scholarly journals Combined Exceedance Probability Assessment of Water Quality Indicators Based on Multivariate Joint Probability Distribution in Urban Rivers

Water ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (8) ◽  
pp. 971 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yang Liu ◽  
Yufei Cheng ◽  
Xi Zhang ◽  
Xitong Li ◽  
Shengle Cao

Discharge and water quality are two important attributes of rivers, although the joint response relationship between discharge and multiple water quality indicators is not clear. In this paper, the joint probability distributions are established by copula functions to reveal the statistical characteristics and occurrence probability of different combinations of discharge and multiple water quality indicators. Based on the data of discharge, ammonia nitrogen content index (NH4+) and permanganate index (CODMn) in the Xiaoqing River in Jinan, we first tested the joint change-point with the data from 1980–2016, before we focused on analyzing the data after the change-point and established the multivariate joint probability distributions. The results show that the Gaussian copula is more suitable for describing the joint distribution of discharge and water quality, while the year of 2005 is a joint change-point of water quantity and quality. Furthermore, it is more reasonable to use the trivariate joint probability distribution as compared to the bivariate distributions to reflect the exceedance probability of water quality combination events under different discharge conditions. The research results can provide technical support for the water quality management of urban rivers.

2018 ◽  
Vol 49 (6) ◽  
pp. 1915-1928 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yang Liu ◽  
Shengle Cao ◽  
Xi Zhang ◽  
Fuzhen Li ◽  
Xitong Li

Abstract Based on the multivariate joint probability distribution of the discharge and water quality indicators, this paper analysed the occurrence probabilities and improvement probabilities of combinations of water quality indicators under different discharge conditions and then presented a method for calculating the optimal discharge to seek a balance between the discharge dispatch and water quality improvement. The method was used to construct the relationship curve between the discharge and joint improvement probability used by a copula function and then calculate the critical point on the curve. The proposed method was applied to the Yi River Basin above Gegou Station with data composed of the discharge and main pollution indicators (NH3-N and CODMn) from 1982 to 2015. The results showed that the trivariate joint probability distribution can more reasonably reveal the statistical characteristics of different combinations of discharge and water quality indicators. Furthermore, the optimal discharges and the corresponding improvement probabilities that improved NH3-N and CODMn to different grades were calculated. The calculation method took the interdependence of multiple water quality indicators into account, thereby providing a more reasonable method for using discharge dispatch data to improve the river water quality.


1999 ◽  
Vol 55 (3) ◽  
pp. 512-524
Author(s):  
Carmelo Giacovazzo ◽  
Dritan Siliqi ◽  
Cristina Fernández-Castaño

The method of the joint probability distribution functions of structure factors has been extended to reflections with rational indices. The most general case, space group P1, has been considered. The positional parameters are the primitive random variables of our probabilistic approach, while the reflection indices are kept fixed. Quite general joint probability distributions have been considered from which conditional distributions have been derived: these proved applicable to the accurate estimation of the real and imaginary parts of a structure factor, given prior information on other structure factors. The method is also discussed in relation to the Hilbert-transform techniques.


2018 ◽  
Vol 107 (3) ◽  
pp. 302-318
Author(s):  
JONATHAN BORWEIN ◽  
PHIL HOWLETT

In modelling joint probability distributions it is often desirable to incorporate standard marginal distributions and match a set of key observed mixed moments. At the same time it may also be prudent to avoid additional unwarranted assumptions. The problem is to find the least ordered distribution that respects the prescribed constraints. In this paper we will construct a suitable joint probability distribution by finding the checkerboard copula of maximum entropy that allows us to incorporate the appropriate marginal distributions and match the nominated set of observed moments.


TAPPI Journal ◽  
2009 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 14-20 ◽  
Author(s):  
YUAN-SHING PERNG ◽  
EUGENE I-CHEN WANG ◽  
SHIH-TSUNG YU ◽  
AN-YI CHANG

Trends toward closure of white water recirculation loops in papermaking often lead to a need for system modifications. We conducted a pilot-scale study using pulsed electrocoagulation technology to treat the effluent of an old corrugated containerboard (OCC)-based paper mill in order to evaluate its treatment performance. The operating variables were a current density of 0–240 A/m2, a hydraulic retention time (HRT) of 8–16 min, and a coagulant (anionic polyacrylamide) dosage of 0–22 mg/L. Water quality indicators investigated were electrical con-ductivity, suspended solids (SS), chemical oxygen demand (COD), and true color. The results were encouraging. Under the operating conditions without coagulant addition, the highest removals for conductivity, SS, COD, and true color were 39.8%, 85.7%, 70.5%, and 97.1%, respectively (with an HRT of 16 min). The use of a coagulant enhanced the removal of both conductivity and COD. With an optimal dosage of 20 mg/L and a shortened HRT of 10 min, the highest removal achieved for the four water quality indicators were 37.7%, 88.7%, 74.2%, and 91.7%, respectively. The water qualities thus attained should be adequate to allow reuse of a substantial portion of the treated effluent as process water makeup in papermaking.


2018 ◽  
Vol 69 (10) ◽  
pp. 2940-2952 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martina Zelenakova ◽  
Pavol Purcz ◽  
Radu Daniel Pintilii ◽  
Peter Blistan ◽  
Petr Hlustik ◽  
...  

Evaluating trends in water quality indicators is a crucial issue in integrated water resource management in any country. In this study eight chemical and physical water quality indicators were analysed in seven river profiles in the River Laborec in eastern Slovakia. The analysed water quality parameters were biochemical oxygen demand (BOD5), chemical oxygen demand (CODCr), pH, temperature (t), ammonium nitrogen (NH4+-N), nitrite nitrogen (NO2--N), nitrate nitrogen (NO3--N), and total phosphorus (TP). Data from the monitored indicators were provided by the Ko�ice branch of the Slovakian Water Management Company, over a period of 15 years from 1999 to 2013. Mann�Kendall non-parametric statistical test was used for the trend analysis. Biochemical and chemical oxygen demand, ammonium and nitrite nitrogen content exhibit decreasing trends in the River Laborec. Decreasing agricultural activity in the area has had a significant impact on the trends in these parameters. However, NO2--N was the significant parameter of water quality because it mostly exceeds the limit value set in Slovak legislation, Regulation No. 269/2010 Coll. In addition, water temperature revealed an increasing trend which could be caused by global increase in air temperature. These results indicate that human activity significantly impacts the water quality.


Hydrology ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 86
Author(s):  
Angeliki Mentzafou ◽  
George Varlas ◽  
Anastasios Papadopoulos ◽  
Georgios Poulis ◽  
Elias Dimitriou

Water resources, especially riverine ecosystems, are globally under qualitative and quantitative degradation due to human-imposed pressures. High-temporal-resolution data obtained from automatic stations can provide insights into the processes that link catchment hydrology and streamwater chemistry. The scope of this paper was to investigate the statistical behavior of high-frequency measurements at sites with known hydromorphological and pollution pressures. For this purpose, hourly time series of water levels and key water quality indicators (temperature, electric conductivity, and dissolved oxygen concentrations) collected from four automatic monitoring stations under different hydromorphological conditions and pollution pressures were statistically elaborated. Based on the results, the hydromorphological conditions and pollution pressures of each station were confirmed to be reflected in the results of the statistical analysis performed. It was proven that the comparative use of the statistics and patterns of the water level and quality high-frequency time series could be used in the interpretation of the current site status as well as allowing the detection of possible changes. This approach can be used as a tool for the definition of thresholds, and will contribute to the design of management and restoration measures for the most impacted areas.


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