scholarly journals An Integrated Model for Demand Forecasting and Train Stop Planning for High-Speed Rail

Symmetry ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. 720 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guowei Jin ◽  
Shiwei He ◽  
Jiabin Li ◽  
Yubin Li ◽  
Xiaole Guo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Speed ◽  
Travel Demand ◽  
Demand Forecasting ◽  
Planning Problem ◽  
High Speed Rail ◽  
Line Planning ◽  
Modal Choice ◽  
The Sustainable Development ◽  
Mode Share ◽  
The Impact

Studying the interaction between demand forecasting and train stop planning is important, as it ensures the sustainable development of high-speed rail (HSR). Forecasting the demand for high-speed rail (HSR), which refers to modal choice or modal split in this paper, is the first step in high-speed rail (HSR) planning. Given the travel demand and the number of train trips on each route, the train stop planning problem (TSPP) of line planning involves determining the stations at which each train trip stops, i.e., the stop-schedule of each train trip, so that the demand can be satisfied. To integrate and formulate the two problems, i.e., the modal choice problem (MCP) and train stop planning problem (TSPP), a nonlinear model is presented with the objective of maximizing the total demand captured by a high-speed rail system. To solve the model, a heuristic iterative algorithm is developed. To study the relationship between the demand and the service, the Beijing–Shanghai high-speed rail (HSR) corridor in China is selected. The empirical analysis indicates that combining modal choice and train stop planning should be considered for the sustainable design of high-speed rail (HSR) train services. Furthermore, the model simulates the impact of the number of stops on its mode share by reflecting changes in travelers’ behaviors according to HSR train stop planning, and it also provides a theoretical basis for the evaluation of the adaptability of the service network to travel demand.

scholarly journals Impacts of interpersonal distancing on-board trains during the COVID-19 emergency

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Pierluigi Coppola ◽  
Francesco De Fabiis
Keyword(s):  
Public Transport ◽  
High Speed ◽  
Structural Changes ◽  
Travel Demand ◽  
Demand Forecasting ◽  
Travel Behaviour ◽  
Free Access ◽  
Strong Impact ◽  
High Speed Rail ◽  
Interpersonal Distancing

Abstract Introduction The COVID-19 emergency and the cities lockdown have had a strong impact on transport and mobility. In particular, travel demand has registered an unprecedented overall contraction, dramatically dropping down with peaks of - 90%-95% passengers for public transport (PT). During the re-opening phase, demand is gradually resuming the levels before the crisis, although some structural changes are observed in travel behaviour, and containment measures to reduce the risk of contagion are still being applied, affecting transport supply. Objective This paper aims at assessing to what extent keeping a one-meter interpersonal distancing on-board trains is sustainable for public transport companies. Method The analysis is based on travel demand forecasting models applied to two case-studies in Italy: a suburban railway line and a High-speed Rail (HSR) line, differentiated by demand characteristics (e.g. urban vs. ex-urban) and train access system (free access vs. reservation required). Results In the suburban case, the results show the need of new urban policies, not only limited to the transport domain, in order to manage the demand peaks at the stations and on-board vehicles. In the ex-urban case, the outputs suggest the need for public subsidies in order for the railways undertakings to cope with revenue losses and, at the same time, to maintain service quality levels.

Parsimonious Modeling and Uncertainty Quantification for Transportation Systems Planning Applied to California High-Speed Rail

2012 ◽  
Vol 2266 (1) ◽  
pp. 49-59 ◽  
Author(s):  
Quentin Noreiga ◽  
Mark McDonald
Keyword(s):  
Uncertainty Quantification ◽  
High Speed ◽  
Travel Demand ◽  
Mode Choice ◽  
Demand Model ◽  
Parameter Uncertainties ◽  
Main Mode ◽  
High Speed Rail ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Travel Demand Model

This paper presents a parsimonious travel demand model (PTDM) derived from a proprietary parent travel demand model developed by Cambridge Systematics (CS) for the California high-speed rail system. The purpose of the PTDM is to reduce computational expense for model simulations, optimization and sensitivity analyses, and other repetitive analyses. The PTDM is used to quantify the significance of parameter uncertainties with the use of mean value first-order second moment methods for uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis. The PTDM changes the model resolution of the parent travel demand model from a traffic analysis zone to a county-level analysis. The three-step model contains trip frequency, destination choice, and main mode choice models and is calibrated to match the results of the CS model. The main mode choice model predicts primary mode choice results for car, commercial air, conventional rail, and high-speed rail. The PTDM uses data and models similar to parent models to show how uncertainty in travel demand model predictions can be quantified. This paper does not attempt to assess the reliability of parent model forecasts, and the results should not be used to evaluate uncertainty in the California High-Speed Rail Authority's rider ship and revenue forecasts. However, the uncertainty quantification methodology presented here, when applied to the CS model, can be used to quantify the impact of parameter uncertainty on the forecast results.

Study on Optimization of Train Line Planning for High Speed Rail Corridor Based on Analyzing Importance of Nodes

2010 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yong-Tao Niu ◽  
Bao-Ming Han ◽  
Min Liu ◽  
Qing-Lan Zhu
Keyword(s):  
High Speed ◽  
Programming Model ◽  
Planning Problem ◽  
High Speed Rail ◽  
Line Planning ◽  
Evaluation Indexes ◽  
Railway Line ◽  
Passenger Flow ◽  
Multi Objective Programming ◽  
Railway Passenger Transport

In order to meet the demand of passengers for travelling and make their travelling more convenient, the railway operator must ascertain the operational train number, section, classes, stop stations and appropriate departure and arrival stations for passenger trains. The nodes of railway passenger transport are the generation and attraction points of passenger flow in the railway transport network. Starting from the analysis of the economic and social attributes as well as railway resource allocation of the Passenger Dedicated Railway Line (PDRL) covered nodes, this paper introduces the concept of the importance of nodes. On the basis of analytical hierarchy process (AHP), the paper studies the quantitative index of the nodes transport distribution capacity in the PDRL network and calculates the evaluation indexes of importance of those city nodes. Thus, in the light of the assessment results, the paper sets up the three-level hierarchy in the importance of city nodes covered by the PDRL. Based on that, the paper proposes that the first-level nodes serve as the departure and arrival stations, the second-level nodes adopt the fluid and alternate stop stations, and the tertiary-level nodes take the form of “all-stop” for low-class trains so as to build a multi-objective programming model for the PDRL train line planning. With the lingo 8.0 program, the train line planning optimizes the calculation of stop stations. This method has been applied in the PDRL train line planning of Wuhan-GuangZhou High-Speed Railway Line and proved to be effective in reducing the complexity of the train line planning problem according to different modes of passenger flow.

scholarly journals Does High-Speed Rail Promote Enterprises Productivity? Evidence from China

2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-19 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xuehui Yang ◽  
Shanlang Lin ◽  
Jiaping Zhang ◽  
Minghua He
Keyword(s):  
High Speed ◽  
Market Access ◽  
Economic Activities ◽  
Regional Heterogeneity ◽  
High Speed Rail ◽  
Effect Analysis ◽  
The Sustainable Development ◽  
Distribution Effect ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Multiple Robustness

High-speed rail (HSR) is often claimed to bring different regions and cities closer together by shortening travel times, which can reduce the costs and increase enterprises productivity to promote a sustainable economy. However, another view argues that HSR transfers economic activities from peripheral cities to core cities, resulting in unbalanced regional economic development and damaging the sustainability of the economy. Based on microdata from China, this paper empirically investigates the impact of HSR on the enterprises productivity in both core cities and peripheral cities and explores the impact mechanism from the perspective of allocation effect and distribution effect caused by HSR. The results show that the connection of HSR positively affects the enterprises productivity in core cities, while it negatively affects the enterprises productivity in peripheral cities, with effect values of 1.38% and -8.45%, respectively. The conclusion still holds after endogenous treatment and multiple robustness tests are conducted. Additionally, the allocation effect analysis shows that the market access caused by HSR has an optimization effect on the resource allocation efficiency of both core cities and peripheral cities. The distribution effect analysis reveals that the distribution of enterprise productivity in peripheral cities has market heterogeneity, regional heterogeneity, and location heterogeneity. The important policy significance of this paper is that, in order to promote the sustainable development of enterprises and the economy, it should reduce policy restrictions and promote the effective flow of capital and talents, carry out the dislocation development of industry for peripheral cities, and “build a nest to attract the phoenix.”

The Impact of High-Speed Rail on the Spatial Structure of Chinese Urban Agglomerations

2020 ◽  
Vol 46 (3) ◽  
pp. 379-397
Author(s):  
Chunyang Wang
Keyword(s):  
High Speed ◽  
River Delta ◽  
City Size ◽  
High Speed Rail ◽  
Local Conditions ◽  
Urban Agglomerations ◽  
Large Cities ◽  
Spatial Systems ◽  
Economic Concentration ◽  
The Impact

This paper measures the spatial evolution of urban agglomerations to understand be er the impact of high-speed rail (HSR) construction, based on panel data from fi ve major urban agglomerations in China for the period 2004–2015. It is found that there are signi ficant regional diff erences of HSR impacts. The construction of HSR has promoted population and economic diff usion in two advanced urban agglomerations, namely the Yang e River Delta and Pearl River Delta, while promoting population and economic concentration in two relatively less advanced urban agglomerations, e.g. the middle reaches of the Yang e River and Chengdu–Chongqing. In terms of city size, HSR promotes the economic proliferation of large cities and the economic concentration of small and medium-sized cities along its routes. HSR networking has provided a new impetus for restructuring urban spatial systems. Every region should optimize the industrial division with strategic functions of urban agglomeration according to local conditions and accelerate the construction of inter-city intra-regional transport network to maximize the eff ects of high-speed rail across a large regional territory.

scholarly journals Does the Construction and Operation of High-Speed Rail Improve Urban Land Use Efficiency? Evidence from China

Land ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 303
Author(s):  
Xinhai Lu ◽  
Yifeng Tang ◽  
Shangan Ke
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Land Use ◽  
High Speed ◽  
Urban Land ◽  
Urban Land Use ◽  
Western China ◽  
High Speed Rail ◽  
Land Use Efficiency ◽  
Use Efficiency ◽  
The Impact

The construction and operation of high-speed rail (HSR) has become an important policy for China to achieve efficiency and fairness and promote high-quality economic growth. HSR promotes the flow of production factors such as labor and capital and affects economic growth, and may further affect urban land use efficiency (ULUE). To explore the impact of HSR on ULUE, this paper uses panel data of 284 cities in China from 2005 to 2018, and constructs Propensity Score Matching-Differences in Differences model to evaluate the effect of HSR on ULUE. The result of entire China demonstrates that the HSR could significantly improves the ULUE. Meanwhile, this paper also considers the heterogeneity of results caused by geographic location, urban levels and scales. It demonstrates that the HSR has a significantly positive effect on ULUE of Eastern, Central China, and large-sized cities. However, in Western China, in medium-sized, and small-sized cities, the impact of HSR on ULUE is not significant. This paper concludes that construction and operation of HSR should be linked to urban development planning and land use planning. Meanwhile, the cities with different geographical locations and scales should take advantage of HSR to improve ULUE and promote urban coordinated development.

scholarly journals A Mixed Integer Linear Programming Method for Simultaneous Multi-Periodic Train Timetabling and Routing on a High-Speed Rail Network

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 1131
Author(s):  
Wenliang Zhou ◽  
Xiaorong You ◽  
Wenzhuang Fan
Keyword(s):  
Linear Programming ◽  
Integer Linear Programming ◽  
Mixed Integer Linear Programming ◽  
High Speed ◽  
Programming Model ◽  
Mixed Integer ◽  
High Speed Rail ◽  
Train Timetabling ◽  
Train Timetable ◽  
The Impact

To avoid conflicts among trains at stations and provide passengers with a periodic train timetable to improve service level, this paper mainly focuses on the problem of multi-periodic train timetabling and routing by optimizing the routes of trains at stations and their entering time and leaving time on each chosen arrival–departure track at each visited station. Based on the constructed directed graph, including unidirectional and bidirectional tracks at stations and in sections, a mixed integer linear programming model with the goal of minimizing the total travel time of trains is formulated. Then, a strategy is introduced to reduce the number of constraints for improving the solved efficiency of the model. Finally, the performance, stability and practicability of the proposed method, as well as the impact of some main factors on the model are analyzed by numerous instances on both a constructed railway network and Guang-Zhu inter-city railway; they are solved using the commercial solver WebSphere ILOG CPLEX (International Business Machines Corporation, New York, NY, USA). Experimental results show that integrating multi-periodic train timetabling and routing can be conducive to improving the quality of a train timetable. Hence, good economic and social benefits for high-speed rail can be achieved, thus, further contributing to the sustained development of both high-speed railway systems and society.

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