scholarly journals Risk Assessment of Resources Exposed to Rainfall Induced Landslide with the Development of GIS and RS Based Ensemble Metaheuristic Machine Learning Algorithms

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 457
Author(s):  
Javed Mallick ◽  
Saeed Alqadhi ◽  
Swapan Talukdar ◽  
Majed AlSubih ◽  
Mohd. Ahmed ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Natural Resources ◽  
Return Period ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Landslide Hazard ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Return Periods ◽  
Grey Wolf ◽  
Very High

Disastrous natural hazards, such as landslides, floods, and forest fires cause a serious threat to natural resources, assets and human lives. Consequently, landslide risk assessment has become requisite for managing the resources in future. This study was designed to develop four ensemble metaheuristic machine learning algorithms, such as grey wolf optimized based artificial neural network (GW-ANN), grey wolf optimized based random forest (GW-RF), particle swarm optimization optimized based ANN (PSO-ANN), and PSO optimized based RF for modeling rainfall-induced landslide susceptibility (LS) in Aqabat Al-Sulbat, Asir region, Saudi Arabia, which observes landslide frequently. To obtain very high precision and robust prediction from machine learning algorithms, the grey wolf and PSO optimization algorithms were integrated to develop new ensemble machine learning techniques. Subsequently, LS maps produced by training dataset were validated using the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve based on the testing dataset. Based on the area under curve (AUC) value of ROC curve, the best method for LS modeling was selected. We developed ROC curve-based sensitivity analysis to investigate the influence of the parameters for LS modeling. The Gumble extreme value distribution was employed to estimate the rainfall at 2, 5, 10, 20, 50, and 100 year return periods. Then, the landslide hazard maps were prepared at different return periods by integrating the best LS model and estimated rainfall at different return periods. The theory of danger pixels was employed to prepare a final risk assessment of the resources, which have been exposed to the landslide. The results showed that 27–42 and 6–15 km2 were predicted as the very high and high LS zones using four ensemble metaheuristic machine learning algorithms. Based on the area under curve (AUC) of ROC, GR-ANN (AUC-0.905) appeared as the best model for LS modeling. The areas under high and very high landslide hazard were gradually increased over the progression of time (26 km2 at the 2 year return period and 40 km2 at the 100 year return period for the high landslide hazard zone, and 6 km2 at the 2 year return period and 20 km2 at the 100 year return period for the very high landslide hazard zone). Similarly, the areas of danger pixel also increased gradually from the 2 to 100 year return periods (37 km2 to 62 km2). Various natural resources, such as scrubland, built up, and sparse vegetation, were identified under risk zone due to landslide hazards. In addition, these resources would be exposed extensively to landslides over the advancement of return periods. Therefore, the outcome of the present study will help planners and scientists to propose high precision management plans for protecting natural resources, which have been exposed to landslides.

scholarly journals Tree Species Classification in Mixed Deciduous Forests Using Very High Spatial Resolution Satellite Imagery and Machine Learning Methods

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (23) ◽  
pp. 3926
Author(s):  
Martina Deur ◽  
Mateo Gašparović ◽  
Ivan Balenović
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Satellite Imagery ◽  
Tree Species ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Spectral Characteristics ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Species Classification ◽  
Tree Species Classification ◽  
Very High

Spatially explicit information on tree species composition is important for both the forest management and conservation sectors. In combination with machine learning algorithms, very high-resolution satellite imagery may provide an effective solution to reduce the need for labor-intensive and time-consuming field-based surveys. In this study, we evaluated the possibility of using multispectral WorldView-3 (WV-3) satellite imagery for the classification of three main tree species (Quercus robur L., Carpinus betulus L., and Alnus glutinosa (L.) Geartn.) in a lowland, mixed deciduous forest in central Croatia. The pixel-based supervised classification was performed using two machine learning algorithms: random forest (RF) and support vector machine (SVM). Additionally, the contribution of gray level cooccurrence matrix (GLCM) texture features from WV-3 imagery in tree species classification was evaluated. Principal component analysis confirmed GLCM variance to be the most significant texture feature. Of the 373 visually interpreted reference polygons, 237 were used as training polygons and 136 were used as validation polygons. The validation results show relatively high overall accuracy (85%) for tree species classification based solely on WV-3 spectral characteristics and the RF classification approach. As expected, an improvement in classification accuracy was achieved by a combination of spectral and textural features. With the additional use of GLCM variance, the overall accuracy improved by 10% and 7% for RF and SVM classification approaches, respectively.

Predicting the Authenticity of Banknotes Using Supervised Learning

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 1-4
Author(s):  
Priyam Guha ◽  
Abhishek Mukherjee ◽  
Abhishek Verma
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Supervised Learning ◽  
Confusion Matrix ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
High Accuracy ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Supervised Machine Learning ◽  
False Negatives ◽  
Supervised Learning Algorithms ◽  
Very High

This research paper deals with using supervised machine learning algorithms to detect authenticity of bank notes. In this research we were successful in achieving very high accuracy (of the order of 99%) by applying some data preprocessing tricks and then running the processed data on supervised learning algorithms like SVM, Decision Trees, Logistic Regression, KNN. We then proceed to analyze the misclassified points. We examine the confusion matrix to find out which algorithms had more number of false positives and which algorithm had more number of False negatives. This research paper deals with using supervised machine learning algorithms to detect authenticity of bank notes. In this research we were successful in achieving very high accuracy (of the order of 99%) by applying some data preprocessing tricks and then running the processed data on supervised learning algorithms like SVM, Decision Trees, Logistic Regression, KNN. We then proceed to analyze the misclassified points. We examine the confusion matrix to find out which algorithms had more number of false positives and which algorithm had more number of False negatives.

scholarly journals Neonatal mortality prediction with routinely collected data: a machine learning approach

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
André F. M. Batista ◽  
Carmen S. G. Diniz ◽  
Eliana A. Bonilha ◽  
Ichiro Kawachi ◽  
Alexandre D. P. Chiavegatto Filho
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Neonatal Mortality ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Predictive Performance ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Neonatal Deaths ◽  
Routinely Collected Data ◽  
Birth Records ◽  
Predicted Risk ◽  
Very High

Abstract Background Recent decreases in neonatal mortality have been slower than expected for most countries. This study aims to predict the risk of neonatal mortality using only data routinely available from birth records in the largest city of the Americas. Methods A probabilistic linkage of every birth record occurring in the municipality of São Paulo, Brazil, between 2012 e 2017 was performed with the death records from 2012 to 2018 (1,202,843 births and 447,687 deaths), and a total of 7282 neonatal deaths were identified (a neonatal mortality rate of 6.46 per 1000 live births). Births from 2012 and 2016 (N = 941,308; or 83.44% of the total) were used to train five different machine learning algorithms, while births occurring in 2017 (N = 186,854; or 16.56% of the total) were used to test their predictive performance on new unseen data. Results The best performance was obtained by the extreme gradient boosting trees (XGBoost) algorithm, with a very high AUC of 0.97 and F1-score of 0.55. The 5% births with the highest predicted risk of neonatal death included more than 90% of the actual neonatal deaths. On the other hand, there were no deaths among the 5% births with the lowest predicted risk. There were no significant differences in predictive performance for vulnerable subgroups. The use of a smaller number of variables (WHO’s five minimum perinatal indicators) decreased overall performance but the results still remained high (AUC of 0.91). With the addition of only three more variables, we achieved the same predictive performance (AUC of 0.97) as using all the 23 variables originally available from the Brazilian birth records. Conclusion Machine learning algorithms were able to identify with very high predictive performance the neonatal mortality risk of newborns using only routinely collected data.

scholarly journals Risk Assessment and Its Visualization of Power Tower under Typhoon Disaster Based on Machine Learning Algorithms

Energies ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 205 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hui Hou ◽  
Shiwen Yu ◽  
Hongbin Wang ◽  
Yong Huang ◽  
Hao Wu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Goodness Of Fit ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Knowledge Extraction ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Combined Model ◽  
Data Layer ◽  
Typhoon Disaster

For power system disaster prevention and mitigation, risk assessment and visualization under typhoon disaster have important scientific significance and engineering value. However, current studies have problems such as incomplete factors, strong subjectivity, complicated calculations, and so on. Therefore, a novel risk assessment and its visualization system consisting of a data layer, knowledge extraction layer, and visualization layer on power towers under typhoon disaster are proposed. On the data layer, a spatial multi-source heterogeneous information database is built based on equipment operation information, meteorological information, and geographic information. On the knowledge extraction layer, six intelligent risk prediction models are established based on machine learning algorithms by hyperparameter optimization. Then the relative optimal model is selected by comparing five evaluation indicators, and the combined model consisting of five relatively superior models is established by goodness of fit method with unequal weight. On the visualization layer, the predicted results are visualized with accuracy of 1   km × 1   km by ArcGIS 10.4. In results, the power tower damage risk assessment is carried out in a Chinese coastal city under the typhoon ‘Mujigae’. By comparing predicted distribution and similarity indicator of the combined model with those of the other models, it is shown that the combined model is superior not only in quality but also in quantity.

scholarly journals Enterprise Risk Assessment Based on Machine Learning

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-6
Author(s):  
Boning Huang ◽  
Junkang Wei ◽  
Yuhong Tang ◽  
Chang Liu
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Assessment Model ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Technology ◽  
Risk Assessment Model ◽  
Enterprise Risk ◽  
Specific Implementation

Scientific risk assessment is an important guarantee for the healthy development of an enterprise. With the continuous development and maturity of machine learning technology, it has played an important role in the field of data prediction and risk assessment. This paper conducts research on the application of machine learning technology in enterprise risk assessment. According to the existing literature, this paper uses three machine learning algorithms, i.e., random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), and AdaBoost, to evaluate enterprise risk. In the specific implementation, the enterprise’s risk assessment indexes are first established, which comprehensively describe the various risks faced by the enterprise through a number of parameters. Then, the three types of machine learning algorithms are trained based on historical data to build a risk assessment model. Finally, for a set of risk indicators obtained under current conditions, the risk index is output through the risk assessment model. In the experiment, some actual data are used to analyze and verify the method, and the results show that the proposed three types of machine learning algorithms can effectively evaluate enterprise risks.

Credit Risk Assessment Using Machine Learning Algorithms

2017 ◽  
Vol 23 (4) ◽  
pp. 3649-3653 ◽  
Author(s):  
Girija V. Attigeri ◽  
M. M. Manohara Pai ◽  
Radhika M Pai
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Credit Risk ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Credit Risk Assessment
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