scholarly journals Improving Spatial Agreement in Machine Learning-Based Landslide Susceptibility Mapping

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (20) ◽  
pp. 3347 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammed Sarfaraz Gani Adnan ◽  
Md Salman Rahman ◽  
Nahian Ahmed ◽  
Bayes Ahmed ◽  
Md. Fazleh Rabbi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Correlation Coefficients ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Natural Phenomenon ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Susceptibility Maps ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Maps

Despite yielding considerable degrees of accuracy in landslide predictions, the outcomes of different landslide susceptibility models are prone to spatial disagreement; and therefore, uncertainties. Uncertainties in the results of various landslide susceptibility models create challenges in selecting the most suitable method to manage this complex natural phenomenon. This study aimed to propose an approach to reduce uncertainties in landslide prediction, diagnosing spatial agreement in machine learning-based landslide susceptibility maps. It first developed landslide susceptibility maps of Cox’s Bazar district of Bangladesh, applying four machine learning algorithms: K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP), Random Forest (RF), and Support Vector Machine (SVM), featuring hyperparameter optimization of 12 landslide conditioning factors. The results of all the four models yielded very high prediction accuracy, with the area under the curve (AUC) values range between 0.93 to 0.96. The assessment of spatial agreement of landslide predictions showed that the pixel-wise correlation coefficients of landslide probability between various models range from 0.69 to 0.85, indicating the uncertainty in predicted landslides by various models, despite their considerable prediction accuracy. The uncertainty was addressed by establishing a Logistic Regression (LR) model, incorporating the binary landslide inventory data as the dependent variable and the results of the four landslide susceptibility models as independent variables. The outcomes indicated that the RF model had the highest influence in predicting the observed landslide locations, followed by the MLP, SVM, and KNN models. Finally, a combined landslide susceptibility map was developed by integrating the results of the four machine learning-based landslide predictions. The combined map resulted in better spatial agreement (correlation coefficients range between 0.88 and 0.92) and greater prediction accuracy (0.97) compared to the individual models. The modelling approach followed in this study would be useful in minimizing uncertainties of various methods and improving landslide predictions.

scholarly journals A Novel Performance Assessment Approach using Photogrammetric Techniques for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping with Logistic Regression, ANN and Random Forest

Sensors ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (18) ◽  
pp. 3940 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sevgen ◽  
Kocaman ◽  
Nefeslioglu ◽  
Gokceoglu
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Random Forest ◽  
Performance Assessment ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Susceptibility Maps ◽  
Surface Models ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Maps

Prediction of possible landslide areas is the first stage of landslide hazard mitigation efforts and is also crucial for suitable site selection. Several statistical and machine learning methodologies have been applied for the production of landslide susceptibility maps. However, the performance assessment of such methods have conventionally been carried out by utilizing existing landslide inventories. The purpose of this study is to investigate the performances of landslide susceptibility maps produced with three different machine learning algorithms, i.e., random forest, artificial neural network, and logistic regression, in a recently constructed and activated dam reservoir and assess the external quality of each map by using pre- and post-event photogrammetric datasets. The methodology introduced here was applied using digital surface models generated from aerial photogrammetric flight data acquired before and after the dam construction. Aerial photogrammetric images acquired in 2012 and 2018 (after the dam was filled) were used to produce digital terrain models and orthophotos. The 2012 dataset was used for producing the landslide susceptibility maps and the results were evaluated by comparing the Euclidian distances between the two surface models. The results show that the random forest method outperforms the other two for predicting the future landslides.

scholarly journals GENETIC ALGORITHM BASED FEATURE SELECTION FOR LANDSLIDE SUSCEPTIBILITY MAPPING IN NORTHERN IRAN

2019 ◽  
Vol XLII-4/W18 ◽  
pp. 821-825
Author(s):  
Z. Nikraftar ◽  
S. Rajabi-Kiasari ◽  
S. T. Seydi
Keyword(s):  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Land Use ◽  
Land Use Planning ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Northern Iran ◽  
Susceptibility Maps ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Maps

Abstract. Recognizing where landslides are most likely to occur is crucial for land use planning and decision-making especially in the mountainous areas. A significant portion of northern Iran (NI) is prone to landslides due to its climatology, geological and topographical characteristics. The main objective of this study is to produce landslide susceptibility maps in NI applying three machine learning algorithms such as K-nearest neighbors (KNN), Support Vector Machines (SVM) and Random Forest (RF). Out of the total number of 1334 landslides identified in the study area, 894 (≈67%) locations were used for the landslide susceptibility maps, while the remaining 440 (≈33%) cases were utilized for the model validation. 21 landslide triggering factors including topographical, hydrological, lithological and Land cover types were extracted from the spatial database using SAGA (System for Automated Geoscientific Analyses), ArcGIS software and satellite images. Furthermore, a genetic algorithm was employed to select the most important informative features. Then, landslide susceptibility was analyzed by assessing the environmental feasibility of influential factors. The obtained results indicate that the RF model with the overall accuracy (OA) of 90.01% depicted a better performance than SVM (OA = 81.06%) and KNN (OA = 83.05%) models. The produced susceptibility maps can be productively practical for upcoming land use planning in NI.

scholarly journals Landslide susceptibility mapping using machine learning for Wenchuan County, Sichuan province, China

2020 ◽  
Vol 198 ◽  
pp. 03023
Author(s):  
Xin Yang ◽  
Rui Liu ◽  
Luyao Li ◽  
Mei Yang ◽  
Yuantao Yang
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Roc Curve Analysis ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
Boosted Decision Tree

Landslide susceptibility mapping is a method used to assess the probability and spatial distribution of landslide occurrences. Machine learning methods have been widely used in landslide susceptibility in recent years. In this paper, six popular machine learning algorithms namely logistic regression, multi-layer perceptron, random forests, support vector machine, Adaboost, and gradient boosted decision tree were leveraged to construct landslide susceptibility models with a total of 1365 landslide points and 14 predisposing factors. Subsequently, the landslide susceptibility maps (LSM) were generated by the trained models. LSM shows the main landslide zone is concentrated in the southeastern area of Wenchuan County. The result of ROC curve analysis shows that all models fitted the training datasets and achieved satisfactory results on validation datasets. The results of this paper reveal that machine learning methods are feasible to build robust landslide susceptibility models.

scholarly journals Application of Ensemble-Based Machine Learning Models to Landslide Susceptibility Mapping

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (8) ◽  
pp. 1252 ◽  
Author(s):  
Prima Kadavi ◽  
Chang-Wook Lee ◽  
Saro Lee
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Landslide Occurrence ◽  
Susceptibility Maps ◽  
Multiclass Classifier ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Maps ◽  
Machine Learning Models

The main purpose of this study was to produce landslide susceptibility maps using various ensemble-based machine learning models (i.e., the AdaBoost, LogitBoost, Multiclass Classifier, and Bagging models) for the Sacheon-myeon area of South Korea. A landslide inventory map including a total of 762 landslides was compiled based on reports and aerial photograph interpretations. The landslides were randomly separated into two datasets: 70% of landslides were selected for the model establishment and 30% were used for validation purposes. Additionally, 20 landslide condition factors divided into five categories (topographic factors, hydrological factors, soil map, geological map, and forest map) were considered in the landslide susceptibility mapping. The relationships among landslide occurrence and landslide conditioning factors were analyzed and the landslide susceptibility maps were calculated and drawn using the AdaBoost, LogitBoost, Multiclass Classifier, and Bagging models. Finally, the maps were validated using the area under the curve (AUC) method. The Multiclass Classifier method had higher prediction accuracy (85.9%) than the Bagging (AUC = 85.4%), LogitBoost (AUC = 84.8%), and AdaBoost (84.0%) methods.

scholarly journals Exploring Complementary Models Consisting of Machine Learning Algorithms for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (10) ◽  
pp. 639
Author(s):  
Han Hu ◽  
Changming Wang ◽  
Zhu Liang ◽  
Ruiyuan Gao ◽  
Bailong Li
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Land Use Planning ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Specific Area ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Human Beings ◽  
Statistical Measures

Landslides frequently occur because of natural or human factors. Landslides cause huge losses to the economy as well as human beings every year around the globe. Landslide susceptibility prediction (LSP) plays a key role in the prevention of landslides and has been under investigation for years. Although new machine learning algorithms have achieved excellent performance in terms of prediction accuracy, a sufficient quantity of training samples is essential. In contrast, it is hard to obtain enough landslide samples in most the areas, especially for the county-level area. The present study aims to explore an optimization model in conjunction with conventional unsupervised and supervised learning methods, which performs well with respect to prediction accuracy and comprehensibility. Logistic regression (LR), fuzzy c-means clustering (FCM) and factor analysis (FA) were combined to establish four models: LR model, FCM coupled with LR model, FA coupled with LR model, and FCM, FA coupled with LR model and applied in a specific area. Firstly, an inventory with 114 landslides and 10 conditioning factors was prepared for modeling. Subsequently, four models were applied to LSP. Finally, the performance was evaluated and compared by k-fold cross-validation based on statistical measures. The results showed that the coupled model by FCM, FA and LR achieved the greatest performance among these models with the AUC (Area under the curve) value of 0.827, accuracy of 85.25%, sensitivity of 74.96% and specificity of 86.21%. While the LR model performed the worst with an AUC value of 0.736, accuracy of 77%, sensitivity of 62.52% and specificity of 72.55%. It was concluded that both the dimension reduction and sample size should be considered in modeling, and the performance can be enhanced by combining complementary methods. The combination of models should be more flexible and purposeful. This work provides reference for related research and better guidance to engineering activities, decision-making by local administrations and land use planning.

Machine Learning Approach for Predicting Lane-Change Maneuvers using the SHRP2 Naturalistic Driving Study Data

2021 ◽  
pp. 036119812110035
Author(s):  
Anik Das ◽  
Mohamed M. Ahmed
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Lane Change ◽  
Adaptive Boosting ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽  
Naturalistic Driving Study ◽  
Naturalistic Driving ◽  
Change Prediction

Accurate lane-change prediction information in real time is essential to safely operate Autonomous Vehicles (AVs) on the roadways, especially at the early stage of AVs deployment, where there will be an interaction between AVs and human-driven vehicles. This study proposed reliable lane-change prediction models considering features from vehicle kinematics, machine vision, driver, and roadway geometric characteristics using the trajectory-level SHRP2 Naturalistic Driving Study and Roadway Information Database. Several machine learning algorithms were trained, validated, tested, and comparatively analyzed including, Classification And Regression Trees (CART), Random Forest (RF), eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Adaptive Boosting (AdaBoost), Support Vector Machine (SVM), K Nearest Neighbor (KNN), and Naïve Bayes (NB) based on six different sets of features. In each feature set, relevant features were extracted through a wrapper-based algorithm named Boruta. The results showed that the XGBoost model outperformed all other models in relation to its highest overall prediction accuracy (97%) and F1-score (95.5%) considering all features. However, the highest overall prediction accuracy of 97.3% and F1-score of 95.9% were observed in the XGBoost model based on vehicle kinematics features. Moreover, it was found that XGBoost was the only model that achieved a reliable and balanced prediction performance across all six feature sets. Furthermore, a simplified XGBoost model was developed for each feature set considering the practical implementation of the model. The proposed prediction model could help in trajectory planning for AVs and could be used to develop more reliable advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) in a cooperative connected and automated vehicle environment.

scholarly journals A Novel Hybrid Method for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping-Based GeoDetector and Machine Learning Cluster: A Case of Xiaojin County, China

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 93
Author(s):  
Wei Xie ◽  
Xiaoshuang Li ◽  
Wenbin Jian ◽  
Yang Yang ◽  
Hongwei Liu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Hybrid Method ◽  
Roc Curve ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Assessment Model ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Area Index

Landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) could be an effective way to prevent landslide hazards and mitigate losses. The choice of conditional factors is crucial to the results of LSM, and the selection of models also plays an important role. In this study, a hybrid method including GeoDetector and machine learning cluster was developed to provide a new perspective on how to address these two issues. We defined redundant factors by quantitatively analyzing the single impact and interactive impact of the factors, which was analyzed by GeoDetector, the effect of this step was examined using mean absolute error (MAE). The machine learning cluster contains four models (artificial neural network (ANN), Bayesian network (BN), logistic regression (LR), and support vector machines (SVM)) and automatically selects the best one for generating LSM. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, prediction accuracy, and the seed cell area index (SCAI) methods were used to evaluate these methods. The results show that the SVM model had the best performance in the machine learning cluster with the area under the ROC curve of 0.928 and with an accuracy of 83.86%. Therefore, SVM was chosen as the assessment model to map the landslide susceptibility of the study area. The landslide susceptibility map demonstrated fit with landslide inventory, indicated the hybrid method is effective in screening landslide influences and assessing landslide susceptibility.

Landslide susceptibility mapping based on convolutional neural network and conventional machine learning methods

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rui Liu ◽  
Xin Yang ◽  
Chong Xu ◽  
Luyao Li ◽  
Xiangqiang Zeng
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Convolutional Neural Network ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
Conventional Machine

Abstract Landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) is a useful tool to estimate the probability of landslide occurrence, providing a scientific basis for natural hazards prevention, land use planning, and economic development in landslide-prone areas. To date, a large number of machine learning methods have been applied to LSM, and recently the advanced Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) has been gradually adopted to enhance the prediction accuracy of LSM. The objective of this study is to introduce a CNN based model in LSM and systematically compare its overall performance with the conventional machine learning models of random forest, logistic regression, and support vector machine. Herein, we selected the Jiuzhaigou region in Sichuan Province, China as the study area. A total number of 710 landslides and 12 predisposing factors were stacked to form spatial datasets for LSM. The ROC analysis and several statistical metrics, such as accuracy, root mean square error (RMSE), Kappa coefficient, sensitivity, and specificity were used to evaluate the performance of the models in the training and validation datasets. Finally, the trained models were calculated and the landslide susceptibility zones were mapped. Results suggest that both CNN and conventional machine-learning based models have a satisfactory performance (AUC: 85.72% − 90.17%). The CNN based model exhibits excellent good-of-fit and prediction capability, and achieves the highest performance (AUC: 90.17%) but also significantly reduces the salt-of-pepper effect, which indicates its great potential of application to LSM.

scholarly journals Hybrid Integration Approach of Entropy with Logistic Regression and Support Vector Machine for Landslide Susceptibility Modeling

Entropy ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 20 (11) ◽  
pp. 884 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tingyu Zhang ◽  
Ling Han ◽  
Wei Chen ◽  
Himan Shahabi
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Shaanxi Province ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Operating Characteristics ◽  
Study Region ◽  
Susceptibility Maps ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Maps

The main purpose of the present study is to apply three classification models, namely, the index of entropy (IOE) model, the logistic regression (LR) model, and the support vector machine (SVM) model by radial basis function (RBF), to produce landslide susceptibility maps for the Fugu County of Shaanxi Province, China. Firstly, landslide locations were extracted from field investigation and aerial photographs, and a total of 194 landslide polygons were transformed into points to produce a landslide inventory map. Secondly, the landslide points were randomly split into two groups (70/30) for training and validation purposes, respectively. Then, 10 landslide explanatory variables, such as slope aspect, slope angle, altitude, lithology, mean annual precipitation, distance to roads, distance to rivers, distance to faults, land use, and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), were selected and the potential multicollinearity problems between these factors were detected by the Pearson Correlation Coefficient (PCC), the variance inflation factor (VIF), and tolerance (TOL). Subsequently, the landslide susceptibility maps for the study region were obtained using the IOE model, the LR–IOE, and the SVM–IOE model. Finally, the performance of these three models was verified and compared using the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve. The success rate results showed that the LR–IOE model has the highest accuracy (90.11%), followed by the IOE model (87.43%) and the SVM–IOE model (86.53%). Similarly, the AUC values also showed that the prediction accuracy expresses a similar result, with the LR–IOE model having the highest accuracy (81.84%), followed by the IOE model (76.86%) and the SVM–IOE model (76.61%). Thus, the landslide susceptibility map (LSM) for the study region can provide an effective reference for the Fugu County government to properly address land planning and mitigate landslide risk.

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