scholarly journals Cloud Detection with Historical Geostationary Satellite Sensors for Climate Applications

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (9) ◽  
pp. 1052 ◽  
Author(s):  
Reto Stöckli ◽  
Jędrzej S. Bojanowski ◽  
Viju O. John ◽  
Anke Duguay-Tetzlaff ◽  
Quentin Bourgeois ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Sensor Data ◽  
Mean Bias Error ◽  
Retrieval Algorithm ◽  
Bias Error ◽  
Cloud Detection ◽  
Climate Data ◽  
Detection Algorithms ◽  
Fractional Cover ◽  
Spatio Temporal

Can we build stable Climate Data Records (CDRs) spanning several satellite generations? This study outlines how the ClOud Fractional Cover dataset from METeosat First and Second Generation (COMET) of the EUMETSAT Satellite Application Facility on Climate Monitoring (CM SAF) was created for the 25-year period 1991–2015. Modern multi-spectral cloud detection algorithms cannot be used for historical Geostationary (GEO) sensors due to their limited spectral resolution. We document the innovation needed to create a retrieval algorithm from scratch to provide the required accuracy and stability over several decades. It builds on inter-calibrated radiances now available for historical GEO sensors. It uses spatio-temporal information and a robust clear-sky retrieval. The real strength of GEO observations—the diurnal cycle of reflectance and brightness temperature—is fully exploited instead of just accounting for single “imagery”. The commonly-used naive Bayesian classifier is extended with covariance information of cloud state and variability. The resulting cloud fractional cover CDR has a bias of 1% Mean Bias Error (MBE), a precision of 7% bias-corrected Root-Mean-Squared-Error (bcRMSE) for monthly means, and a decadal stability of 1%. Our experience can serve as motivation for CDR developers to explore novel concepts to exploit historical sensor data.

Energy models for cost-optimal analysis: Development and calibration of residential reference building models for Northern Cyprus

2021 ◽  
pp. 1420326X2110130
Author(s):  
Manta Marcelinus Dakyen ◽  
Mustafa Dagbasi ◽  
Murat Özdenefe
Keyword(s):  
Energy Efficiency ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Residential Buildings ◽  
Mean Bias Error ◽  
Bias Error ◽  
Sampled Data ◽  
Low Carbon ◽  
Building Stock ◽  
Northern Cyprus

Ambitious energy efficiency goals constitute an important roadmap towards attaining a low-carbon society. Thus, various building-related stakeholders have introduced regulations targeting the energy efficiency of buildings. However, some countries still lack such policies. This paper is an effort to help bridge this gap for Northern Cyprus, a country devoid of building energy regulations that still experiences electrical energy production and distribution challenges, principally by establishing reference residential buildings which can be the cornerstone for prospective building regulations. Statistical analysis of available building stock data was performed to determine existing residential reference buildings. Five residential reference buildings with distinct configurations that constituted over 75% floor area share of the sampled data emerged, with floor areas varying from 191 to 1006 m2. EnergyPlus models were developed and calibrated for five residential reference buildings against yearly measured electricity consumption. Values of Mean Bias Error (MBE) and Cumulative Variation of Root Mean Squared Error CV(RMSE) between the models’ energy consumption and real energy consumption on monthly based analysis varied within the following ranges: (MBE)monthly from –0.12% to 2.01% and CV(RMSE)monthly from 1.35% to 2.96%. Thermal energy required to maintain the models' setpoint temperatures for cooling and heating varied from 6,134 to 11,451 kWh/year.

scholarly journals Using digital image processing to characterize the Campbell–Stokes sunshine recorder and to derive high-temporal resolution direct solar irradiance

2015 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 183-194 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Sanchez-Romero ◽  
J. A. González ◽  
J. Calbó ◽  
A. Sanchez-Lorenzo
Keyword(s):  
Image Processing ◽  
Temporal Resolution ◽  
Solar Irradiance ◽  
Atmospheric Aerosol ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Sunshine Duration ◽  
Strong Relationship ◽  
Mean Bias Error ◽  
Bias Error ◽  
High Temporal Resolution

Abstract. The Campbell–Stokes sunshine recorder (CSSR) has been one of the most commonly used instruments for measuring sunshine duration (SD) through the burn length of a given CSSR card. Many authors have used SD to obtain information about cloudiness and solar radiation (by using Ångström–Prescott type formulas), but the burn width has not been used systematically. In principle, the burn width increases for increasing direct beam irradiance. The aim of this research is to show the relationship between burn width and direct solar irradiance (DSI) and to prove whether this relationship depends on the type of CSSR and burning card. A method of analysis based on image processing of digital scanned images of burned cards is used. With this method, the temporal evolution of the burn width with 1 min resolution can be obtained. From this, SD is easily calculated and compared with the traditional (i.e., visual) determination. The method tends to slightly overestimate SD, but the thresholds that are used in the image processing could be adjusted to obtain an improved estimation. Regarding the burn width, experimental results show that there is a high correlation between two different models of CSSRs, as well as a strong relationship between burn widths and DSI at a high-temporal resolution. Thus, for example, hourly DSI may be estimated from the burn width with higher accuracy than based on burn length (for one of the CSSR, relative root mean squared error is 24 and 30%, respectively; mean bias error is −0.6 and −30.0 W m−2, respectively). The method offers a practical way to exploit long-term sets of CSSR cards to create long time series of DSI. Since DSI is affected by atmospheric aerosol content, CSSR records may also become a proxy measurement for turbidity and atmospheric aerosol loading.

scholarly journals Using digital image processing to characterize the Campbell–Stokes sunshine recorder and to derive high-temporal resolution direct solar irradiance

2014 ◽  
Vol 7 (9) ◽  
pp. 9537-9571
Author(s):  
A. Sanchez-Romero ◽  
J. A. González ◽  
J. Calbó ◽  
A. Sanchez-Lorenzo
Keyword(s):  
Image Processing ◽  
Temporal Resolution ◽  
Solar Irradiance ◽  
Atmospheric Aerosol ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Sunshine Duration ◽  
Mean Bias Error ◽  
Unbiased Estimation ◽  
Bias Error ◽  
High Temporal Resolution

Abstract. The Campbell–Stokes sunshine recorder (CSSR) has been one of the most commonly used instruments for measuring sunshine duration (SD) through the burn length of a given CSSR card. Many authors have used SD to obtain information about cloudiness and solar radiation (by using Ångström–Prescott type formulas). Contrarily, the burn width has not been used systematically. In principle, the burn width increases for increasing direct beam irradiance. The aim of this research is to show the relationship between burn width and direct solar irradiance (DSI), and to prove whether this relationship depends on the type of CSSR and burning card. A semi-automatic method based on image processing of digital scanned images of burnt cards is presented. With this method, the temporal evolution of the burn width with 1 min resolution can be obtained. From this, SD is easily calculated and compared with the traditional (i.e. visual) determination. The method tends to slightly overestimate SD but the thresholds that are used in the image processing could be adjusted to obtain an unbiased estimation. Regarding the burn width, results show that there is a high correlation between two different models of CSSRs, as well as a strong relationship between burn widths and DSI at a high-temporal resolution. Thus, for example, hourly DSI may be estimated from the burn width with higher accuracy than based on burn length (for one of the CSSR, relative root mean squared error 24 and 30% respectively; mean bias error −0.6 and −30.0 W m−2 respectively). The method offers a practical way to exploit long-term sets of CSSR cards to create long time series of DSI. Since DSI is affected by atmospheric aerosol content, CSSR records may also become a proxy measurement for turbidity and atmospheric aerosol loading.

scholarly journals Predictive Analysis of Municipal Solid Waste Generation Using an Optimized Neural Network Model

Processes ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (11) ◽  
pp. 2045
Author(s):  
Nehal Elshaboury ◽  
Eslam Mohammed Abdelkader ◽  
Ghasan Alfalah ◽  
Abobakr Al-Sakkaf
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Waste Management ◽  
Municipal Solid Waste ◽  
Solid Waste ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Pearson Correlation ◽  
Mean Bias Error ◽  
Bias Error ◽  
P Value ◽  
Waste Generation

Developing successful municipal waste management planning strategies is crucial for implementing sustainable development. The research proposed the application of an optimized artificial neural network (ANN) to forecast quantities of waste in Poland. The neural network coupled with particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm is compared to the conventional neural network using five assessment metrics. The metrics are coefficient of efficiency (CE), Pearson correlation coefficient (R), Willmott’s index of agreement (WI), root mean squared error (RMSE), and mean bias error (MBE). Selected explanatory factors are incorporated in the developed models to reflect the influence of economic, demographic, and social aspects on the rate of waste generation. These factors are population, employment to population ratio, revenue per capita, number of entities by type of business activity, and number of entities enlisted in REGON per 10,000 population. According to the findings, the ANN–PSO model (CE = 0.92, R = 0.96, WI = 0.98, RMSE = 11,342.74, and MBE = 6548.55) significantly outperforms the traditional ANN model (CE = 0.11, R = 0.68, WI = 0.78, RMSE = 38,571.68, and MBE = 30,652.04). The significant level of the reported outputs is evaluated using the Wilcoxon–Mann–Whitney U-test, with a significance level of 0.05. The p-values of the pairings (ANN, observed) and (ANN, ANN–PSO) are all less than 0.05, suggesting that the models are statistically different. On the other hand, the P-value of (ANN–PSO, observed) is more than 0.05, suggesting that the difference between the models is statistically insignificant. Therefore, the proposed ANN–PSO model proves its efficiency at estimating municipal solid waste quantities and may be regarded as a cost-efficient method of developing integrated waste management systems.

scholarly journals Inter-comparison of three AATSR Level 2 (L2) AOD products over China

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Y. Che ◽  
Y. Xue ◽  
L. Mei ◽  
J. Guang ◽  
H. Xu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mainland China ◽  
Western China ◽  
Mean Bias Error ◽  
Retrieval Algorithm ◽  
Bias Error ◽  
Aerosol Retrieval ◽  
Retrieval Algorithms ◽  
Level 3 ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Level 2

Abstract. The Advanced Along-Track Scanning Radiometer (AATSR) aboard on ENVISAT is used to observe the Earth by dual-view. The AATSR data can be used to retrieve aerosol optical depth (AOD) over both land and ocean, which is an important merit in the characterization of aerosol properties. In recent years, aerosol retrieval algorithms both over land and ocean have been developed, taking advantages of the feature of dual-view which can help eliminate contribution of Earth's surface to top of atmosphere (TOA) reflectance. Aerosol_cci project as a part of Climate Change Initiative (CCI) provides users three AOD retrieval algorithms for AATSR data, including the Swansea algorithm (SU), the ATSR-2ATSR dual view aerosol retrieval algorithm (ADV) and the Oxford-RAL Retrieval of Aerosol and Cloud algorithm (ORAC). The Validation team of Aerosol-CCI project has validated AOD (both Level 2 and Level 3 products) and AE (Level 2 product only) against the AERONET data in a round robin evaluation using validation tool of AeroCOM (Aerosol Comparison between Observations and Models) project. For the purpose of evaluating different performances of these three algorithms on calculating AODs over mainland China, we introduce ground-based data from the CARSNET (the China Aerosol Remote Sensing Network) which is designed for aerosol observation in China. Because China is vast in territory and of great differences in surface, the combination of the AEROENT and the CATRNET data can validate L2 AOD products more comprehensively. The validation results show different performances of these products in 2007, 2008 and 2010. The SU algorithm has very good performance over sites with different surface conditions in mainland China from March to October, but it underestimates AOD slightly with varying mean bias error (MBE) from 0.05 to 0.10 over surface of barren or sparsely vegetation in western China. The ADV product has same precision with high correlation coefficient (CC) larger than 0.90 over most of sites and same error distribution as the SU product. The main limits of ADV algorithm are underestimation and applicability, especially it occurs obvious underestimation over sites of Datong, Lanzhou and Urmuchi where the dominated land cover is grassland with MBE larger than 0.2 and the main source of aerosol is coal combustion and dust. The ORAC algorithm has the ability of retrieving AOD at different ranges including high AOD (larger than 1.0), however, the stability will decease significantly as AOD grows, especially when AOD > 1.0. In addition, ORAC product get matches successfully collocated with CARSNET in winter (December, January and February), whereas other validation results lack matches during winter.

scholarly journals The Spatiotemporal Variability of Temperature and Precipitation Over the Upper Indus Basin: An Evaluation of 15 Year WRF Simulations

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (5) ◽  
pp. 1765 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ghulam Hussain Dars ◽  
Courtenay Strong ◽  
Adam K. Kochanski ◽  
Kamran Ansari ◽  
Syed Hammad Ali
Keyword(s):  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Pearson Correlation ◽  
Wrf Model ◽  
Horizontal Resolution ◽  
Indus Basin ◽  
Spatiotemporal Variability ◽  
Mean Bias Error ◽  
Bias Error ◽  
Upper Indus Basin ◽  
Precipitation And Temperature

Investigating the trends in the major climatic variables over the Upper Indus Basin (UIB) region is difficult for many reasons, including highly complex terrain with heterogeneous spatial precipitation patterns and a scarcity of gauge stations. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model was applied to simulate the spatiotemporal variability of precipitation and temperature over the Indus Basin from 2000 through 2015 with boundary conditions derived from the Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR) data. The WRF model was configured with three nested domains (d01–d03) with horizontal resolutions increasing inward from 36 km to 12 km to 4 km horizontal resolution, respectively. These simulations were a continuous run with a spin-up year (i.e., 2000) to equilibrate the soil moisture, snow cover, and temperature at the beginning of the simulation. The simulations were then compared with TRMM and station data for the same time period using root mean squared error (RMSE), percentage bias (PBIAS), mean bias error (MBE), and the Pearson correlation coefficient. The results showed that the precipitation and temperature simulations were largely improved from d01 to d03. However, WRF tended to overestimate precipitation and underestimate temperature in all domains. This study presents high-resolution climatological datasets, which could be useful for the study of climate change and hydrological processes in this data-sparse region.

scholarly journals Estimation of Room-Level Cooling Energy in Hot/Arid Climate by Machine Learning-Based Approaches

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bingyan Jia ◽  
Danlin Hou ◽  
Liangzhu (Leon) Wang ◽  
Ibrahim Galal Hassan
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Power Density ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Building Energy ◽  
Energy Performance ◽  
Mean Bias Error ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Bias Error ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Meta Model

Abstract Building energy models (BEM) are developed for understanding a building’s energy performance. A meta-model of the whole building energy analysis is often used for the BEM calibration and energy prediction. The literature review shows that studies with a focus on the development of room-level meta-models are missing. This study aims to address this research gap through a case study of a residential building with 138 apartments in Doha, Qatar. Five parameters, including cooling setpoint, number of occupants, lighting power density, equipment power density, and interior solar reflectance, are selected as input parameters to create ninety-six different scenarios. Three machine-learning models are used as meta-models to generalize the relationship between cooling energy and the model parameters, including Multiple Linear Regression, Support Vector Regression, and Artificial Neural Networks. The three meta-models’ prediction accuracies are evaluated by the Normalized Mean Bias Error (NMBE), Coefficient of Variation of the Root Mean Squared Error CV (RMSE), and R square (R2). The results show that the ANN model performs best. A new generic BEM is then established to validate the meta-model. The results indicate that the proposed meta-model is accurate and efficient in predicting the cooling energy in summer and transitional months for a building with a similar floor configuration.

scholarly journals Performance Evaluation of Soil Moisture Sensors in Coarse- and Fine-Textured Michigan Agricultural Soils

Agriculture ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (12) ◽  
pp. 598
Author(s):  
Younsuk Dong ◽  
Steve Miller ◽  
Lyndon Kelley
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Laboratory Experiment ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Water Movement ◽  
Field Conditions ◽  
Mean Bias Error ◽  
Bias Error ◽  
Moisture Sensor ◽  
Soil Moisture Sensors ◽  
Correction Equations

Soil moisture content is a critical parameter in understanding the water movement in soil. A soil moisture sensor is a tool that has been widely used for many years to measure soil moisture levels for their ability to provide nondestructive continuous data from multiple depths. The calibration of the sensor is important in the accuracy of the measurement. The factory-based calibration of the soil moisture sensors is generally developed under limited laboratory conditions, which are not always appropriate for field conditions. Thus, calibration and field validation of the soil moisture sensors for specific soils are needed. The laboratory experiment was conducted to evaluate the performance of factory-based calibrated soil moisture sensors. The performance of the soil moisture sensors was evaluated using Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), Index of Agreement (IA), and Mean Bias Error (MBE). The result shows that the performance of the factory-based calibrated CS616 and EC5 did not meet all the statistical criteria except the CS616 sensor for sand. The correction equations are developed using the laboratory experiment. The validation of correction equations was evaluated in agricultural farmlands. Overall, the correction equations for CS616 and EC5 improved the accuracy in field conditions.

scholarly journals Application of a Dynamic Clustered Bayesian Model Averaging (DCBA) Algorithm for Merging Multisatellite Precipitation Products over Pakistan

2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 17-37 ◽  
Author(s):  
Khalil Ur Rahman ◽  
Songhao Shang ◽  
Muhammad Shahid ◽  
Yeqiang Wen ◽  
Zeeshan Khan
Keyword(s):  
Bayesian Model ◽  
Bayesian Model Averaging ◽  
Model Averaging ◽  
Mean Bias Error ◽  
Bias Error ◽  
Climate Data ◽  
Precipitation Estimation ◽  
Precipitation Analysis ◽  
Climate Data Record ◽  
Climate Prediction Center

AbstractMerged multisatellite precipitation datasets (MMPDs) combine the advantages of individual satellite precipitation products (SPPs), have a tendency to reduce uncertainties, and provide higher potentials to hydrological applications. This study applied a dynamic clustered Bayesian model averaging (DCBA) algorithm to merge four SPPs across Pakistan. The DCBA algorithm produced dynamic weights to different SPPs varying both spatially and temporally to accommodate the spatiotemporal differences of SPP performances. The MMPD is developed at daily temporal scale from 2000 to 2015 with spatial resolution of 0.25° using extensively evaluated SPPs and a global atmospheric reanalysis–precipitation dataset: Tropical Rainfall Measurement Mission (TRMM) Multisatellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA) 3B42V7, Precipitation Estimation from Remotely Sensed Information Using Artificial Neural Networks–Climate Data Record (PERSIANN-CDR), Climate Prediction Center morphing technique (CMORPH), and ERA-Interim. The DCBA algorithm is evaluated across four distinct climate regions of Pakistan over 102 ground precipitation gauges (GPGs). DCBA forecasting outperformed all four SPPs with average Theil’s U of 0.49, 0.38, 0.37, and 0.36 in glacial, humid, arid, and hyperarid regions, respectively. The average mean bias error (MBE), mean error (MAE), root-mean-square error (RMSE), correlation coefficient (CC), and standard deviation (SD) of DCBA over all of Pakistan are 0.54, 1.40, 4.94, 0.77, and 5.17 mm day−1, respectively. Seasonal evaluation revealed a dependency of DCBA performance on precipitation magnitude/intensity and elevation. Relatively poor DCBA performance is observed in premonsoon/monsoon seasons and at high/mild elevated regions. Average improvements of DCBA in comparison with TMPA are 59.56% (MBE), 49.37% (MAE), 45.89% (RMSE), 19.48% (CC), 46.7% (SD), and 18.66% (Theil’s U). Furthermore, DCBA efficiently captured extreme precipitation trends (premonsoon/monsoon seasons).

scholarly journals Surface solar irradiance from SCIAMACHY measurements: algorithm and validation

2011 ◽  
Vol 4 (5) ◽  
pp. 875-891 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. Wang ◽  
P. Stammes ◽  
R. Mueller
Keyword(s):  
Standard Deviation ◽  
Mean Difference ◽  
Surface Radiation ◽  
Mean Bias Error ◽  
Retrieval Algorithm ◽  
Bias Error ◽  
Retrieval Scheme ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Scanning Imaging ◽  
One Year

Abstract. Broadband surface solar irradiances (SSI) are, for the first time, derived from SCIAMACHY (SCanning Imaging Absorption spectroMeter for Atmospheric CartograpHY) satellite measurements. The retrieval algorithm, called FRESCO (Fast REtrieval Scheme for Clouds from the Oxygen A band) SSI, is similar to the Heliosat method. In contrast to the standard Heliosat method, the cloud index is replaced by the effective cloud fraction derived from the FRESCO cloud algorithm. The MAGIC (Mesoscale Atmospheric Global Irradiance Code) algorithm is used to calculate clear-sky SSI. The SCIAMACHY SSI product is validated against globally distributed BSRN (Baseline Surface Radiation Network) measurements and compared with ISCCP-FD (International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project Flux Dataset) surface shortwave downwelling fluxes (SDF). For one year of data in 2008, the mean difference between the instantaneous SCIAMACHY SSI and the hourly mean BSRN global irradiances is −4 W m−2 (−1 %) with a standard deviation of 101 W m−2 (20 %). The mean difference between the globally monthly mean SCIAMACHY SSI and ISCCP-FD SDF is less than −12 W m−2 (−2 %) for every month in 2006 and the standard deviation is 62 W m−2 (12 %). The correlation coefficient is 0.93 between SCIAMACHY SSI and BSRN global irradiances and is greater than 0.96 between SCIAMACHY SSI and ISCCP-FD SDF. The evaluation results suggest that the SCIAMACHY SSI product achieves similar mean bias error and root mean square error as the surface solar irradiances derived from polar orbiting satellites with higher spatial resolution.

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