scholarly journals Residential Property Behavior Forecasting in the Metropolitan City of Milan: Socio-Economic Characteristics as Drivers of Residential Market Value Trends

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (7) ◽  
pp. 3612
Author(s):  
Marzia Morena ◽  
Genny Cia ◽  
Liala Baiardi ◽  
Juan Sebastián Rodríguez Rojas
Keyword(s):  
Hedonic Model ◽  
Hedonic Price ◽  
Analysis Model ◽  
Property Market ◽  
Property Development ◽  
Price Performance ◽  
Real Estate Investments ◽  
Residential Properties ◽  
Asset Class ◽  
Residential Market

The phenomenon of urbanization of cities has been the subject of numerous studies and evaluation protocols proposing to analyze the degree of economic and social sustainability of development projects. Through careful research and synthesis of the theoretical framework regarding residential properties’ performance measurement and forecasting, this paper goes deeper into the proposition of property development as an asset class that represents the biggest share of the Italian property market and yet is avoided by the big portfolios. The analysis model was applied to the city of Milan and its Metropolitan Area. The method is based on the development of correlation indices to evaluate different behaviors, through time and a Geographic Information System (GIS) based on the Hedonic Price Method (HPM). Results from a hedonic model estimated for several recent years suggest that, depending on the particular view, the relation between the rent/price performance and the different external and intrinsic variables can represent a useful parameter for evaluating the feasibility of different real estate investments.

Analysing the Residential Market in Trójmiasto Using Self-Organizing Map

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olgun Aydin ◽  
Krystian Zielinski
Keyword(s):  
Multidimensional Data ◽  
Residential Property ◽  
Self Organizing Map ◽  
Property Market ◽  
Residential Properties ◽  
Price Trends ◽  
Residential Market ◽  
Key Aspects ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Self Organizing

Although the residential property market has strong connections with various sectors, such as construction, logistics, and investment, it works through different dynamics than do other markets; thus, it can be analysed from various perspectives. Researchers and investors are mostly interested in price trends, the impact of external factors on residential property prices, and price prediction. When analysing price trends, it is beneficial to consider multidimensional data that contain attributes of residential properties, such as number of rooms, number of bathrooms, floor number, total floors, and size, as well as proximity to public transport, shops, and banks. Knowing a neighbourhood's key aspects and properties could help investors, real estate development companies, and people looking to buy or rent properties to investigate similar neighbourhoods that may have unusual price trends. In this study, the self-organizing map method was applied to residential property listings in the Trójmiasto area of Poland, where the residential market has recently been quite active. The study aims to group together neighbourhoods and subregions to find similarities between them in terms of price trends and stock. Moreover, this study presents relationships between attributes of residential properties.

scholarly journals A Priori Spatial Segmentation of Commercial Property Market using Hedonic Price Modelling

2021 ◽  
Vol 29 (2) ◽  
pp. 16-28
Author(s):  
Hamza Usman ◽  
Mohd Lizam ◽  
Burhaida Burhan
Keyword(s):  
Housing Market ◽  
Market Segmentation ◽  
A Priori ◽  
Model Fit ◽  
Hedonic Model ◽  
Hedonic Price ◽  
Property Market ◽  
Commercial Property ◽  
Spatial Segmentation ◽  
Property Price

Abstract The improvement of property price modelling accuracy using property market segmentation approaches is well documented in the housing market. However, that cannot be said of the commercial property market which is adjudged to be volatile, heterogeneous and thinly traded. This study, therefore, determines if the commercial property market in Malaysia is spatially segmented into submarkets and whether accounting for the submarkets improves the accuracy of price modelling. Using a 11,460 shop-offices transaction dataset, the commercial property submarkets are delineated by using submarket binary dummies in the market-wide model and estimating a separate hedonic model for each submarket. The former method improves the model fit and reduces error by 5.6% and 6.5% respectively. The commercial property submarkets are better delineated by estimating a separate hedonic model for each submarket as it improves the model fit by about 7% and reduces models’ error by more than 10%. This study concludes that the Malaysian commercial property market is spatially segmented into submarkets. Modelling the submarkets improves the accuracy and correctness of price modelling.

scholarly journals THE DEVELOPMENT OF PENANG SHOP PRICE INDEX (PSPI) USING LASPEYRES HEDONIC PRICE MODEL

2021 ◽  
Vol 19 (17) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohamad Hafiz Jamaludin ◽  
Suriatini Ismail ◽  
Norziha Ismail
Keyword(s):  
Continuous Monitoring ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Hedonic Model ◽  
Hedonic Price ◽  
Price Model ◽  
Property Market ◽  
Pilot Studies ◽  
Commercial Property ◽  
Independent Variables ◽  
Property Price

The index is considered an important benchmark and is a decision-making tool in the financial and capital markets, as well as in the property market. In Malaysia, continuous monitoring of property price movements is important as almost half of banking exposure is on property. Further, NAPIC has published indicators displaying the performance of property such as MHPI and PBO-RI. However, indicators regarding the price of commercial property are still less widely published in Malaysia. This study was conducted to develop indicators related to the price of commercial property, especially to shop property. This study has focused on the state of Penang as a study area. The literature review methodology is used to identify existing methods and practices used in developing the index of commercial property both in Malaysia and internationally. In determining the appropriate form of hedonic functions for the development of PSPI, analysis of dependent and independent variables was performed. Meanwhile, the development of the index is based on the Laspeyres hedonic model which is the same as the development of MHPI and PBO-RI. The development of PSPI will be able to help the industry and investors to make decisions and benchmark the performance of shop. This is also one of the pilot studies in Malaysia to form an indicator of commercial property.

scholarly journals Functional Form Model Specification: An Application to Hedonic Pricing

1995 ◽  
Vol 24 (2) ◽  
pp. 166-173 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jeff E. Brown ◽  
Don E. Ethridge
Keyword(s):  
Functional Form ◽  
Hedonic Pricing ◽  
Hedonic Model ◽  
Model Specification ◽  
Estimation Accuracy ◽  
Hedonic Price ◽  
Partial Regression ◽  
Cotton Price ◽  
Residuals Analysis ◽  
Form Model

A combination of conceptual analysis and empirical analysis—partial regression and residuals analysis—was used to derive an appropriate functional form hedonic price model. These procedures are illustrated in the derivation of a functional form hedonic model for an automated, econometric daily cotton price reporting system for the Texas-Oklahoma cotton market. Following conceptualization to deduce the general shapes of relationships, the appropriate specific functional form was found by testing particular attribute transformations identified from partial regression analysis. Minimizing structural errors across attribute levels and estimation accuracy were used in determining when an appropriate functional form for both implicit and explicit prices was found.

scholarly journals DIVERSIFICATION BENEFITS IN THE FINNISH COMMERCIAL PROPERTY MARKET

2009 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 23-35 ◽  
Author(s):  
Heidi Falkenbach
Keyword(s):  
Real Estate ◽  
21St Century ◽  
Portfolio Theory ◽  
Early Years ◽  
Property Market ◽  
Commercial Property ◽  
Main Motivation ◽  
Real Estate Investments ◽  
Asset Portfolio ◽  
In The Beginning

The Finnish commercial property market internationalised rapidly in the beginning of the 21st century. According to the portfolio theory and previous research on international property investments, the main motivation factor driving international real estate investments is the possibility to reach diversification benefits. The paper discusses the diversification benefits offered by the Finnish property market in its early years of internationalisation. As international real estate investors in the Finnish property market include investors with both real estate only, as well as mixed‐asset portfolios, the diversification benefits are studied both in terms of a Finnish mixed-asset portfolio, as well as international real estate portfolio. Santruka XXI a. pradžioje Suomijos komercinio nekilnojamojo turto rinkoje sparčiai vyko tarptautiniai procesai. Remiantis portfelio teorija ir ankstesniais tyrimais apie tarptautines investicijas i nekilnojamaji turta, pag rindinis veiksnys, kuris skatina tarptautines nekilnojamojo turto investicijas ‐ tai galimybe gauti diversifi kacijos teikiama nauda. Darbe aptariama, kokia nauda siūle Suomijos nekilnojamojo turto rinka ankstyvaisiais internacionalizacijos metais. Kadangi kai kurie Suomijos nekilnojamojo turto rinkoje veikiantys tarptautiniai nekilnojamojo turto investuotojai užsiima tik nekilnojamuoju turtu, o yra ir tokiu, kurie turi mišraus turto portfelius, diversifi kacijos nauda nagrinejama ir pagal Suomijos mišraus turto portfeli, ir pagal tarptautini nekilnojamojo turto portfeli.

scholarly journals Innovative management of rural buildings

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 43-61 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marzia Morena ◽  
Gian Battista Bischetti ◽  
Maria Luisa Del Gatto ◽  
Anna Gornati
Keyword(s):  
Real Estate Market ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
Analysis Tool ◽  
Full Potential ◽  
Analysis Model ◽  
Property Development ◽  
Grazing Land ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Real Estate ◽  
Rural Buildings

Purpose This study forms part of a larger project funded by Cariplo Foundation. The purpose of this paper is to focus on the scope to exploit the full potential and upgrade the functions of abandoned or under-utilized typical highland Alpine pasture systems (made by a complex of grazing fields, buildings for temporal animal and human recovery and dairy production, identified as Malga system or Alpeggio), by adopting the property investor’s point of view. Design/methodology/approach This study has adapted the traditional property development processes to rural buildings, thus generating an analysis model that proves able to define a new destination of use whenever the project considers the reuse of existing facilities. Findings The proposed model analyzes the technological, functional and territory features of the building to be upgraded, to assess the technical feasibility of the changeover project and identify the highest and best use of Malga-systems. The model has been applied to all the Malga-systems in the Orobie Bergamasche Park; it performed a comprehensive assessment of the development potential of the Malga-systems in the same Park. Research limitations/implications The design of the model took into consideration the specificities of the Orobie Bergamasche Park; nevertheless, the method can be taken as an example to be applied to any grazing land in the Alps. Originality/value This research provides the real estate market with a new analysis tool that is specific for the rural buildings, and suitable to streamline the procedures designed to upgrade these properties and to infuse new life into the territories that are experiencing a period of hardship and/or decay.

scholarly journals BRE INDEX FOR THE HONG KONG RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY MARKET

2004 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 105-119 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eddie Chi Man Hui ◽  
Joe Tak Yun Wong
Keyword(s):  
Hong Kong ◽  
Housing Price ◽  
Capital Gains ◽  
Residential Property ◽  
Property Market ◽  
Price Expectations ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
Market Outlook ◽  
Price Trends ◽  
Residential Market

This paper examines housing price trends and prediction, of homeowners and potential home buyers, and establishes an independent index (the BRE Index) based on longitudinal telephone surveys collected. The Index, first of this kind in Hong Kong, measures price expectations and benchmarks the level of housing actors’ confidence in the residential market. This is the first paper delivered as part of a government‐funded research project. It synthesizes the key findings of the first survey mounted from 17th to 20th December, 2003. The results show that confidence among housing actors has begun to grow since the property crash in late 1997 with the “overall” BRE Index standing at 564 (0–1000 range). In general, homeowners, people with higher educational level and higher income are optimistic about the market outlook. Residential property prices are expected to rise marginally in the short term. Statistically, there is no significant difference in housing price expectations between homeowners and non‐owners. In their minds, economic condition is the most important factor affecting housing decisions. Apparently, the rising trends in the immediate past have been used to form expectations. The strength of the association between actual capital gains and forecast capital gains is moderately strong, and there appears co‐movement between them. This leads us to believe that hope‐led expectations increase the likelihood of sustaining price increases. The current market is largely driven by expectations. If households formed their expectations in a similar manner in other periods, there would be similar “positive hit” results, which might render the Index more powerful.

scholarly journals International Real Estate Review

2010 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-29
Author(s):  
Sam K. Hui ◽  
◽  
Alvin Cheung ◽  
Jimmy Pang ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Hong Kong ◽  
Real Estate ◽  
Statistical Method ◽  
Bayesian Approach ◽  
Investment Decisions ◽  
Average Price ◽  
Residential Real Estate ◽  
Property Market ◽  
Residential Properties ◽  
Expert Assessments

We have developed a statistical method for the valuation of residential properties using a hierarchical Bayesian approach, which takes into consideration the unique structure of the Hong Kong property market. Our model is calibrated on a dataset that covers all residential real estate transactions in ten major Hong Kong residential complexes from February 2008 to February 2009. Although parsimonious, our model outperforms other valuation methods that are based on average price-per-square- feet or expert assessments. By providing our model-based valuations online without charge, we hope to improve transparency in the Hong Kong housing market, thus enabling consumers to make better investment decisions.

The Influence of Aircraft Noise on the Prices of Residential Properties on the Example of Poznań

2021 ◽  
Vol 23 ◽  
pp. 263-278
Author(s):  
Cyprian Chwiałkowski ◽  
Adam Zydroń
Keyword(s):  
Significant Influence ◽  
Aircraft Noise ◽  
Fourth Quarter ◽  
Hedonic Regression ◽  
Property Market ◽  
Transaction Prices ◽  
Residential Properties

The article analyses the influence of aircraft noise on the transaction prices of residential premises within the Poznań property market. The paper analyses the set of properties, subject to the transaction from the first to the fourth quarter of 2020. In total, 1550 properties were examined. The study defined basic attributes of all premises, exhibiting the most significant influence on their price. The research conducted using the hedonic regression allowed for the identification of crucial evidence that aircraft noise negatively affects the property transaction prices.

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