scholarly journals Spatial Simulation Modeling of Settlement Distribution Driven by Random Forest: Consideration of Landscape Visibility

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (11) ◽  
pp. 4748
Author(s):  
Minrui Zheng ◽  
Wenwu Tang ◽  
Akinwumi Ogundiran ◽  
Jianxin Yang

Settlement models help to understand the social–ecological functioning of landscape and associated land use and land cover change. One of the issues of settlement modeling is that models are typically used to explore the relationship between settlement locations and associated influential factors (e.g., slope and aspect). However, few studies in settlement modeling adopted landscape visibility analysis. Landscape visibility provides useful information for understanding human decision-making associated with the establishment of settlements. In the past years, machine learning algorithms have demonstrated their capabilities in improving the performance of the settlement modeling and particularly capturing the nonlinear relationship between settlement locations and their drivers. However, simulation models using machine learning algorithms in settlement modeling are still not well studied. Moreover, overfitting issues and optimization of model parameters are major challenges for most machine learning algorithms. Therefore, in this study, we sought to pursue two research objectives. First, we aimed to evaluate the contribution of viewsheds and landscape visibility to the simulation modeling of - settlement locations. The second objective is to examine the performance of the machine learning algorithm-based simulation models for settlement location studies. Our study region is located in the metropolitan area of Oyo Empire, Nigeria, West Africa, ca. AD 1570–1830, and its pre-Imperial antecedents, ca. AD 1360–1570. We developed an event-driven spatial simulation model enabled by random forest algorithm to represent dynamics in settlement systems in our study region. Experimental results demonstrate that viewsheds and landscape visibility may offer more insights into unveiling the underlying mechanism that drives settlement locations. Random forest algorithm, as a machine learning algorithm, provide solid support for establishing the relationship between settlement occurrences and their drivers.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yiqi Jack Gao ◽  
Yu Sun

The start of 2020 marked the beginning of the deadly COVID-19 pandemic caused by the novel SARS-COV-2 from Wuhan, China. As of the time of writing, the virus had infected over 150 million people worldwide and resulted in more than 3.5 million global deaths. Accurate future predictions made through machine learning algorithms can be very useful as a guide for hospitals and policy makers to make adequate preparations and enact effective policies to combat the pandemic. This paper carries out a two pronged approach to analyzing COVID-19. First, the model utilizes the feature significance of random forest regressor to select eight of the most significant predictors (date, new tests, weekly hospital admissions, population density, total tests, total deaths, location, and total cases) for predicting daily increases of Covid-19 cases, highlighting potential target areas in order to achieve efficient pandemic responses. Then it utilizes machine learning algorithms such as linear regression, polynomial regression, and random forest regression to make accurate predictions of daily COVID-19 cases using a combination of this diverse range of predictors and proved to be competent at generating predictions with reasonable accuracy.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Catherine Ollagnier ◽  
Claudia Kasper ◽  
Anna Wallenbeck ◽  
Linda Keeling ◽  
Siavash A Bigdeli

Tail biting is a detrimental behaviour that impacts the welfare and health of pigs. Early detection of tail biting precursor signs allows for preventive measures to be taken, thus avoiding the occurrence of the tail biting event. This study aimed to build a machine-learning algorithm for real time detection of upcoming tail biting outbreaks, using feeding behaviour data recorded by an electronic feeder. Prediction capacities of seven machine learning algorithms (e.g., random forest, neural networks) were evaluated from daily feeding data collected from 65 pens originating from 2 herds of grower-finisher pigs (25-100kg), in which 27 tail biting events occurred. Data were divided into training and testing data, either by randomly splitting data into 75% (training set) and 25% (testing set), or by randomly selecting pens to constitute the testing set. The random forest algorithm was able to predict 70% of the upcoming events with an accuracy of 94%, when predicting events in pens for which it had previous data. The detection of events for unknown pens was less sensitive, and the neural network model was able to detect 14% of the upcoming events with an accuracy of 63%. A machine-learning algorithm based on ongoing data collection should be considered for implementation into automatic feeder systems for real time prediction of tail biting events.


Author(s):  
A. S. Harvey ◽  
G. Fotopoulos

Remotely sensed spectral imagery, geophysical (magnetic and gravity), and geodetic (elevation) data are useful in a variety of Earth science applications such as environmental monitoring and mineral exploration. Using these data with Machine Learning Algorithms (MLA), which are widely used in image analysis and statistical pattern recognition applications, may enhance preliminary geological mapping and interpretation. This approach contributes towards a rapid and objective means of geological mapping in contrast to conventional field expedition techniques. In this study, four supervised MLAs (naïve Bayes, k-nearest neighbour, random forest, and support vector machines) are compared in order to assess their performance for correctly identifying geological rocktypes in an area with complete ground validation information. Geological maps of the Sudbury region are used for calibration and validation. Percent of correct classifications was used as indicators of performance. Results show that random forest is the best approach. As expected, MLA performance improves with more calibration clusters, i.e. a more uniform distribution of calibration data over the study region. Performance is generally low, though geological trends that correspond to a ground validation map are visualized. Low performance may be the result of poor spectral images of bare rock which can be covered by vegetation or water. The distribution of calibration clusters and MLA input parameters affect the performance of the MLAs. Generally, performance improves with more uniform sampling, though this increases required computational effort and time. With the achievable performance levels in this study, the technique is useful in identifying regions of interest and identifying general rocktype trends. In particular, phase I geological site investigations will benefit from this approach and lead to the selection of sites for advanced surveys.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Omar Alfarisi ◽  
Zeyar Aung ◽  
Mohamed Sassi

For defining the optimal machine learning algorithm, the decision was not easy for which we shall choose. To help future researchers, we describe in this paper the optimal among the best of the algorithms. We built a synthetic data set and performed the supervised machine learning runs for five different algorithms. For heterogeneity, we identified Random Forest, among others, to be the best algorithm.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aayushi Rathore ◽  
Anu Saini ◽  
Navjot Kaur ◽  
Aparna Singh ◽  
Ojasvi Dutta ◽  
...  

ABSTRACTSepsis is a severe infectious disease with high mortality, and it occurs when chemicals released in the bloodstream to fight an infection trigger inflammation throughout the body and it can cause a cascade of changes that damage multiple organ systems, leading them to fail, even resulting in death. In order to reduce the possibility of sepsis or infection antiseptics are used and process is known as antisepsis. Antiseptic peptides (ASPs) show properties similar to antigram-negative peptides, antigram-positive peptides and many more. Machine learning algorithms are useful in screening and identification of therapeutic peptides and thus provide initial filters or built confidence before using time consuming and laborious experimental approaches. In this study, various machine learning algorithms like Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF), K-Nearest Neighbour (KNN) and Logistic Regression (LR) were evaluated for prediction of ASPs. Moreover, the characteristics physicochemical features of ASPs were also explored to use them in machine learning. Both manual and automatic feature selection methodology was employed to achieve best performance of machine learning algorithms. A 5-fold cross validation and independent data set validation proved RF as the best model for prediction of ASPs. Our RF model showed an accuracy of 97%, Matthew’s Correlation Coefficient (MCC) of 0.93, which are indication of a robust and good model. To our knowledge this is the first attempt to build a machine learning classifier for prediction of ASPs.


Author(s):  
A. S. Harvey ◽  
G. Fotopoulos

Remotely sensed spectral imagery, geophysical (magnetic and gravity), and geodetic (elevation) data are useful in a variety of Earth science applications such as environmental monitoring and mineral exploration. Using these data with Machine Learning Algorithms (MLA), which are widely used in image analysis and statistical pattern recognition applications, may enhance preliminary geological mapping and interpretation. This approach contributes towards a rapid and objective means of geological mapping in contrast to conventional field expedition techniques. In this study, four supervised MLAs (naïve Bayes, k-nearest neighbour, random forest, and support vector machines) are compared in order to assess their performance for correctly identifying geological rocktypes in an area with complete ground validation information. Geological maps of the Sudbury region are used for calibration and validation. Percent of correct classifications was used as indicators of performance. Results show that random forest is the best approach. As expected, MLA performance improves with more calibration clusters, i.e. a more uniform distribution of calibration data over the study region. Performance is generally low, though geological trends that correspond to a ground validation map are visualized. Low performance may be the result of poor spectral images of bare rock which can be covered by vegetation or water. The distribution of calibration clusters and MLA input parameters affect the performance of the MLAs. Generally, performance improves with more uniform sampling, though this increases required computational effort and time. With the achievable performance levels in this study, the technique is useful in identifying regions of interest and identifying general rocktype trends. In particular, phase I geological site investigations will benefit from this approach and lead to the selection of sites for advanced surveys.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Omar Alfarisi ◽  
Zeyar Aung ◽  
Mohamed Sassi

For defining the optimal machine learning algorithm, the decision was not easy for which we shall choose. To help future researchers, we describe in this paper the optimal among the best of the algorithms. We built a synthetic data set and performed the supervised machine learning runs for five different algorithms. For heterogeneity, we identified Random Forest, among others, to be the best algorithm.


2020 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Jie Liu ◽  
Lin Lin ◽  
Xiufang Liang

The online English teaching system has certain requirements for the intelligent scoring system, and the most difficult stage of intelligent scoring in the English test is to score the English composition through the intelligent model. In order to improve the intelligence of English composition scoring, based on machine learning algorithms, this study combines intelligent image recognition technology to improve machine learning algorithms, and proposes an improved MSER-based character candidate region extraction algorithm and a convolutional neural network-based pseudo-character region filtering algorithm. In addition, in order to verify whether the algorithm model proposed in this paper meets the requirements of the group text, that is, to verify the feasibility of the algorithm, the performance of the model proposed in this study is analyzed through design experiments. Moreover, the basic conditions for composition scoring are input into the model as a constraint model. The research results show that the algorithm proposed in this paper has a certain practical effect, and it can be applied to the English assessment system and the online assessment system of the homework evaluation system algorithm system.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin Saveski ◽  
Edmond Awad ◽  
Iyad Rahwan ◽  
Manuel Cebrian

AbstractAs groups are increasingly taking over individual experts in many tasks, it is ever more important to understand the determinants of group success. In this paper, we study the patterns of group success in Escape The Room, a physical adventure game in which a group is tasked with escaping a maze by collectively solving a series of puzzles. We investigate (1) the characteristics of successful groups, and (2) how accurately humans and machines can spot them from a group photo. The relationship between these two questions is based on the hypothesis that the characteristics of successful groups are encoded by features that can be spotted in their photo. We analyze >43K group photos (one photo per group) taken after groups have completed the game—from which all explicit performance-signaling information has been removed. First, we find that groups that are larger, older and more gender but less age diverse are significantly more likely to escape. Second, we compare humans and off-the-shelf machine learning algorithms at predicting whether a group escaped or not based on the completion photo. We find that individual guesses by humans achieve 58.3% accuracy, better than random, but worse than machines which display 71.6% accuracy. When humans are trained to guess by observing only four labeled photos, their accuracy increases to 64%. However, training humans on more labeled examples (eight or twelve) leads to a slight, but statistically insignificant improvement in accuracy (67.4%). Humans in the best training condition perform on par with two, but worse than three out of the five machine learning algorithms we evaluated. Our work illustrates the potentials and the limitations of machine learning systems in evaluating group performance and identifying success factors based on sparse visual cues.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yingxian Liu ◽  
Cunliang Chen ◽  
Hanqing Zhao ◽  
Yu Wang ◽  
Xiaodong Han

Abstract Fluid properties are key factors for predicting single well productivity, well test interpretation and oilfield recovery prediction, which directly affect the success of ODP program design. The most accurate and direct method of acquisition is underground sampling. However, not every well has samples due to technical reasons such as excessive well deviation or high cost during the exploration stage. Therefore, analogies or empirical formulas have to be adopted to carry out research in many cases. But a large number of oilfield developments have shown that the errors caused by these methods are very large. Therefore, how to quickly and accurately obtain fluid physical properties is of great significance. In recent years, with the development and improvement of artificial intelligence or machine learning algorithms, their applications in the oilfield have become more and more extensive. This paper proposed a method for predicting crude oil physical properties based on machine learning algorithms. This method uses PVT data from nearly 100 wells in Bohai Oilfield. 75% of the data is used for training and learning to obtain the prediction model, and the remaining 25% is used for testing. Practice shows that the prediction results of the machine learning algorithm are very close to the actual data, with a very small error. Finally, this method was used to apply the preliminary plan design of the BZ29 oilfield which is a new oilfield. Especially for the unsampled sand bodies, the fluid physical properties prediction was carried out. It also compares the influence of the analogy method on the scheme, which provides potential and risk analysis for scheme design. This method will be applied in more oil fields in the Bohai Sea in the future and has important promotion value.


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