scholarly journals Resilience Dynamic Assessment Based on Precursor Events: Application to Ship LNG Bunkering Operations

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (12) ◽  
pp. 6836
Author(s):  
Tomaso Vairo ◽  
Paola Gualeni ◽  
Andrea P. Reverberi ◽  
Bruno Fabiano
Keyword(s):  
Markov Models ◽  
Dynamic Assessment ◽  
Methodological Approach ◽  
Specific Reference ◽  
Flexible Tool ◽  
Marine Engines ◽  
Actual Effectiveness ◽  
Resilience Framework ◽  
Study Application

The focus of the present paper is the development of a resilience framework suitable to be applied in assessing the safety of ship LNG (Liquefied Natural Gas) bunkering process. Ship propulsion considering LNG as a possible fuel (with dual fuel marine engines installed on board) has favored important discussions about the LNG supply chain and delivery on board to the ship power plant. Within this context, a resilience methodological approach is outlined, including a case study application, to demonstrate its actual effectiveness. With specific reference to the operative steps for LNG bunkering operations in the maritime field, a dynamic model based on Bayesian inference and MCMC simulations can be built, involving the probability of operational perturbations, together with their updates based on the hard (failures) and soft (process variables deviations) evidence emerging during LNG bunkering operations. The approach developed in this work, based on advanced Markov Models and variational fitting algorithms, has proven to be a useful and flexible tool to study, analyze and verify how much the perturbations of systems and subsystems can be absorbed without leading to failure.

Improvements, by Using a New Set of Data, to the English Standard Spending Assessments: The 1991 Census of Population Samples of Anonymised Records

1998 ◽  
Vol 16 (5) ◽  
pp. 543-558 ◽  
Author(s):  
C Gardiner
Keyword(s):  
Central Government ◽  
Methodological Approach ◽  
Explanatory Power ◽  
Critical Examination ◽  
Local Authorities ◽  
Education Needs ◽  
Additional Education ◽  
Study Application

A critical examination is undertaken of a new set of data—the 1991 Census of Population samples of anonymised records (SARs)—as an instrument for improving the quality of the indices used in the English Standard Spending Assessments system for the allocation of central government funds to local authorities. The ‘additional education needs' index is used as a case study. Application of the Department of the Environment's existing methodological approach in conjunction with the SARs produces significant improvements in the explanatory power of the regression-based models. It is concluded that the SARs represent an invaluable source of data to supplement or replace the databases currently utilised in the standard spending assessment indices. The implications of this for the 2001 Census of Population are also identified and discussed.

scholarly journals A mixed methods approach for the integration of urban design and economic evaluation: Industrial heritage and urban regeneration in China

2016 ◽  
Vol 45 (2) ◽  
pp. 208-232 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mauro Berta ◽  
Marta Bottero ◽  
Valentina Ferretti
Keyword(s):  
Mixed Methods ◽  
Urban Design ◽  
Urban Areas ◽  
Methodological Approach ◽  
Multicriteria Analysis ◽  
Urban Transformation ◽  
Specific Reference ◽  
Design Strategies ◽  
Early Results

This paper presents the early results of a study aimed at experimenting an innovative approach to the design and the evaluation of complex urban transformation processes, based on the combined use of different design strategies and tools. The purpose of the paper is to illustrate, by means of a case study, a multi-level decision aiding process, able to support strategic urban design, with specific reference to regeneration processes for abandoned industrial sites in urban areas. The case study presented in the paper concerns different alternative proposals for the requalification of the former Shougang/Er-Tong mechanical factory in Beijing, China. The choice of a Chinese case study as a field test for an experimentation about mixed methods research approaches in the domain of urban transformation is related to the peculiar emerging conditions of that context, in which huge economic potentials are speeding up the transformation but a substantial lack of cultural and methodological instruments to manage a so fast modification exists. During the design process, three methods in particular have been combined according to a multi-phase design: (i) Stakeholders Analysis, (ii) Multicriteria Analysis, and (iii) Discounted Cash Flow Analysis. Each one of them has been applied in parallel to the evolution of the different design scenarios. The results of the performed study show that mixed methods approaches are a promising line of research in the field of environmental evaluation and urban design. Insights and guidelines for the replication of the proposed methodological approach in other territorial contexts are also proposed.

ANALISIS KINERJA KEUANGAN IAIN PONTIANAK TAHUN 2014-2018 BERDASARKAN PENDEKATAN BALANCE SCORECARD

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
JATRIANA B2041142013
Keyword(s):  
Higher Education ◽  
Balanced Scorecard ◽  
Six Sigma ◽  
Balance Scorecard ◽  
The Balanced Scorecard ◽  
College And University ◽  
University Planning ◽  
Education Journal ◽  
Study Application

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengukur kinerja keuangan kampus IAIN Pontianak menggunakan pendekatan Balance Scorecard. Metode penelitian ini adalah kuantitatif dengan menggunakan statistika untuk menganalisis sampel yang digunakan sebanyak 664 orang mahasiswa dan 193 orang dosen dan pegawai. Hasil penelitian menyatakan bahwa variabel perspektif pelanggan, perpektif bisnis internal dan variabel perspektif pertumbuhan dan pembelajaran, masing-masing berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap peningkatan kinerja keuangan IAIN Pontianak.Kata Kunci : Balance Scorecard, IAIN Pontianak, Kinerja KeuanganDAFTAR PUSTAKA Andriyanto, R. W., & Metalia, M. (2010). Efektivitas Balanced Scorecard Dalam Maningkatkan Kinerja Manajerial Badan Usaha Milik Negara (Bumn). Jurnal Akuntansi dan Investasi, 11(2), 97-114.Arikunto, S. 1992. Prosedur penelitian: Suatu pendekatan praktik. Rineka Cipta.Bastian, Indra. 2006. Akutansi Sektor Publik, Suatu Pengantar. Jakarta: Airlangga.Brown, Cindy. 2012. Application of the Balanced Scorecard in Higher Education: Opportunities and Challenges - An Evaluation of Balanced Scorecard Implementation at the College of St. Scolastica. SCUP; Society for College and University Planning. www.scup.org/phe.html.Effendi, R. (2012). Pengukuran Kinerja Sektor Publik Dengan Menggunakan Balanced Scorecard (Studi Kasus Kanwil DJP Sumsel dan Kep. Babel). Jurnal Ilmiah Stie Mdp, 1(2), 67-73.Gaspersz, Vicent. 2002. Sistem Manajemen Kinerja Terintegrasi: Balanced Scorecard dengan Six Sigma untuk Organisasi Bisnis dan Pemerintah. Cet ke-3, Jakarta: Gramedia Pustaka UtamaHandayani, S. (2017). Analisis Balanced Scorecard Sebagai Tolok Ukur Kinerja Perusahaan Pada Pt Pos Indonesia ( Persero ) Lamongan. Jurnal Penelitian Ekonomi dan Akuntansi, II(3), 589-601.IAIN Pontianak. 2019. “Sistem Informasi Akademik Institut Agama Islam Negeri Pontianak.” Mahasiswa IAIN Pontianak. www.sia.iainptk.ac.id.Kaplan, S. Robert, and David P. Norton. 2000. Balanced Scorecard, Menerapkan Strategi Menjadi Aksi. Jakarta: Penerbit Erlangga.Karathanos, Dementrius, and Patricia Karathanos. 2005. “Appliying the Balanced Scoredard to Education.” Journal of Education for Business: 222–30.Kemenristek Dikti RI. 2019. “Pangkalan Data Pendidikan Tinggi:  Kementrian Riset , Teknologi, Dan Pendidikan Tinggi.” Tenaga Pendidik  IAIN Pontianak. www/forlap.ristekdikti.go.id.Kementrian Agama RI. 2019. “Seleksi Prestasi Akademik Nasional APerguruan Tinggi Keagamaan Islam Negeri.” SPAN PTKIN 2019. https://span-ptkin.ac.id.Mahsun, Muhammad. 2006. Pengukuran Kinerja Sektor Publik. 1st ed. Yogyakarta: BPFE.Mardiasmo. 2004. Akuntansi Sektor Publik. 1st ed. Yogyakarta: BPFE.Mulyadi. 2007. Balanced Scorecard, Alat Manajemen Kontemporer Untuk Pelipatganda Kinerja Keuangan Perusahaan. 1st ed. Jakarta: Penerbit Salemba Empat.Nugrahini, I. A. P., Ratnadi, N. M. D., & Putri, I. G. A. M. A. D. (2016). Penilaian Kinerja Berdasarkan Balanced Scorecard Pada Badan Penanaman Modal Dan Perijinan Daerah Kabupaten Tabanan. E-Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Udayana, 5(4), 829-856.Rollins, Andrea Mae. 2011. “A Case Study: Application of Balanced Scorecard in Hingher Education.” PhD Dissertation. San Diego State University.Singarimbun, Masri, and Sofian Effendi. 1989. Metode Penelitian Survey. Jakarta: LP3ES.Sugiono. 2005. Metode Penelitian Bisnis. Bandung: Alfabeta.Suta, I. W. P., & Dwiastuti, G. A. A. S. A. (2016). Pengukuran Kinerja Dengan Pendekatan Balanced Scorecard Pada Kantor Pusat Pt Bank Pembangunan Daerah Bali. Jurnal Bisnis Dan Kewirausahaan, 12(1), 32-41.Syarbaini, Khatib. 1986. “Fakultas Tarbiyah (Ketikan Manual).”Yassin, A., Musadieq, M. A., & Afrianty, T. W. (2016). Pengaruh Balanced Scorecard Dan Knowledge Management Terhadap Kinerja Karyawan Dan Kinerja Perusahaan (Studi Pada Karyawan Pt Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk). Jurnal Administrasi Bisnis, 33(2), 125-134.

scholarly journals Assessment of the photovoltaic potential at urban level based on 3D city models: A case study and new methodological approach

Solar Energy ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 146 ◽  
pp. 264-275 ◽  
Author(s):  
Laura Romero Rodríguez ◽  
Eric Duminil ◽  
José Sánchez Ramos ◽  
Ursula Eicker
Keyword(s):  
Methodological Approach ◽  
3D City Models ◽  
Urban Level ◽  
City Models

scholarly journals A regularized hidden Markov model for analyzing the ‘hot shoe’ in football

2021 ◽  
pp. 1471082X2110080
Author(s):  
Marius Ötting ◽  
Groll Andreas
Keyword(s):  
Markov Models ◽  
Hidden Markov ◽  
Simulation Experiments ◽  
Hot Hand ◽  
Special Cases ◽  
Psychology And Economics ◽  
Likelihood Approach ◽  
Penalized Likelihood Approach ◽  
Hot Hand Effect

We propose a penalized likelihood approach in hidden Markov models (HMMs) to perform automated variable selection. To account for a potential large number of covariates, which also may be substantially correlated, we consider the elastic net penalty containing LASSO and ridge as special cases. By quadratically approximating the non-differentiable penalty, we ensure that the likelihood can be maximized numerically. The feasibility of our approach is assessed in simulation experiments. As a case study, we examine the ‘hot hand’ effect, whose existence is highly debated in different fields, such as psychology and economics. In the present work, we investigate a potential ‘hot shoe’ effect for the performance of penalty takers in (association) football, where the (latent) states of the HMM serve for the underlying form of a player.

Using hidden Markov models to find discrete targets in continuous sociophonetic data

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel Duncan
Keyword(s):  
Hidden Markov Models ◽  
Markov Models ◽  
Hidden Markov ◽  
Abstract Representation ◽  
Language Variation And Change ◽  
Novel Approach ◽  
Single Target ◽  
The Individual ◽  
Individual Speaker

Abstract Advances in sociophonetic research resulted in features once sorted into discrete bins now being measured continuously. This has implied a shift in what sociolinguists view as the abstract representation of the sociolinguistic variable. When measured discretely, variation is variation in selection: one variant is selected for production, and factors influencing language variation and change are influencing the frequency at which variants are selected. Measured continuously, variation is variation in execution: speakers have a single target for production, which they approximate with varying success. This paper suggests that both approaches can and should be considered in sociophonetic analysis. To that end, I offer the use of hidden Markov models (HMMs) as a novel approach to find speakers’ multiple targets within continuous data. Using the lot vowel among whites in Greater St. Louis as a case study, I compare 2-state and 1-state HMMs constructed at the individual speaker level. Ten of fifty-two speakers’ production is shown to involve the regular use of distinct fronted and backed variants of the vowel. This finding illustrates HMMs’ capacity to allow us to consider variation as both variant selection and execution, making them a useful tool in the analysis of sociophonetic data.

scholarly journals Toward A Business Resilience Framework for Startups

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (6) ◽  
pp. 3132
Author(s):  
Leo Aldianto ◽  
Grisna Anggadwita ◽  
Anggraeni Permatasari ◽  
Isti Raafaldini Mirzanti ◽  
Ian O. Williamson
Keyword(s):  
Innovation Process ◽  
Dynamic Capability ◽  
Case Study Approach ◽  
Structured Interviews ◽  
Study Approach ◽  
Continuous Innovation ◽  
Technology Capability ◽  
Resilience Framework ◽  
Business Resilience

Covid-19 has had a significant impact on the disruption of the global economic sector, including for startup businesses. This encourages entrepreneurs to carry out a continuous innovation process to become more ambidextrous and continue to innovate in an effort to futureproof their business. The paper aims to provide a business resilience framework by exploring capability (innovation ambidexterity, dynamic capability, and technology capability), behavior (agile leadership), and knowledge (knowledge stock) in startup businesses. This study uses a literature review synthesis to gain a greater understanding of startup resilience and its implementation. This study also uses a case study approach in building a framework by obtaining data from semi-structured interviews with three startups owners in Indonesia. This preliminary research has identified four propositions that will be used to develop questionnaires and data collection instruments. Thus, this study provides new insights on how startups can overcome contradictory pressures for business resilience in anticipating, dealing with, and emerging from business turbulence due to the Covid-19 pandemic by considering the factors proposed in this study. The implications and recommendations of this study are also discussed in detail.

scholarly journals Methods for conducting international Delphi surveys to optimise global participation in core outcome set development: a case study in gastric cancer informed by a comprehensive literature review

Trials ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Bilal Alkhaffaf ◽  
Jane M. Blazeby ◽  
Aleksandra Metryka ◽  
Anne-Marie Glenny ◽  
Ademola Adeyeye ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Gastric Cancer ◽  
Literature Review ◽  
Healthcare Professionals ◽  
Vascular Malformations ◽  
Methodological Approach ◽  
Core Outcome Set ◽  
Core Outcome ◽  
Comprehensive Literature Review ◽  
International Participation

Abstract Background Core outcome sets (COS) should be relevant to key stakeholders and widely applicable and usable. Ideally, they are developed for international use to allow optimal data synthesis from trials. Electronic Delphi surveys are commonly used to facilitate global participation; however, this has limitations. It is common for these surveys to be conducted in a single language potentially excluding those not fluent in that tongue. The aim of this study is to summarise current approaches for optimising international participation in Delphi studies and make recommendations for future practice. Methods A comprehensive literature review of current approaches to translating Delphi surveys for COS development was undertaken. A standardised methodology adapted from international guidance derived from 12 major sets of translation guidelines in the field of outcome reporting was developed. As a case study, this was applied to a COS project for surgical trials in gastric cancer to translate a Delphi survey into 7 target languages from regions active in gastric cancer research. Results Three hundred thirty-two abstracts were screened and four studies addressing COS development in rheumatoid and osteoarthritis, vascular malformations and polypharmacy were eligible for inclusion. There was wide variation in methodological approaches to translation, including the number of forward translations, the inclusion of back translation, the employment of cognitive debriefing and how discrepancies and disagreements were handled. Important considerations were identified during the development of the gastric cancer survey including establishing translation groups, timelines, understanding financial implications, strategies to maximise recruitment and regulatory approvals. The methodological approach to translating the Delphi surveys was easily reproducible by local collaborators and resulted in an additional 637 participants to the 315 recruited to complete the source language survey. Ninety-nine per cent of patients and 97% of healthcare professionals from non-English-speaking regions used translated surveys. Conclusion Consideration of the issues described will improve planning by other COS developers and can be used to widen international participation from both patients and healthcare professionals.

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