scholarly journals Bayesian Parameter Determination of a CT-Test Described by a Viscoplastic-Damage Model Considering the Model Error

Metals ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (9) ◽  
pp. 1141 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ehsan Adeli ◽  
Bojana Rosić ◽  
Hermann G. Matthies ◽  
Sven Reinstädler ◽  
Dieter Dinkler

The state of materials and accordingly the properties of structures are changing over the period of use, which may influence the reliability and quality of the structure during its life-time. Therefore identification of the model parameters of the system is a topic which has attracted attention in the content of structural health monitoring. The parameters of a constitutive model are usually identified by minimization of the difference between model response and experimental data. However, the measurement errors and differences in the specimens lead to deviations in the determined parameters. In this article, the Choboche model with a damage is used and a stochastic simulation technique is applied to generate artificial data which exhibit the same stochastic behavior as experimental data. Then the model and damage parameters are identified by applying the sequential Gauss-Markov-Kalman filter (SGMKF) approach as this method is determined as the most efficient method for time consuming finite element model updating problems among filtering and random walk approaches. The parameters identified using this Bayesian approach are compared with the true parameters in the simulation, and further, the efficiency of the identification method is discussed. The aim of this study is to observe whether the mentioned method is suitable and efficient to identify the model and damage parameters of a material model, as a highly non-linear model, for a real structural specimen using a limited surface displacement measurement vector gained by Digital Image Correlation (DIC) and to see how much information is indeed needed to estimate the parameters accurately even by considering the model error and whether this approach can also practically be used for health monitoring purposes before the occurrence of severe damage and collapse.

Metals ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (7) ◽  
pp. 876 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ehsan Adeli ◽  
Bojana Rosić ◽  
Hermann G. Matthies ◽  
Sven Reinstädler ◽  
Dieter Dinkler

The state of materials and accordingly the properties of structures are changing over the period of use, which may influence the reliability and quality of the structure during its life-time. Therefore, identification of the model parameters of the system is a topic which has attracted attention in the content of structural health monitoring. The parameters of a constitutive model are usually identified by minimization of the difference between model response and experimental data. However, the measurement errors and differences in the specimens lead to deviations in the determined parameters. In this article, the focus is on the identification of material parameters of a viscoplastic damaging material using a stochastic simulation technique to generate artificial data which exhibit the same stochastic behavior as experimental data. It is proposed to use Bayesian inverse methods for parameter identification and therefore the model and damage parameters are identified by applying the Transitional Markov Chain Monte Carlo Method (TMCMC) and Gauss-Markov-Kalman filter (GMKF) approach. Identified parameters by using these two Bayesian approaches are compared with the true parameters in the simulation and with each other, and the efficiency of the identification methods is discussed. The aim of this study is to observe which one of the mentioned methods is more suitable and efficient to identify the model and damage parameters of a material model, as a highly non-linear model, using a limited surface displacement measurement vector and see how much information is indeed needed to estimate the parameters accurately.


1992 ◽  
Vol 23 (2) ◽  
pp. 89-104 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ole H. Jacobsen ◽  
Feike J. Leij ◽  
Martinus Th. van Genuchten

Breakthrough curves of Cl and 3H2O were obtained during steady unsaturated flow in five lysimeters containing an undisturbed coarse sand (Orthic Haplohumod). The experimental data were analyzed in terms of the classical two-parameter convection-dispersion equation and a four-parameter two-region type physical nonequilibrium solute transport model. Model parameters were obtained by both curve fitting and time moment analysis. The four-parameter model provided a much better fit to the data for three soil columns, but performed only slightly better for the two remaining columns. The retardation factor for Cl was about 10 % less than for 3H2O, indicating some anion exclusion. For the four-parameter model the average immobile water fraction was 0.14 and the Peclet numbers of the mobile region varied between 50 and 200. Time moments analysis proved to be a useful tool for quantifying the break through curve (BTC) although the moments were found to be sensitive to experimental scattering in the measured data at larger times. Also, fitted parameters described the experimental data better than moment generated parameter values.


2007 ◽  
Vol 347 ◽  
pp. 19-34 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael Link ◽  
Stefan Stöhr ◽  
Matthias Weiland

Computational model updating techniques are used to adjust selected parameters of finite element models in order to make the models compatible with experimental data. This is done by minimizing the differences of analytical and experimental data, for example, natural frequencies and mode shapes by numerical optimization procedures. For a long time updating techniques have also been investigated with regard to their ability to localize and quantify structural damage. The success of such an approach is mainly governed by the quality of the damage model and its ability to describe the structural property changes due to damage in a physical meaningful way. Our experience has shown that due to unavoidable modelling simplifications and measurement errors the changes of the corresponding damage parameters do not always indicate structural modifications introduced by damage alone but indicate also the existence of other modelling uncertainties which may be distributed all over the structure. This means that there are two types of parameters which have to be distinguished: the damage parameters and the other parameters accounting for general modelling and test data uncertainties. Although these general parameters may be physically meaningless they are necessary to achieve a good fit of the test data and it might happen that they cannot be distinguished from the damage parameters. For complex industrial structures it is seldom possible to generate unique structural models covering all possible damage scenarios so that one has to expect, that the parameters introduced for describing the damage will not be fully consistent with the physical reality. This is the reason why in the scientific community there is still some doubt if model based techniques can be used at all for practical purposes of damage detection and quantification under in-situ environment conditions. In the present paper we summarize the methodology of computational model updating and report about our experience with damage identification exemplified by practical examples. A new technique and an application of localising and quantifying the damage from updating the parameters of the damaged and the undamaged models simultaneously using the differences of the test data from the damaged and the undamaged structure is also presented. In this application we used the deflections (influence lines) of a beam structure measured under a slowly moving load.


Author(s):  
Tanja Hernández Rodríguez ◽  
Christoph Posch ◽  
Ralf Pörtner ◽  
Björn Frahm

AbstractBioprocess modeling has become a useful tool for prediction of the process future with the aim to deduce operating decisions (e.g. transfer or feeds). Due to variabilities, which often occur between and within batches, updating (re-estimation) of model parameters is required at certain time intervals (dynamic parameter estimation) to obtain reliable predictions. This can be challenging in the presence of low sampling frequencies (e.g. every 24 h), different consecutive scales and large measurement errors, as in the case of cell culture seed trains. This contribution presents an iterative learning workflow which generates and incorporates knowledge concerning cell growth during the process by using a moving horizon estimation (MHE) approach for updating of model parameters. This estimation technique is compared to a classical weighted least squares estimation (WLSE) approach in the context of model updating over three consecutive cultivation scales (40–2160 L) of an industrial cell culture seed train. Both techniques were investigated regarding robustness concerning the aforementioned challenges and the required amount of experimental data (estimation horizon). It is shown how the proposed MHE can deal with the aforementioned difficulties by the integration of prior knowledge, even if only data at two sampling points are available, outperforming the classical WLSE approach. This workflow allows to adequately integrate current process behavior into the model and can therefore be a suitable component of a digital twin.


2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 7141-7151 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Omar ◽  
M. N. Abdul Rani ◽  
M. A. Yunus

Efficient and accurate finite element (FE) modelling of bolted joints is essential for increasing confidence in the investigation of structural vibrations. However, modelling of bolted joints for the investigation is often found to be very challenging. This paper proposes an appropriate FE representation of bolted joints for the prediction of the dynamic behaviour of a bolted joint structure. Two different FE models of the bolted joint structure with two different FE element connectors, which are CBEAM and CBUSH, representing the bolted joints are developed. Modal updating is used to correlate the two FE models with the experimental model. The dynamic behaviour of the two FE models is compared with experimental modal analysis to evaluate and determine the most appropriate FE model of the bolted joint structure. The comparison reveals that the CBUSH element connectors based FE model has a greater capability in representing the bolted joints with 86 percent accuracy and greater efficiency in updating the model parameters. The proposed modelling technique will be useful in the modelling of a complex structure with a large number of bolted joints.


Author(s):  
C Cosenza ◽  
V Niola ◽  
S Savino

The development of suitable models for mechanical fingers, whether they are part of prosthetic device or of a robotic hand, is a powerful tool to predict the behaviour of their components since the early stages of design, especially for underactuated mechanisms. Experimental data can improve the reliability of such models and promote their application to build proper control strategies especially for prosthetic hands. Here, we have developed a multi-jointed model of a mechanical finger. The finger is part of the Federica hand: an underactuated mechanical hand that was conceived for prosthetic purpose. The model accounts for friction phenomena in the finger and it is tuned with experimental data acquired through a digital image correlation device. The model allowed us to write kinematics relations of the phalanges and evaluate finger configurations in relation to the closure velocity. Moreover, it was possible to estimate the tendon force and the work analysis occurring during the closure tasks, both in free mode and in presence of objects.


Author(s):  
Afshin Anssari-Benam ◽  
Andrea Bucchi ◽  
Giuseppe Saccomandi

AbstractThe application of a newly proposed generalised neo-Hookean strain energy function to the inflation of incompressible rubber-like spherical and cylindrical shells is demonstrated in this paper. The pressure ($P$ P ) – inflation ($\lambda $ λ or $v$ v ) relationships are derived and presented for four shells: thin- and thick-walled spherical balloons, and thin- and thick-walled cylindrical tubes. Characteristics of the inflation curves predicted by the model for the four considered shells are analysed and the critical values of the model parameters for exhibiting the limit-point instability are established. The application of the model to extant experimental datasets procured from studies across 19th to 21st century will be demonstrated, showing favourable agreement between the model and the experimental data. The capability of the model to capture the two characteristic instability phenomena in the inflation of rubber-like materials, namely the limit-point and inflation-jump instabilities, will be made evident from both the theoretical analysis and curve-fitting approaches presented in this study. A comparison with the predictions of the Gent model for the considered data is also demonstrated and is shown that our presented model provides improved fits. Given the simplicity of the model, its ability to fit a wide range of experimental data and capture both limit-point and inflation-jump instabilities, we propose the application of our model to the inflation of rubber-like materials.


Author(s):  
Geir Evensen

AbstractIt is common to formulate the history-matching problem using Bayes’ theorem. From Bayes’, the conditional probability density function (pdf) of the uncertain model parameters is proportional to the prior pdf of the model parameters, multiplied by the likelihood of the measurements. The static model parameters are random variables characterizing the reservoir model while the observations include, e.g., historical rates of oil, gas, and water produced from the wells. The reservoir prediction model is assumed perfect, and there are no errors besides those in the static parameters. However, this formulation is flawed. The historical rate data only approximately represent the real production of the reservoir and contain errors. History-matching methods usually take these errors into account in the conditioning but neglect them when forcing the simulation model by the observed rates during the historical integration. Thus, the model prediction depends on some of the same data used in the conditioning. The paper presents a formulation of Bayes’ theorem that considers the data dependency of the simulation model. In the new formulation, one must update both the poorly known model parameters and the rate-data errors. The result is an improved posterior ensemble of prediction models that better cover the observations with more substantial and realistic uncertainty. The implementation accounts correctly for correlated measurement errors and demonstrates the critical role of these correlations in reducing the update’s magnitude. The paper also shows the consistency of the subspace inversion scheme by Evensen (Ocean Dyn. 54, 539–560 2004) in the case with correlated measurement errors and demonstrates its accuracy when using a “larger” ensemble of perturbations to represent the measurement error covariance matrix.


Author(s):  
Julija Kazakeviciute ◽  
James Paul Rouse ◽  
Davide Focatiis ◽  
Christopher Hyde

Small specimen mechanical testing is an exciting and rapidly developing field in which fundamental deformation behaviours can be observed from experiments performed on comparatively small amounts of material. These methods are particularly useful when there is limited source material to facilitate a sufficient number of standard specimen tests, if any at all. Such situations include the development of new materials or when performing routine maintenance/inspection studies of in-service components, requiring that material conditions are updated with service exposure. The potentially more challenging loading conditions and complex stress states experienced by small specimens, in comparison with standard specimen geometries, has led to a tendency for these methods to be used in ranking studies rather than for fundamental material parameter determination. Classifying a specimen as ‘small’ can be subjective, and in the present work the focus is to review testing methods that utilise specimens with characteristic dimensions of less than 50 mm. By doing this, observations made here will be relevant to industrial service monitoring problems, wherein small samples of material are extracted and tested from operational components in such a way that structural integrity is not compromised. Whilst recently the majority of small specimen test techniques development have focused on the determination of creep behaviour/properties as well as sub-size tensile testing, attention is given here to small specimen testing methods for determining specific tensile, fatigue, fracture and crack growth properties. These areas are currently underrepresented in published reviews. The suitability of specimens and methods is discussed here, along with associated advantages and disadvantages.


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