scholarly journals Type 2 Diabetes-Related Health Economic Impact Associated with Increased Whole Grains Consumption among Adults in Finland

Nutrients ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (10) ◽  
pp. 3583
Author(s):  
Janne Martikainen ◽  
Kari Jalkanen ◽  
Jari Heiskanen ◽  
Piia Lavikainen ◽  
Markku Peltonen ◽  
...  

The prevalence of type 2 diabetes (T2D) is increasing rapidly worldwide. A healthy diet supporting the control of energy intake and body weight has major importance in the prevention of T2D. For example, a high intake of whole grain foods (WGF) has been shown to be inversely associated with risk for T2D. The objective of the study was to estimate the expected health economic impacts of increased WGF consumption to decrease the incidence of T2D in the Finnish adult population. A health economic model utilizing data from multiple national databases and published scientific literature was constructed to estimate these population-level health economic consequences. Among the adult Finnish population, increased WGF consumption could reduce T2D-related costs between 286€ and 989€ million during the next 10-year time horizon depending on the applied scenario (i.e., a 10%-unit increase in a proportion of daily WGF users, an increased number (i.e., two or more) of WGF servings a day, or alternatively a combination of these scenarios). Over the next 20–30 years, a population-wide increase in WGF consumption could lead to much higher benefits. Furthermore, depending on the applied scenario, between 1323 and 154,094 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) could be gained at the population level due to decreased T2D-related morbidity and mortality during the next 10 to 30 years. The results indicate that even when the current level of daily WGF consumption is already at a relatively high-level in a global context, increased WGF consumption could lead to important health gains and savings in the Finnish adult population.

2011 ◽  
Vol 14 (7) ◽  
pp. A486-A487 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. Nagy ◽  
L. Nagyjanosi ◽  
S. Nagyistok ◽  
J. Józwiak-Hagymásy ◽  
Z. Dessewffy ◽  
...  

Diabetologia ◽  
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thaddäus Tönnies ◽  
Annika Hoyer ◽  
Ralph Brinks

Abstract Aims/hypothesis Type 2 diabetes can lead to reduced productivity during working age. We aimed to estimate productive life years lost associated with type 2 diabetes on the individual and population level in Germany in 2020 and 2040, while accounting for future trends in mortality. Methods Based on a mathematical projection model, we estimated age- and sex-specific productivity losses associated with type 2 diabetes during working age (20–69 years) in Germany in 2020 and 2040. Productivity losses in terms of excess mortality (years of life lost, YLL) and reductions in labour force participation, presenteeism and absenteeism (years of productivity lost, YPL) were summed to calculate productivity-adjusted life years (PALY) lost. Input data for the projection were based on meta-analyses, representative population-based studies and population projections to account for future trends in mortality. Results Compared with a person without type 2 diabetes, mean PALY lost per person with type 2 diabetes in 2020 was 2.6 years (95% CI 2.3, 3.0). Of these 2.6 years, 0.4 (95% CI 0.3, 0.4) years were lost due to YLL and 2.3 (95% CI 1.9, 2.6) years were lost due to YPL. Age- and sex-specific results show that younger age groups and women are expected to lose more productive life years than older age groups and men. Population-wide estimates suggest that 4.60 (95% CI 4.58, 4.63) million people with prevalent type 2 diabetes in 2020 are expected to lose 12.06 (95% CI 10.42, 13.76) million PALY (1.62 million years due to YLL and 10.44 million years due to YPL). In 2040, individual-level PALY lost are projected to slightly decrease due to reductions in YLL. In contrast, population-wide PALY lost are projected to increase to 15.39 (95% CI 13.19, 17.64) million due to an increase in the number of people with type 2 diabetes to 5.45 (95% CI 5.41, 5.50) million. Conclusions/interpretation On the population level, a substantial increase in productivity burden associated with type 2 diabetes was projected for Germany between 2020 and 2040. Efforts to reduce the incidence rate of type 2 diabetes and diabetes-related complications may attenuate this increase. Graphical abstract


2021 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Thaddäus Tönnies ◽  
Jens Baumert ◽  
Christin Heidemann ◽  
Elena von der Lippe ◽  
Ralph Brinks ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Type 2 diabetes (T2D) causes substantial disease burden and is projected to affect an increasing number of people in coming decades. This study provides projected estimates of life years free of type 2 diabetes (T2D) and years of life lost ($${\mathrm{YLL}}$$ YLL ) associated with T2D for Germany in the years 2015 and 2040. Methods Based on an illness-death model and the associated mathematical relation between prevalence, incidence and mortality, we projected the prevalence of diagnosed T2D using currently available data on the incidence rate of diagnosed T2D and mortality rates of people with and without diagnosed T2D. Projection of prevalence was achieved by integration of a partial differential equation, which governs the illness-death model. These projected parameters were used as input values to calculate life years free of T2D and $${\mathrm{YLL}}$$ YLL associated with T2D for the German population aged 40 to 100 years in the years 2015 and 2040, while accounting for different assumptions on future trends in T2D incidence and mortality. Results Assuming a constant incidence rate, women and men at age 40 years in 2015 will live approximately 38 years and 33 years free of T2D, respectively. Up to the year 2040, these numbers are projected to increase by 1.0 years and 1.3 years. Assuming a decrease in T2D-associated excess mortality of 2% per year, women and men aged 40 years with T2D in 2015 will be expected to lose 1.6 and 2.7 years of life, respectively, compared to a same aged person without T2D. In 2040, these numbers would reduce by approximately 0.9 years and 1.6 years. This translates to 10.8 million and 6.4 million $${\mathrm{YLL}}$$ YLL in the German population aged 40–100 years with prevalent T2D in 2015 and 2040, respectively. Conclusions Given expected trends in mortality and no increase in T2D incidence, the burden due to premature mortality associated with T2D will decrease on the individual as well as on the population level. In addition, the expected lifetime without T2D is likely to increase. However, these trends strongly depend on future improvements of excess mortality associated with T2D and future incidence of T2D, which should motivate increased efforts of primary and tertiary prevention.


2020 ◽  
Vol 20 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ochoa-González Fátima de Lourdes ◽  
González-Curiel Irma Elizabeth ◽  
Cervantes-Villagrana Al-berto Rafael ◽  
Fernández-Ruiz Julio Cesar ◽  
Castañeda-Delgado Julio Enrique

: Diabetes is a chronic disease characterized by marked alterations in the metabolism of glucose andby high con-centrations of glucose in the blood due to a decreased insulin production or resistance to the action of this hormone in pe-ripheral tissues. The International Diabetes Federation estimates a global incidence of diabetes of about 10% in the adult population (20 -79 years old), some 430 million cases reported worldwide in 2018. It is well documented that people with diabetes have a higher susceptibility to infectious diseases and therefore show higher morbidity and mortality compared to the non-diabetic population. Given that the innate immune response plays a fundamental role in protecting against invading pathogens through a myriad of humoral and cellular mechanisms, the present work makes a comprehensive review of the innate immune alterations in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D) as well as a brief description of the molecular events leading or associated to such conditions.We show that in these patients a compromised innate immune response in-creases susceptibility to infections.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
J Westerink ◽  
K Sommer Matthiessen ◽  
S Nuhoho ◽  
U Fainberg ◽  
M Lyng Wolden ◽  
...  

Abstract Introduction Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of disability and death in people with type 2 diabetes (T2D). In a post hoc analysis of pooled data (POOLED cohort) from two phase 3, randomized CV outcomes trials, SUSTAIN 6 (NCT01720446) and PIONEER 6 (NCT02692716), the addition of the glucagon-like peptide-1 analogue semaglutide to standard of care (SoC) in people with T2D at high risk of CVD significantly reduced the risk of major adverse CVD events (3-point MACE: CV death, non-fatal stroke and non-fatal myocardial infarction). Purpose To estimate the effect of adding semaglutide to SoC on CVD-free life-years and 10-year CVD risk in patients with T2D by predicting individual patient-level risk of CVD events in the POOLED cohort using the DIAL CVD risk model. Methods The 3-point MACE hazard ratio from the POOLED cohort (N=6480; HR = 0.76 [95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.62–0.92]) was applied to the patient-level lifetime risk of CVD events derived from the DIAL model. CVD-free life-years and 10-year CVD risk were then calculated based on the age-specific risks of CVD events and non-vascular mortality, using standard actuarial methods. Both new and recurrent CVD events were considered. The DIAL model was validated by comparing the predicted and observed number of CVD events after 1 year. The DIAL model was previously developed using data from people with T2D in the Swedish National Diabetes Registry and validated across geographical regions. Results The DIAL model was considered valid for use in the POOLED cohort because the predicted number of CVD events at 1 year was within 5% of the number observed. Adding semaglutide to SoC was associated with a mean reduction in 10-year CVD risk of 20.0% (95% CI: 6.4–32.6%) and a mean increase of 1.72 (95% CI: 0.52–2.96) CVD-free life-years. The number of mean CVD-free life-years gained ranged from 0.62–2.91 years between age groups (Table). For a 60-year-old male with baseline characteristics matched to the average male from the POOLED cohort, adding semaglutide to SoC reduced 10-year CVD risk by 20.8% and provided 2.53 additional CVD-free life-years. The number of CVD-free life-years decreased when baseline age was increased (Figure). Conclusions The addition of semaglutide to SoC was associated with a gain in CVD-free life-years. This analysis helps contextualize the results of CV outcomes trials and may help to inform clinical decision-making. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Private company. Main funding source(s): Novo Nordisk A/S


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