Vulnerability Assessment to Climate Variability and Climate Change in Tijuana, Mexico

La variabilidad climática es la norma que ha modulado la vida en el planeta. Este trabajo demuestra que las pesquerías y acuicultura costera ecuatorianas no son la excepción, puesto que tales actividades están fuertemente influenciadas por la variabilidad ENSO (El Niño-Oscilación del Sur) y PDO (Oscilación Decadal del Pacífico), planteándose que la señal del cambio climático debe contribuir a esta influencia. Se destaca también que, en el análisis de los efectos de la variabilidad climática sobre los recursos pesqueros, el esfuerzo extractivo también debe ser considerado. Por su parte, la acción actual de la PDO está afectando la señal del cambio climático, encontrándose actualmente en fases opuestas. Se espera que estas señales entren en fase a finales de esta década, y principalmente durante la década de los 20 y consecuentemente se evidencien con mayor fuerza los efectos del Cambio Climático. Palabras Clave: Variabilidad Climática, Cambio Climático, ENSO, PDO, Pesquerías, Ecuador. ABSTRACT Climate variability is the standard that has modulated life in the planet. This work shows that the Ecuadorian fisheries and aquaculture are not the exception, since such activities are strongly influenced by ENSO variability (El Niño - Southern Oscillation) and PDO (Pacific Decadal Oscillation), considering that the signal of climate change should contribute to this influence. It also emphasizes that in the analysis of the effects of climate variability on the fishing resources, the extractive effort must also be considered. For its part, the current action of the PDO is affecting the signal of climate change, now found on opposite phases. It is hoped that these signals come into phase at the end of this decade, and especially during the decade of the 20’s and more strongly evidencing the effects of climate change. Keywords: Climate variability, climate change, ENSO (El Niño - Southern Oscillation) and PDO (Pacific Decadal Oscillation); fisheries, Ecuador. Recibido: mayo, 2012Aprobado: agosto, 2012

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Central Hardwoods ecosystem vulnerability assessment and synthesis: a report from the Central Hardwoods Climate Change Response Framework project

10.2737/nrs-gtr-124 ◽

2014 ◽

Cited By ~ 23

Author(s):

Leslie Brandt ◽

Hong He ◽

Louis Iverson ◽

Frank R. Thompson ◽

Patricia Butler ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Vulnerability Assessment ◽

Ecosystem Vulnerability ◽

Central Hardwoods ◽

Climate Change Response ◽

Change Response

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Climate change vulnerability assessment for the Chugach National Forest and the Kenai Peninsula

10.2737/pnw-gtr-950 ◽

2017 ◽

Author(s):

Gregory H. Hayward ◽

Steve Colt ◽

Monica L. McTeague ◽

Teresa N. Hollingsworth

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Vulnerability Assessment ◽

National Forest ◽

Kenai Peninsula ◽

Climate Change Vulnerability ◽

Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment

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Central Appalachians forest ecosystem vulnerability assessment and synthesis: a report from the Central Appalachians Climate Change Response Framework project

10.2737/nrs-gtr-146 ◽

2015 ◽

Cited By ~ 14

Author(s):

Patricia R. Butler ◽

Louis Iverson ◽

Frank R. Thompson ◽

Leslie Brandt ◽

Stephen Handler ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Forest Ecosystem ◽

Vulnerability Assessment ◽

Ecosystem Vulnerability ◽

Central Appalachians ◽

Climate Change Response ◽

Change Response

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Review and recommendations for climate change vulnerability assessment approaches with examples from the Southwest

10.2737/rmrs-gtr-309 ◽

2013 ◽

Cited By ~ 6

Author(s):

M. Friggens ◽

K. Bagne ◽

D. Finch ◽

D. Falk ◽

J. Triepke ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Vulnerability Assessment ◽

Climate Change Vulnerability ◽

Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment

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Less Rain and More Heat”: Smallholders’ Perception and Climate Change Adaptation Strategies in Tropical Environments

Sociedad y Ambiente ◽

10.31840/sya.v0i21.2040 ◽

2019 ◽

pp. 77-104 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Karla Diana Infante Ramírez ◽

Ana Minerva Arce Ibarra

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Climate Variability ◽

Tropical Forest ◽

Climate Change Adaptation ◽

Coastal Zone ◽

Weather Forecasting ◽

Adaptation Strategies ◽

Seasonal Migration ◽

Forest Zone ◽

Climate Change Adaptation Strategies

The main objective of this study was to analyze local perceptions of climate variability and the different adaptation strategies of four communities in the southern Yucatán Peninsula, using the Social-Ecological System (SES) approach. Four SESs were considered: two in the coastal zone and two in the tropical forest zone. Data were collected using different qualitative methodological tools (interviews, participant observation, and focal groups) and the information collected from each site was triangulated. In all four sites, changes in climate variability were perceived as “less rain and more heat”. In the tropical forest (or Maya) zone, an ancestral indigenous weather forecasting system, known as “Xook k’íin” (or “las cabañuelas”), was recorded and the main activity affected by climate variability was found to be slash-and burn farming or the milpa. In the coastal zone, the main activities affected are fishing and tourism. In all the cases analyzed, local climate change adaptation strategies include undertaking alternative work, and changing the calendar of daily, seasonal and annual labor and seasonal migration. The population of all four SESs displayed concern and uncertainty as regards dealing with these changes and possible changes in the future.

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