scholarly journals Estimation of the Yield and Plant Height of Winter Wheat Using UAV-Based Hyperspectral Images

Sensors ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (4) ◽  
pp. 1231 ◽  
Author(s):  
Huilin Tao ◽  
Haikuan Feng ◽  
Liangji Xu ◽  
Mengke Miao ◽  
Guijun Yang ◽  
...  

Crop yield is related to national food security and economic performance, and it is therefore important to estimate this parameter quickly and accurately. In this work, we estimate the yield of winter wheat using the spectral indices (SIs), ground-measured plant height (H), and the plant height extracted from UAV-based hyperspectral images (HCSM) using three regression techniques, namely partial least squares regression (PLSR), an artificial neural network (ANN), and Random Forest (RF). The SIs, H, and HCSM were used as input values, and then the PLSR, ANN, and RF were trained using regression techniques. The three different regression techniques were used for modeling and verification to test the stability of the yield estimation. The results showed that: (1) HCSM is strongly correlated with H (R2 = 0.97); (2) of the regression techniques, the best yield prediction was obtained using PLSR, followed closely by ANN, while RF had the worst prediction performance; and (3) the best prediction results were obtained using PLSR and training using a combination of the SIs and HCSM as inputs (R2 = 0.77, RMSE = 648.90 kg/ha, NRMSE = 10.63%). Therefore, it can be concluded that PLSR allows the accurate estimation of crop yield from hyperspectral remote sensing data, and the combination of the SIs and HCSM allows the most accurate yield estimation. The results of this study indicate that the crop plant height extracted from UAV-based hyperspectral measurements can improve yield estimation, and that the comparative analysis of PLSR, ANN, and RF regression techniques can provide a reference for agricultural management.

2019 ◽  
Vol 62 (2) ◽  
pp. 393-404 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aijing Feng ◽  
Meina Zhang ◽  
Kenneth A. Sudduth ◽  
Earl D. Vories ◽  
Jianfeng Zhou

Abstract. Accurate estimation of crop yield before harvest, especially in early growth stages, is important for farmers and researchers to optimize field management and evaluate crop performance. However, existing in-field methods for estimating crop yield are not efficient. The goal of this research was to evaluate the performance of a UAV-based remote sensing system with a low-cost RGB camera to estimate cotton yield based on plant height. The UAV system acquired images at 50 m above ground level over a cotton field at the first flower growth stage. Waypoints and flight speed were selected to allow >70% image overlap in both forward and side directions. Images were processed to develop a geo-referenced orthomosaic image and a digital elevation model (DEM) of the field that was used to extract plant height by calculating the difference in elevation between the crop canopy and bare soil surface. Twelve ground reference points with known height were deployed in the field to validate the UAV-based height measurement. Geo-referenced yield data were aligned to the plant height map based on GPS and image features. Correlation analysis between yield and plant height was conducted row-by-row with and without row registration. Pearson correlation coefficients between yield and plant height with row registration for all individual rows were in the range of 0.66 to 0.96 and were higher than those without row registration (0.54 to 0.95). A linear regression model using plant height was able to estimate yield with root mean square error of 550 kg ha-1 and mean absolute error of 420 kg ha-1. Locations with low yield were analyzed to identify the potential reasons, and it was found that water stress and coarse soil texture, as indicated by low soil apparent electricity conductivity (ECa), might contribute to the low yield. The findings indicate that the UAV-based remote sensing system equipped with a low-cost digital camera was potentially able to monitor plant growth status and estimate cotton yield with acceptable errors. Keywords: Cotton, Geo-registration, Plant height, UAV-based remote sensing, Yield estimation.


Sensors ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (14) ◽  
pp. 3161 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haizhu Pan ◽  
Zhongxin Chen ◽  
Allard de Wit ◽  
Jianqiang Ren

It is well known that timely crop growth monitoring and accurate crop yield estimation at a fine scale is of vital importance for agricultural monitoring and crop management. Crop growth models have been widely used for crop growth process description and yield prediction. In particular, the accurate simulation of important state variables, such as leaf area index (LAI) and root zone soil moisture (SM), is of great importance for yield estimation. Data assimilation is a useful tool that combines a crop model and external observations (often derived from remote sensing data) to improve the simulated crop state variables and consequently model outputs like crop total biomass, water use and grain yield. In spite of its effectiveness, applying data assimilation for monitoring crop growth at the regional scale in China remains challenging, due to the lack of high spatiotemporal resolution satellite data that can match the small field sizes which are typical for agriculture in China. With the accessibility of freely available images acquired by Sentinel satellites, it becomes possible to acquire data at high spatiotemporal resolution (10–30 m, 5–6 days), which offers attractive opportunities to characterize crop growth. In this study, we assimilated remotely sensed LAI and SM into the Word Food Studies (WOFOST) model to estimate winter wheat yield using an ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) algorithm. The LAI was calculated from Sentinel-2 using a lookup table method, and the SM was calculated from Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2 based on a change detection approach. Through validation with field data, the inverse error was 10% and 35% for LAI and SM, respectively. The open-loop wheat yield estimation, independent assimilations of LAI and SM, and a joint assimilation of LAI + SM were tested and validated using field measurement observation in the city of Hengshui, China, during the 2016–2017 winter wheat growing season. The results indicated that the accuracy of wheat yield simulated by WOFOST was significantly improved after joint assimilation at the field scale. Compared to the open-loop estimation, the yield root mean square error (RMSE) with field observations was decreased by 69 kg/ha for the LAI assimilation, 39 kg/ha for the SM assimilation and 167 kg/ha for the joint LAI + SM assimilation. Yield coefficients of determination (R2) of 0.41, 0.65, 0.50, and 0.76 and mean relative errors (MRE) of 4.87%, 4.32%, 4.45% and 3.17% were obtained for open-loop, LAI assimilation alone, SM assimilation alone and joint LAI + SM assimilation, respectively. The results suggest that LAI was the first-choice variable for crop data assimilation over SM, and when both LAI and SM satellite data are available, the joint data assimilation has a better performance because LAI and SM have interacting effects. Hence, joint assimilation of LAI and SM from Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2 at a 20 m resolution into the WOFOST provides a robust method to improve crop yield estimations. However, there is still bias between the key soil moisture in the root zone and the Sentinel-1 C band retrieved SM, especially when the vegetation cover is high. By active and passive microwave data fusion, it may be possible to offer a higher accuracy SM for crop yield prediction.


Crop yield prediction is an art of forecasting the yield of crop before harvesting. Prediction of crop yield will be very useful for the government to make food policies, market price, import and export policies and proper warehousing well in time. The socio-economical impact of crop loss due to any natural disaster i.e. flood, drought can be minimized and humanitarian food assistance can be planned. The paper present a literature survey of various stastical method, empirical models,artificial neural network and machine learning regression techniques which are used with the data provided by the satellites. Many models are developed and results calculated are compared with the benchmark models are also presented.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (13) ◽  
pp. 1618 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wen Zhuo ◽  
Jianxi Huang ◽  
Li Li ◽  
Xiaodong Zhang ◽  
Hongyuan Ma ◽  
...  

Crop yield estimation at a regional scale over a long period of time is of great significance to food security. In past decades, the integration of remote sensing observations and crop growth models has been recognized as a promising approach for crop growth monitoring and yield estimation. Optical remote sensing data are susceptible to cloud and rain, while synthetic aperture radar (SAR) can penetrate through clouds and has all-weather capabilities. This allows for more reliable and consistent crop monitoring and yield estimation in terms of radar sensor data. The aim of this study is to improve the accuracy for winter wheat yield estimation by assimilating time series soil moisture images, which are retrieved by a water cloud model using SAR and optical data as input, into the crop model. In this study, SAR images were acquired by C-band SAR sensors boarded on Sentinel-1 satellites and optical images were obtained from a Sentinel-2 multi-spectral instrument (MSI) for Hengshui city of Hebei province in China. Remote sensing data and ground data were all collected during the main growing season of winter wheat. Both the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), derived from Sentinel-2, and backscattering coefficients and polarimetric indicators, computed from Sentinel-1, were used in the water cloud model to derive time series soil moisture (SM) images. To improve the prediction of crop yields at the field scale, we incorporated remotely sensed soil moisture into the World Food Studies (WOFOST) model using the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) algorithm. In general, the trend of soil moisture inversion was consistent with the ground measurements, with the coefficient of determination (R2) equal to 0.45, 0.53, and 0.49, respectively, and RMSE was 9.16%, 7.43%, and 8.53%, respectively, for three observation dates. The winter wheat yield estimation results showed that the assimilation of remotely sensed soil moisture improved the correlation of observed and simulated yields (R2 = 0.35; RMSE =934 kg/ha) compared to the situation without data assimilation (R2 = 0.21; RMSE = 1330 kg/ha). Consequently, the results of this study demonstrated the potential and usefulness of assimilating SM retrieved from both Sentinel-1 C-band SAR and Sentinel-2 MSI optical remote sensing data into WOFOST model for winter wheat yield estimation and could also provide a reference for crop yield estimation with data assimilation for other crop types.


Sensors ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (11) ◽  
pp. 3787 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bing Yu ◽  
Songhao Shang

Crop yield estimation is important for formulating informed regional and national food trade policies. The introduction of remote sensing in agricultural monitoring makes accurate estimation of regional crop yields possible. However, remote sensing images and crop distribution maps with coarse spatial resolution usually cause inaccuracy in yield estimation due to the existence of mixed pixels. This study aimed to estimate the annual yields of maize and sunflower in Hetao Irrigation District in North China using 30 m spatial resolution HJ-1A/1B CCD images and high accuracy multi-year crop distribution maps. The Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) time series obtained from HJ-1A/1B CCD images was fitted with an asymmetric logistic curve to calculate daily NDVI and phenological characteristics. Eight random forest (RF) models using different predictors were developed for maize and sunflower yield estimation, respectively, where predictors of each model were a combination of NDVI series and/or phenological characteristics. We calibrated all RF models with measured crop yields at sampling points in two years (2014 and 2015), and validated the RF models with statistical yields of four counties in six years. Results showed that the optimal model for maize yield estimation was the model using NDVI series from the 120th to the 210th day in a year with 10 days’ interval as predictors, while that for sunflower was the model using the combination of three NDVI characteristics, three phenological characteristics, and two curve parameters as predictors. The selected RF models could estimate multi-year regional crop yields accurately, with the average values of root-mean-square error and the relative error of 0.75 t/ha and 6.1% for maize, and 0.40 t/ha and 10.1% for sunflower, respectively. Moreover, the yields of maize and sunflower can be estimated fairly well with NDVI series 50 days before crop harvest, which implicated the possibility of crop yield forecast before harvest.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (10) ◽  
pp. 2016
Author(s):  
Xiufang Zhu ◽  
Rui Guo ◽  
Tingting Liu ◽  
Kun Xu

Timely and reliable estimations of crop yield are essential for crop management and successful food trade. In previous studies, remote sensing data or climate data are often used alone in statistical yield estimation models. In this study, we synthetically used agrometeorological indicators and remote sensing vegetation parameters to estimate maize yield in Jilin and Liaoning Provinces of China. We applied two methods to select input variables, used the random forest method to establish yield estimation models, and verified the accuracy of the models in three disaster years (1997, 2000, and 2001). The results show that the R2 values of the eight yield estimation models established in the two provinces were all above 0.7, Lin’s concordance correlation coefficients were all above 0.84, and the mean absolute relative errors were all below 0.14. The mean absolute relative error of the yield estimations in the three disaster years was 0.12 in Jilin Province and 0.13 in Liaoning Province. A model built using variables selected by a two-stage importance evaluation method can obtain a better accuracy with fewer variables. The final yield estimation model of Jilin province adopts eight independent variables, and the final yield estimation model of Liaoning Province adopts nine independent variables. Among the 11 adopted variables in two provinces, ATT (accumulated temperature above 10 °C) variables accounted for the highest proportion (54.54%). In addition, the GPP (gross primary production) anomaly in August, NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) anomaly in August, and standardized precipitation index with a two-month scale in July were selected as important modeling variables by all methods in the two provinces. This study provides a reference method for the selection of modeling variables, and the results are helpful for understanding the impact of climate on potential yield.


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