scholarly journals Liquidity of the Chinese Agricultural Futures Market and Its Impact on Futures Price—Based on High-Frequency Data

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (12) ◽  
pp. 4579
Author(s):  
Yuanyuan Xu ◽  
Chongguang Li
Keyword(s):  
Opposite Effect ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Asset Returns ◽  
Informed Trading ◽  
Price Impact ◽  
Market Liquidity ◽  
Agricultural Commodity ◽  
Agricultural Futures ◽  
Liquidity Costs ◽  
The Impact

This study examines the price impact of intraday trading activity and daily market liquidity of Chinese agricultural futures by analyzing continuous intraday 15-min and daily trading datasets, respectively. Corn and soybean, the necessity of the nation and people’s survival in China, are taken as case studies. Our main findings are threefold. Firstly, there is evidence of the presence of informed trading through persistent effects of trade size for both purchases and sales. The magnitude of effects and the seasonality of informed trading vary among varieties, which support the importance of night trading for price smoothing. Secondly, the impact of liquidity costs on returns does not permanently persist. For example, there appears a significant Friday effect with a linear negative relationship in the soybean market, while an exact opposite effect can be found in the corn market for Monday. Thirdly, while the results show no effect of holding position on asset returns in the corn market, the market size of soybean futures exerts a positive Thursday effect, which is prior to the Friday effect of transaction cost. A better understanding of liquidity costs and liquidity pricing is of great significance to a sustainable development of the agricultural commodity market in China.

The impact of order imbalance on returns, liquidity, and volatility in agricultural commodity markets

2018 ◽  
Vol 78 (5) ◽  
pp. 571-591 ◽  
Author(s):  
Steffen Volkenand ◽  
Guenther Filler ◽  
Martin Odening
Keyword(s):  
Trading Volume ◽  
High Speed ◽  
Price Volatility ◽  
Agricultural Commodity ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Order Imbalance ◽  
New Information ◽  
Agricultural Futures ◽  
Best Offer ◽  
The Impact

PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to investigate and compare the impact of order imbalance on returns, liquidity and price volatility in agricultural futures markets on an intraday basis. The authors examine whether order imbalance is more powerful to explain variations in asset prices compared to other indicators of trading activity, particularly trading volume.Design/methodology/approachUsing Chicago Mercantile Exchange best bid best offer data, the impact of order imbalance is analyzed via regression analyses. The analyses are carried out for corn, wheat, soy, live cattle and lean hogs in March 2008 and March 2016.FindingsResults confirm the positive relation between order imbalance and returns as well as between order imbalance and price volatility as suggested by market microstructure models. Order imbalance, however, does not generally outperform trading volume as an explanatory variable.Practical implicationsFor some contracts, returns can be predicted using lagged order imbalance. This offers the opportunity to derive profitable trading strategies.Originality/valueThis paper is one of the first attempts to explore the relationship between order imbalance and returns, liquidity and volatility for agricultural commodity futures on an intraday basis, accounting for the increased trading volume and for the high speed at which new information enters the market in an electronic trading environment.

scholarly journals Heterogeneity of Cash Markets at Physical Delivery Points and the Hedging Effectiveness of Agricultural Commodity Futures in India – Lessons for Contract Optimization.

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (SI) ◽  
pp. 79-89
Author(s):  
Sanjay Mansabdar ◽  
Hussain C Yaganti
Keyword(s):  
Contract Design ◽  
Commodity Futures ◽  
Futures Contracts ◽  
Agricultural Commodity ◽  
Futures Contract ◽  
Hedging Effectiveness ◽  
Several Variables ◽  
Agricultural Futures ◽  
Delivery Options ◽  
The Impact

Agricultural commodity futures in India are settled by physical delivery and the seller can choose the location of delivery from a list described in the contract specifications. Cash markets at these locations represent the deliverable basket for the futures contract and are the underlying assets for the delivery options granted to the seller by virtue of contract design.  These cash markets are generally heterogenous. This paper studies the impact of heterogeneity of the underlying cash markets in different locations on the hedging effectiveness of the associated futures contract. The hedging effectiveness of cottonseed oilcake and soybean futures is regressed against several variables that represent heterogeneity of the underlying cash markets using ridge regression. We find that in general, the greater the heterogeneity, the poorer the hedging effectiveness of the contract. This paper is unique in that it provides a framework for guidance for contract designers at exchanges and regulators who will find this research useful in optimizing delivery specifications for agricultural futures contracts.  This is especially important given the declining volumes in Indian agricultural commodity futures.

Block Ownership, Trading Activity, and Market Liquidity

2009 ◽  
Vol 44 (6) ◽  
pp. 1403-1426 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul Brockman ◽  
Dennis Y. Chung ◽  
Xuemin (Sterling) Yan
Keyword(s):  
Ownership Structure ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Informed Trading ◽  
Secondary Market ◽  
Market Liquidity ◽  
Inverse Relation ◽  
Trading Activity ◽  
Relative Lack ◽  
Friction Effect ◽  
The Impact

AbstractWe examine the impact of block ownership on the firm’s trading activity and secondary-market liquidity. Our empirical results show that block ownership takes potential trading activity off the table relative to a diffuse ownership structure and impairs the firm’s market liquidity. These adverse liquidity effects disappear, however, once we control for trading activity. Our findings suggest that block ownership is detrimental to the firm’s market liquidity because of its adverse impact on trading activity—a real friction effect. After controlling for this real friction effect, we find little evidence that block ownership has a negative impact on informational friction. Our results suggest that the relative lack of trading, and not the threat of informed trading, explains the inverse relation between block ownership and market liquidity.

scholarly journals Essays on the Vietnam Stock Market

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
◽  
Phuong Nguyen
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Surveillance System ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Informed Trading ◽  
Market Liquidity ◽  
Foreign Investor ◽  
Foreign Investors ◽  
One Year ◽  
The Relationship

<p>This thesis consists of three substantive studies about the Vietnam stock market. In particular, I study the asymmetric information, corporate governance (CG) practices, and foreign investment of publicly listed companies in Vietnam, presented in Chapters 2, 3, and 4, respectively.  In Chapter 2, I investigate the effectiveness of a market surveillance system (MSS) on improving the market quality of the Vietnam stock market, as measured by liquidity and informed trading level. I find that market liquidity decreased after the introduction of the MSS, and that the effect is more pronounced for small firms. Although informed trading, on average, does not change significantly after the MSS, subsample analysis indicates a significant decrease in informed trading among large and liquid firms.  In Chapter 3, I investigate the relationship between firms’ CG practices and informed trading. I find a negative relationship between the two variables. Firms with better CG practices have a lower level of informed stock trading. Moreover, a natural experiment on a shock of firms’ CG practices generated by the CG policies shows that the negative relationship between CG practices and informed trading is a causal one, in which a change in the former causes a change in the latter. In another analysis around the implementation of the MSS, I find that the implementation of the surveillance system affects the relationship between the two variables, and this effect is driven by large and liquid firms.  In Chapter 4, I investigate whether foreign investors in the Vietnam stock market are informed about firms’ performance. Using the residuals of foreign investor ownership as a measure of the abnormal foreign investor holding, I find that the abnormal foreign investor holding is positively correlated with firm performance in the following one year. I also find a positive correlation between abnormal foreign investor holding and the stock returns in the next three quarters. These findings indicate that foreign investors are informed about the firms up to a one-year period.</p>

scholarly journals The Impact of Iceberg Orders in Limit Order Books

2017 ◽  
Vol 07 (03) ◽  
pp. 1750007 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefan Frey ◽  
Patrik Sandås
Keyword(s):  
Informed Trading ◽  
Price Impact ◽  
Order Book ◽  
Limit Order ◽  
Reduced Order ◽  
Market Participants ◽  
Limit Orders ◽  
Order Books ◽  
Limit Order Books ◽  
The Impact

We examine the impact of iceberg orders on the price and order flow dynamics in limit order books. Iceberg orders allow traders to simultaneously hide a large portion of their order size and signal their interest in trading to the market. We show that when market participants detect iceberg orders they tend to strongly respond by submitting matching market orders consistent with iceberg orders facilitating the search for latent liquidity. The greater the fraction of an iceberg order that is executed, the smaller is its price impact consistent with liquidity rather than informed trading. The presence of iceberg orders is associated with increased trading consistent with a positive liquidity externality, but the reduced order book transparency associated with iceberg orders also creates an adverse selection cost for limit orders that may partly offset any gains.

The Market Microstructure of Central Bank Bond Purchases

2018 ◽  
Vol 55 (1) ◽  
pp. 193-221 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kathi Schlepper ◽  
Heiko Hofer ◽  
Ryan Riordan ◽  
Andreas Schrimpf
Keyword(s):  
Price Impact ◽  
Market Liquidity ◽  
Order Book ◽  
Low Frequencies ◽  
Price Impacts ◽  
Level Data ◽  
Perspective Drawing ◽  
Portfolio Managers ◽  
Flow Effects ◽  
The Impact

We study quantitative easing (QE) policies from a microstructure perspective, drawing on intraday transaction-level data for German bonds (purchased under the Eurosystem’s QE program). An initial analysis of purchase decisions reveals that portfolio managers consider liquidity and the scarcity of securities in repo markets. Suggestive of significant flow effects, we detect price impacts of purchases at high and low frequencies. We find the impact on market liquidity and functioning to be ambiguous. A higher purchase volume lowers transaction costs but has an adverse impact on order-book depth. The price impact varies with market conditions and is higher for more illiquid bonds.

scholarly journals Impact of Commodity Transaction Tax on Market Liquidity, Volatility, and Government Revenues: An Empirical Study for India

2019 ◽  
Vol 44 (1) ◽  
pp. 12-29 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sanjay Sehgal ◽  
Tarunika Jain Agrawal
Keyword(s):  
Trading Volume ◽  
Market Liquidity ◽  
Commodity Futures ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
Agricultural Commodity ◽  
Futures Trading ◽  
Executive Summary ◽  
The Government ◽  
Transaction Tax ◽  
The Impact

Executive Summary A commodity transaction tax (CTT) of 0.01 per cent is levied on non-agricultural commodity futures trading since 1 July 2013 by the Government of India. This article examines the impact of CTT on market liquidity, volatility and government tax revenues for the Indian commodities market. We use daily data of five sample commodities, namely gold, aluminium, copper, zinc and crude oil available from 1 May 2010 to 31 August 2016. It is found that CTT imposition has destroyed the parity of the Indian commodity futures market with the international markets as CTT is absent on COMEX, LME, NYMEX, and so on. Moreover, evidence of trade migration can be found by drawing a comparison across MCX and international exchanges. This argument is further substantiated by observing the decline in liquidity after the imposition of CTT. It should be further noted that parity with the equity market is also lost as the transaction taxes imposed in equity and commodity markets are not in line with the level of volatilities of the two markets. CTT has also failed to curb speculative pressure as average volatility on major commodities has risen significantly by about 33 per cent post its imposition. Considering the transaction tax, income tax and service tax aspects and decline in the trading volume attributed solely to the CTT imposition, it is found that CTT results in huge revenue loss to the exchequer. It is estimated that at the current CTT rate, government is losing an annual net tax revenue worth ₹30 billion. Even at a lower rate of 0.001 per cent (which is one-tenth of the current rate of 0.01%), the government’s fiscal loss is expected to be about ₹2.50 billion. Even if we make a conservative assumption that CTT accounts for only 25 per cent decline in the trading volumes, the optimal CTT rate, in terms of tax revenue collections, is found at 0.003 per cent, well below the current rate. There is, therefore, no justification for retaining CTT on the commodity futures trading in India as it leads to a huge revenue loss to the government, owing to reduced trading activity and trade migration. Withdrawal of CTT would be ideal for Indian commodities market development, improving its liquidity and making it more internationally competitive.

scholarly journals Essays on the Vietnam Stock Market

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
◽  
Phuong Nguyen
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Surveillance System ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Informed Trading ◽  
Market Liquidity ◽  
Foreign Investor ◽  
Foreign Investors ◽  
One Year ◽  
The Relationship

<p>This thesis consists of three substantive studies about the Vietnam stock market. In particular, I study the asymmetric information, corporate governance (CG) practices, and foreign investment of publicly listed companies in Vietnam, presented in Chapters 2, 3, and 4, respectively.  In Chapter 2, I investigate the effectiveness of a market surveillance system (MSS) on improving the market quality of the Vietnam stock market, as measured by liquidity and informed trading level. I find that market liquidity decreased after the introduction of the MSS, and that the effect is more pronounced for small firms. Although informed trading, on average, does not change significantly after the MSS, subsample analysis indicates a significant decrease in informed trading among large and liquid firms.  In Chapter 3, I investigate the relationship between firms’ CG practices and informed trading. I find a negative relationship between the two variables. Firms with better CG practices have a lower level of informed stock trading. Moreover, a natural experiment on a shock of firms’ CG practices generated by the CG policies shows that the negative relationship between CG practices and informed trading is a causal one, in which a change in the former causes a change in the latter. In another analysis around the implementation of the MSS, I find that the implementation of the surveillance system affects the relationship between the two variables, and this effect is driven by large and liquid firms.  In Chapter 4, I investigate whether foreign investors in the Vietnam stock market are informed about firms’ performance. Using the residuals of foreign investor ownership as a measure of the abnormal foreign investor holding, I find that the abnormal foreign investor holding is positively correlated with firm performance in the following one year. I also find a positive correlation between abnormal foreign investor holding and the stock returns in the next three quarters. These findings indicate that foreign investors are informed about the firms up to a one-year period.</p>

Dampak Kebijakan Moneter Pada Output Di Negara-Negara ASEAN Tahun 1980-2014

2017 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 58-70
Author(s):  
Nur Widiastuti
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Fixed Effects ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Fixed Effects Model ◽  
State Data ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
The Impact

The Impact of monetary Policy on Ouput is an ambiguous. The results of previous empirical studies indicate that the impact can be a positive or negative relationship. The purpose of this study is to investigate the impact of monetary policy on Output more detail. The variables to estimatate monetery poicy are used state and board interest rate andrate. This research is conducted by Ordinary Least Square or Instrumental Variabel, method for 5 countries ASEAN. The state data are estimated for the period of 1980 – 2014. Based on the results, it can be concluded that the impact of monetary policy on Output shown are varied.Keyword: Monetary Policy, Output, Panel Data, Fixed Effects Model

Risk Attitude and Corporate Investment under Output Market Uncertainty: Evidence from The Mekong River Delta, Vietnam

2016 ◽  
pp. 59-70
Author(s):  
Ninh Le Khuong ◽  
Nghiem Le Tan ◽  
Tho Huynh Huu
Keyword(s):  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Risk Attitude ◽  
Business Strategies ◽  
Risk Averse ◽  
Market Uncertainty ◽  
Firm Investment ◽  
Output Market ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

This paper aims to detect the impact of firm managers’ risk attitude on the relationship between the degree of output market uncertainty and firm investment. The findings show that there is a negative relationship between these two aspects for risk-averse managers while there is a positive relationship for risk-loving ones, since they have different utility functions. Based on the findings, this paper proposes recommendations for firm managers to take into account when making investment decisions and long-term business strategies as well.

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