scholarly journals Frailty Is a Better Predictor than Age of Mortality and Perioperative Complications after Surgery for Degenerative Cervical Myelopathy: An Analysis of 41,369 Patients from the NSQIP Database 2010–2018

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (11) ◽  
pp. 3491
Author(s):  
Jamie R. F. Wilson ◽  
Jetan H. Badhiwala ◽  
Ali Moghaddamjou ◽  
Albert Yee ◽  
Jefferson R. Wilson ◽  
...  

Background: The ability of frailty compared to age alone to predict adverse events in the surgical management of Degenerative Cervical Myelopathy (DCM) has not been defined in the literature. Methods: 41,369 patients with a diagnosis of DCM undergoing surgery were collected from the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) Database 2010–2018. Univariate analysis for each measure of frailty (modified frailty index 11- and 5-point; MFI-11, MFI-5), modified Charlson Co-morbidity index and ASA grade) were calculated for the following outcomes: mortality, major complication, unplanned reoperation, unplanned readmission, length of hospital stay, and discharge to a non-home destination. Multivariable modeling of age and frailty with a base model was performed to define the discriminative ability of each measure. Results: Age and frailty have a significant effect on all outcomes, but the MFI-5 has the largest effect size. Increasing frailty correlated significantly with the risk of perioperative adverse events, longer hospital stay, and risk of a non-home discharge destination. Multivariable modeling incorporating MFI-5 with age and the base model had a robust predictive value (0.85). MFI-5 had a high categorical assessment correlation with a MFI-11 of 0.988 (p < 0.001). Conclusions and Relevance: Measures of frailty have a greater effect size and a higher discriminative value to predict adverse events than age alone. MFI-5 categorical assessment is essentially equivalent to the MFI-11 score for DCM patients. A multivariable model using MFI-5 provides an accurate predictive tool that has important clinical applications.

2009 ◽  
Vol 110 (1) ◽  
pp. 58-66 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sachin Kheterpal ◽  
Michael O’Reilly ◽  
Michael J. Englesbe ◽  
Andrew L. Rosenberg ◽  
Amy M. Shanks ◽  
...  

Background The authors sought to determine the incidence and risk factors for perioperative cardiac adverse events (CAEs) after noncardiac surgery using detailed preoperative and intraoperative hemodynamic data. Methods The authors conducted a prospective observational study at a single university hospital from 2002 to 2006. All American College of Surgeons-National Surgical Quality Improvement Program patients undergoing general, vascular, and urological surgery were included. The CAE outcome definition included cardiac arrest, non-ST elevation myocardial infarction, Q-wave myocardial infarction, and new clinically significant cardiac dysrhythmia within the first 30 postoperative days. Results Four years of data demonstrated that of 7,740 noncardiac operations, 83 patients (1.1%) experienced a CAE within 30 days. Nine independent predictors were identified (P &lt; or = 0.05): age &gt; or = 68, body mass index &gt; or = 30, emergent surgery, previous coronary intervention or cardiac surgery, active congestive heart failure, cerebrovascular disease, hypertension, operative duration &gt; or = 3.8 h, and the administration of 1 or more units of packed red blood cells intraoperatively. The c-statistic of this model was 0.81 +/- 0.02. Univariate analysis demonstrated that high-risk patients experiencing a CAE were more likely to experience an episode of mean arterial pressure &lt; 50 mmHg (6% vs. 24%, P = 0.02), experience an episode of 40% decrease in mean arterial pressure (26% vs. 53%, P = 0.01), and an episode of heart rate &gt; 100 (22% vs. 34%, P = 0.05). Conclusions In comparison with current risk stratification indices, the inclusion of intraoperative elements improves the ability to predict a perioperative CAE after noncardiac surgery.


2016 ◽  
Vol 40 (6) ◽  
pp. E14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lindsay Tetreault ◽  
Jefferson R. Wilson ◽  
Mark R. N. Kotter ◽  
Aria Nouri ◽  
Pierre Côté ◽  
...  

OBJECTIVE The minimum clinically important difference (MCID) is defined as the minimum change in a measurement that a patient would identify as beneficial. Before undergoing surgery, patients are likely to inquire about the ultimate goals of the operation and of their chances of experiencing meaningful improvements. The objective of this study was to define significant predictors of achieving an MCID on the modified Japanese Orthopaedic Association (mJOA) scale at 2 years following surgery for the treatment of degenerative cervical myelopathy (DCM). METHODS Seven hundred fifty-seven patients were prospectively enrolled in either the AOSpine North America or International study at 26 global sites. Fourteen patients had a perfect preoperative mJOA score of 18 and were excluded from this analysis (n = 743). Data were collected for each participating subject, including demographic information, symptomatology, medical history, causative pathology, and functional impairment. Univariate log-binominal regression analyses were conducted to evaluate the association between preoperative clinical factors and achieving an MCID on the mJOA scale. Modified Poisson regression using robust error variances was used to create the final multivariate model and compute the relative risk for each predictor. RESULTS The sample consisted of 463 men (62.31%) and 280 women (37.69%), with an average age of 56.48 ± 11.85 years. At 2 years following surgery, patients exhibited a mean change in functional status of 2.71 ± 2.89 points on the mJOA scale. Of the 687 patients with available follow-up data, 481 (70.01%) exhibited meaningful gains on the mJOA scale, whereas 206 (29.98%) failed to achieve an MCID. Based on univariate analysis, significant predictors of achieving the MCID on the mJOA scale were younger age; female sex; shorter duration of symptoms; nonsmoking status; a lower comorbidity score and absence of cardiovascular disease; and absence of upgoing plantar responses, lower-limb spasticity, and broad-based unstable gait. The final model included age (relative risk [RR] 0.924, p < 0.0001), smoking status (RR 0.837, p = 0.0043), broad-based unstable gait (RR 0.869, p = 0.0036), and duration of symptoms (RR 0.943, p = 0.0003). CONCLUSIONS In this large multinational prospective cohort, 70% of patients treated surgically for DCM exhibited a meaningful functional gain on the mJOA scale. The key predictors of achieving an MCID on the mJOA scale were younger age, shorter duration of symptoms, nonsmoking status, and lack of significant gait impairment.


2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (10) ◽  
pp. 1708 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jamie R. F. Wilson ◽  
Jetan H. Badhiwala ◽  
Fan Jiang ◽  
Jefferson R. Wilson ◽  
Branko Kopjar ◽  
...  

Background: The effect on functional and quality of life (QOL) outcomes of surgery in elderly degenerative cervical myelopathy (DCM) patients has not been definitively established. Objective: To evaluate the effect of older age on the functional and QOL outcomes after surgery in an international, multi-center cohort of patients with DCM. Methods: 107 patients aged over 70 years old (mean 75.6 ± 4.4 years) were enrolled in the AOSpine CSM-North America and International studies. A propensity-matched cohort of 107 patients was generated from the remaining 650 adults aged <70 years old (mean 56.3 ± 9.6 years), matched to gender, complexity of surgery, co-morbidities, and baseline functional impairment (modified Japanese Orthopedic Association scale (mJOA). Functional, disability, and QOL outcomes were compared at baseline and at two years post-operatively, along with peri-operative adverse events. Results: Both cohorts were equivalently matched. At two years, both cohorts showed significant functional improvement from the baseline but the magnitude was greater in the younger cohort (mJOA 3.8 (3.2–4.4) vs. 2.6 (2.0–3.3); p = 0.007). This difference between groups was also observed in the SF-36 physical component summary (PCS) and mental component summary (MCS) outcomes (p = <0.001, p = 0.007), but not present in the neck disability index (NDI) scores (p = 0.094). Adverse events were non-significantly higher in the elderly cohort (22.4% vs. 15%; p = 0.161). Conclusions: Elderly patients showed an improvement in functional and QOL outcomes after surgery for DCM, but the magnitude of improvement was less when compared to the matched younger adult cohort. An age over 70 was not associated with an increased risk of adverse events.


2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (28_suppl) ◽  
pp. 220-220
Author(s):  
Tharani Anpalagan ◽  
Kathy Huang ◽  
Maura Marcucci ◽  
Sarah Mah ◽  
Millie Walker ◽  
...  

220 Background: Accumulating evidence correlates myocardial injury after noncardiac surgery (MINS), even when asymptomatic, with increased cardiac and non-cardiac morbidity and mortality. There is no literature on MINS specific to Gynecologic Oncology. We sought to evaluate the incidence and risk factors of MINS in patients aged ≥70. Methods: Elective laparotomies between 01/2016-09/2020 for patients aged≥70 at a tertiary hospital in ON, Canada, were reviewed using prospectively-collected National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) data. MINS was defined as peak serum high-sensitivity troponin-T concentration ≥0.04ng/mL within 30 days postoperatively. Logistic regression analysis was performed. Results: In this cohort of 258 patients, of 242 (93.8%) who underwent postoperative troponin screening, 40 (16.5%) experienced MINS without exhibiting ischemic symptoms or ECG changes. The diagnosis of MINS led to a prescription or optimization of cardiovascular medications for 35 patients (87.5%). On univariate analysis, Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI) of 3-5(p = 0.002), history of coronary artery disease (p = 0.003) or insulin-dependent diabetes (p = 0.006), preoperative use of antiplatelets (p = 0.009), beta-blockers (p = 0.02), ACE-inhibitors (ACEI) or angiotensin-receptor blockers (ARB)(p = 0.002) and frailty as defined by the NSQIP modified frailty index-5 (p = 0.02), were associated with greater risk of MINS. Factors reflecting surgical complexity including surgical complexity score, operative duration, blood loss and advanced oncologic stage were not predictive. Multivariable analysis using backward selection procedure identified elevated RCRI and preoperative ACE/ARB as significant risk factors (OR 5.93, 95% CI 1.52-24.31, p = 0.01 and OR 2.4, 95% CI 1.18-5.06, p = 0.02). Conclusions: One in 6 patients in our cohort experienced asymptomatic MINS irrespective of surgical complexity. Our analysis highlights a possible opportunity to optimize cardiac risk factors and to potentially improve perioperative patient safety by reducing morbidity. Routine preoperative cardiac risk-stratification and postoperative cardiac biomarkers monitoring should be considered in elderly patients with gynecologic malignancies.[Table: see text]


2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (4) ◽  
pp. 433-440
Author(s):  
Jetan H. Badhiwala ◽  
Sean N. Leung ◽  
Yosef Ellenbogen ◽  
Muhammad A. Akbar ◽  
Allan R. Martin ◽  
...  

OBJECTIVEDegenerative cervical myelopathy (DCM) is the most common cause of spinal cord dysfunction in adults. Multilevel ventral compressive pathology is routinely managed through anterior decompression and reconstruction, but there remains uncertainty regarding the relative safety and efficacy of multiple discectomies, multiple corpectomies, or hybrid corpectomy-discectomy. To that end, using a large national administrative healthcare data set, the authors sought to compare the perioperative outcomes of anterior cervical discectomy and fusion (ACDF), anterior cervical corpectomy and fusion (ACCF), and hybrid corpectomy-discectomy for multilevel DCM.METHODSPatients with a primary diagnosis of DCM who underwent an elective anterior cervical decompression and reconstruction operation over 3 cervical spinal segments were identified from the 2012–2017 National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database. Patients were separated into those undergoing 3-level discectomy, 2-level corpectomy, or a hybrid procedure (single-level corpectomy plus additional single-level discectomy). Outcomes included 30-day mortality, major complication, reoperation, and readmission, as well as operative duration, length of stay (LOS), and routine discharge home. Outcomes were compared between treatment groups by multivariable regression, adjusting for age and comorbidities (modified Frailty Index). Effect sizes were reported by adjusted odds ratio (aOR) or mean difference (aMD) and associated 95% confidence interval.RESULTSThe study cohort consisted of 1298 patients; of these, 713 underwent 3-level ACDF, 314 2-level ACCF, and 271 hybrid corpectomy-discectomy. There was no difference in 30-day mortality, reoperation, or readmission among the 3 procedures. However, on both univariate and adjusted analyses, compared to 3-level ACDF, 2-level ACCF was associated with significantly greater risk of major complication (aOR 2.82, p = 0.005), longer hospital LOS (aMD 0.8 days, p = 0.002), and less frequent discharge home (aOR 0.59, p = 0.046). In contrast, hybrid corpectomy-discectomy had comparable outcomes to 3-level ACDF but was associated with significantly shorter operative duration (aMD −16.9 minutes, p = 0.002).CONCLUSIONSThe authors found multiple discectomies and hybrid corpectomy-discectomy to have a comparable safety profile in treating multilevel DCM. In contrast, multiple corpectomies were associated with a higher complication rate, longer hospital LOS, and lower likelihood of being discharged directly home from the hospital, and may therefore be a higher-risk operation.


2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (6) ◽  
pp. 1828 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefania d’Avanzo ◽  
Marco Ciavarro ◽  
Luigi Pavone ◽  
Gabriele Pasqua ◽  
Francesco Ricciardi ◽  
...  

(1) Background: In addition to conventional magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), diffusion tensor imaging (DTI) has been investigated as a potential diagnostic and predictive tool for patients with degenerative cervical myelopathy (DCM). In this preliminary study, we evaluated the use of quantitative DTI in the clinical practice as a possible measure to correlate with upper limbs function. (2) Methods: A total of 11 patients were enrolled in this prospective observational study. Fractional anisotropy (FA) values was extracted from DTI data before and after surgery using a GE Signa 1.5 T MRI scanner. The Nine-Hole Peg Test and a digital dynamometer were used to measure dexterity and hand strength, respectively. (3) Results: We found a significant increase of FA values after surgery, in particular below the most compressed level (p = 0.044) as well as an improvement in postoperative dexterity and hand strength. Postoperative FA values moderately correlate with hand dexterity (r = 0.4272, R2 = 0.0735, p = 0.19 for the right hand; r = 0.2087, R2 = 0.2265, p = 0.53 for the left hand). (4) Conclusion: FA may be used as a marker of myelopathy and could represent a promising diagnostic value in patients affected by DCM. Surgical decompression can improve the clinical outcome of these patients, especially in terms of the control of finger-hand coordination and dexterity.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
pp. 175628721987558 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jacob Taylor ◽  
Xiaosong Meng ◽  
Audrey Renson ◽  
Angela B. Smith ◽  
James S. Wysock ◽  
...  

Background: Radical cystectomy for bladder cancer has one of the highest rates of morbidity among urologic surgery, but the ability to predict postoperative complications remains poor. Our study objective was to create machine learning models to predict complications and factors leading to extended length of hospital stay and discharge to a higher level of care after radical cystectomy. Methods: Using the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program, peri-operative adverse outcome variables for patients undergoing elective radical cystectomy for bladder cancer from 2005 to 2016 were extracted. Variables assessed include occurrence of minor, infectious, serious, or any adverse events, extended length of hospital stay, and discharge to higher-level care. To develop predictive models of radical cystectomy complications, we fit generalized additive model (GAM), least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic, neural network, and random forest models to training data using various candidate predictor variables. Each model was evaluated on the test data using receiver operating characteristic curves. Results: A total of 7557 patients were identified who met the inclusion criteria, and 2221 complications occurred. LASSO logistic models demonstrated the highest area under curve for predicting any complications (0.63), discharge to a higher level of care (0.75), extended length of stay (0.68), and infectious (0.62) adverse events. This was comparable with random forest in predicting minor (0.60) and serious (0.63) adverse events. Conclusions: Our models perform modestly in predicting radical cystectomy complications, highlighting both the complex cystectomy process and the limitations of large healthcare datasets. Identifying the most important variable leading to each type of adverse event may allow for further strategies to model cystectomy complications and target optimization of modifiable variables pre-operative to reduce postoperative adverse events.


2021 ◽  
Vol 36 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Henry Wu ◽  
Reinier Van Mierlo ◽  
Kirsty Challen ◽  
George McLauchlan ◽  
Ajay Dhaygude ◽  
...  

Abstract Background and Aims Patients living with chronic kidney disease (CKD) are at greater susceptibility of sustaining hip fractures compared to those without CKD due to higher falls risk. Post-trauma clinical outcomes for patients living with CKD are exacerbated by frailty, co-morbidities and sarcopenia. Patients living with CKD may require lengthy hospitalization following hip fracture, considering the additional indications for extensive treatment and rehabilitation. A long hospital stay may bring greater risks of contracting COVID-19, given the magnitude of this current global pandemic. Complications from COVID-19 significantly increase mortality risks for older patients living with CKD after acute trauma, as a considerable proportion will have a poor baseline health and functional status. Our study aims to determine the most useful clinical and laboratory assessment tools to predict for a positive COVID-19 status following hospitalization with hip fracture in patients living with CKD. Method Patients with CKDG3b-5 admitted from home to a tertiary hospital in North West UK with hip fracture between Feb and Dec 2020 were included. Each patient included in this study received at least one COVID-19 nasopharyngeal swab during their hospitalization. Parameters assessed on hospital admission for each patient included Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS), Charlson’s Co-morbidity Index (CCI), Chronic Kidney Disease Frailty Index Laboratory Score (CKD FI-LAB), Estimated VO2 Peak, Karnofsky Performance Status Scale, Sernbo Score, Nottingham Hip Fracture Score, ASA Physical Status Classification System Score and Abbreviated Mental Test Score. Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve analyses were performed to evaluate the ability of individual parameters to predict for a positive COVID-19 status following hip fracture in patients living with CKD. Events of 30-day mortality were recorded. Results 92 patients met study inclusion criteria. The mean age was 84.6±7.8 years and the female:male ratio was 1.6:1. 7 patients (7.6%) were on long-term dialysis and the mean eGFR amongst non-dialysis patients was 36.5±13.8 ml/min/1.73m2. The median length of hospitalization was 17 days. 22 patients (23.9%) tested positive for COVID-19. Area under a Curve (AUC) values from ROC analyses are shown in Table 1. The difference in 30-day mortality rate between patients who tested positive for COVID-19 and those who tested negative was +6.8% (p&lt;0.001). Conclusion Frailty and co-morbidity assessment tools (CFS, CCI and CKD FI-LAB) displayed the best predictive ability for positive COVID-19 status following hip fracture in patients living with CKD. A continuous, holistic multi-disciplinary team approach during hospitalization for comprehensive geriatric assessment and optimization of medical co-morbidities may improve outcomes, in anticipation of a potential lengthy hospital stay. To improve prognosis, research efforts should continue to explore avenues on reducing COVID-19 rates within this patient population.


2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 83-89
Author(s):  
Binod Gautam

Background: Prevalence of aging patients appearing for laparoscopic cholecystectomy to treat cholelithiasis is ever on the rise. Associated co-morbidities make the elderly prone to peri-operative complications during laparoscopic cholecystectomy performed under general anaesthesia.Objectives: This study aims to assess the safety and applicability of spinal anaesthesia for the elderly undergoing laparoscopic cholecystectomy.Methodology: In this cross-sectional study, fifty-four patients of age 65 years or more undergoing laparoscopic cholecystectomy were studied. Hyperbaric Bupivacaine 15 milligrams was used in spinal anaesthesia to obtain sensory block to fifth thoracic dermatome. Local anaesthetics were instilled intra-peritoneally before surgical dissection. Surgery was performed through three ports with carbon dioxide pneumoperitoneum at eight mmHg intra-abdominal pressure. Data included demography, co-morbidities, need for analgesics or general anaesthesia, operative and post-operative complications and hospital stay. Univariate analysis for peri-operative events and bivariate analysis for outcome and explanatory variables were done.Results: The mean age was 71.4 years with co-morbidity in 40 patients. Conversion to open cholecystectomy occurred in three patients necessitating general anaesthesia. Surgery was completed laparoscopically under spinal anaesthesia in remaining 51 patients. Increment in intra-abdominal pressure was required in five patients. Six patients needed analgesics for shoulder pain. Intra-operative hypotension and shivering occurred in 15 and four patients respectively. Post-operatively, urinary retention and nausea occurred in four and three patients respectively. Mean hospital stay was 3.2 days.Conclusion: There is no undue risk in spinal anaesthesia for conducting laparoscopic cholecystectomy in the elderly and it is efficient for uncomplicated cholelithiasis with minimal modifications in surgical technique.


2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Suzanna Sum Sum Kwok ◽  
Jason Pui Yin Cheung

Abstract Background The debate between anterior or posterior approach for pathologies such as cervical spondylotic myelopathy (CSM) and ossification of the posterior longitudinal ligament (OPLL) have drawn heated debate but are still inconclusive. Main body of the abstract A narrative review was performed specifically to study the differences pertaining to OPLL and other causes of degenerative cervical myelopathy (DCM). Current evidence suggests that anterior approach is preferred for K-line (−) OPLL, K-line (+) with canal occupying ratio > 60% and DCM with pre-existing cervical kyphosis. Posterior approach is preferred for K-line (+) OPLL with canal-occupying ratio < 50–60%, and multi-level CSM. No particular advantage for either approach was observed for DCM in a lordotic cervical spine. Anterior approach is generally associated with more complications and thus needs to be weighed carefully during decision-making. The evidence is not convincing for comparing single versus multi-level involvement, and the role of patients' co-morbidity status, pre-existing osteoporosis and co-existent spinal pathologies in influencing patient outcome and surgical options. This should be a platform for future research directives. Conclusion From this review, evidence is still inconclusive but there are some factors to consider, and DCM and OPLL should be considered separately for decision-making. Anterior approach is considered for pre-existing cervical kyphosis in DCM, for K-line (−) regardless of canal-occupying ratio, and K-line (+) and canal-occupying ratio > 60% for OPLL patients. Posterior approach is considered for patients with multi-level pathology for DCM, and K-line (+) and canal-occupying ratio < 50–60% for OPLL.


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