scholarly journals Combining Polynomial Chaos Expansions and the Random Variable Transformation Technique to Approximate the Density Function of Stochastic Problems, Including Some Epidemiological Models

Symmetry ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 43 ◽  
Author(s):  
Julia Calatayud Gregori ◽  
Benito M. Chen-Charpentier ◽  
Juan Carlos Cortés López ◽  
Marc Jornet Sanz

In this paper, we deal with computational uncertainty quantification for stochastic models with one random input parameter. The goal of the paper is twofold: First, to approximate the set of probability density functions of the solution stochastic process, and second, to show the capability of our theoretical findings to deal with some important epidemiological models. The approximations are constructed in terms of a polynomial evaluated at the random input parameter, by means of generalized polynomial chaos expansions and the stochastic Galerkin projection technique. The probability density function of the aforementioned univariate polynomial is computed via the random variable transformation method, by taking into account the domains where the polynomial is strictly monotone. The algebraic/exponential convergence of the Galerkin projections gives rapid convergence of these density functions. The examples are based on fundamental epidemiological models formulated via linear and nonlinear differential and difference equations, where one of the input parameters is assumed to be a random variable.

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-25 ◽  
Author(s):  
M.-C. Casabán ◽  
J.-C. Cortés ◽  
J.-V. Romero ◽  
M.-D. Roselló

Deterministic differential equations are useful tools for mathematical modelling. The consideration of uncertainty into their formulation leads to random differential equations. Solving a random differential equation means computing not only its solution stochastic process but also its main statistical functions such as the expectation and standard deviation. The determination of its first probability density function provides a more complete probabilistic description of the solution stochastic process in each time instant. In this paper, one presents a comprehensive study to determinate the first probability density function to the solution of linear random initial value problems taking advantage of the so-called random variable transformation method. For the sake of clarity, the study has been split into thirteen cases depending on the way that randomness enters into the linear model. In most cases, the analysis includes the specification of the domain of the first probability density function of the solution stochastic process whose determination is a delicate issue. A strong point of the study is the presentation of a wide range of examples, at least one of each of the thirteen casuistries, where both standard and nonstandard probabilistic distributions are considered.


Many different distributions have been discussed by a number of authors. It has been observed that there is still more scope for density functions on arrivals which take significant role in lifetime statistical analysis. This paper proposes one probability density function for selected random variable.


1968 ◽  
Vol 64 (2) ◽  
pp. 481-483 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. K. Wani

In this paper we give a characterization theorem for a subclass of the exponential family whose probability density function is given bywhere a(x) ≥ 0, f(ω) = ∫a(x) exp (ωx) dx and ωx is to be interpreted as a scalar product. The random variable X may be an s-vector. In that case ω will also be an s-vector. For obvious reasons we will call (1) as the linear exponential family. It is easy to verify that the moment generating function (m.g.f.) of (1) is given by


2008 ◽  
Vol 41 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Arif Rafiq ◽  
Nazir Ahmad Mir ◽  
Fiza Zafar

AbstractWe establish here an inequality of Ostrowski type for a random variable whose probability density function belongs to L


Author(s):  
Bernt J. Leira

Three different possible choices of statistical models for multivariate Weibull distributions are considered and compared. The concept of “a correlation field” is introduced and is subsequently applied for the purpose of comparing the different models. Linear combinations of Weibull distributed random variables are considered, and expressions for the corresponding probability density functions are established. Furthermore, a simplified procedure for approximating the resulting density function is described. Comparison is made between the statistical moments of increasing order for the specific case of two Weibull components. This example of application arises e.g. in connection with mechanical design of a column which is subjected to a bi-axial bending moment.


2015 ◽  
Vol 93 (2) ◽  
pp. 330-339 ◽  
Author(s):  
JONATHAN M. BORWEIN ◽  
CORWIN W. SINNAMON

We derive an explicit piecewise-polynomial closed form for the probability density function of the distance travelled by a uniform random walk in an odd-dimensional space.


Author(s):  
Mohammad Shakil ◽  
Dr. Mohammad Ahsanullah ◽  
Dr. B. M. G. Kibria Kibria

For a non-negative continuous random variable , Chaudhry and Zubair (2002, p. 19) introduced a probability distribution with a completely monotonic probability density function based on the generalized gamma function, and called it the Macdonald probability function. In this paper, we establish various basic distributional properties of Chaudhry and Zubair’s Macdonald probability distribution. Since the percentage points of a given distribution are important for any statistical applications, we have also computed the percentage points for different values of the parameter involved. Based on these properties, we establish some new characterization results of Chaudhry and Zubair’s Macdonald probability distribution by the left and right truncated moments, order statistics and record values. Characterizations of certain other continuous probability distributions with completely monotonic probability density functions such as Mckay, Pareto and exponential distributions are also discussed by the proposed characterization techniques.   


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