective to hamper such cycles. By employing Hodrick-Presscot Filter, Markov Switching and Vector Error Correction Model, this study demonstrates that, in terms of cycle, Islamic model cycle has certain similarities with conventional counterpart since it functions under similar financial environment despite the fact that Islamic has less amplitude compared with conventional credit. Both credit and financing cycles tend to grow rapidly (excessive) several months before global financial crisis happened in 2008. This means that, in a dual banking system, credit and financing boom may precede financial crisis. Moreover, it is apparent also that the integrated Islamic finance is proven to be effective in curbing credit growth due to the effectiveness of both macroprudential instrument applied in banking sector and social finance in safeguarding financial stability. Keywords:  Credit cycle, Macroprudential policy, Markov Switching, HP filter JEL Classification: E32, E51, G29

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