scholarly journals Tourism-Related Loans as a Driver of a Small Island Economy: A Case of Northern Cyprus

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (17) ◽  
pp. 9508
Author(s):  
Setareh Shirkhani ◽  
Sami Fethi ◽  
Andrew Adewale Alola
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Bank Loan ◽  
Small Island ◽  
Limited Attention ◽  
Technological Advancement ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Tourism Sector ◽  
Northern Cyprus ◽  
Tourism Enterprises

Although the literature on the contribution of tourism to economic expansion vis-à-vis the tourism-led growth hypothesis has been widely explored, so far, limited attention has been paid to the specificity of the role of tourism-related loans or financial inducement in economic growth. This paper examines the short-run and long-run relationships between bank loan disbursements to the tourism sector and economic growth in Northern Cyprus. We structurally derive empirical equations for co-integration and error-correction models by extending the original Solow growth model, applying a cointegration approach that is strengthened by the autoregressive distributed lag and Granger causality approaches to reveal important findings. The empirical findings suggest unidirectional causality from loans disbursed to the tourism sector to economic growth in Northern Cyprus for the period under study. Additionally, we show that tourism-related loans and human and technological advancement all spur economic growth in the short- and long-run. These findings’ main policy implication is that long-term complementary policies in the domestic banking system can increase the access to financial sources for tourism enterprises and, consequently, promote tourism-led economic growth, especially in small tourism-dependent economies where capital sources are scarce.

scholarly journals TRADE AND GROWTH IN A NON‐RECOGNIZED SMALL ISLAND STATE: EVIDENCE FROM THE TURKISH REPUBLIC OF NORTHERN CYPRUS

2010 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 112-130
Author(s):  
Salih Katircioglu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
International Trade ◽  
Small Island ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Equilibrium Relationship ◽  
Island State ◽  
Northern Cyprus ◽  
Small Island State ◽  
Growth Hypothesis ◽  
Long Run Equilibrium

This paper empirically investigates long‐run equilibrium relationship and causality between international trade and economic growth in North Cyprus, which has a non‐recognized state and suffers from the Cyprus problem for more than 40 years. Results reveal that long‐run equilibrium relationship exists between international trade variables (exports and imports of goods and services) and economic growth in this small island state. The present study also validates the existence of export‐led growth hypothesis in Northern Cyprus while it rejects the validity of import‐led growth hypothesis. Finally, this study has shown that Turkish Cypriots should improve not only services exports but also merchandise exports in to contribute to its economy further. Santrauka Straipsnyje, remiantis empiriniais duomenimis, tyrinejama ilgalaike pusiausvyra bei priežastinis ryšys tarp tarptautines prekybos ir ekonominio augimo Šiaures Kipre, kuris yra nepripažintas ir kenčia del šios politines problemos daugiau negu 40 metu. Empirinio tyrimo rezultatai leidžia teigti, kad tarp tarptautines prekybos rodikliu (prekiu ir paslaugu eksporto bei importo) bei ekonominio augimo šioje mažoje saloje vyrauja ilgalaike pusiausvyra. Tyrimas patvirtina hipoteze apie eksporto kaip ekonominio augimo veiksnio svarba, bet paneigia importo itaka nagrinejamos mažos šalies pletrai. Autorius ragina skatinti ne tik paslaugu, bet ir produkcijos eksporta norint pasiekti spartesni ekonomikos augimo masta Šiaures Kipre.

scholarly journals TRADE AND GROWTH IN A NON‐RECOGNIZED SMALL ISLAND STATE: EVIDENCE FROM THE TURKISH REPUBLIC OF NORTHERN CYPRUS

2010 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 112-130 ◽  
Author(s):  
Salih Katircioglu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
International Trade ◽  
Small Island ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Equilibrium Relationship ◽  
Island State ◽  
Northern Cyprus ◽  
Small Island State ◽  
Growth Hypothesis ◽  
Long Run Equilibrium

This paper empirically investigates long‐run equilibrium relationship and causality between international trade and economic growth in North Cyprus, which has a non‐recognized state and suffers from the Cyprus problem for more than 40 years. Results reveal that long‐run equilibrium relationship exists between international trade variables (exports and imports of goods and services) and economic growth in this small island state. The present study also validates the existence of export‐led growth hypothesis in Northern Cyprus while it rejects the validity of import‐led growth hypothesis. Finally, this study has shown that Turkish Cypriots should improve not only services exports but also merchandise exports in to contribute to its economy further. Santrauka Straipsnyje, remiantis empiriniais duomenimis, tyrinejama ilgalaike pusiausvyra bei priežastinis ryšys tarp tarptautines prekybos ir ekonominio augimo Šiaures Kipre, kuris yra nepripažintas ir kenčia del šios politines problemos daugiau negu 40 metu. Empirinio tyrimo rezultatai leidžia teigti, kad tarp tarptautines prekybos rodikliu (prekiu ir paslaugu eksporto bei importo) bei ekonominio augimo šioje mažoje saloje vyrauja ilgalaike pusiausvyra. Tyrimas patvirtina hipoteze apie eksporto kaip ekonominio augimo veiksnio svarba, bet paneigia importo itaka nagrinejamos mažos šalies pletrai. Autorius ragina skatinti ne tik paslaugu, bet ir produkcijos eksporta norint pasiekti spartesni ekonomikos augimo masta Šiaures Kipre.

scholarly journals TOURISM SECTOR PERFORMANCE ON INDONESIA’S ECONOMIC GROWTH

2018 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 45
Author(s):  
Happy Febrina Hariyani
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
Positive Contribution ◽  
Trade In Services ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Tourism Sector ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Balance Of Trade ◽  
Tourism Activity ◽  
Sector Performance

Tourism is believed to be a booster for economic growth in developing countries. The tourism sector in Indonesia is one of the sectors that has the highest contribution in foreign exchange to the economy. Tourism activity in the form of export trade in services is the only sector that constantly make a positive contribution in the balance of trade in services in Indonesia. This study aims to analyze the influence of tourism consumption, tourism investment and government spending to economic growth. The results of this study indicate that, in the long run, those variables affect economic growth. While in the short run, they do not influence economic growth.

scholarly journals DOES INTERNATIONAL TOURISM PROMOTE ECONOMIC GROWTH? SOME EVIDENCE FROM INDONESIA

2021 ◽  
Vol 37 (3) ◽  
pp. 775-782
Author(s):  
Martahadi MARDHANI ◽  
◽  
M. Shabri Abd. MAJID ◽  
Abd. JAMAL ◽  
Said MUHAMMAD ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Least Squares ◽  
Causal Relationship ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
International Tourism ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Warm Hospitality ◽  
Tourism Sector ◽  
Growth Hypothesis

Realizing an increasing contribution of the tourism sector to global economies, this study intends to enrich the existing tourism literature by empirically exploring the short- and long-run dynamic causalities between tourism and economic growth in Indonesia over the period 1995 to 2017. For these purposes, cointegration, Fully Modified Least Squares (FMOLS), and Granger causality techniques are adopted. The study found a cointegration between tourism and economic growth, indicating the existence of a long-run relationship between the tourism sector and economic growth. In the long-run, tourism has contributed to the promotion of economic growth. Finally, both in the short- and long-run, the study found a unidirectional causal relationship running from tourism to economic growth, confirming the tourism-led growth hypothesis. To enhance Indonesia's economic growth, the tourism sector should be further promoted by making it more attractive, supported by advanced IT facilities, warm hospitality, and diversified tourism objects.

scholarly journals DO ECONOMIC GROWTH AND ENVIRONMENT QUALITY CONTRIBUTE TO TOURISM DEVELOPMENT IN EU COUNTRIES? A PANEL DATA ANALYSIS

2021 ◽  
Vol 27 (6) ◽  
pp. 1509-1538
Author(s):  
Daniel Badulescu ◽  
Ramona Simut ◽  
Ioana Mester ◽  
Simona Dzitac ◽  
Mariana Sehleanu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Panel Data ◽  
Co2 Emissions ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Panel Data Analysis ◽  
Tourism Development ◽  
Tourism Industry ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Tourism Sector

The positive impact of the tourism industry on economic growth, revenues, infrastructure, employment, social inclusion and poverty reduction, although widely recognised, has been lately weighted against the appearance and exacerbation of several problems, such as: environmental footprint, increase of income inequality, cost increases related to solid waste collection, energy consumption, increased global CO2 emissions. On the other hand, the tourism sector is not just an active economic, societal, or environmental change agent; in turn, the tourism sector supports or is highly influenced by various factors, such as climate change, economic, political, or social factors. More recently, this industry has been highly impacted by the pandemic, technological developments and cultural trends. In this article we examined both the short and long-run relationship between tourism development and economic growth, CO2 emissions and energy consumption in European Union member states (EU27), by using the Principal Component Analysis (PCA) technique and autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model for panel data. The findings suggest that economic growth and energy consumption have a statistically significant impact on the tourism index both in the short and long-run, whereas CO2 emissions only have a significant impact upon the tourism index on the long run.

scholarly journals Testing tourism-led economic growth and economic-driven tourism growth hypotheses

Tourism ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 68 (1) ◽  
pp. 43-57
Author(s):  
Khatai Aliyev ◽  
Nargiz Ahmadova
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
Resource Curse ◽  
Crowding Out ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Tourism Sector ◽  
Tourism Resource ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Growth Hypothesis

This paper empirically investigates a causal relationship between tourism and economic growth in Georgia for 1997-2018 period by employing ARDLBT approach to cointegration. Results reject economic-driven tourism growth hypothesis for Georgia and reveal that impact of tourism development over economic growth is negative in the long-run, in contrary positive in the short-run. Obtained results suggest that there is a possibility to have a tourism resource curse in the long-term in Georgia. Georgian government should build a tourism strategy to avoid crowding out of human capital from industrial production and decrease the share of imports for the needs of tourism sector

scholarly journals International Tourism and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from BRICS Countries

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (10(6)) ◽  
pp. 1944-1958
Author(s):  
PK Mishra ◽  
Himanshu B. Rout ◽  
Debasis Sahoo
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Development ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Capital Formation ◽  
Infrastructure Development ◽  
Brics Countries ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Tourism Sector ◽  
Investment Opportunities ◽  
Model Approach

The aim of the study was to examine the tourism-growth nexus in the context of BRICS nations. For this purpose, the augmented neo-classical growth framework has been employed a panel data model approach over the sample period spanning from 1995 to 2019. The estimation was conducted using PMG based ARDL regression. The results lend support to the tourism-led growth hypothesis when the capital formation and human development exert a positive impact on the long-run real economic growth in BRICS economies. So, the policies meant for tourism sector development can contribute to long-run economic growth through an increase in the share of gross capital formation in the gross domestic product and with the help of improved human development. Therefore, the policy focus should be on infrastructure development, the promotion of investment opportunities, and the development of healthcare and education in BRICS countries. The use of a macroeconomic framework in the analysis is the novelty of this study.

scholarly journals Finance – Growth Nexus in Nigeria: Fragility and Development Effects

2016 ◽  
Vol 12 (7) ◽  
pp. 381
Author(s):  
Korede Ajogbeje
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Exchange Rate Volatility ◽  
Financial Fragility ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Interest Rate Volatility ◽  
Cointegration Tests ◽  
Finance Growth Nexus

The study investigates the effects of financial fragility and financial development on economic growth in Nigeria between 1982 and 2012. The augumented dickey fuller (ADF) unit root test and the Johanson cointegration tests were respectively used to establish the stationarity and long run properties of the variables. The results show that financial development, proxy by credit to private sector as a percentage of GDP has a positive significant effects on output, as expected. As regards the fragility effects, the result revealed that the effect of financial volatility on economic growth is negative. Financial fragility was refined in the contexts of unsound banking system and unstable financial market, which were proxy by interest rate volatility and exchange rate volatility respectively, thus have negative significant effects on output. It is thus recommended that policy maker’s efforts aimed at increasing growth should work more on developing the financial sector and dampening the volatile nature of financial series. The pairwise granger causality result also reveals that there is a unidirectional causality running from financial fragility to gross capital formation.

Wege aus der Covid-19-Krise: Chinesische Banken und die Hoffnung auf globales Wirtschaftswachstum

2021 ◽  
Vol 70 (2) ◽  
pp. 189-213
Author(s):  
Victoria Böhnke
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Financial System ◽  
Negative Consequences ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Chinese Banks ◽  
Global Economic Growth ◽  
Chinese Banking

Abstract In crisis times a stable financial system is the basis to stimulate economic growth. In the bank-centered Chinese financial system mainly banks provide additional capital to the economy. According to the International Monetary Fund, the Chinese banking system represents one of the key weak spots of global financial stability. Do Chinese banks mitigate the negative consequences of the Covid-19 crisis or do they increase the risks? Based on the strengths and weaknesses of the Chinese banking system, I discuss the relevance of China for global economic growth. In summary, Chinese banks secure China’s short-term growth and lead the global economy back on the growth track. In the long run, the stability of the financial system depends on China’s ability to shape a sustainable financial system based on even more extensive reforms.

Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in Small Island Economies

2019 ◽  
pp. 42-65
Author(s):  
Nikeel Kumar ◽  
Ronald R. Kumar ◽  
Peter J. Stauvermann
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Renewable Energy ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Power Plants ◽  
Renewable Energy Sources ◽  
Tourism Industry ◽  
Fuel Oil ◽  
Small Island ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Pacific

Petroleum is the primary source of energy used in transportation and electricity generation for many small Pacific island economies. Noting the growing demand for transportation and infrastructure services, we investigate the long-run association between petroleum consumption and output per worker in Fiji, a small island economy in the Pacific. We use a Cobb-Douglas framework and the ARDL bounds procedure with sample periods from 1980 to 2013. The results show that a 1 % increase in petroleum consumption results in 0.08 % increase in the long run economic growth. The granger non-causality results show that energy consumption causes economic growth, thus confirming energy-led growth hypothesis. The overall results underscore the need for efficient use of energy in general with the impetus to focusing on renewable energy as an important source of economic growth. We argue that energy in whichever form (renewable or non-renewable) is an integral input for economic growth for small island countries in the Pacific. Furthermore, the country is an importer and redistributor of petroleum to other neighbouring islands. The petroleum products comprise of motor gasoline, jet fuel, kerosene, distillate fuel oil, residual fuel oil, and liquefied petroleum gases (LPG). The operations of airlines, ferries, cruise liners and other types of transportation are linked with tourism industry and heavily rely on petroleum. Also, petroleum is used for generating electricity, and the usage increases during the hot and dry season to support the hydro power plants. Considering Fiji as a reference and petroleum as a major type of energy, the study examines the relationship between energy and economic growth, whilst accounting for capital and labour stock, and structural breaks. This study aims to provide impetus to efficient use and management of energy in the Pacific with the overarching aim to promote economic growth and fostering policies to gradually phase out non-renewable energy sources. Key words: petroleum consumption, growth, ARDL bounds approach, causality, structural break, Fiji.

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