scholarly journals Demand for Storage and Import of Natural Gas in China until 2060: Simulation with a Dynamic Model

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (15) ◽  
pp. 8674
Author(s):  
Zhihua Chen ◽  
Hui Wang ◽  
Tongxia Li ◽  
Ieongcheng Si

China has been reforming its domestic natural gas market in recent years, while construction of storage systems is lagging behind. As natural gas accounts for an increasing proportion due to the goal of carbon neutrality, large-scale gas storage appears to be necessary to satisfy the needs for gas peak shaving and national strategic security. Additionally, the domestic gas production in China cannot meet consumption demands, and imports will play a significant role on the supply side. This paper developed a system dynamics (SD) model and applied it to simulate gas market behaviors and estimated China’s gas storage capabilities and import demands over the next 40 years. To achieve carbon neutrality, it is necessary for China to make great progress in its energy intensity and improve its energy structure, which have a great impact on natural gas consumption. Thus, alternative scenarios were defined to discuss the changes in the gas market with different gas storage goals and environmental constraints. The results show that under low and medium carbon price scenarios, natural gas demand will continue to grow in the next 40 years, but it will be difficult to achieve the goal of carbon neutrality. Under the high carbon price scenario, natural gas consumption will grow rapidly and reach a peak in approximately 2040, after which renewable energy will play a more important role to help achieve carbon neutrality. At the peak time, China’s gas storage demand will be 205.5 billion cubic meters (bcm) and import demand will reach 635.4 bcm, accounting for 72.8% of total consumption. We also identified the contradiction between the estimated storage capability, import demand and infrastructure planning. There will be a gap of 28.1–69.3 bcm between the planned storage capacity and simulated demand by 2030, while import facilities may partly strand assets. Finally, we provided some policy recommendations for constructing gas storage and import management and operation systems.

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 979 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bingjie Xu ◽  
Ruoyu Zhong ◽  
Yifeng Liu

The purpose of this paper is to analyze the correlations among per capita gross domestic product (GDP), household fuel (natural gas and liquefied petroleum gas) consumption, and carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions through the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) at the regional and national level in China using data from 2003 to 2015. The results validate the EKC assumption and show that per capita GDP is positively related to CO2 emissions; per capita natural gas consumption has a negative impact on CO2 emissions; however, per capita liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) consumption has a positive effect on CO2 emissions. Therefore, increasing natural gas consumption can effectively slow down the environmental degradation of China. Given rapid economic growth, changing the energy structure can improve the environment.


Author(s):  
Hamidreza Kakhsaz ◽  
Abdolhamid Ansari

Underground storage of natural gas is an inevitable necessity because of increasing growth of household energy consumption, the high share of natural gas in the energy basket, high costs of development of production resources, and refining. Considering the growth of demand and variation of natural gas consumption as a massive and inexpensive energy carrier, also unbalanced supply and demand for natural gas in cold seasons, there is a need for natural gas storage for preventing lack of gas during peak gas consumption. In this way, extra gas is injected into the underground reservoir during storage in summer and taken from that reservoir in the cold seasons. The creation of underground reservoirs for storing natural gas is scheduled to be implemented by the gas storage company and the vulnerability of the transmission and distribution system will be prevented by storing surplus gas in summer for reprocing in winter.


2021 ◽  
Vol 343 ◽  
pp. 09007
Author(s):  
Ionuţ Lungu ◽  
Florinel Dinu ◽  
Maria Stoicescu ◽  
Silviu Suditu ◽  
Ioana-Cornelia Mitrea (Rosu)

Underground storage of natural gas represents an efficient solution to cover fluctuations in natural gas consumption during the cold season and/or special situations like emergencies. The paper aims to presents the natural gas underground storages technologies in saline deposits and depleted reservoirs, as well as the pros and cons features of using of those methods..


Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 867 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jian Chai ◽  
Ying Jin

In recent years, China’s energy structure has been adjusted unceasingly, where the proportion of natural gas has been increasing year by year, and its external dependence has also been increasing. Therefore, it is necessary to discuss the correlation between China’s natural gas market and the international energy market. This paper studies the dynamic relationship between China’s total natural gas consumption, consumption structure, and the international price of oil from the perspectives of mutation and time-variance, using the cointegration test with regime shifts and a state space model. The results show that during the global financial crisis in 2008, the cointegration relationship between China’s total natural gas consumption and the international oil price has undergone structural changes. January 2012 and March 2015 are potential structural mutation points. After the structural mutation, the impact of the international price of oil on China’s total natural gas consumption has weakened. From a structural point of view, urban gas and power generation gas have both been greatly affected by the change of oil price, while industrial gas and chemical gas are less affected. The conclusion here will provide an important empirical reference for optimizing the structure of natural gas consumption and maintaining energy security in China.


2013 ◽  
Vol 341-342 ◽  
pp. 1330-1333
Author(s):  
Ce Ming Zhang ◽  
Xiao Mei Huang ◽  
Shi Ni Peng ◽  
Chang Yin Liao

Liquefied natural gas (LNG) is a kind of clean and efficient energy. On one hand import LNG may diversify the energy structure and safeguard energy security for energy consumers, on the other hand the expansion in LNG export may well develop natural gas resources, increase foreign exchange income and promote national economic for energy producers. Therefore, LNG trade is becoming a new hot spot in the global energy market. In this paper, LNG consumption market structure was analyzed based on the popularization ratio of urban gas and consumption concentration of GDP worth of ten thousand yuan. LNG market present situation in China was explained accurately and reasonably.


2019 ◽  
pp. 323-329
Author(s):  
Y. JIA

Since 2007, the use of natural gas in China depends on the import, and with an increase in natural gas consumption, gas imports are also constantly growing. In 2018, Chinas natural gas imports approached 100 billion cubic meters, which is 70 times more than in 2006. In recent years, increasing attention has been paid to the use of natural gas in China. Turkmenistan is Chinas main source of pipeline gas imports, and China is Turkmenistans largest exporter of natural gas. In the framework of the traditional model of oil and gas cooperation, China and Turkmenistan are facing such problems as the uniform content of cooperation, lack of close ties in the field of multilateral cooperation and slow progress in the development of the entire industrial chain. Cooperation between China and Central Asia in the field of oil and gas is increasingly affecting the nerves of other countries, except the five countries of Central Asia, but including Russia, Afghanistan, Pakistan, India, Iran and other countries of the Middle East, Japan, South Korea, etc. and even the European Union and the USA. Despite the favorable trading environment for both parties, there are also problems in the domestic market of Turkmenistan and the risks of international competition.


Energy ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 121036
Author(s):  
Nan Wei ◽  
Lihua Yin ◽  
Chao Li ◽  
Changjun Li ◽  
Christine Chan ◽  
...  

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