scholarly journals Spatially Variable Glacier Changes in the Annapurna Conservation Area, Nepal, 2000 to 2016

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (12) ◽  
pp. 1452 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arminel M. Lovell ◽  
J. Rachel Carr ◽  
Chris R. Stokes

Himalayan glaciers have shrunk rapidly in recent decades, but the spatial pattern of ice loss is highly variable and appears to be modulated by factors relating to individual glacier characteristics. This hinders our ability to predict their future evolution, which is vital for water resource management. The aim of this study is to assess recent glacier changes in the little-studied Annapurna Conservation Area (ACA; area: 7629 km2) in Nepal, and to explore local controls influencing their behaviour. We map changes in glacier area, surface elevation, and ice flow velocity on a large sample of glaciers (n = 162) in the ACA between 2000 and 2016. We found that total glacier area decreased by 8.5% between 2000 and 2014/15. Ice surface velocity changes between 2002 and 2016 were variable, with no clear trend of acceleration or deceleration. The mean surface elevation change for a smaller sample of glaciers (n = 72) was −0.33 ± 0.22 m a−1 between 2000 and 2013/16, which equates to a mean mass balance of −0.28 ± 0.24 m w.e. a−1. There was a trend of increasingly less negative mass balance towards the north. Glaciers that lost the most mass in the north of the ACA tended to have lower maximum elevations, bottom-heavy hypsometries, and were more likely to be avalanche-fed. However, these patterns were not apparent in glaciers in central ACA. There was no significant difference in the mean surface elevation change rate on the ablation zones of debris-covered compared with debris-free glaciers. Our work shows that glaciers in the ACA are losing area and mass at variable rates, but that the influence of local controls is complex, which introduces large uncertainties when predicting their future evolution.

1965 ◽  
Vol 5 (41) ◽  
pp. 547-566 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mark F. Meier ◽  
W. V. Tangborn

AbstractIce velocity, net mass budget and surface elevation change data were collected over the length and width of a small (3.4 km. long) valley glacier from 1957 to 1964. Ice velocities range up to about 20 m./yr.; three prominent velocity maxima along the length of the glacier correspond to maxima in surface slope. Net mass budgets averaged over the glacier surface range between − 3.3 m. of water equivalent (1957–58) and +1.2 m. (1963–64). Except for the year 1960–61, curves of net budget versus altitude are parallel. During the period 1958–61 the glacier became thinner at a rate averaging 0.93 m./yr. The net budget and thinning data are internally consistent. Relations between emergence velocity, net budget and surface elevation change are examined at four specific points on the glacier surface and as functions of distance along the length of the glacier. Emergence velocity averages about −0.5 m. in the upper part of the glacier and about +1.0 m. in the lower part. Ice discharge and ice thickness are also calculated as functions of distance. The discharge reaches a peak of 8.8 × 105m.3of ice per year 2.2 km. from the head of the glacier. The mean thickness of the glacier is about 83 m. A steady-state distribution of net budget is used to calculate a steady-state discharge, which is 2.2 times larger than the present discharge.


1965 ◽  
Vol 5 (41) ◽  
pp. 547-566 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mark F. Meier ◽  
W. V. Tangborn

AbstractIce velocity, net mass budget and surface elevation change data were collected over the length and width of a small (3.4 km. long) valley glacier from 1957 to 1964. Ice velocities range up to about 20 m./yr.; three prominent velocity maxima along the length of the glacier correspond to maxima in surface slope. Net mass budgets averaged over the glacier surface range between − 3.3 m. of water equivalent (1957–58) and +1.2 m. (1963–64). Except for the year 1960–61, curves of net budget versus altitude are parallel. During the period 1958–61 the glacier became thinner at a rate averaging 0.93 m./yr. The net budget and thinning data are internally consistent. Relations between emergence velocity, net budget and surface elevation change are examined at four specific points on the glacier surface and as functions of distance along the length of the glacier. Emergence velocity averages about −0.5 m. in the upper part of the glacier and about +1.0 m. in the lower part. Ice discharge and ice thickness are also calculated as functions of distance. The discharge reaches a peak of 8.8 × 105 m.3 of ice per year 2.2 km. from the head of the glacier. The mean thickness of the glacier is about 83 m. A steady-state distribution of net budget is used to calculate a steady-state discharge, which is 2.2 times larger than the present discharge.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kay Helfricht ◽  
Lea Hartl ◽  
Martin Stocker-Waldhuber ◽  
Bernd Seiser ◽  
Andrea Fischer

<p>Unprecedented glacier changes are reported for many mountain regions on earth based on surveys with different spatial resolution and repeat intervals. Eastern Alpine glaciers have been receding since the LIA maximum, with increasing relative volume loss at the beginning of the 21<sup>st</sup> century. New high-resolution data of surface elevation from ALS surveys enable the analysis of most recent glacier changes at three mountain ranges in western Austria as an impact of climate change.</p><p>Surface elevation change rates between 2007 and 2018 increased again in comparison to former periods. Volume loss takes place even in the highest elevation zones, and most of the glaciers are out of an equilibrium state, such that consolidation of mass balance towards zero appears impossible under present climate conditions. The disintegration of low lying glacier tongues and a strong depletion of the firn cover are further signs of rapid glacier changes. The frequency distributions of surface elevation change throughout the area of each glacier show distinct shifts in peak ice thickness change and patterns of surface change distribution that suggest ongoing processes of glacier disintegration. Combining recent surface elevation changes and estimations of the spatial distribution of ice thickness in Austria shows that most of glaciers will vanish in 50 years or less. Only glaciers currently larger than 5 km² can be expected to exist longer at reduced size. At current rates of mass loss, glaciers are projected to retreat entirely to above 2800m in the Ötztal and Stubai ranges by 2050. Further concerns arise regarding methods of tracking the future development of the remaining ice bodies. In particular, in the Silvretta mountain range, the majority of glacier margins have to be delineated in debris-covered glacier zones. It is debatable whether some of the smallest glaciogenic features should still be accounted for in glacier inventories or moved to an inventory of transient cryogenic landforms.</p>


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Allison N. Curley ◽  
William H. Kochtitzky ◽  
Benjamin R. Edwards ◽  
Luke Copland

Abstract In this study, we use aerial photographs, satellite imagery and field observations to quantify changes in the area, terminus length, snowline elevation and surface elevation of eight glaciers in the Alexandra Fiord region, eastern Ellesmere Island, between 1959 and 2019. Comparisons to written and pictorial descriptions from the British Arctic Expedition extend the record of change in terminus position and surface elevation to 1875 for Twin Glacier. Glacier area at Alexandra Fiord decreased by a total of 15.77 ± 0.65 km2 (11.77 ± 0.49%) between 1959 and 2019, the mean end of summer snowline increased in elevation by 360 ± 84 m (8 ± 2 m a−1) between 1974 and 2019, and the glaciers thinned at an average rate of 0.60 ± 0.06 m a−1 between 2001 and 2018. Annual rates of terminus retreat were ~3–5 times higher over the period 1974–2019 compared to 1875–1974, and rates of thinning were ~2–3 times higher over 2001–18 compared to 1875–2001. Our results are consistent with rates of change determined for other glaciers of similar size on Ellesmere Island, and with accelerated rates of ice loss coincident with regional increases in air temperature of ~1.5°C since the early 1980s.


2019 ◽  
Vol 13 (9) ◽  
pp. 2511-2535 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wael Abdel Jaber ◽  
Helmut Rott ◽  
Dana Floricioiu ◽  
Jan Wuite ◽  
Nuno Miranda

Abstract. The northern and southern Patagonian ice fields (NPI and SPI) have been subject to accelerated retreat during the last decades, with considerable variability in magnitude and timing among individual glaciers. We derive spatially detailed maps of surface elevation change (SEC) of NPI and SPI from bistatic synthetic aperture radar (SAR) interferometry data of the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) and TerraSAR-X add-on for Digital Elevation Measurements (TanDEM-X) for two epochs, 2000–2012 and 2012–2016, and provide data on changes in surface elevation and ice volume for the individual glaciers and the ice fields at large. We apply advanced TanDEM-X processing techniques allowing us to cover 90 % and 95 % of the area of NPI and 97 % and 98 % of SPI for the two epochs, respectively. Particular attention is paid to precisely co-registering the digital elevation models (DEMs), accounting for possible effects of radar signal penetration through backscatter analysis and correcting for seasonality biases in case of deviations in repeat DEM coverage from full annual time spans. The results show a different temporal trend between the two ice fields and reveal a heterogeneous spatial pattern of SEC and mass balance caused by different sensitivities with respect to direct climatic forcing and ice flow dynamics of individual glaciers. The estimated volume change rates for NPI are -4.26±0.20 km3 a−1 for epoch 1 and -5.60±0.74 km3 a−1 for epoch 2, while for SPI these are -14.87±0.52 km3 a−1 for epoch 1 and -11.86±1.99 km3 a−1 for epoch 2. This corresponds for both ice fields to an eustatic sea level rise of 0.048±0.002 mm a−1 for epoch 1 and 0.043±0.005 mm a−1 for epoch 2. On SPI the spatial pattern of surface elevation change is more complex than on NPI and the temporal trend is less uniform. On terminus sections of the main calving glaciers of SPI, temporal variations in flow velocities are a main factor for differences in SEC between the two epochs. Striking differences are observed even on adjoining glaciers, such as Upsala Glacier, with decreasing mass losses associated with slowdown of flow velocity, contrasting with acceleration and increase in mass losses on Viedma Glacier.


2013 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 797-816 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. O. Holt ◽  
N. F. Glasser ◽  
D. J. Quincey ◽  
M. R. Siegfried

Abstract. George VI Ice Shelf (GVIIS) is located on the Antarctic Peninsula, a region where several ice shelves have undergone rapid breakup in response to atmospheric and oceanic warming. We use a combination of optical (Landsat), radar (ERS 1/2 SAR) and laser altimetry (GLAS) datasets to examine the response of GVIIS to environmental change and to offer an assessment on its future stability. The spatial and structural changes of GVIIS (ca. 1973 to ca. 2010) are mapped and surface velocities are calculated at different time periods (InSAR and optical feature tracking from 1989 to 2009) to document changes in the ice shelf's flow regime. Surface elevation changes are recorded between 2003 and 2008 using repeat track ICESat acquisitions. We note an increase in fracture extent and distribution at the south ice front, ice-shelf acceleration towards both the north and south ice fronts and spatially varied negative surface elevation change throughout, with greater variations observed towards the central and southern regions of the ice shelf. We propose that whilst GVIIS is in no imminent danger of collapse, it is vulnerable to ongoing atmospheric and oceanic warming and is more susceptible to breakup along its southern margin in ice preconditioned for further retreat.


2015 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 2821-2865 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. Gray ◽  
D. Burgess ◽  
L. Copland ◽  
M. N. Demuth ◽  
T. Dunse ◽  
...  

Abstract. We show that the CryoSat-2 radar altimeter can provide useful estimates of surface elevation change on a variety of Arctic ice caps, on both monthly and yearly time scales. Changing conditions, however, can lead to a varying bias between the elevation estimated from the radar altimeter and the physical surface due to changes in the contribution of subsurface to surface backscatter. Under melting conditions the radar returns are predominantly from the surface so that if surface melt is extensive across the ice cap estimates of summer elevation loss can be made with the frequent coverage provided by CryoSat-2. For example, the average summer elevation decreases on the Barnes Ice Cap, Baffin Island, Canada were 2.05 ± 0.36 m (2011), 2.55 ± 0.32 m (2012), 1.38 ± 0.40 m (2013) and 1.44 ± 0.37 m (2014), losses which were not balanced by the winter snow accumulation. As winter-to-winter conditions were similar, the net elevation losses were 1.0 ± 0.2 m (winter 2010/2011 to winter 2011/2012), 1.39 ± 0.2 m (2011/2012 to 2012/2013) and 0.36 ± 0.2 m (2012/2013 to 2013/2014); for a total surface elevation loss of 2.75 ± 0.2 m over this 3 year period. In contrast, the uncertainty in height change results from Devon Ice Cap, Canada, and Austfonna, Svalbard, can be up to twice as large because of the presence of firn and the possibility of a varying bias between the true surface and the detected elevation due to changing year-to-year conditions. Nevertheless, the surface elevation change estimates from CryoSat for both ice caps are consistent with field and meteorological measurements. For example, the average 3 year elevation difference for footprints within 100 m of a repeated surface GPS track on Austfonna differed from the GPS change by 0.18 m.


2013 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 373-417 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. O. Holt ◽  
N. F. Glasser ◽  
D. J. Quincey ◽  
M. R. Siegfried

Abstract. George VI Ice Shelf (GVIIS) is located on the Antarctic Peninsula, a region where several ice shelves have undergone rapid breakup in response to atmospheric and oceanic warming. We use a combination of optical (Landsat), radar (ERS 1/2 SAR) and laser altimetry (GLAS) datasets to examine the response of GVIIS to environmental change and to offer an assessment on its future stability. The spatial and structural changes of GVIIS (ca. 1973 to ca. 2010) are mapped and surface velocities are calculated at different time periods (InSAR and optical feature tracking from 1989 to 2009) to document changes in the ice shelf's flow regime. Surface elevation changes are recorded between 2003 and 2008 using repeat track ICESat acquisitions. We note an increase in fracture extent and distribution at the south ice front, ice-shelf acceleration towards both the north and south ice fronts and spatially varied negative surface elevation change throughout, with greater variations observed towards the central and southern regions of the ice shelf. We propose that whilst GVIIS is in no imminent danger of collapse, it is vulnerable to on-going atmospheric and oceanic warming and is more susceptible to breakup along its southern margin in ice preconditioned for further retreat.


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