scholarly journals Resilience Viewed through the Lens of Climate Change and Water Management

Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (9) ◽  
pp. 2510
Author(s):  
Robert L. Wilby
Keyword(s):  
Water Management ◽  
Operating Conditions ◽  
Tipping Points ◽  
Stable States ◽  
Adaptation Measures ◽  
Climate Risks ◽  
Strategic Monitoring ◽  
Multiple Stable States ◽  
Social Landscapes

Resilience is not a new idea but there has been an upsurge in efforts to operationalize the concept within water management. This review begins with a synopsis of related themes around persistent and emerging pressures on freshwaters; environmental thresholds (or tipping points); ‘safe’ operating conditions; multiple stable states; regime shifts. A case is made for viewing and managing the resilience of water systems at nested scales. Indicators are needed to track evolving climate risks as well as to measure socio-ecological responses. Catchment properties can identify those river systems that are more or less likely to return to a pre-disturbance state; resilience further depends on institutional and social landscapes. Ideally, allied notions of resistance and reliability are applied alongside resilience to broaden the portfolio of adaptation measures. Water managers would also benefit from more consistent use of resilience terminology; incentives to build back better after catastrophes; strategic monitoring of incipient threats and tipping points; availability of long-term adaptation indicators; coordinated efforts to reduce non-climatic pressures on freshwaters (especially in headwaters); evidence-based, practical guidance on adaptation measures that build resilience.

scholarly journals Next stop, implementation: collaborative monitoring to inform adaptive policy-making and implementation

2014 ◽  
Vol 364 ◽  
pp. 374-379 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. M. Hermans ◽  
M. Haasnoot ◽  
J. H. Kwakkel
Keyword(s):  
Water Management ◽  
Policy Making ◽  
Tipping Points ◽  
Water Policies ◽  
Adaptive Policy ◽  
Societal Actors ◽  
Adaptive Policies ◽  
Share Information ◽  
Multiple Actors

Abstract. Dynamic Adaptive Policy Pathways has been developed as an approach to deal with deep uncertainties and support robust decision-making for long-term planning. Given the unpredictable and uncertain futures, implementation of the resulting adaptive policies needs to be informed by regular monitoring. However, monitoring implementation in practice is complicated by the need to coordinate activities and share information among multiple actors. Here we present a first outline for an approach to organise collaborative monitoring to support adaptive implementation of long-term water policies. The analytical basis rests on an extension of Dynamic Adaptive Policy Pathways with actor analysis principles. Monitoring is to be organised around adaptation tipping points, for which a set of questions needs to be addressed that put societal actors central. Examples from two water management cases in the Netherlands suggest the usefulness of this approach.

scholarly journals Intelligent long-term performance analysis in power electronics systems

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Saeed Peyghami ◽  
Tomislav Dragicevic ◽  
Frede Blaabjerg
Keyword(s):  
Performance Indicator ◽  
Thermal Characteristics ◽  
Operating Conditions ◽  
System Level ◽  
Power Electronic ◽  
Reliability Modeling ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann ◽  
Long Term Performance ◽  
Term Performance

AbstractThis paper proposes a long-term performance indicator for power electronic converters based on their reliability. The converter reliability is represented by the proposed constant lifetime curves, which have been developed using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) under different operating conditions. Unlike the state-of-the-art theoretical reliability modeling approaches, which employ detailed electro-thermal characteristics and lifetime models of converter components, the proposed method provides a nonparametric surrogate model of the converter based on limited non-linear data from theoretical reliability analysis. The proposed approach can quickly predict the converter lifetime under given operating conditions without a further need for extended, time-consuming electro-thermal analysis. Moreover, the proposed lifetime curves can present the long-term performance of converters facilitating optimal system-level design for reliability, reliable operation and maintenance planning in power electronic systems. Numerical case studies evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed reliability modeling approach.

scholarly journals The challenges of containing SARS-CoV-2 via test-trace-and-isolate

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sebastian Contreras ◽  
Jonas Dehning ◽  
Matthias Loidolt ◽  
Johannes Zierenberg ◽  
F. Paul Spitzner ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Analytical Model ◽  
Reproduction Number ◽  
Tipping Points ◽  
Social Distancing ◽  
Promising Tool

AbstractWithout a cure, vaccine, or proven long-term immunity against SARS-CoV-2, test-trace-and-isolate (TTI) strategies present a promising tool to contain its spread. For any TTI strategy, however, mitigation is challenged by pre- and asymptomatic transmission, TTI-avoiders, and undetected spreaders, which strongly contribute to ”hidden" infection chains. Here, we study a semi-analytical model and identify two tipping points between controlled and uncontrolled spread: (1) the behavior-driven reproduction number $${R}_{t}^{H}$$ R t H of the hidden chains becomes too large to be compensated by the TTI capabilities, and (2) the number of new infections exceeds the tracing capacity. Both trigger a self-accelerating spread. We investigate how these tipping points depend on challenges like limited cooperation, missing contacts, and imperfect isolation. Our results suggest that TTI alone is insufficient to contain an otherwise unhindered spread of SARS-CoV-2, implying that complementary measures like social distancing and improved hygiene remain necessary.

Ni-based bimetallic nano-catalysts anchored on BaZr0.4Ce0.4Y0.1Yb0.1O3−δ for internal steam reforming of methane in a low-temperature proton-conducting ceramic fuel cell

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kyungpyo Hong ◽  
Stephanie Nadya Sutanto ◽  
Jeong A. Lee ◽  
Jongsup Hong
Keyword(s):  
Steam Reforming ◽  
Low Temperatures ◽  
Operating Conditions ◽  
Hydrogen Yield ◽  
Carbon Formation ◽  
Long Term Stability ◽  
Ceramic Fuel Cell ◽  
Ceramic Fuel ◽  
Nano Catalysts

Ni–Rh and Ni–Co nano-scale alloys exhibit high methane conversion, hydrogen yield, resistance to carbon formation, and long-term stability at low temperatures, allowing them to cope with the various operating conditions of direct methane-fueled PCFCs.

Efficient Analysis of a Catenary Riser

2006 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elizabeth Passano ◽  
Carl M. Larsen
Keyword(s):  
Operating Conditions ◽  
Stochastic Simulations ◽  
Worst Case ◽  
Nonlinear Structure ◽  
Tension Response ◽  
Extreme Response ◽  
Analysis Strategies ◽  
Low Tension ◽  
Term Response

The paper deals with the challenge of predicting the extreme response of catenary risers, a topic of both industry and academic interest. Large heave motions introduced at the upper end of a catenary riser can lead to compression and large bending moments in the region immediately above the touch down area. In the worst case, dynamic beam buckling may occur. The focus of the paper will be on understanding the riser behaviour in extreme, low-tension response and in establishing suitable analysis strategies to predict the extreme response. Results from long nonlinear stochastic simulations of many sea states with varying environmental and operating conditions may be combined to describe the long-term response of a nonlinear structure such as a catenary riser. However, this theoretically straight-forward approach is very demanding computationally and ways to limit the extent of nonlinear stochastic simulations are therefore sought. The usefulness of simpler methods such as regular wave analysis to improve understanding of the physical behaviour and to aid in concentrating the nonlinear simulations to where they are most useful, will be demonstrated.

Trapped liquid drop in a microchannel: Multiple stable states

2013 ◽  
Vol 87 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhengjia Wang ◽  
Cheng-Chung Chang ◽  
Siang-Jie Hong ◽  
Yu-Jane Sheng ◽  
Heng-Kwong Tsao
Keyword(s):  
Liquid Drop ◽  
Stable States ◽  
Multiple Stable States

scholarly journals Hydro-Meteorological Trends in an Austrian Low-Mountain Catchment

Climate ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (8) ◽  
pp. 122
Author(s):  
Gerald Krebs ◽  
David Camhy ◽  
Dirk Muschalla
Keyword(s):  
Hydrological Cycle ◽  
Potential Evapotranspiration ◽  
Remote Sensing Data ◽  
Kendall Test ◽  
Adaptation Measures ◽  
Mitigation And Adaptation ◽  
Regional Impacts ◽  
Long Term Trends ◽  
Annual Scale

While ongoing climate change is well documented, the impacts exhibit a substantial variability, both in direction and magnitude, visible even at regional and local scales. However, the knowledge of regional impacts is crucial for the design of mitigation and adaptation measures, particularly when changes in the hydrological cycle are concerned. In this paper, we present hydro-meteorological trends based on observations from a hydrological research basin in Eastern Austria between 1979 and 2019. The analyzed variables include air temperature, precipitation, and catchment runoff. Additionally, the number of wet days, trends for catchment evapotranspiration, and computed potential evapotranspiration were derived. Long-term trends were computed using a non-parametric Mann–Kendall test. The analysis shows that while mean annual temperatures were decreasing and annual temperature minima remained constant, annual maxima were rising. Long-term trends indicate a shift of precipitation to the summer, with minor variations observed for the remaining seasons and at an annual scale. Observed precipitation intensities mainly increased in spring and summer between 1979 and 2019. Catchment actual evapotranspiration, computed based on catchment precipitation and outflow, showed no significant trend for the observed time period, while potential evapotranspiration rates based on remote sensing data increased between 1981 and 2019.

Effects of the Rolling Directions on Wear of the Aluminum Alloys

2021 ◽  
Vol 901 ◽  
pp. 193-198
Author(s):  
Yuh Ping Chang ◽  
Li Ming Chu ◽  
Chien Te Liu ◽  
Jin Chi Wang ◽  
Gao Wei Chen
Keyword(s):  
Wear Resistance ◽  
Aluminum Alloys ◽  
Rolling Direction ◽  
Optical Microscope ◽  
Operating Conditions ◽  
Crystal Phase ◽  
Transportation Industry ◽  
Key Technology ◽  
Crystal Grains

Due to the booming development of the automation industry and the transportation industry, the mechanical components are prone to wear under long-term operating conditions. To improve the wear resistance, effects of the rolling directions on wear of the aluminum alloys are studied. An optical microscope is used to analyze the crystal phase, and the correlation between the crystal grains and the rolling direction is studied. This study can therefore establish a key technology for improving the wear resistance of aluminum alloys.

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