scholarly journals Science to Commerce: A Commercial-Scale Protocol for Carbon Trading Applied to a 28-Year Record of Forest Carbon Monitoring at the Harvard Forest

Land ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 163 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nahuel Bautista ◽  
Bruno D. V. Marino ◽  
J. William Munger
Keyword(s):  
Carbon Sequestration ◽  
Soil Carbon ◽  
Eddy Covariance ◽  
Direct Measurement ◽  
Ecosystem Respiration ◽  
Forest Carbon ◽  
Carbon Accounting ◽  
Carbon Trading ◽  
Harvard Forest ◽  
The Us

Forest carbon sequestration offset protocols have been employed for more than 20 years with limited success in slowing deforestation and increasing forest carbon trading volume. Direct measurement of forest carbon flux improves quantification for trading but has not been applied to forest carbon research projects with more than 600 site installations worldwide. In this study, we apply carbon accounting methods, scaling hours to decades to 28-years of scientific CO2 eddy covariance data for the Harvard Forest (US-Ha1), located in central Massachusetts, USA and establishing commercial carbon trading protocols and applications for similar sites. We illustrate and explain transactions of high-frequency direct measurement for CO2 net ecosystem exchange (NEE, gC m−2 year−1) that track and monetize ecosystem carbon dynamics in contrast to approaches that rely on forest mensuration and growth models. NEE, based on eddy covariance methodology, quantifies loss of CO2 by ecosystem respiration accounted for as an unavoidable debit to net carbon sequestration. Retrospective analysis of the US-Ha1 NEE times series including carbon pricing, interval analysis, and ton-year exit accounting and revenue scenarios inform entrepreneur, investor, and landowner forest carbon commercialization strategies. CO2 efflux accounts for ~45% of the US-Ha1 NEE, an error of ~466% if excluded; however, the decades-old coupled human and natural system remains a financially viable net carbon sink. We introduce isoflux NEE for t13C16O2 and t12C18O16O to directly partition and quantify daytime ecosystem respiration and photosynthesis, creating new soil carbon commerce applications and derivative products in contrast to undifferentiated bulk soil carbon pool approaches. Eddy covariance NEE methods harmonize and standardize carbon commerce across diverse forest applications including, a New England, USA regional eddy covariance network, the Paris Agreement, and related climate mitigation platforms.

scholarly journals Howland Forest, ME, USA: Multi-Gas Flux (CO2, CH4, N2O) Social Cost Product Underscores Limited Carbon Proxies

Land ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 436
Author(s):  
Bruno D. V. Marino ◽  
Nahuel Bautista ◽  
Brandt Rousseaux
Keyword(s):  
Global Warming ◽  
Eddy Covariance ◽  
Direct Measurement ◽  
Social Cost ◽  
Forest Products ◽  
Forest Carbon ◽  
Carbon Offsets ◽  
Carbon Accounting ◽  
Climate Action ◽  
Forest Carbon Sequestration

Forest carbon sequestration is a widely accepted natural climate solution. However, methods to determine net carbon offsets are based on commercial carbon proxies or CO2 eddy covariance research with limited methodological comparisons. Non-CO2 greenhouse gases (GHG) (e.g., CH4, N2O) receive less attention in the context of forests, in part, due to carbon denominated proxies and to the cost for three-gas eddy covariance platforms. Here we describe and analyze results for direct measurement of CO2, CH4, and N2O by eddy covariance and forest carbon estimation protocols at the Howland Forest, ME, the only site where these methods overlap. Limitations of proxy-based protocols, including the exclusion of sink terms for non-CO2 GHGs, applied to the Howland project preclude multi-gas forest products. In contrast, commercial products based on direct measurement are established by applying molecule-specific social cost factors to emission reductions creating a new forest offset (GHG-SCF), integrating multiple gases into a single value of merit for forest management of global warming. Estimated annual revenue for GHG-SCF products, applicable to the realization of a Green New Deal, range from ~$120,000 USD covering the site area of ~557 acres in 2021 to ~$12,000,000 USD for extrapolation to 40,000 acres in 2040, assuming a 3% discount rate. In contrast, California Air Resources Board compliance carbon offsets determined by the Climate Action Reserve protocol show annual errors of up to 2256% relative to eddy covariance data from two adjacent towers across the project area. Incomplete carbon accounting, offset over-crediting and inadequate independent offset verification are consistent with error results. The GHG-SCF product contributes innovative science-to-commerce applications incentivizing restoration and conservation of forests worldwide to assist in the management of global warming.

scholarly journals Commercial Forest Carbon Protocol Over-Credit Bias Delimited by Zero-Threshold Carbon Accounting

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bruno D.V. Marino ◽  
Nahuel Bautista
Keyword(s):  
Carbon Sequestration ◽  
Ecosystem Respiration ◽  
Net Ecosystem Exchange ◽  
Co2 Exchange ◽  
Forest Carbon ◽  
Carbon Accounting ◽  
Forest Carbon Storage ◽  
Median Error ◽  
Forest Carbon Sequestration ◽  
Commercial Forest

Despite the use of commercial forest carbon protocols (CFCPs) for more than two decades, claiming ~566 MMtCO2e and a market value of ~USD $15.7 billion, comparative analysis of CFCP methodology and offset results is limited. In this study, five widely used biometric-based CFCPs were characterized, and common characteristics and differences were identified. CFCP claims of net forest carbon sequestration are compared with results of directly measured CO2 by eddy covariance, a meteorological method integrating gross vertical fluxes of forest and soil carbon, and the only alternative non-biometric source of net forest carbon sequestration data available. We show here that CFCPs share a structural feature delimiting forest carbon values by zero-threshold carbon accounting (gC m-2 ≤ 0), a pattern opposite to natural emissions of forest CO2 exchange based on direct measurement and a fundamental biological constraint on net forest carbon storage (i.e., soil efflux, ecosystem respiration). Exclusion of forest CO2 sources to the atmosphere precludes net carbon accounting, resulting in unavoidable over-crediting of CFCP offsets. CFCP carbon results are significantly different from global forest CO2 net ecosystem exchange population results (FluxNet2015 gC m-2) at the 95% to 99.99% confidence levels, inferring an annual median error of ~247% (gC m-2), also consistent with over-crediting. Direct CO2 measurement provides an alternative method for commercial forest carbon products, has the potential to harmonize global markets, and catalyze the role of forests in managing climate change through nature-based solutions.

scholarly journals Commercial Forest Carbon Protocol Over-credit Bias Delimited by Zero-threshold Carbon Accounting

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bruno D.V. Marino ◽  
Nahuel Bautista
Keyword(s):  
Carbon Sequestration ◽  
Ecosystem Respiration ◽  
Net Ecosystem Exchange ◽  
Co2 Exchange ◽  
Forest Carbon ◽  
Carbon Accounting ◽  
Forest Carbon Storage ◽  
Median Error ◽  
Forest Carbon Sequestration ◽  
Commercial Forest

Despite the use of commercial forest carbon protocols (CFCPs) for more than two decades, claiming ~566 MMtCO2e and a market value of ~USD $15.7 billion, comparative analysis of CFCP methodology and offset results is limited. In this study, five widely used biometric-based CFCPs are characterized, and common characteristics and differences are identified. CFCP claims of net forest carbon sequestration are compared with results of directly measured CO2 by eddy covariance, a meteorological method integrating gross vertical fluxes of forest and soil carbon, and the only alternative non-biometric source of net forest carbon sequestration data available. We show here that CFCPs share a structural feature delimiting forest carbon values by zero-threshold carbon accounting (gC m-2 ≤ 0), a pattern opposite to natural emissions of forest CO2 exchange based on direct measurement and a fundamental biological constraint on net forest carbon storage (i.e., soil efflux, ecosystem respiration). Exclusion of forest CO2 sources to the atmosphere precludes net carbon accounting, resulting in unavoidable over-crediting of CFCP project offsets. CFCP carbon results are significantly different from global forest CO2 net ecosystem exchange population results (FluxNet2015 gC m-2) at the 95% to 99.99% confidence levels, inferring an annual median error of ~247% (gC m-2), consistent with over-crediting. Direct CO2 measurement provides an urgently needed alternative method for commercial forest carbon products that has the potential to harmonize global markets and catalyze the role of forests in managing climate change through nature-based solutions.

scholarly journals California air resources board forest carbon protocol invalidates offsets

PeerJ ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 ◽  
pp. e7606 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bruno D.V. Marino ◽  
Martina Mincheva ◽  
Aaron Doucett
Keyword(s):  
Null Hypothesis ◽  
Model Simulation ◽  
Ecosystem Respiration ◽  
Forest Degradation ◽  
Forest Carbon ◽  
Carbon Offsets ◽  
Carbon Accounting ◽  
Population Mean ◽  
Forest Carbon Offsets ◽  
Commercial Forest

The commercial asset value of sequestered forest carbon is based on protocols employed globally; however, their scientific basis has not been validated. We review and analyze commercial forest carbon protocols, claimed to have reduced net greenhouse gas emissions, issued by the California Air Resources Board and validated by the Climate Action Reserve (CARB-CAR). CARB-CAR forest carbon offsets, based on forest mensuration and model simulation, are compared to a global database of directly measured forest carbon sequestration, or net ecosystem exchange (NEE) of forest CO2. NEE is a meteorologically based method integrating CO2 fluxes between the atmosphere, forest and soils and is independent of the CARB-CAR methodology. Annual carbon accounting results for CAR681 are compared with NEE for the Ameriflux site, Howland Forest Maine, USA, (Ho-1), the only site where both methods were applied contemporaneously, invalidating CARB-CAR protocol offsets. We then test the null hypothesis that CARB-CAR project population data fall within global NEE population values for natural and managed forests measured in the field; net annual gC m−2yr−1 are compared for both protocols. Irrespective of geography, biome and project type, the CARB-CAR population mean is significantly different from the NEE population mean at the 95% confidence interval, rejecting the null hypothesis. The CARB-CAR population exhibits standard deviation ∼5× that of known interannual NEE ranges, is overcrediting biased, incapable of detecting forest transition to net positive CO2 emissions, and exceeds the 5% CARB compliance limit for invalidation. Exclusion of CO2 efflux via soil and ecosystem respiration precludes a valid net carbon accounting result for CARB-CAR and related protocols, consistent with our findings. Protocol invalidation risk extends to vendors and policy platforms such as the United Nations Program on Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation (REDD+) and the Paris Agreement. We suggest that CARB-CAR and related protocols include NEE methodology for commercial forest carbon offsets to standardize methods, ensure in situ molecular specificity, verify claims of carbon emission reduction and harmonize carbon protocols for voluntary and compliance markets worldwide.

Calibration and validation of a simplified process-based model for the prediction of the carbon balance of Scottish Sitka spruce (Picea sitchensis) plantations

2010 ◽  
Vol 40 (12) ◽  
pp. 2411-2426 ◽  
Author(s):  
Francesco Minunno ◽  
Georgios Xenakis ◽  
Michael P. Perks ◽  
Maurizio Mencuccini
Keyword(s):  
Carbon Sequestration ◽  
Eddy Covariance ◽  
Carbon Balance ◽  
Growth Models ◽  
Ecosystem Respiration ◽  
Gross Primary Production ◽  
Sitka Spruce ◽  
Picea Sitchensis ◽  
Forest Growth ◽  
Time Step

There is increasing recognition that forestry provides a low cost and robust means of climate change abatement through carbon sequestration and substitution. However, current understanding of forest ecosystem carbon exchange and forest–atmosphere interactions are often inadequately characterized by existing empirical growth models with resulting poor representation for regional extrapolations. In this paper, we describe the parameterisation and independent validation, against both eddy covariance and forest growth experimental data, of a process-oriented model 3PGN to provide assessments of carbon sequestration of Sitka spruce (Picea sitchensis (Bong.) Carrière) plantations across Scotland. In comparison with eddy covariance measurements, the model predicted all of the major annual carbon fluxes, i.e., gross primary production (PG), net ecosystem production (PE), and ecosystem respiration (RE), with biases lower than 10%. At a monthly time step, only PG and PE were accurately estimated, whereas RE was not. At longer time scales (i.e., several decades), the model reliably represented the major patterns of the carbon balance. Soil type was identified as the important factor influencing site productivity; fertilization practices did not alter long-term site nutritional status. The analyses also highlighted the potential impact of carbon loss from carbon-rich soils, which can result in differences between optimal rotation length for carbon sequestration and for timber production.

scholarly journals Direct measurement forest carbon protocol: a commercial system-of-systems to incentivize forest restoration and management

PeerJ ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
pp. e8891
Author(s):  
Bruno D.V. Marino ◽  
Vinh Truong ◽  
J. William Munger ◽  
Richard Gyimah
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Carbon Sequestration ◽  
Direct Measurement ◽  
System Of Systems ◽  
Forest Carbon ◽  
Carbon Pricing ◽  
Financial Products ◽  
Forest Carbon Sequestration

Forest carbon sequestration offsets are methodologically uncertain, comprise a minor component of carbon markets and do not effectively slow deforestation. The objective of this study is to describe a commercial scale in situ measurement approach for determination of net forest carbon sequestration projects, the Direct Measurement Forest Carbon Protocol™, to address forest carbon market uncertainties. In contrast to protocols that rely on limited forest mensuration, growth simulation and exclusion of CO2 data, the Direct Measurement Forest Carbon Protocol™ is based on standardized methods for direct determination of net ecosystem exchange (NEE) of CO2 employing eddy covariance, a meteorological approach integrating forest carbon fluxes. NEE is used here as the basis for quantifying the first of its kind carbon financial products. The DMFCP differentiates physical, project and financial carbon within a System-of-Systems™ (SoS) network architecture. SoS sensor nodes, the Global Monitoring Platform™ (GMP), housing analyzers for CO2 isotopologues (e.g., 12CO2,13CO2, 14CO2) and greenhouse gases are deployed across the project landscape. The SoS standardizes and automates GMP measurement, uncertainty and reporting functions creating diverse forest carbon portfolios while reducing cost and investment risk in alignment with modern portfolio theory. To illustrate SoS field deployment and operation, published annual NEE data for a tropical (Ankasa Park, Ghana, Africa) and a deciduous forest (Harvard Forest, Petersham, MA, USA) are used to forecast carbon revenue. Carbon pricing scenarios are combined with historical in situ NEE annual time-series to extrapolate pre-tax revenue for each project applied to 100,000 acres (40,469 hectares) of surrounding land. Based on carbon pricing of $5 to $36 per ton CO2 equivalent (tCO2eq) and observed NEE sequestration rates of 0.48 to 15.60 tCO2eq acre−1 yr−1, pre-tax cash flows ranging from $230,000 to $16,380,000 across project time-series are calculated, up to 5×  revenue for contemporary voluntary offsets, demonstrating new economic incentives to reverse deforestation. The SoS concept of operation and architecture, with engineering development, can be extended to diverse gas species across terrestrial, aquatic and oceanic ecosystems, harmonizing voluntary and compliance market products worldwide to assist in the management of global warming. The Direct Measurement Forest Carbon Protocol reduces risk of invalidation intrinsic to estimation-based protocols such as the Climate Action Reserve and the Clean Development Mechanism that do not observe molecular CO2 to calibrate financial products. Multinational policy applications such as the Paris Agreement and the United Nations Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Degradation, constrained by Kyoto Protocol era processes, will benefit from NEE measurement avoiding unsupported claims of emission reduction, fraud, and forest conservation policy failure.

Carbon dioxide fluxes on agricultural grasslands – Uncertainty associated with gap-filling

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Henriikka Vekuri ◽  
Juha-Pekka Tuovinen ◽  
Mika Korkiakoski ◽  
Laura Heimsch ◽  
Liisa Kulmala ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Carbon Sequestration ◽  
Soil Carbon ◽  
Eddy Covariance ◽  
Carbon Stock ◽  
Management Practices ◽  
Terrestrial Ecosystems ◽  
Carbon Markets ◽  
Gap Filling ◽  
Soil Carbon Stock ◽  
Uncertainty Estimates

<p>Mitigation of climate change requires – besides reductions in greenhouse gas emissions – actions to increase carbon sinks and storages in terrestrial ecosystems. Agricultural lands have a high potential for increased carbon sequestration through climate-smart land management and agricultural practices. However, in order to make climate-smart farming an accredited solution for climate policy, carbon markets and product footprints, reliable verification of carbon sequestration is needed. Direct measurement of the changes in soil carbon stock is slow, laborious and expensive and has significant uncertainties due to large background stocks and high spatial variability. An alternative is to infer the soil carbon stock change from measurements of the gaseous carbon fluxes between ecosystems and the atmosphere using the micrometeorological eddy covariance (EC) method.</p><p>Eddy covariance measures net ecosystem exchange (NEE), which is a small difference between two large components: carbon uptake by photosynthesis and losses due to plant and soil respiration. Therefore, small changes in either of them results in a large change in NEE. This sensitivity is also reflected in uncertainty estimates, which are critical for defining confidence intervals for annual carbon budget estimates and for making statistically valid comparisons of different management practices.  In addition, there are inevitable gaps in the data due to instrument failure, power shortages and non-ideal flow conditions. Therefore, in order to calculate daily and annual sums, the collected data must be temporally upscaled or gap-filled, which constitutes a major additional source of uncertainty. This study compares two different gap-filling methods for CO₂ fluxes: (1) an artificial neural network and (2) non-linear regression, which uses temperature and radiation as drivers. Uncertainties associated with both methods are estimated and discussed. The analysis is based on EC flux measurements conducted at two agricultural grassland sites in Finland.</p>

scholarly journals Howland Forest, ME, USA: Multi-Gas Flux Record (CO2, CH4, N2O) Establishes New Forest Products Linked to Social Cost of Emission in Contrast to Carbon Limited Sequestration Proxies

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bruno D Marino ◽  
Nahuel Bautista ◽  
Brandt Rousseaux
Keyword(s):  
Eddy Covariance ◽  
Social Cost ◽  
Co2 Flux ◽  
Forest Products ◽  
Forest Carbon ◽  
Third Party ◽  
Carbon Accounting ◽  
Limited Application ◽  
New Forest ◽  
Forest Carbon Sequestration

Forest carbon sequestration is a widely accepted natural climate solution, however, methods to determine net carbon offsets are limited to commercial carbon proxies and CO2 eddy covariance research. Non-CO2 greenhouse gases (GHG) (e.g., CH4, N2O) receive less attention in the context of forests, in part, due to emphasis on CO2 and the operational requirements and cost for three-gas eddy covariance platforms. In this study, Howland forest flux tower (CO2, CH4) and soil flux data (CO2, CH4, N2O), representing net emission reductions, are linked to their respective social costs to estimate commercial revenue if sold as a GHG social cost forest offset product (GHG-SCF). Estimated annual revenue for GHG-SCF products, applicable to realization of a Green New Deal, range from 120,000 covering the site area of 557 acres in 2021, to 12,000,000 for extrapolation to 40,000 acres in 2040, assuming a 3% discount rate. The Howland Forest CO2 flux record for two adjacent towers is compared to California Air Resources Board forest carbon proxy data for compliance sequestration offsets, the only project site where these approaches overlap. Overcrediting, incomplete carbon accounting with annual errors of up to 2,256%, inadequate third-party verification, and limited application to non-CO2 GHG’s are established. In contrast, direct measurement of one or more GHG’s offers new forest products and revenue incentives to restore and conserve forests worldwide.

scholarly journals Association of urban forest landscape characteristics with biomass and soil carbon stocks in Harbin City, Northeastern China

PeerJ ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 6 ◽  
pp. e5825 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hailiang Lv ◽  
Wenjie Wang ◽  
Xingyuan He ◽  
Chenhui Wei ◽  
Lu Xiao ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Carbon Sequestration ◽  
Soil Carbon ◽  
Carbon Storage ◽  
Landscape Metrics ◽  
Patch Size ◽  
Urban Forest ◽  
Urban Forests ◽  
Forest Carbon ◽  
Landscape Patterns ◽  
Forest Landscape

Background Urban forests help in mitigating carbon emissions; however, their associations with landscape patterns are unclear. Understanding the associations would help us to evaluate urban forest ecological services and favor urban forest management via landscape regulations. We used Harbin, capital city of the northernmost province in China, as an example and hypothesized that the urban forests had different landscape metrics among different forest types, administrative districts, and urban–rural gradients, and these differences were closely associated with forest carbon sequestration in the biomass and soils. Methods We extracted the urban forest tree coverage area on the basis of 2 GF-1 remote sensing images and object-oriented based classification method. The analysis of forest landscape patterns and estimation of carbon storage were based on tree coverage data and 199 plots. We also examined the relationships between forest landscape metrics and carbon storage on the basis of forest types, administrative districts, ring roads, and history of urban settlements by using statistical methods. Results The small patches covering an area of less than 0.5 ha accounted for 72.6% of all patches (average patch size, 0.31 ha). The mean patch size (AREA_MN) and largest patch index (LPI) were the highest in the landscape and relaxation forest and Songbei District. The landscape shape index (LSI) and number of patches linearly decreased along rural-urban gradients (p < 0.05). The tree biomass carbon storage varied from less than 10 thousand tons in the urban center (first ring road region and 100-year regions) to more than 100 thousand tons in the rural regions (fourth ring road and newly urbanized regions). In the same urban–rural gradients, soil carbon storage varied from less than five thousand tons in the urban centers to 73–103 thousand tons in the rural regions. The association analysis indicated that the total forest area was the key factor that regulates total carbon storage in trees and soils. However, in the case of carbon density (ton ha−1), AREA_MN was strongly associated with tree biomass carbon, and soil carbon density was negatively related to LSI (p < 0.01) and AREA_MN (p < 0.05), but positively related to LPI (p < 0.05). Discussion The urban forests were more fragmented in Harbin than in other provincial cities in Northeastern China, as shown by the smaller patch size, more complex patch shape, and larger patch density. The decrease in LSI along the rural-urban gradients may contribute to the forest carbon sequestrations in downtown regions, particularly underground soil carbon accumulation, and the increasing patch size may benefit tree carbon sequestration. Our findings help us to understand how forest landscape metrics are associated with carbon storage function. These findings related to urban forest design may maximize forest carbon sequestration services and facilitate in precisely estimating the forest carbon sink.

Mitigation of climate change with biomass harvesting in Norway spruce stands: are harvesting practices carbon neutral?

2015 ◽  
Vol 45 (2) ◽  
pp. 217-225 ◽  
Author(s):  
Raisa Mäkipää ◽  
Tapio Linkosalo ◽  
Alexander Komarov ◽  
Annikki Mäkelä
Keyword(s):  
Carbon Sequestration ◽  
Soil Carbon ◽  
Carbon Stock ◽  
Energy Production ◽  
Fossil Fuels ◽  
Rotation Period ◽  
Forest Carbon ◽  
Forest Residues ◽  
Soil Carbon Stock ◽  
Biomass Harvesting

Biomass combustion is considered to be carbon neutral, but intensive biomass harvesting may negatively impact carbon stocks in forest soil and vegetation, which can offset the benefits of substituting fossil fuels with biomass. Here we evaluated conventional stem-only harvesting, whole-tree harvesting (WTH), and WTH excluding needles in terms of timber yield, biomass harvests, and forest carbon sequestration. We simulated harvest scenarios in current and changed climates with a process-based growth model (PipeQual) that was integrated with models describing soil decomposition (ROMUL) and soil water dynamics. Furthermore, we compared gains and losses of forest carbon with reductions in fossil-fuel emissions that result from using harvested biomass for energy production. WTH negatively affected stand growth, biomass, and soil carbon stock; negative effects on growth and biomass can be reduced by leaving nitrogen-rich needles behind during WTH. In a changed climate, organic-matter decomposition and nitrogen mineralization accelerated and tree growth was enhanced, increasing the carbon stock of trees and slightly decreasing the soil carbon stock. In the changed climate, WTH had less influence on forest growth and a similar influence on soil carbon sequestration than in the current climate. In the current climate, the WTH decreased the forest carbon stock by, on average, 26.8 Mg C·ha−1 over the rotation period. If harvested forest residues are used for energy production instead of fossil fuels, emissions decline by 19 Mg C·ha−1 (when WTH is applied over a rotation period). Thus, our analysis suggests that using forest residues for energy production leads to a net increase in carbon emissions.

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