scholarly journals Probability-Based Wildfire Risk Measure for Decision-Making

Mathematics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 557 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adán Rodríguez-Martínez ◽  
Begoña Vitoriano
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Risk Measure ◽  
Illustrative Case ◽  
Preventive Action ◽  
Interconnected System ◽  
Wildfire Risk ◽  
Preventive Actions ◽  
Natural Element ◽  
Definition Of ◽  
Support Decision Making

Wildfire is a natural element of many ecosystems as well as a natural disaster to be prevented. Climate and land usage changes have increased the number and size of wildfires in the last few decades. In this situation, governments must be able to manage wildfire, and a risk measure can be crucial to evaluate any preventive action and to support decision-making. In this paper, a risk measure based on ignition and spread probabilities is developed modeling a forest landscape as an interconnected system of homogeneous sectors. The measure is defined as the expected value of losses due to fire, based on the probabilities of each sector burning. An efficient method based on Bayesian networks to compute the probability of fire in each sector is provided. The risk measure is suitable to support decision-making to compare preventive actions and to choose the best alternatives reducing the risk of a network. The paper is divided into three parts. First, we present the theoretical framework on which the risk measure is based, outlining some necessary properties of the fire probabilistic model as well as discussing the definition of the event ‘fire’. In the second part, we show how to avoid topological restrictions in the network and produce a computable and comprehensible wildfire risk measure. Finally, an illustrative case example is included.

A Conceptual Model for Describing the Integration of Decision Aspect into Big Data

2022 ◽  
pp. 294-318
Author(s):  
Fatma Chiheb ◽  
Fatima Boumahdi ◽  
Hafida Bouarfa
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Big Data ◽  
Competitive Advantage ◽  
Conceptual Model ◽  
Big Data Analytics ◽  
Decision Makers ◽  
Modern Business ◽  
Definition Of ◽  
A Company ◽  
Support Decision Making

Big Data is an important topic for discussion and research. It has gained this importance due to the meaningful value that could be extracted from these data. The application of Big Data in the modern business allows enterprises to take faster and smarter decisions, achieving a real competitive advantage. However, a lot of Big Data projects provide disappointing results that don't address the decision-makers' needs due to many reasons. The main reason for this failure can be summarized in neglecting the study of the decision-making aspect of these projects. In light of this challenge, this study proposes the integration of decision aspect into Big Data as a solution. Therefore, this article presents three main contributions: 1) Clarify the definition of Big Data; 2) Presents BD-Da model, a conceptual model describes the levels that should be considered to develop a Big Data project aiming to solve a problem that calls a decision; 3) Describes a particular, logical, requirements-like approach that explains how a company develops a Big Data analytics project to support decision-making.

A Conceptual Model for Describing the Integration of Decision Aspect into Big Data

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 1-23
Author(s):  
Fatma Chiheb ◽  
Fatima Boumahdi ◽  
Hafida Bouarfa
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Big Data ◽  
Conceptual Model ◽  
Data Analytics ◽  
Big Data Analytics ◽  
Decision Makers ◽  
Modern Business ◽  
Definition Of ◽  
A Company ◽  
Support Decision Making

Big Data is an important topic for discussion and research. It has gained this importance due to the meaningful value that could be extracted from these data. The application of Big Data in the modern business allows enterprises to take faster and smarter decisions, achieving a real competitive advantage. However, a lot of Big Data projects provide disappointing results that don't address the decision-makers' needs due to many reasons. The main reason for this failure can be summarized in neglecting the study of the decision-making aspect of these projects. In light of this challenge, this study proposes the integration of decision aspect into Big Data as a solution. Therefore, this article presents three main contributions: 1) Clarify the definition of Big Data; 2) Presents BD-Da model, a conceptual model describes the levels that should be considered to develop a Big Data project aiming to solve a problem that calls a decision; 3) Describes a particular, logical, requirements-like approach that explains how a company develops a Big Data analytics project to support decision-making.

scholarly journals Technical Viability Analysis of Industrial Synergies—An Applied Framework Perspective

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (18) ◽  
pp. 7720
Author(s):  
Rui Dias ◽  
João Azevedo ◽  
Inês Ferreira ◽  
Marco Estrela ◽  
Juan Henriques ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Methodological Approach ◽  
Technology Selection ◽  
Industrial Symbiosis ◽  
Viability Assessment ◽  
Viability Analysis ◽  
Support Tools ◽  
Technical Validation ◽  
Definition Of ◽  
Support Decision Making

To foster the implementation of Industrial Symbiosis, several support tools have been developed to facilitate the dissemination of Industrial Symbiosis (IS) and the engagement of stakeholders; the establishment of exchanges between companies, the so-called synergies; and the assessment of impacts and benefits. Despite this, it has been found that stakeholders still do not have a clear envisioning of the required steps to the technical implementation of synergies and there are no facilitating tools, such as methodologies, frameworks, modelling tools, and databases, among others, that aid to technically support decision-making of synergy implementation. Thus, the goal of this paper is to present a dedicated framework that provides a set of guidelines and defines a technical viability analysis to support the implementation of potential synergies, which can be used and replicated by any IS practitioner. It comprehends a methodological approach to assess the compliance of a given synergy opportunity; its characterization concerning the definition of the necessary intermediary steps for the technical implementation; and an assessment of the technical feasibility of the synergy. The implementation of the framework allowed the successful technical validation of the studied synergy opportunities, providing a final technical viability assessment that can support decision-making of technology selection and synergy implementation.

scholarly journals Personal Divorce Coaching and Its Role in Decision-Making in Divorce

2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 663-677
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Dispute Resolution ◽  
Coaching Process ◽  
Key Stakeholders ◽  
Challenging Environment ◽  
It Support ◽  
Definition Of ◽  
Family Mediators ◽  
Resolution Processes ◽  
Support Decision Making

Where does personal divorce coaching fit in among the dispute resolution processes in divorce and how does it support decision-making throughout the proceedings? This article explores the definition of personal divorce coaching as a dispute resolution process, its theoretical roots, the blending of practices from other applied conflict resolution processes, and how it can be used to leverage the power of both coaching and dispute resolution in this particularly challenging environment of divorce. We explore how divorce coaching can shift individual focus from a vice-like grip on position to lifting up interests in the midst of the emotional turmoil that the dissolution of marriage can precipitate. We also review personal divorce coaching from the perspectives of key stakeholders in the process of divorce: family attorneys, family mediators, therapists, financial professionals and, most importantly, the divorcing client. In doing this, we also examine the boundaries of the divorce coaching process.

A Unifying Principle for a Researcher Learning Safety: Reduce Uncertainty!

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Camilla Kao ◽  
Russell Furr
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Best Practices ◽  
Mission Statement ◽  
Safety Information ◽  
Health And Safety ◽  
Mission Statements ◽  
Definition Of ◽  
Physical And Chemical

Conveying safety information to researchers is challenging. A list of rules and best practices often is not remembered thoroughly even by individuals who want to remember everything. Researchers in science thinking according to principles: mathematical, physical, and chemical laws; biological paradigms. They use frameworks and logic, rather than memorization, to achieve the bulk of their work. Can safety be taught to researchers in a manner that matches with how they are trained to think? Is there a principle more defined than "Think safety!" that can help researchers make good decisions in situations that are complex, new, and demanding?<div><br></div><div>Effective trainings in other professions can arise from the use of a mission statement that participants internalize as a mental framework or model for future decision-making. We propose that mission statements incorporating the concept of <b>reducing uncertainty</b> could provide such a framework for learning safety. This essay briefly explains the definition of <b>uncertainty</b> in the context of health and safety, discusses the need for an individual to <b>personalize</b> a mission statement in order to internalize it, and connects the idea of <b>greater control</b> over a situation with less uncertainty with respect to safety. The principle of reducing uncertainty might also help <b>non-researchers</b> think about safety. People from all walks of life should be able to understand that more control over their situations provides more protection for them, their colleagues, and the environment.</div>

IMPLEMENTASI METODE VIKOR DALAM PENERIMAAN JURNALIS PADA KORAN WASPADA MEDAN

2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Soraya Rahma Hayati ◽  
Mesran Mesran ◽  
Taronisokhi Zebua ◽  
Heri Nurdiyanto ◽  
Khasanah Khasanah
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Decision Support ◽  
Decision Support System ◽  
Decision Support Systems ◽  
Support System ◽  
Support Systems ◽  
Knowledge Based ◽  
Computer Based ◽  
Support Decision Making ◽  
Made In

The reception of journalists at the Waspada Daily Medan always went through several rigorous selections before being determined to be accepted as journalists at the Waspada Medan Daily. There are several criteria that must be possessed by each participant as a condition for becoming a journalist in the Daily Alert Medan. To get the best participants, the Waspada Medan Daily needed a decision support system. Decision Support Systems (SPK) are part of computer-based information systems (including knowledge-based systems (knowledge management)) that are used to support decision making within an organization or company. Decision support systems provide a semitructured decision, where no one knows exactly how the decision should be made. In this study the authors applied the VlseKriterijumska Optimizacija I Kompromisno Resenje (VIKOR) as the method to be applied in the decision support system application. The VIKOR method is part of the Multi-Attibut Decision Making (MADM) Concept, which requires normalization in its calculations. The expected results in this study can obtain maximum decisions.Keywords: Journalist Acceptance, Decision Support System, VIKOR

Doping in sports – conscious lack of interest or ethical Everest?

2017 ◽  
Vol 65 (4) ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
General Population ◽  
Medical Setting ◽  
Doping In Sports ◽  
Physician Relationship ◽  
Pharmaceutical Agents ◽  
Similar Development ◽  
Level Performance ◽  
Elite Sports ◽  
Support Decision Making

Within a clinical sports medical setting the discussion about doping is insufficient. In elite-sports use of pharmaceutical agents is daily business in order to maintain the expected top-level performance. Unfortunately, a similar development could be observed in the general population of leisure athletes where medical supervision is absent. As a sports physician you are facing imminent ethical questions when standing in between. Therefore, we propose the application of a standardised risk score as a tool to promote doping-prevention and launch the debate within athlete-physician-relationship. In the longterm such kind of risk stratification systems may support decision-making with regard to «protective» exclusion of sporting competition.

An Analysis of the Demand for Reporting on Internal Control

2000 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 325-341 ◽  
Author(s):  
Heather M. Hermanson
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Financial Reporting ◽  
Internal Control ◽  
Operational Definition ◽  
Financial Statement ◽  
Individual Investors ◽  
Internal Auditors ◽  
Additional Information ◽  
User Groups ◽  
Definition Of

The purpose of this study is to analyze the demand for reporting on internal control. Nine financial statement user groups were identified and surveyed to determine whether they agree that: (1) management reports on internal control (MRIC) are useful, (2) MRICs influence decisions, and (3) financial reporting is improved by adding MRICs. In addition, the paper examined whether responses varied based on: (1) the definition of internal control used (manipulated as broad, operational definition vs. narrow, financial-reporting definition) and (2) user group. The results indicate that financial statement users agree that internal controls are important. Respondents agreed that voluntary MRICs improved controls and provided additional information for decision making. Respondents also agreed that mandatory MRICs improved controls, but did not agree about their value for decision making. Using a broad definition of controls, respondents strongly agreed that MRICs improved controls and provided a better indicator of a company's long-term viability. Executive respondents were less likely to agree about the value of MRICs than individual investors and internal auditors.

scholarly journals A Methodology for Redesigning Networks by Using Markov Random Fields

Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (12) ◽  
pp. 1389
Author(s):  
Julia García Cabello ◽  
Pedro A. Castillo ◽  
Maria-del-Carmen Aguilar-Luzon ◽  
Francisco Chiclana ◽  
Enrique Herrera-Viedma
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Random Fields ◽  
Markov Random Fields ◽  
Application Performance ◽  
Cross Border ◽  
Markov Random ◽  
User Groups ◽  
Universal Definition ◽  
Definition Of ◽  
Decision Making Model

Standard methodologies for redesigning physical networks rely on Geographic Information Systems (GIS), which strongly depend on local demographic specifications. The absence of a universal definition of demography makes its use for cross-border purposes much more difficult. This paper presents a Decision Making Model (DMM) for redesigning networks that works without geographical constraints. There are multiple advantages of this approach: on one hand, it can be used in any country of the world; on the other hand, the absence of geographical constraints widens the application scope of our approach, meaning that it can be successfully implemented either in physical (ATM networks) or non-physical networks such as in group decision making, social networks, e-commerce, e-governance and all fields in which user groups make decisions collectively. Case studies involving both types of situations are conducted in order to illustrate the methodology. The model has been designed under a data reduction strategy in order to improve application performance.

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