scholarly journals Spatiotemporal Pattern of Vegetation Ecology Quality and Its Response to Climate Change between 2000–2017 in China

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 1419
Author(s):  
Chao Li ◽  
Xuemei Li ◽  
Dongliang Luo ◽  
Yi He ◽  
Fangfang Chen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Net Primary Productivity ◽  
Temporal Distribution ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Spatiotemporal Pattern ◽  
Vegetation Ecology ◽  
Area Index ◽  
Important Indicator ◽  
Climate Zone

Vegetation ecology quality (VEQ) is an important indicator for evaluating environmental quality and ecosystem balance. The VEQ in China has changed significantly with global warming and gradual intensification of human activities. It is crucial to research the spatiotemporal characteristics of VEQ and its response to climate change in China. However, most previous studies used a single indicator to reflect VEQ in China, which needs to combine the effects of multiple indicators to reveal its variation characteristics. Based on the six remote sensing indicators, fractional vegetation cover, leaf area index, net primary productivity, vegetation wetness, land surface temperature, and water use efficiency of vegetation, the vegetation ecology quality index (VEQI) was constructed by principal component analysis in this paper. The spatio-temporal distribution and trend characteristic of VEQ within disparate ecosystems in China from 2000 to 2017 were studied. How continuous climate change affected VEQ over time was also analyzed. The results showed that the differences in spatial distribution between the excellent and poor VEQ regions were significant, with the proportion of excellent regions being much larger than that of poor regions. The VEQ has been ameliorated continuously during the past 18 years. Simultaneously, the VEQ would be ameliorated persistently in the future. Differences in the distribution and variation trend of VEQ occurred in disparate ecosystems. The VEQ of broadleaved forest was the best, while that of shrubs and arctic grassland ecosystem was the worst. The VEQ characteristics were different in disparate climate zones, with the best VEQ in the tropical monsoon climate zone and the worst in the plateau mountain climate zone. Except for desert vegetation and paddy field-dominated vegetation, VEQ of other ecosystems were significantly negatively correlated with altitude. Generally, moderate precipitation and temperature were favorable to improve VEQ in China. VEQ during the peak growing season was negatively correlated with temperature and positively correlated with precipitation, and the influence of precipitation on VEQ was stronger than that of temperature. Our results can be used to enact relevant management measures and policies.

Subsoil organic carbon turnover is dominantly controlled by soil properties in grasslands across China

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuehong Shi ◽  
Xiaolu Tang ◽  
Peng Yu ◽  
Li Xu ◽  
Guo Chen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Organic Carbon ◽  
Soil Properties ◽  
Soil Carbon ◽  
Carbon Turnover ◽  
Area Index ◽  
Important Indicator ◽  
Environmental Controls ◽  
Biogeochemical Models ◽  
Soc Stock

<p>Soil carbon turnover time (τ, year) is an important indicator of soil carbon stability, and a major factor in determining soil carbon sequestration capacity. Many studies investigated τ in the topsoil or the first meter underground, however, little is known about subsoil τ (0.2 – 1.0 m) and its environmental drivers, while world subsoils below 0.2 m accounts for the majority of total soil organic carbon (SOC) stock and may be as sensitive as that of the topsoil to climate change. We used the observations from the published literatures to estimate subsoil τ (the ratio of SOC stock to net primary productivity) in grasslands across China and employed regression analysis to detect the environmental controls on subsoil τ. Finally, structural equation modelling (SEM) was applied to identify the dominant environmental driver (including climate, vegetation and soil). Results showed that subsoil τ varied greatly from 5.52 to 702.17 years, and the mean (± standard deviation) subsoil τ was 118.5 ± 97.8 years. Subsoil τ varied significantly among different grassland types that it was 164.0 ± 112.0 years for alpine meadow, 107.0 ± 47.9 years for alpine steppe, 177.0 ± 143.0 years for temperate desert steppe, 96.6 ± 88.7 years for temperate meadow steppe, 101.0 ± 75.9 years for temperate typical steppe. Subsoil τ significantly and negatively correlated (p < 0.05) with vegetation index, leaf area index and gross primary production, highlighting the importance of vegetation on τ. Mean annual temperature (MAT) and precipitation (MAP) had a negative impact on subsoil τ, indicating a faster turnover of soil carbon with the increasing of MAT or MAP under ongoing climate change. SEM showed that soil properties, such as soil bulk density, cation exchange capacity and soil silt, were the most important variables driving subsoil τ, challenging our current understanding of climatic drivers (MAT and MAP) controlling on topsoil τ, further providing new evidence that different mechanisms control topsoil and subsoil τ. These conclusions demonstrated that different environmental controls should be considered for reliable prediction of soil carbon dynamics in the top and subsoils in biogeochemical models or earth system models at regional or global scales.</p>

scholarly journals A representation of the phosphorus cycle for ORCHIDEE (revision 3985)

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel S. Goll ◽  
Nicolas Vuichard ◽  
Fabienne Maignan ◽  
Albert Jornet-Puig ◽  
Jordi Sardans ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Primary Productivity ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Net Primary Productivity ◽  
Nutrient Content ◽  
Soil Development ◽  
Nutrient Concentrations ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Phosphorus Cycle ◽  
Area Index ◽  
Leaf Level

Abstract. Land surface models rarely incorporate the terrestrial phosphorus cycle and its interactions with the carbon cycle, despite the extensive scientific debate about the importance of nitrogen and phosphorus supply for future land carbon uptake. We describe a representation of the terrestrial phosphorus cycle for the land surface model ORCHIDEE, and evaluate it with data from nutrient manipulation experiments along a soil formation chronosequence in Hawaii. ORCHIDEE accounts for influence of nutritional state of vegetation on tissue nutrient concentrations, photosynthesis, plant growth, biomass allocation, biochemical (phosphatase-mediated) mineralization and biological nitrogen fixation. Changes in nutrient content (quality) of litter affect the carbon use efficiency of decomposition and in return the nutrient availability to vegetation. The model explicitly accounts for root zone depletion of phosphorus as a function of root phosphorus uptake and phosphorus transport from soil to the root surface. The model captures the observed differences in the foliage stoichiometry of vegetation between an early (300yr) and a late stage (4.1 Myr) of soil development. The contrasting sensitivities of net primary productivity to the addition of either nitrogen, phosphorus or both among sites are in general reproduced by the model. As observed, the model simulates a preferential stimulation of leaf level productivity when nitrogen stress is alleviated, while leaf level productivity and leaf area index are stimulated equally when phosphorus stress is alleviated. The nutrient use efficiencies in the model are lower as observed primarily due to biases in the nutrient content and turnover of woody biomass. We conclude that ORCHIDEE is able to reproduce the shift from nitrogen to phosphorus limited net primary productivity along the soil development chronosequence, as well as the contrasting responses of net primary productivity to nutrient addition.

scholarly journals Effects of Forest Changes on Summer Surface Temperature in Changbai Mountain, China

Forests ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (11) ◽  
pp. 1551
Author(s):  
Jiaqi Zhang ◽  
Xiangjin Shen ◽  
Yanji Wang ◽  
Ming Jiang ◽  
Xianguo Lu
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Changbai Mountain ◽  
Vegetation Coverage ◽  
Area Index ◽  
Forest Coverage ◽  
Cooling Effects

The area and vegetation coverage of forests in Changbai Mountain of China have changed significantly during the past decades. Understanding the effects of forests and forest coverage change on regional climate is important for predicting climate change in Changbai Mountain. Based on the satellite-derived land surface temperature (LST), albedo, evapotranspiration, leaf area index, and land-use data, this study analyzed the influences of forests and forest coverage changes on summer LST in Changbai Mountain. Results showed that the area and vegetation coverage of forests increased in Changbai Mountain from 2003 to 2017. Compared with open land, forests could decrease the summer daytime LST (LSTD) and nighttime LST (LSTN) by 1.10 °C and 0.07 °C, respectively. The increase in forest coverage could decrease the summer LSTD and LSTN by 0.66 °C and 0.04 °C, respectively. The forests and increasing forest coverage had cooling effects on summer temperature, mainly by decreasing daytime temperature in Changbai Mountain. The daytime cooling effect is mainly related to the increased latent heat flux caused by increasing evapotranspiration. Our results suggest that the effects of forest coverage change on climate should be considered in climate models for accurately simulating regional climate change in Changbai Mountain of China.

Global long-term land surface temperature for NOAA AVHRR: extension from 1981-2000 to 1981-2020

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jin Ma ◽  
Ji Zhou
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Land Surface Temperature ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Global Scale ◽  
Mean Bias Error ◽  
Bias Error ◽  
Important Indicator ◽  
Noaa Avhrr

<p>As an important indicator of land-atmosphere energy interaction, land surface temperature (LST) plays an important role in the research of climate change, hydrology, and various land surface processes. Compared with traditional ground-based observation, satellite remote sensing provides the possibility to retrieve LST more efficiently over a global scale. Since the lack of global LST before, Ma et al., (2020) released a global 0.05 ×0.05  long-term (1981-2000) LST based on NOAA-7/9/11/14 AVHRR. The dataset includes three layers: (1) instantaneous LST, a product generated based on an ensemble of several split-window algorithms with a random forest (RF-SWA); (2) orbital-drift-corrected (ODC) LST, a drift-corrected version of RF-SWA LST at 14:30 solar time; and (3) monthly averages of ODC LST. To meet the requirement of the long-term application, e.g. climate change, the period of the LST is extended from 1981-2000 to 1981-2020 in this study. The LST from 2001 to 2020 are retrieved from NOAA-16/18/19 AVHRR with the same algorithm for NOAA-7/8/11/14 AVHRR. The train and test results based on the simulation data from SeeBor and TIGR atmospheric profiles show that the accuracy of the RF-SWA method for the three sensors is consistent with the previous four sensors, i.e. the mean bias error and standard deviation less than 0.10 K and 1.10 K, respectively, under the assumption that the maximum emissivity and water vapor content uncertainties are 0.04 and 1.0 g/cm<sup>2</sup>, respectively. The preliminary validation against <em>in-situ</em> LST also shows a similar accuracy, indicating that the accuracy of LST from 1981 to 2020 are consistent with each other. In the generation code, the new LST has been improved in terms of land surface emissivity estimation, identification of cloud pixel, and the ODC method in order to generate a more reliable LST dataset. Up to now, the new version LST product (1981-2020) is under generating and will be released soon in support of the scientific research community.</p>

Potential natural vegetation dynamics driven by future long-term climate change and its hydrological impacts in the Hanjiang River basin, China

2012 ◽  
Vol 43 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 73-90 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fei Yuan ◽  
Liliang Ren ◽  
Zhongbo Yu ◽  
Yonghua Zhu ◽  
Jing Xu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
River Basin ◽  
21St Century ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Natural Vegetation ◽  
Potential Natural Vegetation ◽  
Area Index ◽  
Hanjiang River ◽  
Ipcc Sres

Vegetation and land-surface hydrology are intrinsically linked under long-term climate change. This paper aims to evaluate the dynamics of potential natural vegetation arising from 21st century climate change and its possible impact on the water budget of the Hanjiang River basin in China. Based on predictions of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (IPCC-SRES) A1 scenario from the PRECIS (Providing Regional Climates for Impact Studies) regional climate model, changes in plant functional types (PFTs) and leaf area index (LAI) were simulated via the Lund-Potsdam-Jena dynamic global vegetation model. Subsequently, predicted PFTs and LAIs were employed in the Xinanjiang vegetation-hydrology model for rainfall–runoff simulations. Results reveal that future long-term changes in precipitation, air temperature and atmospheric CO2 concentration would remarkably affect the spatiotemporal distribution of PFTs and LAIs. These climate-driven vegetation changes would further influence regional water balance. With the decrease in forest cover in the 21st century, plant transpiration and evaporative loss of intercepted canopy water will tend to fall while soil evaporation may rise considerably. As a result, total evapotranspiration may increase moderately with a slight increase in annual runoff depth. This indicates that, for long-term hydrological prediction, climate-induced changes in terrestrial vegetation cannot be neglected as the terrestrial biosphere plays an important role in land-surface hydrological responses.

scholarly journals Global sensitivity analysis of the climate–vegetation system to astronomical forcing: an emulator-based approach

2015 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 205-224 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. Bounceur ◽  
M. Crucifix ◽  
R. D. Wilkinson
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Global Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Arctic Region ◽  
Global Sensitivity ◽  
Oscillatory Pattern ◽  
Astronomical Forcing

Abstract. A global sensitivity analysis is performed to describe the effects of astronomical forcing on the climate–vegetation system simulated by the model of intermediate complexity LOVECLIM in interglacial conditions. The methodology relies on the estimation of sensitivity measures, using a Gaussian process emulator as a fast surrogate of the climate model, calibrated on a set of well-chosen experiments. The outputs considered are the annual mean temperature and precipitation and the growing degree days (GDD). The experiments were run on two distinct land surface schemes to estimate the importance of vegetation feedbacks on climate variance. This analysis provides a spatial description of the variance due to the factors and their combinations, in the form of "fingerprints" obtained from the covariance indices. The results are broadly consistent with the current under-standing of Earth's climate response to the astronomical forcing. In particular, precession and obliquity are found to contribute in LOVECLIM equally to GDD in the Northern Hemisphere, and the effect of obliquity on the response of Southern Hemisphere temperature dominates precession effects. Precession dominates precipitation changes in subtropical areas. Compared to standard approaches based on a small number of simulations, the methodology presented here allows us to identify more systematically regions susceptible to experiencing rapid climate change in response to the smooth astronomical forcing change. In particular, we find that using interactive vegetation significantly enhances the expected rates of climate change, specifically in the Sahel (up to 50% precipitation change in 1000 years) and in the Canadian Arctic region (up to 3° in 1000 years). None of the tested astronomical configurations were found to induce multiple steady states, but, at low obliquity, we observed the development of an oscillatory pattern that has already been reported in LOVECLIM. Although the mathematics of the analysis are fairly straightforward, the emulation approach still requires considerable care in its implementation. We discuss the effect of the choice of length scales and the type of emulator, and estimate uncertainties associated with specific computational aspects, to conclude that the principal component emulator is a good option for this kind of application.

scholarly journals Climate Change Impacts on the Future of Forests in Great Britain

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jianjun Yu ◽  
Pam Berry ◽  
Benoit P. Guillod ◽  
Thomas Hickler
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Great Britain ◽  
Tree Species ◽  
Net Primary Productivity ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Climate Change Impacts ◽  
Physiological Effects ◽  
Area Index ◽  
Projected Change ◽  
The Mean

Forests provide important ecosystem services but are being affected by climate change, not only changes in temperature and precipitation but potentially also directly through the plant-physiological effects of increases in atmospheric CO2. We applied a tree-species-based dynamic model (LPJ-GUESS) at a high 5-km spatial resolution to project climate and CO2 impacts on tree species and thus forests in Great Britain. Climatic inputs consisted of a novel large climate scenario ensemble derived from a regional climate model (RCM) under an RCP 8.5 emission scenario. The climate change impacts were assessed using leaf area index (LAI) and net primary productivity (NPP) for the 2030s and the 2080s compared to baseline (1975–2004). The potential CO2 effects, which are highly uncertain, were examined using a constant CO2 level scenario for comparison. Also, a climate vulnerability index was developed to assess the potential drought impact on modeled tree species. In spite of substantial future reductions in rainfall, the mean projected LAI and NPP generally showed an increase over Britain, with a larger increment in Scotland, northwest England, and west Wales. The CO2 increase led to higher projected LAI and NPP, especially in northern Britain, but with little effect on overall geographical patterns. However, without accounting for plant-physiological effects of elevated CO2, NPP in Southern and Central Britain and easternmost parts of Wales showed a decrease relative to 2011, implying less ecosystem service provisioning, e.g., in terms of timber yields and carbon storage. The projected change of LAI and NPP varied from 5 to 100% of the mean change, due to the uncertainty arising from natural weather-induced variability, with Southeast England being most sensitive to this. It was also the most susceptible to climate change and drought, with reduced suitability for broad-leaved trees such as beech, small-leaved lime, and hornbeam. These could lead to important changes in woodland composition across Great Britain.

scholarly journals JULES-crop: a parametrisation of crops in the Joint UK Land Environment Simulator

2014 ◽  
Vol 7 (5) ◽  
pp. 6773-6809
Author(s):  
T. Osborne ◽  
J. Gornall ◽  
J. Hooker ◽  
K. Williams ◽  
A. Wiltshire ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Water Security ◽  
Climate Change Impacts ◽  
Heat Fluxes ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Yield Model ◽  
Area Index ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. Studies of climate change impacts on the terrestrial biosphere have been completed without recognition of the integrated nature of the biosphere. Improved assessment of the impacts of climate change on food and water security requires the development and use of models not only representing each component but also their interactions. To meet this requirement the Joint UK Land Environment Simulator (JULES) land surface model has been modified to include a generic parametrisation of annual crops. The new model, JULES-crop, is described and evaluation at global and site levels for the four globally important crops; wheat, soy bean, maize and rice is presented. JULES-crop demonstrates skill in simulating the inter-annual variations of yield for maize and soy bean at the global level, and for wheat for major spring wheat producing countries. The impact of the new parametrisation, compared to the standard configuration, on the simulation of surface heat fluxes is largely an alteration of the partitioning between latent and sensible heat fluxes during the later part of the growing season. Further evaluation at the site level shows the model captures the seasonality of leaf area index and canopy height better than in standard JULES. However, this does not lead to an improvement in the simulation of sensible and latent heat fluxes. The performance of JULES-crop from both an earth system and crop yield model perspective is encouraging however, more effort is needed to develop the parameterisation of the model for specific applications. Key future model developments identified include the specification of the yield gap to enable better representation of the spatial variability in yield.

scholarly journals Comprehensive Assessment of the Effect of Urban Built-Up Land Expansion and Climate Change on Net Primary Productivity

Complexity ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pengyan Zhang ◽  
Yanyan Li ◽  
Wenlong Jing ◽  
Dan Yang ◽  
Yu Zhang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Land Use ◽  
Land Use Change ◽  
Primary Productivity ◽  
Net Primary Productivity ◽  
Urban Expansion ◽  
Ecosystem Functions ◽  
Rapid Urbanization ◽  
Important Indicator ◽  
The Impact

Urbanization is causing profound changes in ecosystem functions at local and regional scales. The net primary productivity (NPP) is an important indicator of global change, rapid urbanization and climate change will have a significant impact on NPP, and urban expansion and climate change in different regions have different impacts on NPP, especially in densely populated areas. However, to date, efforts to quantify urban expansion and climate change have been limited, and the impact of long-term continuous changes in NPP has not been well understood. Based on land use data, night light data, NPP data, climate data, and a series of social and economic data, we performed a comprehensive analysis of land use change in terms of type and intensity and explored the pattern of urban expansion and its relationship with NPP and climate change for the period of 2000–2015, taking Zhengzhou, China, as an example. The results show that the major form of land use change was cropland to built-up land during the 2000–2015 period, with a total area of 367.51 km2 converted. The NPP exhibited a generally increasing trend in the study area except for built-up land and water area. The average correlation coefficients between temperature and NPP and precipitation and NPP were 0.267 and 0.020, respectively, indicating that an increase in temperature and precipitation can promote NPP despite significant spatial differences. During the examined period, most expansion areas exhibited an increasing NPP trend, indicating that the influence of urban expansion on NPP is mainly characterized by an evident influence of the expansion area. The study can provide a reference for Zhengzhou and even the world's practical research to improve land use efficiency, increase agricultural productivity and natural carbon sinks, and maintain low-carbon development.

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