scholarly journals Endemic Freshwater Fish Range Shifts Related to Global Climate Changes: A Long-Term Study Provides Some Observational Evidence for the Mediterranean Area

Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (11) ◽  
pp. 2349 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carosi ◽  
Padula ◽  
Ghetti ◽  
Lorenzoni

Climate changes will lead to a worsening of the ecological conditions, in terms of hydrological instability and rising water temperatures, of the Mediterranean rivers. Freshwater fishes inhabiting this area can be threatened in the near future by accelerating drought and decreased ecological connectivity. The main aim of the research was to analyze changes in the distribution of the endemic freshwater fishes Padogobius nigricans, Squalius lucumonis and Telestes muticellus in the Tiber River basin (Italy), within a proven period of climate warming, in terms of increasing water temperature and droughts. A multivariate analysis was conducted using fish and environmental data collected in 117 sites over the years 1990–2017. For the three species, population abundance, age structure and body condition were analyzed. Detectability, occupancy, local extinction and colonization processes were also examined. We showed that S. lucumonis and T. muticellus have shifted their distributions upstream, likely in order to reach their thermal optimum. Padogobius nigricans did not move upstream significantly, since the species is characterized by limited vagility and thus a low dispersal capability in a context of high river fragmentation. In the study area, elevation and river barriers seem to play a key role in extirpation and colonization processes; for S. lucumonis and T. muticellus the extinction probability decreased with increasing altitude, while for P. nigricans the colonization probability decreased with an increasing degree of river fragmentation. These results highlight how species-specific dispersal ability can lead to varying adaptability to climate change.

Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 347
Author(s):  
Antonella Carosi ◽  
Lucia Ghetti ◽  
Massimo Lorenzoni

In running waters, under climate change conditions, the combined effect of water warming and decreasing flow rates may encourage colonisation by invasive cool and warm-water fish species. The aim of the study was to analyze the potential climate change effects on the spread of four invasive alien fishes in the Tiber River basin, taking into account the effects of river fragmentation. Fish and environmental data collected in 91 sites over the years 1998–2018, were used to analyze temporal changes in their habitat requirements. A multivariate analysis was conducted, and the hypothesis of a range expansion towards the upstream reaches has been tested. For Barbus barbus, Gobio gobio, Padogobius bonelli and Pseudorasbora parva population abundances and body condition were analyzed. Detectability, occupancy, local extinction and colonization probabilities were estimated. We showed that B. barbus and P. bonelli have significantly extended their range toward upstream. P. parva did not move toward higher altitudes significantly, suggesting that, at this stage, the species has probably reached an equilibrium. River fragmentation, elevation, water temperature and average current speed seem to be major determinants in colonization processes, affecting the dispersal ability of the species. Not surprisingly for species introduced in relatively recent times, the colonization probabilities were much higher than extinction probabilities. Our results provided evidence for some synergistic effects between climate changes and alien fish species invasions, in terms of species range shifts mediated by rising water temperatures, although they should be interpreted cautiously, taking into account that these species most likely were not yet stabilized.


Author(s):  
Pontus Lurcock ◽  
Fabio Florindo

Antarctic climate changes have been reconstructed from ice and sediment cores and numerical models (which also predict future changes). Major ice sheets first appeared 34 million years ago (Ma) and fluctuated throughout the Oligocene, with an overall cooling trend. Ice volume more than doubled at the Oligocene-Miocene boundary. Fluctuating Miocene temperatures peaked at 17–14 Ma, followed by dramatic cooling. Cooling continued through the Pliocene and Pleistocene, with another major glacial expansion at 3–2 Ma. Several interacting drivers control Antarctic climate. On timescales of 10,000–100,000 years, insolation varies with orbital cycles, causing periodic climate variations. Opening of Southern Ocean gateways produced a circumpolar current that thermally isolated Antarctica. Declining atmospheric CO2 triggered Cenozoic glaciation. Antarctic glaciations affect global climate by lowering sea level, intensifying atmospheric circulation, and increasing planetary albedo. Ice sheets interact with ocean water, forming water masses that play a key role in global ocean circulation.


2006 ◽  
Vol 411 (2) ◽  
pp. 1485-1488 ◽  
Author(s):  
I. I. Mokhov ◽  
A. V. Chernokulsky ◽  
I. M. Shkolnik

Author(s):  
А.А. Лагутин ◽  
Н.В. Волков ◽  
Е.Ю. Мордвин

Представлены результаты исследований влияния глобальных климатических изменений системы Земля на климат Западной Сибири. Для установления зон региона, в которых к середине XXI в. прогнозируются изменения, использовались модельные данные региональной климатической модели RegCM4 и принятые в этом классе задач стандартизованные евклидовы расстояния между характеристиками климата для двух состояний климатической системы — современного и будущего. Установлены зоны Западной Сибири, в которых в рамках сценариев RCP 4.5 и RCP 8.5 возможной эволюции глобальной системы к 2050 г. прогнозируются изменения климата. Purpose. An analysis of the influence of a global climate changes on the climate of Western Siberia, determination of zones of the region where changes are expected in the middle of the twenty-first century. Methodology. Results obtained using the model data of the regional climate model RegCM4 and the standardized Euclidean distances between climate characteristics. Findings, originality. Simulations of the climate characteristics for the two states of the climate system — contemporary and future — have been carried out. The zones of Western Siberia region, in which climate change is expected in the framework of RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 radiative forcing scenarios by the 2050, have been determined.


2012 ◽  
Vol 61-64 ◽  
pp. 73-84 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sergey A. Gorbarenko ◽  
Naomi Harada ◽  
Mikhail I. Malakhov ◽  
Tatyana A. Velivetskaya ◽  
Yuriy P. Vasilenko ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
E.N. Kondratyev ◽  

Today, global climate changes are taking place, leading to changes in the habitats of many species, including organisms of epidemiological importance. The transfer of such organisms will primarily involve the blood-sucking parasites of migratory birds. The sand martin (Riparia riparia Linnaeus, 1758) is one of many migratory birds nesting in the Saratov region. In order to understand how much the species is involved in the transmission of infection and the creation of a new focal point of infection, it is necessary to establish the taxonomic structure of the nidicol fauna.


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