scholarly journals Forecasting of Disassembly Waste Generation under Uncertainties Using Digital Twinning-Based Hidden Markov Model

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (10) ◽  
pp. 5391
Author(s):  
Yinsheng Yang ◽  
Gang Yuan ◽  
Jiaxiang Cai ◽  
Silin Wei
Keyword(s):  
Markov Model ◽  
Hidden Markov Model ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Hidden Markov ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Gaussian Mixture ◽  
Waste Generation ◽  
Time Data ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Comparison Results

Disassembly waste generation forecasting is the foundation for determining disassembly waste treatment and process formulation and is also an important prerequisite for optimizing waste management. The prediction of disassembly waste generation is a complex process which is affected by potential time, environment, and economy characteristic variables. Uncertainty features, such as disassembly amount, disassembly component status, and workshop scheduling, play an important role in predicting the fluctuation of disassembly waste generation. We therefore focus on revealing the trend of waste generation in disassembly remanufacturing that faces significant influences of technology and economic changes to achieve circular industry sustainable development. To dynamically predict the generation of disassembly waste under uncertainty, this work proposes a statistical method driven by a probabilistic model, which integrates the digital twinning, Gaussian mixture, and the hidden Markov model (DG-HMM). First, digital twinning technology is used for real-time data interaction between simulation prediction and decision evaluation. Then, the Gaussian mixture and HMM are used to dynamically predict the generation of disassembly waste. In order to effectively predict the amount of disassembly waste generation, real data collected from a disassembly enterprise are used to train and verify the model. Finally, the proposed model is compared with other general prediction models to illustrate the correctness and feasibility of the proposed model. The comparison results show that DG-HMM has better prediction accuracy for the actual disassembly waste generation.

Hidden Markov Model of Lane-Changing-Based Car-Following Behavior on Freeways using Naturalistic Driving Data

2021 ◽  
pp. 036119812199938
Author(s):  
Li Zhao ◽  
Laurence Rilett ◽  
Mm Shakiul Haque
Keyword(s):  
Markov Model ◽  
Hidden Markov Model ◽  
Hidden Markov ◽  
Gaussian Mixture ◽  
Vehicle Body ◽  
Lane Change ◽  
Lane Changing ◽  
Car Following ◽  
Pilot Model ◽  
Naturalistic Driving

This paper develops a methodology for simultaneously modeling lane-changing and car-following behavior of automated vehicles on freeways. Naturalistic driving data from the Safety Pilot Model Deployment (SPMD) program are used. First, a framework to process the SPMD data is proposed using various data analytics techniques including data fusion, data mining, and machine learning. Second, pairs of automated host vehicle and their corresponding front vehicle are identified along with their lane-change and car-following relationship data. Using these data, a lane-changing-based car-following (LCCF) model, which explicitly considers lane-change and car-following behavior simultaneously, is developed. The LCCF model is based on Gaussian-mixture-based hidden Markov model theory and is disaggregated into two processes: LCCF association and LCCF dissociation. These categories are based on the result of the lane change. The overall goal is to predict a driver’s lane-change intention using the LCCF model. Results show that the model can predict the lane-change event in the order of 0.6 to 1.3 s before the moment of the vehicle body across the lane boundary. In addition, the execution times of lane-change maneuvers average between 0.55 and 0.86 s. The LCCF model allows the intention time and execution time of driver’s lane-change behavior to be forecast, which will help to develop better advanced driver assistance systems for vehicle controls with respect to lane-change and car-following warning functions.

scholarly journals A Hybrid Hidden Markov Model for Pipeline Leakage Detection

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 3138
Author(s):  
Mingchi Zhang ◽  
Xuemin Chen ◽  
Wei Li
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Markov Model ◽  
Hidden Markov Model ◽  
Gaussian Mixture Model ◽  
Mixture Model ◽  
Deep Neural Network ◽  
Hidden Markov ◽  
Gaussian Mixture ◽  
State Sequence ◽  
Non Linear

In this paper, a deep neural network hidden Markov model (DNN-HMM) is proposed to detect pipeline leakage location. A long pipeline is divided into several sections and the leakage occurs in different section that is defined as different state of hidden Markov model (HMM). The hybrid HMM, i.e., DNN-HMM, consists of a deep neural network (DNN) with multiple layers to exploit the non-linear data. The DNN is initialized by using a deep belief network (DBN). The DBN is a pre-trained model built by stacking top-down restricted Boltzmann machines (RBM) that compute the emission probabilities for the HMM instead of Gaussian mixture model (GMM). Two comparative studies based on different numbers of states using Gaussian mixture model-hidden Markov model (GMM-HMM) and DNN-HMM are performed. The accuracy of the testing performance between detected state sequence and actual state sequence is measured by micro F1 score. The micro F1 score approaches 0.94 for GMM-HMM method and it is close to 0.95 for DNN-HMM method when the pipeline is divided into three sections. In the experiment that divides the pipeline as five sections, the micro F1 score for GMM-HMM is 0.69, while it approaches 0.96 with DNN-HMM method. The results demonstrate that the DNN-HMM can learn a better model of non-linear data and achieve better performance compared to GMM-HMM method.

Quality Control of Information Engineering Surveillance Based on Baum-Welch Algorithm

2011 ◽  
Vol 63-64 ◽  
pp. 178-181
Author(s):  
Hong Zhi Liu ◽  
Li Gao
Keyword(s):  
Quality Control ◽  
Markov Model ◽  
Hidden Markov Model ◽  
Random Process ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Software Quality ◽  
Hidden Markov ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Information Engineering ◽  
Five Elements

A new method of Quality Control for Information Engineering Surveillance based on Hidden Markov Model (HMM) has been proposed and the related model been built by us. The process of information engineering quality surveillance can be seen as a two-layered random process. The five elements of HMM correspond with the process of quality surveillance through abstracting the characteristics of the surveillance process. Software quality can be estimated under the model. In this paper, we divided the five elements. Therefore, the model was improved from single dimension to multi-dimension, trained by Baum-Welch algorithm. Experimental results show that the proposed model proves to be feasible and real-time when it is used for quality control.

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