scholarly journals Mobility Prediction-Based Optimisation and Encryption of Passenger Traffic-Flows Using Machine Learning

Sensors ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (9) ◽  
pp. 2629
Author(s):  
Syed Muhammad Asad ◽  
Jawad Ahmad ◽  
Sajjad Hussain ◽  
Ahmed Zoha ◽  
Qammer Hussain Abbasi ◽  
...  

Information and Communication Technology (ICT) enabled optimisation of train’s passenger traffic flows is a key consideration of transportation under Smart City planning (SCP). Traditional mobility prediction based optimisation and encryption approaches are reactive in nature; however, Artificial Intelligence (AI) driven proactive solutions are required for near real-time optimisation. Leveraging the historical passenger data recorded via Radio Frequency Identification (RFID) sensors installed at the train stations, mobility prediction models can be developed to support and improve the railway operational performance vis-a-vis 5G and beyond. In this paper we have analysed the passenger traffic flows based on an Access, Egress and Interchange (AEI) framework to support train infrastructure against congestion, accidents, overloading carriages and maintenance. This paper predominantly focuses on developing passenger flow predictions using Machine Learning (ML) along with a novel encryption model that is capable of handling the heavy passenger traffic flow in real-time. We have compared and reported the performance of various ML driven flow prediction models using real-world passenger flow data obtained from London Underground and Overground (LUO). Extensive spatio-temporal simulations leveraging realistic mobility prediction models show that an AEI framework can achieve 91.17% prediction accuracy along with secure and light-weight encryption capabilities. Security parameters such as correlation coefficient (<0.01), entropy (>7.70), number of pixel change rate (>99%), unified average change intensity (>33), contrast (>10), homogeneity (<0.3) and energy (<0.01) prove the efficacy of the proposed encryption scheme.

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (6) ◽  
pp. 1154 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ganjar Alfian ◽  
Muhammad Syafrudin ◽  
Bohan Yoon ◽  
Jongtae Rhee

Radio frequency identification (RFID) is an automated identification technology that can be utilized to monitor product movements within a supply chain in real-time. However, one problem that occurs during RFID data capturing is false positives (i.e., tags that are accidentally detected by the reader but not of interest to the business process). This paper investigates using machine learning algorithms to filter false positives. Raw RFID data were collected based on various tagged product movements, and statistical features were extracted from the received signal strength derived from the raw RFID data. Abnormal RFID data or outliers may arise in real cases. Therefore, we utilized outlier detection models to remove outlier data. The experiment results showed that machine learning-based models successfully classified RFID readings with high accuracy, and integrating outlier detection with machine learning models improved classification accuracy. We demonstrated the proposed classification model could be applied to real-time monitoring, ensuring false positives were filtered and hence not stored in the database. The proposed model is expected to improve warehouse management systems by monitoring delivered products to other supply chain partners.


2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (12) ◽  
pp. 732
Author(s):  
Hongjie Yu ◽  
Lin Liu ◽  
Bo Yang ◽  
Minxuan Lan

Crime prediction using machine learning and data fusion assimilation has become a hot topic. Most of the models rely on historical crime data and related environment variables. The activity of potential offenders affects the crime patterns, but the data with fine resolution have not been applied in the crime prediction. The goal of this study is to test the effect of the activity of potential offenders in the crime prediction by combining this data in the prediction models and assessing the prediction accuracies. This study uses the movement data of past offenders collected in routine police stop-and-question operations to infer the movement of future offenders. The offender movement data compensates historical crime data in a Spatio-Temporal Cokriging (ST-Cokriging) model for crime prediction. The models are implemented for weekly, biweekly, and quad-weekly prediction in the XT police district of ZG city, China. Results with the incorporation of the offender movement data are consistently better than those without it. The improvement is most pronounced for the weekly model, followed by the biweekly model, and the quad-weekly model. In sum, the addition of offender movement data enhances crime prediction, especially for short periods.


2011 ◽  
Vol 20 (04) ◽  
pp. 753-781
Author(s):  
KAI CHEN ◽  
KIA MAKKI ◽  
NIKI PISSINOU

In the metropolitan region, most congestion or traffic jams are caused by the uneven distribution of traffic flow that creates bottleneck points where the traffic volume exceeds the road capacity. Additionally, unexpected incidents are the next most probable cause of these bottleneck regions. Moreover, most drivers are driving based on their empirical experience without awareness of real-time traffic situations. This unintelligent traffic behavior can make the congestion problem worse. Prediction based route guidance systems show great improvements in solving the inefficient diversion strategy problem by estimating future travel time when calculating accurate travel time is difficult. However, performances of machine learning based prediction models that are based on the historical data set degrade sharply during a congestion situation. This paper develops a new navigation system for reducing travel time of an individual driver and distributing the flow of urban traffic efficiently in order to reduce the occurrence of congestion. Compared with previous route guidance systems, the results reveal that our system, applying the advanced multi-lane prediction based real-time fastest path (AMPRFP) algorithm, can significantly reduce the travel time especially when drivers travel in a complex route environment and face frequent congestion problems. Unlike the previous system,1 it can be applied either for single lane or multi-lane urban traffic networks where the reason for congestion is significantly complex. We also demonstrate the advantages of this system and verify the results using real highway traffic data and a synthetic experiment.


Anomaly detection is an area of video analysis has a great importance in automated surveillance. Although it has been extensively studied, there has been little work started using CNN networks. Hence, in this thesis we presented a novel approach for learning motion features and modeling normal Spatio-temporal dynamics for anomaly detection. In our technique, we capture variations in scale of the patterns of motion in an image object by using optical flow dense estimation technique and train our auto encoder model using convolution long short term memories (ConvLSTM2D) as we are processing video frames and we predict the anomaly in real time using Euclidean distance between the generated and the ground truth frame and we achieved a real time accuracy of nearly 98% for the youtube videos which are not used for either testing or training. Error between the network’s output and the target output is used to classify a video volume as normal or abnormal. In addition to the use of reconstruction error, we also use prediction error for anomaly detection. The prediction models show comparable performance with state of the art methods. In comparison with the proposed method, performance is improved in one dataset. Moreover, running time is significantly faster.


Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 1268 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhenzhen Di ◽  
Miao Chang ◽  
Peikun Guo ◽  
Yang Li ◽  
Yin Chang

Most worldwide industrial wastewater, including in China, is still directly discharged to aquatic environments without adequate treatment. Because of a lack of data and few methods, the relationships between pollutants discharged in wastewater and those in surface water have not been fully revealed and unsupervised machine learning techniques, such as clustering algorithms, have been neglected in related research fields. In this study, real-time monitoring data for chemical oxygen demand (COD), ammonia nitrogen (NH3-N), pH, and dissolved oxygen in the wastewater discharged from 2213 factories and in the surface water at 18 monitoring sections (sites) in 7 administrative regions in the Yangtze River Basin from 2016 to 2017 were collected and analyzed by the partitioning around medoids (PAM) and expectation–maximization (EM) clustering algorithms, Welch t-test, Wilcoxon test, and Spearman correlation. The results showed that compared with the spatial cluster comprising unpolluted sites, the spatial cluster comprised heavily polluted sites where more wastewater was discharged had relatively high COD (>100 mg L−1) and NH3-N (>6 mg L−1) concentrations and relatively low pH (<6) from 15 industrial classes that respected the different discharge limits outlined in the pollutant discharge standards. The results also showed that the economic activities generating wastewater and the geographical distribution of the heavily polluted wastewater changed from 2016 to 2017, such that the concentration ranges of pollutants in discharges widened and the contributions from some emerging enterprises became more important. The correlations between the quality of the wastewater and the surface water strengthened as the whole-year data sets were reduced to the heavily polluted periods by the EM clustering and water quality evaluation. This study demonstrates how unsupervised machine learning algorithms play an objective and effective role in data mining real-time monitoring information and highlighting spatio–temporal relationships between pollutants in wastewater discharges and surface water to support scientific water resource management.


Webology ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (05) ◽  
pp. 1212-1225
Author(s):  
Siva C ◽  
Maheshwari K.G ◽  
Nalinipriya G ◽  
Priscilla Mary J

In our day to day life, the availability of correctly labelled data as well as handling of categorical data are mostly acknowledged as two main challenges in dynamic analysis. Therefore, clustering techniques are applied on unlabelled data to group them in accordance with the homogeneity. There are many prediction methods that are being popularly used in handling forecasting problems in real time environment. The outbreak of coronavirus disease (COVID19)-2019 creates the need for a medical emergency of worldwide concern with a rapidly high danger of open out and strike the entire world. Recently, the ML prediction models were used in many real time applications which necessitate the identification and categorization for real time environment. In medical field Prediction models are vital role to obtain observations of spread and significances of infectious diseases. Machine learning related forecasting mechanisms have showed their importance to develop the decision making on the upcoming course of actions. The K-means algorithm and hierarchy were applied directly on the renewed dataset using R programming language to create the covid patient cluster. Confirmed Covid patients count are passed to Prophet package, then the prophet model has been created. This forecasts model predicts the future covid count, which is essential for the clinical and healthcare leaders to make the appropriate measures in advance. The results of the experiments indicate that the quality of Hierarchical clustering outperforms than the K-Means clustering algorithm in the structured structured dataset. Thus, the prediction model also used to support model predictions help for the officials to take timely actions and make decisions to contain the COVID-19 dilemma. This work concludes Hierarchical clustering algorithm is the best model for clustering the covid data set obtained from world health organization (WHO).


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ji-Yeon Kim ◽  
Yong Seok Lee ◽  
Jonghan Yu ◽  
Youngmin Park ◽  
Se Kyung Lee ◽  
...  

Several prognosis prediction models have been developed for breast cancer (BC) patients with curative surgery, but there is still an unmet need to precisely determine BC prognosis for individual BC patients in real time. This is a retrospectively collected data analysis from adjuvant BC registry at Samsung Medical Center between January 2000 and December 2016. The initial data set contained 325 clinical data elements: baseline characteristics with demographics, clinical and pathologic information, and follow-up clinical information including laboratory and imaging data during surveillance. Weibull Time To Event Recurrent Neural Network (WTTE-RNN) by Martinsson was implemented for machine learning. We searched for the optimal window size as time-stamped inputs. To develop the prediction model, data from 13,117 patients were split into training (60%), validation (20%), and test (20%) sets. The median follow-up duration was 4.7 years and the median number of visits was 8.4. We identified 32 features related to BC recurrence and considered them in further analyses. Performance at a point of statistics was calculated using Harrell's C-index and area under the curve (AUC) at each 2-, 5-, and 7-year points. After 200 training epochs with a batch size of 100, the C-index reached 0.92 for the training data set and 0.89 for the validation and test data sets. The AUC values were 0.90 at 2-year point, 0.91 at 5-year point, and 0.91 at 7-year point. The deep learning-based final model outperformed three other machine learning-based models. In terms of pathologic characteristics, the median absolute error (MAE) and weighted mean absolute error (wMAE) showed great results of as little as 3.5%. This BC prognosis model to determine the probability of BC recurrence in real time was developed using information from the time of BC diagnosis and the follow-up period in RNN machine learning model.


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