scholarly journals Forecasting Rainfed Agricultural Production in Arid and Semi-Arid Lands Using Learning Machine Methods: A Case Study

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (9) ◽  
pp. 4607
Author(s):  
Shahram Rezapour ◽  
Erfan Jooyandeh ◽  
Mohsen Ramezanzade ◽  
Ali Mostafaeipour ◽  
Mehdi Jahangiri ◽  
...  

With the rising demand for food products and the direct impact of climate change on food production in many parts of the world, recent years have seen growing interest in the subject of food security and the role of rainfed farming in this area. Machine learning methods can be used to predict crop yield based on a combination of remote sensing data and data collected by ground weather stations. This paper argues that forecasting drylands farming yield can be reliable for management purpose under uncertain conditions using machine learning methods and remote sensing data and determines which indicators are most important in predicting the yield of chickpea. In this study, the yield of rainfed chickpea farms in 11 top chickpea producing counties in Kermanshah province, Iran, was predicted using three machine learning methods, namely support vector regression (SVR), random forest (RF), and K-nearest neighbors (KNN). To improve prediction accuracy, for each county, remote sensing data were overlaid by the satellite images of rainfed farms with a suitable slope and altitude for rainfed farming. An integrated database was created by combining weather data, remote sensing data, and chickpea yield statistics. The methods were evaluated using the leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV) technique and compared in terms of multiple measures. Given the sensitivity of rainfed chickpea yield to the time of data, the predictions were made in two scenarios: (1) using the averages of the data of all growing months, and (2) using the data of a combination of months. The results showed that RF provides more accurate yield predictions than other methods. The predictions of this method were 7–8% different from the statistics reported by the Statistical Center and the Ministry of Agriculture of Iran. It was found that for pre-harvest prediction of rainfed chickpea yield, using the data of the March–April period (the averages of two months) offers the best result in terms of the correlation coefficient for the relationship between the yield and the predictor indices.

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (9) ◽  
pp. 1365 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jacinta Holloway ◽  
Kerrie Mengersen

Interest in statistical analysis of remote sensing data to produce measurements of environment, agriculture, and sustainable development is established and continues to increase, and this is leading to a growing interaction between the earth science and statistical domains. With this in mind, we reviewed the literature on statistical machine learning methods commonly applied to remote sensing data. We focus particularly on applications related to the United Nations World Bank Sustainable Development Goals, including agriculture (food security), forests (life on land), and water (water quality). We provide a review of useful statistical machine learning methods, how they work in a remote sensing context, and examples of their application to these types of data in the literature. Rather than prescribing particular methods for specific applications, we provide guidance, examples, and case studies from the literature for the remote sensing practitioner and applied statistician. In the supplementary material, we also describe the necessary steps pre and post analysis for remote sensing data; the pre-processing and evaluation steps.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Timo Kumpula ◽  
Janne Mäyrä ◽  
Anton Kuzmin ◽  
Arto Viinikka ◽  
Sonja Kivinen ◽  
...  

<p>Sustainable forest management increasingly highlights the maintenance of biological diversity and requires up-to-date information on the occurrence and distribution of key ecological features in forest environments. Different proxy variables indicating species richness and quality of the sites are essential for efficient detecting and monitoring forest biodiversity. European aspen (Populus tremula L.) is a minor deciduous tree species with a high importance in maintaining biodiversity in boreal forests. Large aspen trees host hundreds of species, many of them classified as threatened. However, accurate fine-scale spatial data on aspen occurrence remains scarce and incomprehensive.</p><p> </p><p>We studied detection of aspen using different remote sensing techniques in Evo, southern Finland. Our study area of 83 km<sup>2</sup> contains both managed and protected southern boreal forests characterized by Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris L.), Norway spruce (Picea abies (L.) Karst), and birch (Betula pendula and pubescens L.), whereas European aspen has a relatively sparse and scattered occurrence in the area. We collected high-resolution airborne hyperspectral and airborne laser scanning data covering the whole study area and ultra-high resolution unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) data with RGB and multispectral sensors from selected parts of the area. We tested the discrimination of aspen from other species at tree level using different machine learning methods (Support Vector Machines, Random Forest, Gradient Boosting Machine) and deep learning methods (3D convolutional neural networks).</p><p> </p><p>Airborne hyperspectral and lidar data gave excellent results with machine learning and deep learning classification methods The highest classification accuracies for aspen varied between 91-92% (F1-score). The most important wavelengths for discriminating aspen from other species included reflectance bands of red edge range (724–727 nm) and shortwave infrared (1520–1564 nm and 1684–1706 nm) (Viinikka et al. 2020; Mäyrä et al 2021). Aspen detection using RGB and multispectral data also gave good results (highest F1-score of aspen = 87%) (Kuzmin et al 2021). Different remote sensing data enabled production of a spatially explicit map of aspen occurrence in the study area. Information on aspen occurrence and abundance can significantly contribute to biodiversity management and conservation efforts in boreal forests. Our results can be further utilized in upscaling efforts aiming at aspen detection over larger geographical areas using satellite images.</p>


Agronomy ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (11) ◽  
pp. 2266
Author(s):  
Ilnas Sahabiev ◽  
Elena Smirnova ◽  
Kamil Giniyatullin

Creating accurate digital maps of the agrochemical properties of soils on a field scale with a limited data set is a problem that slows down the introduction of precision farming. The use of machine learning methods based on the use of direct and indirect predictors of spatial changes in the agrochemical properties of soils is promising. Spectral indicators of open soil based on remote sensing data, as well as soil properties, were used to create digital maps of available forms of nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium. It was shown that machine learning methods based on support vectors (SVMr) and random forest (RF) using spectral reflectance data are similarly accurate at spatial prediction. An acceptable prediction was obtained for available nitrogen and available potassium; the variability of available phosphorus was modeled less accurately. The coefficient of determination (R2) of the best model for nitrogen is R2SVMr = 0.90 (Landsat 8 OLI) and R2SVMr = 0.79 (Sentinel 2), for potassium—R2SVMr = 0.82 (Landsat 8 OLI) and R2SVMr = 0.77 (Sentinel 2), for phosphorus—R2SVMr = 0.68 (Landsat 8 OLI), R2SVMr = 0.64 (Sentinel 2). The models based on remote sensing data were refined when soil organic matter (SOC) and fractions of texture (Silt, Clay) were included as predictors. The SVMr models were the most accurate. For Landsat 8 OLI, the SVMr model has a R2 value: nitrogen—R2 = 0.95, potassium—R2 = 0.89 and phosphorus—R2 = 0.65. Based on Sentinel 2, nitrogen—R2 = 0.92, potassium—R2 = 0.88, phosphorus—R2 = 0.72. The spatial prediction of nitrogen content is influenced by SOC, potassium—by SOC and texture, phosphorus—by texture. The validation of the final models was carried out on an independent sample on soils from a chernozem zone. For nitrogen based on Landsat 8 OLI R2 = 0.88, for potassium R2 = 0.65, and for phosphorus R2 = 0.31. Based on Sentinel 2, for nitrogen R2 = 0.85, for potassium R2 = 0.62, and for phosphorus R2 = 0.71. The inclusion of SOC and texture in remote sensing-based machine learning models makes it possible to improve the spatial prediction of nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium availability of soils in chernozem zones and can potentially be widely used to create digital agrochemical maps on the scale of a single field.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 26-33
Author(s):  
Stephen Chiang ◽  
Matthew Eschbach ◽  
Robert Knapp ◽  
Brian Holden ◽  
Andrew Miesse ◽  
...  

Abstract The incorporation of sensors onto the stapling platform has been investigated to overcome the disconnect in our understanding of tissue handling by surgical staplers. The goal of this study was to explore the feasibility of in vivo porcine tissue differentiation using bioimpedance data and machine learning methods. In vivo electrical impedance measurements were obtained in 7 young domestic pigs, using a logarithmic sweep of 50 points over a frequency range of 100 Hz to 1 MHz. Tissues studied included lung, liver, small bowel, colon, and stomach, which was further segmented into fundus, body, and antrum. The data was then parsed through MATLAB's classification learner to identify the best algorithm for tissue type differentiation. The most effective classification scheme was found to be cubic support vector machines with 86.96% accuracy. When fundus, body and antrum were aggregated together as stomach, the accuracy improved to 88.03%. The combination of stomach, small bowel, and colon together as GI tract improved accuracy to 99.79% using fine k nearest neighbors. The results suggest that bioimpedance data can be effectively used to differentiate tissue types in vivo. This study is one of the first that combines in vivo bioimpedance tissue data across multiple tissue types with machine learning methods.


Author(s):  
Furkan Bilek ◽  
Ferhat Balgetir ◽  
Caner Feyzi Demir ◽  
Gökhan Alkan ◽  
Seda Arslan-Tuncer

Abstract Background and Objective Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic, progressive, and autoimmune disease of the central nervous system (CNS) characterized by inflammation, demyelination, and axonal injury. In patients with newly diagnosed MS (ndMS), ataxia can present either as mild or severe and can be difficult to diagnose in the absence of clinical disability. Such difficulties can be eliminated by using decision support systems supported by machine learning methods. The present study aimed to achieve early diagnosis of ataxia in ndMS patients by using machine learning methods with spatiotemporal parameters. Materials and Methods The prospective study included 32 ndMS patients with an Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score of≤2.0 and 32 healthy volunteers. A total of 14 parameters were elicited by using a Win-Track platform. The ndMS patients were differentiated from healthy individuals using multiple classifiers including Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Support Vector Machine (SVM), the k-nearest neighbors (K-NN) algorithm, and Decision Tree Learning (DTL). To improve the performance of the classification, a Relief-based feature selection algorithm was applied to select the subset that best represented the whole dataset. Performance evaluation was achieved based on several criteria such as Accuracy (ACC), Sensitivity (SN), Specificity (SP), and Precision (PREC). Results ANN had a higher classification performance compared to other classifiers, whereby it provided an accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of 89, 87.8, 90.3% with the use of all parameters and provided the values of 93.7, 96.6%, and 91.1% with the use of parameters selected by the Relief algorithm, respectively. Significance To our knowledge, this is the first study of its kind in the literature to investigate the diagnosis of ataxia in ndMS patients by using machine learning methods with spatiotemporal parameters. The proposed method, i. e. Relief-based ANN method, successfully diagnosed ataxia by using a lower number of parameters compared to the numbers of parameters reported in clinical studies, thereby reducing the costs and increasing the performance of the diagnosis. The method also provided higher rates of accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity in the diagnosis of ataxia in ndMS patients compared to other methods. Taken together, these findings indicate that the proposed method could be helpful in the diagnosis of ataxia in minimally impaired ndMS patients and could be a pathfinder for future studies.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 215 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hainie Zha ◽  
Yuxin Miao ◽  
Tiantian Wang ◽  
Yue Li ◽  
Jing Zhang ◽  
...  

Optimizing nitrogen (N) management in rice is crucial for China’s food security and sustainable agricultural development. Nondestructive crop growth monitoring based on remote sensing technologies can accurately assess crop N status, which may be used to guide the in-season site-specific N recommendations. The fixed-wing unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV)-based remote sensing is a low-cost, easy-to-operate technology for collecting spectral reflectance imagery, an important data source for precision N management. The relationships between many vegetation indices (VIs) derived from spectral reflectance data and crop parameters are known to be nonlinear. As a result, nonlinear machine learning methods have the potential to improve the estimation accuracy. The objective of this study was to evaluate five different approaches for estimating rice (Oryza sativa L.) aboveground biomass (AGB), plant N uptake (PNU), and N nutrition index (NNI) at stem elongation (SE) and heading (HD) stages in Northeast China: (1) single VI (SVI); (2) stepwise multiple linear regression (SMLR); (3) random forest (RF); (4) support vector machine (SVM); and (5) artificial neural networks (ANN) regression. The results indicated that machine learning methods improved the NNI estimation compared to VI-SLR and SMLR methods. The RF algorithm performed the best for estimating NNI (R2 = 0.94 (SE) and 0.96 (HD) for calibration and 0.61 (SE) and 0.79 (HD) for validation). The root mean square errors (RMSEs) were 0.09, and the relative errors were <10% in all the models. It is concluded that the RF machine learning regression can significantly improve the estimation of rice N status using UAV remote sensing. The application machine learning methods offers a new opportunity to better use remote sensing data for monitoring crop growth conditions and guiding precision crop management. More studies are needed to further improve these machine learning-based models by combining both remote sensing data and other related soil, weather, and management information for applications in precision N and crop management.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hannes Rosenbusch ◽  
Felix Soldner ◽  
Anthony M Evans ◽  
Marcel Zeelenberg

Machine learning methods for pattern detection and prediction are increasingly prevalent in psychological research. We provide a comprehensive overview of machine learning, its applications, and how to implement models for research. We review fundamental concepts of machine learning, such as prediction accuracy and out-of-sample evaluation, and summarize four standard prediction algorithms: linear regressions, ridge regressions, decision trees, and random forests (plus k-nearest neighbors, Naïve Bayes classifiers, and support vector machines in the supplementary material). This selection provides a set of powerful models that are implemented regularly in machine learning projects. We demonstrate each method with examples and annotated R code, and discuss best practices for determining sample sizes; comparing model performances; tuning prediction models; preregistering prediction models; and reporting results. Finally, we discuss the value of machine learning methods in maintaining psychology’s status as a predictive science.


Atmosphere ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 66 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sevda Shabani ◽  
Saeed Samadianfard ◽  
Mohammad Taghi Sattari ◽  
Amir Mosavi ◽  
Shahaboddin Shamshirband ◽  
...  

Evaporation is a very important process; it is one of the most critical factors in agricultural, hydrological, and meteorological studies. Due to the interactions of multiple climatic factors, evaporation is considered as a complex and nonlinear phenomenon to model. Thus, machine learning methods have gained popularity in this realm. In the present study, four machine learning methods of Gaussian Process Regression (GPR), K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Random Forest (RF) and Support Vector Regression (SVR) were used to predict the pan evaporation (PE). Meteorological data including PE, temperature (T), relative humidity (RH), wind speed (W), and sunny hours (S) collected from 2011 through 2017. The accuracy of the studied methods was determined using the statistical indices of Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), correlation coefficient (R) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE). Furthermore, the Taylor charts utilized for evaluating the accuracy of the mentioned models. The results of this study showed that at Gonbad-e Kavus, Gorgan and Bandar Torkman stations, GPR with RMSE of 1.521 mm/day, 1.244 mm/day, and 1.254 mm/day, KNN with RMSE of 1.991 mm/day, 1.775 mm/day, and 1.577 mm/day, RF with RMSE of 1.614 mm/day, 1.337 mm/day, and 1.316 mm/day, and SVR with RMSE of 1.55 mm/day, 1.262 mm/day, and 1.275 mm/day had more appropriate performances in estimating PE values. It was found that GPR for Gonbad-e Kavus Station with input parameters of T, W and S and GPR for Gorgan and Bandar Torkmen stations with input parameters of T, RH, W and S had the most accurate predictions and were proposed for precise estimation of PE. The findings of the current study indicated that the PE values may be accurately estimated with few easily measured meteorological parameters.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 832 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chunhua Liao ◽  
Jinfei Wang ◽  
Qinghua Xie ◽  
Ayman Al Baz ◽  
Xiaodong Huang ◽  
...  

Annual crop inventory information is important for many agriculture applications and government statistics. The synergistic use of multi-temporal polarimetric synthetic aperture radar (SAR) and available multispectral remote sensing data can reduce the temporal gaps and provide the spectral and polarimetric information of the crops, which is effective for crop classification in areas with frequent cloud interference. The main objectives of this study are to develop a deep learning model to map agricultural areas using multi-temporal full polarimetric SAR and multi-spectral remote sensing data, and to evaluate the influence of different input features on the performance of deep learning methods in crop classification. In this study, a one-dimensional convolutional neural network (Conv1D) was proposed and tested on multi-temporal RADARSAT-2 and VENµS data for crop classification. Compared with the Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP), Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) and non-deep learning methods including XGBoost, Random Forest (RF), and Support Vector Machina (SVM), the Conv1D performed the best when the multi-temporal RADARSAT-2 data (Pauli decomposition or coherency matrix) and VENµS multispectral data were fused by the Minimum Noise Fraction (MNF) transformation. The Pauli decomposition and coherency matrix gave similar overall accuracy (OA) for Conv1D when fused with the VENµS data by the MNF transformation (OA = 96.65 ± 1.03% and 96.72 ± 0.77%). The MNF transformation improved the OA and F-score for most classes when Conv1D was used. The results reveal that the coherency matrix has a great potential in crop classification and the MNF transformation of multi-temporal RADARSAT-2 and VENµS data can enhance the performance of Conv1D.


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