scholarly journals Air Pollution Prediction Using an Ensemble of Dynamic Transfer Models for Multivariate Time Series

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 1367
Author(s):  
Taewoon Kong ◽  
Dongguen Choi ◽  
Geonseok Lee ◽  
Kichun Lee

Entering a new era of big data, analysis of large amounts of real-time data is important, and air quality data as streaming time series are measured by several different sensors. To this end, numerous methods for time-series forecasting and deep-learning approaches based on neural networks have been used. However, they usually rely on a certain model with a stationary condition, and there are few studies of real-time prediction of dynamic massive multivariate data. Use of a variety of independent variables included in the data is important to improve forecasting performance. In this paper, we proposed a real-time prediction approach based on an ensemble method for multivariate time-series data. The suggested method can select multivariate time-series variables and incorporate real-time updatable autoregressive models in terms of performance. We verified the proposed model using simulated data and applied it to predict air quality measured by five sensors and failures based on real-time performance log data in server systems. We found that the proposed method for air pollution prediction showed effective and stable performance for both short- and long-term prediction tasks. In addition, traditional methods for abnormality detection have focused on present status of objects as either normal or abnormal based on provided data, we protectively predict expected statuses of objects with provided real-time data and implement effective system management in cloud environments through the proposed method.

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (2.6) ◽  
pp. 107 ◽  
Author(s):  
Neeraj Kumar Singh ◽  
Amardeep Kumar ◽  
Rajesh Singh ◽  
Anita .

With the rapid increase in urbanization, there is a huge and urgent need of controlling the air quality so that we can breathe freely. We need oxygen to live and sustain life and for that controlling the environment is must otherwise it would create a great damage. According to a survey, pollution is claiming one life every 23 seconds in India and the figure can go to an extent of 1 billion people dying due to air pollution by 2030. If there would be something free on earth then it would be just Carbon. The earliest step we can take towards this cause is the detection pollutants present in the atmosphere after which the action can be taken against these pollutants. The detection can be done by the use of various sensors like MQ-2, MQ-135, DHT-11, PM10/PM2.5, AQM65 etc. and then obtaining the real-time data to the local servers by the means of IoT. The pollutants can be easily monitored when connected through the internet and local servers. The sensors will work upon a micro-controller which is used to store the data and transmission of data to the servers. Afterwards, the data can be easily accessible on the application developed.


2018 ◽  
Vol 210 ◽  
pp. 03008
Author(s):  
Aparajita Das ◽  
Manash Pratim Sarma ◽  
Kandarpa Kumar Sarma ◽  
Nikos Mastorakis

This paper describes the design of an operative prototype based on Internet of Things (IoT) concepts for real time monitoring of various environmental conditions using certain commonly available and low cost sensors. The various environmental conditions such as temperature, humidity, air pollution, sun light intensity and rain are continuously monitored, processed and controlled by an Arduino Uno microcontroller board with the help of several sensors. Captured data are broadcasted through internet with an ESP8266 Wi-Fi module. The projected system delivers sensors data to an API called ThingSpeak over an HTTP protocol and allows storing of data. The proposed system works well and it shows reliability. The prototype has been used to monitor and analyse real time data using graphical information of the environment.


The surveys regarding air pollution shows that there has been a hasty growth due to the emission of fuels and exhaust gases from factories. The Air Quality Index (AQI) has been launched to note the contemporary status of the air quality. The intent of AQI is to aid every individual know how the regional air quality will make an impact on them. The Environmental Protection Agency assess the AQI for five major air pollutants namely Nitrogen dioxide (NO2), ground-level ozone (O3), particle pollution (PM10, PM2.5), carbon monoxide (CO), and sulphur dioxide (SO2). The intent of the project is to congregate real-time Air Quality Index from distinct monitoring stations across India, analysing the data and reporting on it. Collect the real-time data using the API key provided by Open Government Data (OGD) platform India. This is done by making use of Microsoft Business Intelligence (MSBI) and Power BI Tools to transform, analyse and visualize the data. This project can be utilized to develop various programs like Ozone today in Europe and in mobile applications which acts as an alert system that can protect people from air pollution.


2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (7) ◽  
pp. 2401 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ditsuhi Iskandaryan ◽  
Francisco Ramos ◽  
Sergio Trilles

The influence of machine learning technologies is rapidly increasing and penetrating almost in every field, and air pollution prediction is not being excluded from those fields. This paper covers the revision of the studies related to air pollution prediction using machine learning algorithms based on sensor data in the context of smart cities. Using the most popular databases and executing the corresponding filtration, the most relevant papers were selected. After thorough reviewing those papers, the main features were extracted, which served as a base to link and compare them to each other. As a result, we can conclude that: (1) instead of using simple machine learning techniques, currently, the authors apply advanced and sophisticated techniques, (2) China was the leading country in terms of a case study, (3) Particulate matter with diameter equal to 2.5 micrometers was the main prediction target, (4) in 41% of the publications the authors carried out the prediction for the next day, (5) 66% of the studies used data had an hourly rate, (6) 49% of the papers used open data and since 2016 it had a tendency to increase, and (7) for efficient air quality prediction it is important to consider the external factors such as weather conditions, spatial characteristics, and temporal features.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 265-285
Author(s):  
Wedad Alahamade ◽  
Iain Lake ◽  
Claire E. Reeves ◽  
Beatriz De La Iglesia

Abstract. Air pollution is one of the world's leading risk factors for death, with 6.5 million deaths per year worldwide attributed to air-pollution-related diseases. Understanding the behaviour of certain pollutants through air quality assessment can produce improvements in air quality management that will translate to health and economic benefits. However, problems with missing data and uncertainty hinder that assessment. We are motivated by the need to enhance the air pollution data available. We focus on the problem of missing air pollutant concentration data either because a limited set of pollutants is measured at a monitoring site or because an instrument is not operating, so a particular pollutant is not measured for a period of time. In our previous work, we have proposed models which can impute a whole missing time series to enhance air quality monitoring. Some of these models are based on a multivariate time series (MVTS) clustering method. Here, we apply our method to real data and show how different graphical and statistical model evaluation functions enable us to select the imputation model that produces the most plausible imputations. We then compare the Daily Air Quality Index (DAQI) values obtained after imputation with observed values incorporating missing data. Our results show that using an ensemble model that aggregates the spatial similarity obtained by the geographical correlation between monitoring stations and the fused temporal similarity between pollutant concentrations produces very good imputation results. Furthermore, the analysis enhances understanding of the different pollutant behaviours and of the characteristics of different stations according to their environmental type.


2017 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 145-165 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kehe Wu ◽  
Yayun Zhu ◽  
Quan Li ◽  
Ziwei Wu

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to propose a data prediction framework for scenarios which require forecasting demand for large-scale data sources, e.g., sensor networks, securities exchange, electric power secondary system, etc. Concretely, the proposed framework should handle several difficult requirements including the management of gigantic data sources, the need for a fast self-adaptive algorithm, the relatively accurate prediction of multiple time series, and the real-time demand. Design/methodology/approach First, the autoregressive integrated moving average-based prediction algorithm is introduced. Second, the processing framework is designed, which includes a time-series data storage model based on the HBase, and a real-time distributed prediction platform based on Storm. Then, the work principle of this platform is described. Finally, a proof-of-concept testbed is illustrated to verify the proposed framework. Findings Several tests based on Power Grid monitoring data are provided for the proposed framework. The experimental results indicate that prediction data are basically consistent with actual data, processing efficiency is relatively high, and resources consumption is reasonable. Originality/value This paper provides a distributed real-time data prediction framework for large-scale time-series data, which can exactly achieve the requirement of the effective management, prediction efficiency, accuracy, and high concurrency for massive data sources.


Sensors ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (18) ◽  
pp. 5448 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sharnil Pandya ◽  
Hemant Ghayvat ◽  
Anirban Sur ◽  
Muhammad Awais ◽  
Ketan Kotecha ◽  
...  

Air pollution has been a looming issue of the 21st century that has also significantly impacted the surrounding environment and societal health. Recently, previous studies have conducted extensive research on air pollution and air quality monitoring. Despite this, the fields of air pollution and air quality monitoring remain plagued with unsolved problems. In this study, the Pollution Weather Prediction System (PWP) is proposed to perform air pollution prediction for outdoor sites for various pollution parameters. In the presented research work, we introduced a PWP system configured with pollution-sensing units, such as SDS021, MQ07-CO, NO2-B43F, and Aeroqual Ozone (O3). These sensing units were utilized to collect and measure various pollutant levels, such as PM2.5, PM10, CO, NO2, and O3, for 90 days at Symbiosis International University, Pune, Maharashtra, India. The data collection was carried out between the duration of December 2019 to February 2020 during the winter. The investigation results validate the success of the presented PWP system. In the conducted experiments, linear regression and artificial neural network (ANN)-based AQI (air quality index) predictions were performed. Furthermore, the presented study also found that the customized linear regression methodology outperformed other machine-learning methods, such as linear, ridge, Lasso, Bayes, Huber, Lars, Lasso-lars, stochastic gradient descent (SGD), and ElasticNet regression methodologies, and the customized ANN regression methodology used in the conducted experiments. The overall AQI values of the air pollutants were calculated based on the summation of the AQI values of all the presented air pollutants. In the end, the web and mobile interfaces were developed to display air pollution prediction values of a variety of air pollutants.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document