scholarly journals Multiscale Market Integration and Nonlinear Granger Causality between Natural Gas Futures and Physical Markets

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (19) ◽  
pp. 5518
Author(s):  
Cuilin Li ◽  
Ya-Juan Du ◽  
Qiang Ji ◽  
Jiang-bo Geng

This paper comprehensively analyzed the price integration of the U.S. natural gas futures market and its physical markets. The analyses were conducted in the form of graphics using the ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) method and minimum spanning trees with various horizons. Our findings indicated that the network structures of the minimum spanning trees of the gas futures and physical markets are the same on different time scales. The citygate returns were always the core of the physical gas markets. In addition, the gas futures and physical markets were highly integrated on different time scales. Moreover, our findings showed that at the original data level, unidirectional linear and nonlinear causalities from gas futures to physical returns exist. Specifically, the relationships between futures and physical gas returns were not constant across various time scales. In the long term, futures gas returns had only a linear causality with the citygate, commercial, and industry gas returns, and a unidirectional, nonlinear causality with residential gas returns.

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 168781402199811
Author(s):  
Beibei Li ◽  
Qiao Zhao ◽  
Huaiyi Li ◽  
Xiumei Liu ◽  
Jichao Ma ◽  
...  

To study the vibration characteristics of the poppet valve induced by cavitation, the signal analysis method based on the ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) method was studied experimentally. The component induced by cavitation was separated from the vibration signals through the EEMD method. The results show that the IMF2 component has the largest amplitude and energy of all components. The root mean square (RMS) value, peak value of marginal spectrum, and center frequency of marginal spectrum of the IMF2 component were studied in detail. The RMS value and the peak value of the marginal spectrum decrease with a decrease of cavitation intensity. The center frequency of marginal spectrum is between 12 kHz and 20 kHz, and the center frequency first increases and then decreases with a decrease of cavitation intensity. The change rate of the center frequency also decreases with an increase of inlet pressure.


2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jian Xiong ◽  
Shulin Tian ◽  
Chenglin Yang

This paper presents a novel fault diagnosis method for analog circuits using ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD), relative entropy, and extreme learning machine (ELM). First, nominal and faulty response waveforms of a circuit are measured, respectively, and then are decomposed into intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) with the EEMD method. Second, through comparing the nominal IMFs with the faulty IMFs, kurtosis and relative entropy are calculated for each IMF. Next, a feature vector is obtained for each faulty circuit. Finally, an ELM classifier is trained with these feature vectors for fault diagnosis. Via validating with two benchmark circuits, results show that the proposed method is applicable for analog fault diagnosis with acceptable levels of accuracy and time cost.


2011 ◽  
Vol 143-144 ◽  
pp. 689-693 ◽  
Author(s):  
X.J. Li ◽  
K. Wang ◽  
G.B. Wang ◽  
Q. Li

Vibration signals of rotating machinery on the base are very weak and always buried in noisy noise; the common denoising methods have become powerless. It presents an ensemble empirical mode decomposition method (EEMD) that is used to denoise for the base vibration signal, which not only to overcome the problem of mode mixing, but also to avoid the selection of wavelet basis function and decomposition level of the problem. Experimental results of simulation and measured data show that EEMD method can effectively reduce the base vibration signal noise, which is better than the wavelet and EMD denoising method.


Author(s):  
Wei Guo

Condition monitoring and fault diagnosis for rolling element bearings is an imperative part for preventive maintenance procedures and reliability improvement of rotating machines. When a localized fault occurs at the early stage of real bearing failures, the impulses generated by the defect are relatively weak and usually overwhelmed by large noise and other higher-level macro-structural vibrations generated by adjacent machine components and machines. To indicate the bearing faulty state as early as possible, it is necessary to develop an effective signal processing method for extracting the weak bearing signal from a vibration signal containing multiple vibration sources. The ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) method inherits the advantage of the popular empirical mode decomposition (EMD) method and can adaptively decompose a multi-component signal into a number of different bands of simple signal components. However, the energy dispersion and many redundant components make the decomposition result obtained by the EEMD losing the physical significance. In this paper, to enhance the decomposition performance of the EEMD method, the similarity criterion and the corresponding combination technique are proposed to determine the similar signal components and then generate the real mono-component signals. To validate the effectiveness of the proposed method, it is applied to analyze raw vibration signals collected from two faulty bearings, each of which involves more than one vibration sources. The results demonstrate that the proposed method can accurately extract the bearing feature signal; meanwhile, it makes the physical meaning of each IMF clear.


Sensors ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (5) ◽  
pp. 1519 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dengyun Wu ◽  
Jianwen Wang ◽  
Hong Wang ◽  
Hongxing Liu ◽  
Lin Lai ◽  
...  

Bearing is a key component of satellite inertia actuators such as moment wheel assemblies (MWAs) and control moment gyros (CMGs), and its operating state is directly related to the performance and service life of satellites. However, because of the complexity of the vibration frequency components of satellite bearing assemblies and the small loading, normal running bearings normally present similar fault characteristics in long-term ground life experiments, which makes it difficult to judge the bearing fault status. This paper proposes an automatic fault diagnosis method for bearings based on a presented indicator called the characteristic frequency ratio. First, the vibration signals of various MWAs were picked up by the bearing vibration test. Then, the improved ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) method was introduced to demodulate the envelope of the bearing signals, and the fault characteristic frequencies of the vibration signals were acquired. Based on this, the characteristic frequency ratio for fault identification was defined, and a method for determining the threshold of fault judgment was further proposed. Finally, an automatic diagnosis process was proposed and verified by using different bearing fault data. The results show that the presented method is feasible and effective for automatic monitoring and diagnosis of bearing faults.


2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kai Chen ◽  
Xin-Cong Zhou ◽  
Jun-Qiang Fang ◽  
Peng-fei Zheng ◽  
Jun Wang

A gear transmission system is a complex nonstationary and nonlinear time-varying coupling system. When faults occur on gear system, it is difficult to extract the fault feature. In this paper, a novel fault diagnosis method based on ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) and Deep Briefs Network (DBN) is proposed to treat the vibration signals measured from gearbox. The original data is decomposed into a set of intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) using EEMD, and then main IMFs were chosen for reconstructed signal to suppress abnormal interference from noise. The reconstructed signals were regarded as input of DBN to identify gearbox working states and fault types. To verify the effectiveness of the EEMD-DBN in detecting the faults, a series of gear fault simulate experiments at different states were carried out. Results showed that the proposed method which coupled EEMD and DBN can improve the accuracy of gear fault identification and it is capable of applying to fault diagnosis in practical application.


MAUSAM ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 67 (2) ◽  
pp. 423-430
Author(s):  
K. BOODHOO ◽  
M. R. LOLLCHUND ◽  
A. F. DILMAHAMOD

In this paper, we propose the use of the Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD) method in the analysis of trends in climate data. As compared to existing traditional methods, EEMD is simple, fast and reliable. It works by decomposing the time-series data into intrinsic mode functions until a residual component is obtained which represents the trend in the data. The dataset considered consists of satellite precipitation estimates (SPE) obtained from the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) for the tropical South-West Indian Ocean (SWIO) basin recorded during the periods January 1998 to December 2013. The SWIO basin spans from the latitudes 5° S to 35° S and the longitudes 30° E to 70° E and comprises of part of the east coast of Africa and some small island developing states (SIDS) such as Comoros, Madagascar, Mauritius and Reunion Island. The EEMD analysis is carried out for summer, winter and yearly time series of the SPE data. The results from the study are presented in terms of intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) and the trends. The analysis reveals that in summer, there is a tendency to have an increase in the amount of rainfall, whereas in winter, from 1998 to 2004 there has been an initial increase of 0.0022 mm/hr/year and from there onwards till 2013 a decrease of 0.00052 mm/hr/year was noted.  


2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 15
Author(s):  
Peng Xue ◽  
Huiyu Liu ◽  
Mingyang Zhang ◽  
Haibo Gong ◽  
Li Cao

Monitoring vegetation net primary productivity (NPP) is very important for evaluating ecosystem health. However, the nonlinear characteristics of the vegetation NPP remain unclear in the six provinces along the Maritime Silk Road in China. In this study, using NDVI and meteorological data from 1982 to 2015, NPP was estimated with the Carnegie-Ames-Stanford Approach (CASA) model based on vegetation type dynamics, and its nonlinear characteristics were explored through the ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) method. The results showed that: (1) The total NPP in the changed vegetation types caused by ecological engineering and urbanization increased but decreased in those caused by agricultural reclamation and vegetation destruction, (2) the vegetation NPP was dominated by interannual variations, mainly in the middle of the study area, while by long-term trends, mainly in the southwest and northeast, (3) for most of the vegetation types, NPP was dominated by the monotonically increasing trend. Although vegetation NPP in the urban land mainly showed a decreasing trend (monotonic decrease and decrease from increase), there were large areas in which NPP increased from decreasing. Although vegetation NPP in the farmland mainly showed increasing trends, there were large areas that faced the risk of NPP decreasing; (4) dynamical changes of vegetation type by agricultural reclamation and vegetation destruction made the NPP trend monotonically decrease in large areas, leading to ecosystem degradation, while those caused by urbanization and ecological engineering mainly made the NPP increase from decreasing, leading to later recovery from early degradation. Our results highlighted the importance of vegetation type dynamics for accurately estimating vegetation NPP, as well as for assessing their impacts, and the importance of nonlinear analysis for deepening our understanding of vegetation NPP changes.


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