scholarly journals A New Approach to Estimate from Monitored Demand Data the Limit of the Coverage of Electricity Demand through Photovoltaics in Large Electricity Grids

Sensors ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (16) ◽  
pp. 4390
Author(s):  
Francisco Baena ◽  
Francisco José Muñoz-Rodriguez ◽  
Pedro Gómez Vidal ◽  
Gabino Almonacid

In a traditional large electricity grid without storage, there is a limit to the maximum photovoltaic energy that can be consumed as the demand and generation may not match, either in magnitude or in time. This paper aims to provide a new method to estimate the limit of the coverage of electricity demand by photovoltaics in large electricity grids. This new method eliminates the random and the periodic variability over time as it is based either on the load duration curve for demand and the output duration curve for PV generation. We will assume there is no energy storage or inter-network exchanges. Moreover, conditions for the best scenario for photovoltaics are provided in order to estimate the upper limit: photovoltaic overgeneration is not considered and a complete system flexibility is assumed. The knowledge of this limit will manage to provide not only a reference for the planning of the energy sector but also to analyze the viability of the integration of future photovoltaic projects in the electrical system. In order to illustrate the method, several large electricity grids have been analysed in order to determine the aforementioned limit. Values between 19.3% and 29.9% have been obtained.

1985 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 367-385 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. J. Gates

For a large electricity grid comprising many units (plants) of various types, such as coal, oil, nuclear, hydro, etc., with known unreliabilities (outage rates) we study the optimal (i.e. the cheapest) total capacity, or numbers, of each type of unit. Existing treatments of the problem involve numerical methods and approximations of unknown accuracy. For a range of cases, we find explicit solutions. This extends the known explicit solutions, which are confined to completely reliable units. The cases we analyse are (I) a demand (load) which has a shifted Rayleigh distribution—a good approximation to the real load-duration curve—with some restriction on reliability (big units are more reliable) and (II) an exponential load distribution—which is unrealistic—with no restrictions on reliability. In both cases, the solutions reduce to transformed versions of the exact solutions for totally reliable units and, like the latter, can be exhibited by means of a cost polygon.


1985 ◽  
Vol 17 (02) ◽  
pp. 367-385
Author(s):  
D. J. Gates

For a large electricity grid comprising many units (plants) of various types, such as coal, oil, nuclear, hydro, etc., with known unreliabilities (outage rates) we study the optimal (i.e. the cheapest) total capacity, or numbers, of each type of unit. Existing treatments of the problem involve numerical methods and approximations of unknown accuracy. For a range of cases, we find explicit solutions. This extends the known explicit solutions, which are confined to completely reliable units. The cases we analyse are (I) a demand (load) which has a shifted Rayleigh distribution—a good approximation to the real load-duration curve—with some restriction on reliability (big units are more reliable) and (II) an exponential load distribution—which is unrealistic—with no restrictions on reliability. In both cases, the solutions reduce to transformed versions of the exact solutions for totally reliable units and, like the latter, can be exhibited by means of a cost polygon.


1992 ◽  
Vol 26 (9-11) ◽  
pp. 2345-2348 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. N. Haas

A new method for the quantitative analysis of multiple toxicity data is described and illustrated using a data set on metal exposure to copepods. Positive interactions are observed for Ni-Pb and Pb-Cr, with weak negative interactions observed for Ni-Cr.


Symmetry ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 726
Author(s):  
Lamya A. Baharith ◽  
Wedad H. Aljuhani

This article presents a new method for generating distributions. This method combines two techniques—the transformed—transformer and alpha power transformation approaches—allowing for tremendous flexibility in the resulting distributions. The new approach is applied to introduce the alpha power Weibull—exponential distribution. The density of this distribution can take asymmetric and near-symmetric shapes. Various asymmetric shapes, such as decreasing, increasing, L-shaped, near-symmetrical, and right-skewed shapes, are observed for the related failure rate function, making it more tractable for many modeling applications. Some significant mathematical features of the suggested distribution are determined. Estimates of the unknown parameters of the proposed distribution are obtained using the maximum likelihood method. Furthermore, some numerical studies were carried out, in order to evaluate the estimation performance. Three practical datasets are considered to analyze the usefulness and flexibility of the introduced distribution. The proposed alpha power Weibull–exponential distribution can outperform other well-known distributions, showing its great adaptability in the context of real data analysis.


2014 ◽  
Vol 657 ◽  
pp. 689-693
Author(s):  
Răzvan Corneliu Lefter ◽  
Daniela Popescu ◽  
Alexandrina Untăroiu

Important investmentsare made lately in the area of district heating, as a technology capable ofhelping countries to reach sustainability goals. In Romania, European fundswere spent for transition from the 2nd to the 3rdgeneration of district heating systems. The lack of appropriate monitoringsystems in old district heating systems makes optimisation nowadays very difficult,especially because nominal values used in the first design stage areoverestimated. Realistic nominal heat loads are necessary to make goodestimations of hydraulic parameters to be used for redesign. This studyproposes a method that uses the heat load duration curve theory to identify theappropriate nominal heat loads to be used for redesign. Comparison betweenresults obtained by applying the nominal heat loads of each consumer, as theywere established in the first design stage, and the ones identified by theproposed method are analyzed in a case study. The results show that errors arein the +/- 3% band, between the metered heat consumption rates and the proposedrates. The new method can be used for the sizing of pumps and district heatingnetworks after retrofit, in order to get better adjustments of the circulationpumps and increase of the energy efficiency.


1992 ◽  
Vol 101 (1) ◽  
pp. 51-60 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eiji Yanagisawa ◽  
Ken Yanagisawa ◽  
Jay B. Horowitz ◽  
Lawrence J. Mambrino

A new approach to microlaryngeal surgery using a specially designed video microlaryngoscope with a rigid endoscopic telescope and an attached video camera was introduced by Kantor et al in 1990. The ability to video document and perform surgery of the larynx by viewing a high-resolution television image was demonstrated. This method was recommended over the standard microscopic technique for increased visibility with greater depth of field, unimpeded instrument access, instant documentation, and superior teaching value. The authors tried this new method and the standard microscopic technique at the same sitting on a series of patients. This paper will compare these two different techniques and discuss their advantages and disadvantages. Although the new method has many advantages, the standard microscopic technique remains as a valuable method in laryngeal surgery.


2004 ◽  
Vol 61 (7) ◽  
pp. 1269-1284 ◽  
Author(s):  
RIC Chris Francis ◽  
Steven E Campana

In 1985, Boehlert (Fish. Bull. 83: 103–117) suggested that fish age could be estimated from otolith measurements. Since that time, a number of inferential techniques have been proposed and tested in a range of species. A review of these techniques shows that all are subject to at least one of four types of bias. In addition, they all focus on assigning ages to individual fish, whereas the estimation of population parameters (particularly proportions at age) is usually the goal. We propose a new flexible method of inference based on mixture analysis, which avoids these biases and makes better use of the data. We argue that the most appropriate technique for evaluating the performance of these methods is a cost–benefit analysis that compares the cost of the estimated ages with that of the traditional annulus count method. A simulation experiment is used to illustrate both the new method and the cost–benefit analysis.


2000 ◽  
Vol 639 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Detchprohm ◽  
M. Yano ◽  
R. Nakamura ◽  
S. Sano ◽  
S. Mochiduki ◽  
...  

ABSTRACTWe have developed a new method to prepare low-dislocation-density GaN by using periodically grooved substrates in a conventional MOVPE growth technique. This new approach was demonstrated for GaN grown on periodically grooved α-Al2O3(0001), 6H-SiC(0001)Si and Si(111) substrates. Dislocation densities were 2×107 cm−2 in low-dislocation-density area.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document