scholarly journals On the Asymmetries of Sovereign Credit Rating Announcements and Financial Market Development in the European Region

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (23) ◽  
pp. 6636 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chunling Li ◽  
Khansa Pervaiz ◽  
Muhammad Asif Khan ◽  
Faheem Ur Rehman ◽  
Judit Oláh
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Financial Market ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Market Development ◽  
European Region ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Sovereign Credit ◽  
Financial Market Development ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Sovereign Credit Rating

In modeling the impact of sovereign credit rating (CR) on financial markets, a considerable amount of the literature to date has been devoted to examining the short-term impact of CR on financial markets via an event-study methodology. The argument has been established that financial markets are sensitive to CR announcements, and market reactions to such announcements (both upgrading and degrading) are not the same. Using the framework of an autoregressive distributed lag setting, the present study attempted to empirically test the linear and non-linear impacts of CR on financial market development (FMD) in the European region. Nonlinear specification is capable to capture asymmetries (upgrades and downgrades) in the estimation process, which have not been considered to date in financial market literature. Overall findings identified long-term asymmetries, while there was little evidence supporting the existence of short-term asymmetries. Thus, the present study has extended the financial market literature on the subject of the asymmetrical impact of a sovereign CR on European FMD and provides useful input for policy formation taking into account these nonlinearities. Policies solely based upon linear models may be misleading and detrimental.

scholarly journals Sovereign Credit Ratings and Asian Financial Markets

2021 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
pp. 165-181
Author(s):  
Khansa Pervaiz ◽  
Zuzana Virglerová ◽  
Muhammad Asif Khan ◽  
Usman Akbar ◽  
József Popp
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Financial Market ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Credit Ratings ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Sovereign Credit ◽  
Sovereign Credit Ratings ◽  
Financial Market Development ◽  
Sovereign Credit Rating

Each region/country seeks to become more efficient to gain the confidence of potential investors. Most of the Asian economies are categorized as emerging markets, where the role of financial markets has even become more intensified to provide financial services to increasing economic and financial activities. Asian financial market has momentously suffered during the Asian, and global financial crisis. The mass destruction was mainly caused due to the mounting uncertainty, which spillover throughout the region, where investors lost their confidence. Considering the pivotal economic role of financial markets, and implications evolve due to sovereign credit rating announcements, this study aims to model the role of sovereign credit rating announcements by Standard and Poor’s, and Moody’s on financial market development of the Asian region. For 24 Asian countries/regions, we perform a regression analysis on sovereign credit rating changes based on financial market development index and its factors. The findings of Driscoll Kraay’s robust estimator reveals that improvement in sovereign credit rating score enhances the financial market development in the region. Moreover, we applied several robustness checks, such as alternative estimators, alternative measures, and three sub-dimensions of financial market development. According to the findings from these robustness checks, the positive impact of sovereign credit ratings on financial market development in the region is robust. Unlike prior literature (which is confined to the event study approach), this study utilizes the historical grades to establish the relationship under the standard error clustering approach. Due to the diversity of investors’ speculations, we propose a micro-level extension of the present model to overcome a difference in country policy.

Sovereign credit rating and contagion effects on financial markets of Asian region

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 (6) ◽  
pp. 48-69
Author(s):  
Natalia Pivnitskaya ◽  
Tamara Teplova
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Contagion Effect ◽  
Rating Agencies ◽  
Sovereign Credit ◽  
Asian Region ◽  
Contagion Effects ◽  
Rating Changes ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Sovereign Credit Rating

This article studies the contagion effects on the emerging financial markets of the Asian region. The contagion effect is manifested in the change of interconnection degree of financial markets after the shock in one of the countries of the region. In the paper, we consider the information on potential or actual change in sovereign credit rating as a shock leading to a contagion effect. Our sample includes evidence from 7 Asian countries covering the period from 2000 to 2018. We use the DCC-GARCH model which allows us to take into account the peculiarities of financial data behavior. We intend to show the effect of inconsistencies in ratings assigned by various agencies on strengthening or weakening the processes of contagion on Asia’s stock markets. We also study the impact of historical inconsistencies between credit rating outlooks and actual rating changes on the level of «trust» to credit outlooks in the future. In assessing the impact of discrepancies we assume that the market remembers recent events better than more distant in time. We were able to confirm the impact of inconsistencies in the ratings given by different rating agencies for China, Hong Kong, and India. In addition, we found that the presence of inconsistencies between the outlooks and actual rating updates in the past tend to weaken the trust regarding positive outlooks rather than negative ones.

scholarly journals Sovereign Credit Rating Announcements and Liquidity Shocks in the Lebanese Daily Foreign Exchange Market

2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 66-83
Author(s):  
Samih Antoine Azar
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Foreign Exchange Market ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Exchange Market ◽  
Sovereign Credit ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Sovereign Credit Rating

Sovereign credit rating announcements are usually unexpected events that can affect local financial markets either favorably or detrimentally. In Lebanon, the credit outlook witnessed a deteriorating trend since the mid of the year 2016. The major hypothesis of this paper is that the reaction to the bad credit rating announcements is statistically significant, although ephemeral, delimited to just a few days. It is through the liquidity channel that these announcements create uncertainty and affect the economy. There are two related hypotheses: (1) illiquidity shocks impact undesirably the financial markets, and (2) credit rating announcements are accompanied by a surge in illiquidity. Since the impact of these announcements is ephemeral it should be assessed by high-frequency data, or at most by daily financial data. The domestic foreign exchange market is an ideal place to study this impact. Fortunately, the central bank of Lebanon has lately made available daily foreign exchange rates for six major currencies beginning in 2010. This defines six multiple regressions that are constructed to differentiate between the short-run and the long-run responses to illiquidity. The empirical results show that the above two hypotheses are strongly supported. Moreover, it matters little whether the event window is 3, 4 or 5 days. JEL Classification: G14, F31, C58, C38.

scholarly journals Sovereign Credit Rating Announcements and Baltic Stock Markets

2011 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 51-62 ◽  
Author(s):  
Asta Klimavičienė
Keyword(s):  
Stock Markets ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Relevant Information ◽  
Price Impact ◽  
Delayed Reaction ◽  
Asymmetric Reaction ◽  
Credit Rating Agency ◽  
Sovereign Credit ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Sovereign Credit Rating

This study examines whether sovereign credit rating announcements convey price relevant information to investors in Baltic stock markets, and tests the degree of anticipation and price reaction. Event study methodology is employed to test for the price impact of sovereign credit rating announcements by Moody’s, S&P, and Fitch. This enables to analyse whether there is an anticipation of the forthcoming announcement in a particular market, a price impact on the announcement day, and a possible delayed reaction. Results indicate that there is an asymmetric reaction: the price impact of negative events is several times larger than that of positive events. Moreover, although some types of rating announcements are anticipated, there is still a significant price impact on the announcement day. The impact differs across the three Baltic stock markets, and depends on the credit rating agency issuing the announcement. The main conclusion is that sovereign credit rating announcements contain pricing relevant news in addition to information already in a public domain.

scholarly journals Role of International Financial Integration on Financial Market Development of Euro Area Countries

2019 ◽  
pp. 91-100
Author(s):  
Irfan Alam
Keyword(s):  
Financial Market ◽  
Euro Area ◽  
Financial Integration ◽  
Price Volatility ◽  
Share Price ◽  
Market Development ◽  
International Financial Integration ◽  
Financial Market Development ◽  
The Impact

The aim of this paper is to investigate the role of international financial integration into financial market development of Euro area countries. Annual dataset from 1998 to 2014 by using multiple regression method. The study focuses on financial integration on determining the impact on financial market development. Overall results confirming the significant positive and negative effect of international financial integration (Stock traded& share price and stock turnover ratio, respectively) while insignificant positive andnegative effect of financial integration (financial assets and liabilities and share price volatility, respectively) on financial market development. The finding provides strong evidence of achieving higher financial market development due to the drivers of financial integration.

scholarly journals Improvement of the Adaptive Properties of the National Financial Market to Respond the Globalization Risks

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Vadim Loktionov ◽  
Elena Loktionova
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Financial Market ◽  
Institutional Environment ◽  
Driving Forces ◽  
Stressful Events ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Financial Security ◽  
Adverse Conditions ◽  
Complex Adaptive ◽  
Financial Market Development

In the era of globalization the issues of ensuring economic and national security are still relevant for discussion. Financial markets, being one of the driving forces for the global economic development, are sensitive to changes in the socio-economic and political situations. In the rapidly changing world, the security of the national financial market can be ensured by increasing its adaptability, which is, in the general case, the market ability to adapt to stressful events, while working in adverse conditions. The article discusses the features of the national financial market in the context of financial globalization. Using the complex adaptive theory, the main ways of the national financial market development to enhance its adaptability are presented. Keywords. Globalization, financial market, financial security, financial market adaptability, institutional environment.

Financial Development and Economic Growth: Analysis of Approaches to the Problem

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (4-2) ◽  
pp. 251-266
Author(s):  
Alexander Novikov ◽  
◽  
Irina Novikova ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Financial Market ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Methodological Framework ◽  
Review Of The Literature ◽  
Financial Market Development ◽  
Points Of View ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

The article deals with debatable questions about the relationship between economic growth and financial development. Both foreign and Russian authors have opposite points of view on the relationship between economic growth and financial development. The article states that financial development for developing countries is a factor of economic growth. The authors give a review of the literature proving the influence of financial development and its mechanism – the financial market – on economic growth. To illustrate this conclusion, they analyze the research aimed at studying the theoretical aspects of assessing the ratio of the level of financial market development and economic growth. The authors also investigate the formation of a methodological framework for assessing the impact of the level of financial market development on economic growth; identify the methods to quantitatively measure the level of financial market development and economic growth. The article analyzes the recommendations to develop measures to enhance the significance of financial market for economic growth of the country.

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