scholarly journals A Peri-Implant Disease Risk Score for Patients with Dental Implants: Validation and the Influence of the Interval between Maintenance Appointments

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 252 ◽  
Author(s):  
Miguel de Araújo Nobre ◽  
Francisco Salvado ◽  
Paulo Nogueira ◽  
Evangelista Rocha ◽  
Peter Ilg ◽  
...  

Background: There is a need for tools that provide prediction of peri-implant disease. The purpose of this study was to validate a risk score for peri-implant disease and to assess the influence of the recall regimen in disease incidence based on a five-year retrospective cohort. Methods: Three hundred and fifty-three patients with 1238 implants were observed. A risk score was calculated from eight predictors and risk groups were established. Relative risk (RR) was estimated using logistic regression, and the c-statistic was calculated. The effect/impact of the recall regimen (≤ six months; > six months) on the incidence of peri-implant disease was evaluated for a subset of cases and matched controls. The RR and the proportional attributable risk (PAR) were estimated. Results: At baseline, patients fell into the following risk profiles: low-risk (n = 102, 28.9%), moderate-risk (n = 68, 19.3%), high-risk (n = 77, 21.8%), and very high-risk (n = 106, 30%). The incidence of peri-implant disease over five years was 24.1% (n = 85 patients). The RR for the risk groups was 5.52 (c-statistic = 0.858). The RR for a longer recall regimen was 1.06, corresponding to a PAR of 5.87%. Conclusions: The risk score for estimating peri-implant disease was validated and showed very good performance. Maintenance appointments of < six months or > six months did not influence the incidence of peri-implant disease when considering the matching of cases and controls by risk profile.

Blood ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 124 (21) ◽  
pp. 3877-3877
Author(s):  
Feras Alfraih ◽  
John Kuruvilla ◽  
Naheed Alam ◽  
Anna Lambie ◽  
Vikas Gupta ◽  
...  

Abstract Introduction: Cytomegalovirus (CMV) is a major infectious complication following allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT). Risk of CMV infection varies between patients and individualized strategies for monitoring and therapy for CMV are needed. In this study, we attempted to establish a clinical score based on patient and transplant characteristics in order to predict the probability for early CMV viremia (CMV-V) within the first 100 days after HSCT. Methods: A total of 548 patients were evaluated after receiving HSCT between 2005 and 2012 at Princess Margaret Cancer Centre. CMV sero-negative recipients with CMV sero-negative donors (R-D-) were excluded. CMV-V was diagnosed in peripheral blood samples obtained on two occasions either by PCR (>200 IU/ml) or antigenemia testing (>2 positive cells/100000). A total of 378 patients were included into the study. Uni- and multivariable analyses were performed to identify risk factors for CMV-V. A weighted score was assigned to each factor based on the odds ratios determined by the multivariable analysis. A total score was calculated for each patient and used for assignment into one of 4 risk categories, the low risk (score 0-1), the intermediate (score 2-3), the high (score 4-5) and the very high (score 6-8). Median age for all patients was 51 years (range 17-71) and 173 (46%) were female. Matched related donors were used for two hundred fifteen patients (57%). Two hundred forty-three patients (64%) were transplanted for myeloid and 108 (29%) for lymphoid malignancies. One hundred thirteen patients (30%) were CMV sero-positive with a negative donor (R+D-) while 191 (51%) were recipient and donor CMV sero-positivity (R+D+). Graft versus host disease (GVHD) prophylaxis included CSA/MMF (n=200, 52%), and CSA/MTX (n=178, 48%). Myeloablative conditioning regimens were administered to 220 patients (58%), 158 patients (42%) were treated with a reduced intensity regimen. Three hundred-thirty seven patients (89%) received peripheral blood stem cells as a stem cell source. In vivo T cell depletion (TCD) with alemtuzumab was used in 138 (37%). Results: CMV-V occurred in 246 (64%) patients by day 100 post HSCT. The impact of patient and HSCT characteristics on the risk of CMV-V was assessed by multivariable analysis. The significant factors were CMV sero-status R+D- and R+D+, TCD, GVHD prophylaxis with MMF administration of myeloablative preparative regimens (Table 1). Table 1. Multivariate analysis for risk factors of CMV infection following allogeneic HSCT Table 1. Multivariate analysis for risk factors of CMV infection following allogeneic HSCT CMV-V rates on the 4 new risk categories amounted to 93% in the very high-risk, 78% in high-risk, 41% in intermediate-risk and 11% in low-risk group (Fig 1). The risk score was also predictive for the occurrence of multiple CMV-V reactivations with rates of 71%, 45%, 19% and 4% for the very high, high, intermediate and low-risk groups, respectively. The overall survival (OS) rate at 2 years was 33%(n=56) in the very high-risk group compared to 50% in other-risk groups (n=147) (P=0.01) (Fig 2). Non-relapse mortality (NRM) was 53% in the very high-risk versus 33% in other-risk groups (P<0.001). However, there was no difference on cumulative incidence of relapse between the groups (P=0.3). The cumulative incidence of grades 1-4 acute GVHD, grades 2-4, grades 3-4 at day 120 and overall chronic GVHD at 2 years was 68%, 47%, 25% and 39% in very high-risk group versus 65%, 52%, 21% and 52% in other-risk groups, suggesting slightly lower incidence of chronic GVHD in very high-risk vs other-risk groups. Conclusion: We present a new clinical scoring system to stratify the risk of early CMV viremia after allogeneic HSCT based on patients and HSCT characteristics. Identifying the risk for each patient would facilitate decision making with respect to strategies including CMV prophylaxis, pre-emptive treatment or inclusion into clinical trials, as well directing the CMV monitoring policy post-transplant. In addition, the risk score was associated with higher risk of overall mortality and NRM in the very high-risk versus other-risk groups. Figure 1 Figure 1. Figure 2 Figure 2. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 7015-7015
Author(s):  
Natali Pflug ◽  
Jasmin Bahlo ◽  
Tait D. Shanafelt ◽  
Barbara Eichhorst ◽  
Manuela Bergmann ◽  
...  

7015 Background: Besides clinical staging, a number of biomarkers predicting OS in CLL have been identified. The multiplicity of markers, limited information on their independent value, and a lack of understanding of how to interpret discordant markers are major barriers to use in routine clinical practice. We developed an integrated prognostic index using the database of the German CLL Study Group (GCLLSG), which was subsequently validated in a cohort of untreated CLL patients (pts) from the Mayo Clinic. Methods: The analysis was based on a dataset collected between 1997 and 2006 in 3 GCLLSG phase III trials. The external validation was performed on a series of newly diagnosed CLL pts managed at Mayo Clinic. Results: The GCLLSG dataset (1,948 physically fit pts at early and advanced stage; median age: 60 yr (range 30-81); median observation time 63.4 mo) was used as a training dataset. 7 parameters were identified as independent predictors for OS: sex, age, ECOG status, del 17p, del 11q, IGHV mutation status, thymidine kinase and β2-microglobulin. By using a weighted grading a prognostic index was derived separating four different pts groups: low risk (score 0 - 2), intermediate risk (score 3-5), high risk (score 6-10) and very high risk (score 11-14) with significant different OS rates (95.2%, 86.9%, 67.7% and 18.7% OS after 5 yr for the low, intermediate, high and very high risk group respectively (p<0.001). This prognostic index was validated in a cohort of 676 newly diagnosed, untreated pts from the Mayo Clinic (median age 61.5 yr (range 32 - 89); median observation time 47.0 mo). The 4 risk groups were reproduced with 98.3%, 95.4%, 75.4% and 10.8% OS after 5 yr. The prognostic index predicts OS independent of Rai/Binet stage and provides accurate estimations regarding time to first treatment (TTF). C-statistic is 0.75. Conclusions: Using a multi-step process including external validation, we developed a comprehensive prognostic index combining clinical, serum, and molecular information into a single risk score for pts with untreated CLL. The prognostic index provides more accurate prediction of both TTF and OS. To our knowledge it is the first prognostic model in CLL to reach the C-statistic threshold (c > 0.70) necessary to have utility at the level of the individual.


2014 ◽  
Vol 41 (1) ◽  
pp. 02-06 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alberto Okuhara ◽  
Túlio Pinho Navarro ◽  
Ricardo Jayme Procópio ◽  
Rodrigo De Castro Bernardes ◽  
Leonardo De Campos Correa Oliveira ◽  
...  

OBJECTIVE: to determine the incidence of deep vein thrombosis and prophylaxis quality in hospitalized patients undergoing vascular and orthopedic surgical procedures. METHODS: we evaluated 296 patients, whose incidence of deep venous thrombosis was studied by vascular ultrasonography. Risk factors for venous thrombosis were stratified according the Caprini model. To assess the quality of prophylaxis we compared the adopted measures with the prophylaxis guidelines of the American College of Chest Physicians. RESULTS: the overall incidence of deep venous thrombosis was 7.5%. As for the risk groups, 10.8% were considered low risk, 14.9%moderate risk, 24.3% high risk and 50.5% very high risk. Prophylaxis of deep venous thrombosis was correct in 57.7%. In groups of high and very high risk, adequate prophylaxis rates were 72.2% and 71.6%, respectively. Excessive use of chemoprophylaxis was seen in 68.7% and 61.4% in the low and moderate-risk groups, respectively. CONCLUSION: although most patients are deemed to be at high and very high risk for deep vein thrombosis, deficiency in the application of prophylaxis persists in medical practice.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sung-Yeon Cho ◽  
Sung-Soo Park ◽  
Min-Kyu Song ◽  
Young Yi Bae ◽  
Dong-Gun Lee ◽  
...  

BACKGROUND As the COVID-19 pandemic continues, an initial risk-adapted allocation is crucial for managing medical resources and providing intensive care. OBJECTIVE In this study, we aimed to identify factors that predict the overall survival rate for COVID-19 cases and develop a COVID-19 prognosis score (COPS) system based on these factors. In addition, disease severity and the length of hospital stay for patients with COVID-19 were analyzed. METHODS We retrospectively analyzed a nationwide cohort of laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 cases between January and April 2020 in Korea. The cohort was split randomly into a development cohort and a validation cohort with a 2:1 ratio. In the development cohort (n=3729), we tried to identify factors associated with overall survival and develop a scoring system to predict the overall survival rate by using parameters identified by the Cox proportional hazard regression model with bootstrapping methods. In the validation cohort (n=1865), we evaluated the prediction accuracy using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. The score of each variable in the COPS system was rounded off following the log-scaled conversion of the adjusted hazard ratio. RESULTS Among the 5594 patients included in this analysis, 234 (4.2%) died after receiving a COVID-19 diagnosis. In the development cohort, six parameters were significantly related to poor overall survival: older age, dementia, chronic renal failure, dyspnea, mental disturbance, and absolute lymphocyte count &lt;1000/mm<sup>3</sup>. The following risk groups were formed: low-risk (score 0-2), intermediate-risk (score 3), high-risk (score 4), and very high-risk (score 5-7) groups. The COPS system yielded an area under the curve value of 0.918 for predicting the 14-day survival rate and 0.896 for predicting the 28-day survival rate in the validation cohort. Using the COPS system, 28-day survival rates were discriminatively estimated at 99.8%, 95.4%, 82.3%, and 55.1% in the low-risk, intermediate-risk, high-risk, and very high-risk groups, respectively, of the total cohort (<i>P</i>&lt;.001). The length of hospital stay and disease severity were directly associated with overall survival (<i>P</i>&lt;.001), and the hospital stay duration was significantly longer among survivors (mean 26.1, SD 10.7 days) than among nonsurvivors (mean 15.6, SD 13.3 days). CONCLUSIONS The newly developed predictive COPS system may assist in making risk-adapted decisions for the allocation of medical resources, including intensive care, during the COVID-19 pandemic.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
pp. 215145932110383
Author(s):  
Sanjit R. Konda ◽  
Cody R Perskin ◽  
Rown Parola ◽  
R. Jonathan Robitsek ◽  
Abhishek Ganta ◽  
...  

Introduction The purpose of this study is to determine if the risk of receiving a blood transfusion during hip fracture hospitalization can be predicted by a validated risk profiling score (Score for Trauma Triage in Geriatric and Middle Aged (STTGMA)). Materials and Methods A consecutive series of 1449 patients 55 years and older admitted for a hip fracture at one academic medical center were identified from a trauma database. The STTGMA risk score was calculated for each patient. Patients were stratified into risk groups based on their STTGMA score quantile: minimal risk (0–50%), low risk (50–80%), moderate risk (80–95%), and high risk (95–100%). Incidence and volume of blood transfusions were compared between risk groups. Results There were 562 (38.8%) patients who received a transfusion during their admission. 58.3% of patients in the high risk group received a transfusion during admission compared to 31.2% of minimal risk group patients, 42.6% of low risk group patients, and 50.0% of moderate risk group patients ( p < 0.001). STTGMA was predictive of first transfusion incidence in both the preoperative and postoperative periods. There was no difference in mean total transfusion volume between the four risk groups. Conclusion The STTGMA model is capable of risk stratifying hip fracture patients more likely to receive blood transfusions during hospitalization. Surgeons can use this tool to anticipate transfusion requirements.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-5
Author(s):  
Gyula Bank ◽  
Krisztian Kapus ◽  
Janos Meszaros ◽  
Kornel Mak ◽  
Marietta Pohl ◽  
...  

Introduction. Migraine is a common primary headache disorder involving about 10-15% of the whole population. Several epidemiological and prospective studies showed a link between migraine (especially migraine with aura) and cardio- and cerebrovascular events. Objectives. We prospectively analyzed the data of vascular event-free middle-aged patients with migraine who were referred to our Headache Clinic between 01/2014 and 01/2018. Framingham 10-year risk were calculated; covariates included in the analysis were age, total cholesterol, HDL cholesterol, systolic blood pressure, antihypertensive medication use, current smoking, and diabetes status. Results. Total of 1037 patients were screened and 221 were selected, 161 were women (mean age 55.5±5.2 years) and 60 were men (mean age 56±6 years). 25 patients (11.3%) were labelled as having low risk, 162 patients (73.3%) had moderate risk, and 34 patients (15.4%) had high or very high risk. Blood pressure and lipid targets were reached in 73% and in 49% in the moderate risk and in 53% and 12% in the high risk/very high risk groups, respectively. Migraine with aura (MA) was associated significantly higher cardiovascular risk profile compared with migraine without aura (MO). About one-third of our nondiabetic patients had fasting blood glucose above the normal levels. 24 patients (mean age 60±4.9 years) were diabetic. Mean blood pressure was 149/85 Hgmm, mean choleterol was 5.11 mmol/l, and mean LDL was 2.93 mmol/l in this subgroup, respectively, which do not fall within the recommended targets. Conclusion. Our article draws attention to the higher cardiovascular risk profile of middle-aged migraineurs and highlights the deficiency of primary prevention. Pain physicians must be aware of the cardiovascular aspects of migraine and holistic approach is required instead of focusing only on pain and pain relief.


2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (12) ◽  
pp. 403-407
Author(s):  
Owais Ahmed Wani ◽  
◽  
Nasir Ali ◽  
Ouber Qayoom ◽  
Rajveer Beniwal ◽  
...  

Background: The Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) risk score is said to be an important factor in predicting mortality risk in fibrinolysis-eligible STEMI patients. An attempt was made to assess the situation by comparing risk stratification based on the TIMI score with the hospital outcome of such individuals. Methods: 145 STEMI patients were included in this srudy , TIMI risk scores were calculated and analysed vis-Ã -vis various relevant parameters.. Based on their TIMI scores, the patients were placed into three risk groups: low-risk,moderate-risk, and high-risk. All patients received standard anti-ischemic medication, were thrombolyzed, monitored in the ICCU, and monitored throughout their hospital stay for post-MI sequelae. Results: According to the TIMI risk score, 79 patients (54.5%) had low-risk , 48 (33.1%) to the moderate-risk , and 18 (12.4%) to the high-risk . The highest mortality rate (total 17 deaths) was found in the high-risk group (55.6%), followed by moderate-risk (12.2%) and low-risk (1.28%) groups, respectively. Killips categorization grade 2-4 had the highest relative risk (RR-15.85) of the seven potentially dubious variables evaluated, followed by systolic BP 100mmHg (RR-10.48), diabetes mellitus (RR-2.79), and age >65 years (RR- 2.59). Conclusions: In patients with STEMI, the TIMI risk scoring system appears to be a straightforward, valid, and practical bedside tool for quantitative risk classification and short-term prognosis prediction.


2021 ◽  
Vol 50 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mulugeta Molla Birhanu ◽  
Roger G. Evans ◽  
Ayse Zengin ◽  
Michaela A Riddell ◽  
Kartik Kalyanram ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Over 75% of global cardiovascular (CVD) deaths occur in low-to-middle-income countries (LMICs). In limited resource settings non-lab-based CVD risk algorithms could be as effective as lab-based algorithms in identifying high-risk groups. We aimed to compare the concordance between lab-and non-lab-based absolute CVD risk algorithms in a LMIC setting. Methods The study was conducted in the Rishi Valley, Andhra Pradesh, India. Over 8,000 participants were surveyed between 2012-2015. The 10-year absolute CVD risk score was computed and compared using lab-and-non-lab based Framingham and WHO algorithms. Results In participants aged 35-74 years, absolute CVD risk score increased with age, and was greater in men than women, for all risk assessment tools. Using the Framingham lab-based algorithm, 15.6% were categorized as high-risk while 14.5% were at high-risk using the non-lab-based algorithm. The non-lab-based Framingham risk score had close agreement and strong correlation with the lab-based Framingham risk score in women (90%, Spearman’s rho (rs)=0.81) and men (83%, rs=0.89). Similarly, the non-lab-based WHO risk score had close agreement and strong correlation with the lab-based WHO risk score in women (95%, rs=0.83) and men (92% rs=0.84). In both cases, agreement was better in women than men (P &lt; 0.05 for a two-sample test of proportions). Conclusions The effectiveness of non-lab-based Framingham and WHO algorithms are comparable to that of lab-based algorithms in discriminating high-and low-risk groups. However, the performance of non-lab-based risk score is better among women than men. Key messages Non-lab-based CVD risk algorithms could be effective and resource-efficient in LMIC settings, particularly among women.


Blood ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 128 (22) ◽  
pp. 988-988 ◽  
Author(s):  
Roni Shouval ◽  
Joshua Fein ◽  
Myriam Labopin ◽  
Nicolaus Kroger ◽  
Rafael F. Duarte ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Allogeneic stem cell transplantation is a potentially curative procedure to a long list of hematological malignancies, but involves substantial risk of morbidity and mortality. Means for accurately predicting outcome and assessing risk are thus greatly needed. The Disease Risk Index (DRI) is a prognostic tool developed and validated by Armand et al. across a wide range of hematological malignancies (Blood 2012, Blood 2014) on cohorts of American patients. The Index stratifies patients into 4 distinct risk groups (low, intermediate, high, very high) and has yet to be validated in an international cohort. We sought to evaluate the validity of the DRI in a large cohort of European patients. Methods: This was a retrospective validation study on an independent cohort of patients undergoing allogeneic HSCT and reported the European Society for Blood and Marrow Transplantation (EBMT). Patients included had a hematological malignancy and underwent allogeneic transplantation between the years of 2000 and 2015. Risk groups were coded in accordance with the refined DRI (Blood, 2014). Outcomes were evaluated 4 years after the allogeneic HSCT. Overall survival (OS) was calculated with the Kaplan-Meier method. The log-rank test was used for comparisons of Kaplan-Meier curves. Cumulative incidence curves for nonrelapse mortality (NRM) and relapse with or without death were constructed reflecting time to relapse and time to NRM, respectively, as competing risks. The difference between cumulative incidence curves in the presence of a competing risk was tested with the Gray method. The prognostic effect of the DRI strata was estimated using a Cox proportional hazard model for OS and a Fine and Gray model for NRM and relapse. Results: A total of 89,061 patients from 423 transplantation centers were included in the analysis. Median age was 48.3 (IQR 36.2-57.5). The most frequent indication for transplantation was AML (39,530 patients) followed by ALL (16,206) and MDS (9,750); other indications spanned the spectrum of hematological malignancies. The majority of patients were in 1st or 2nd complete remission (54%). The median follow-up period was 3.6 years. Approximately 63% of patients were classified as intermediate risk by DRI, suggesting that this group could be further partitioned. The 4 year overall survival (95% CI) of the low, intermediate, high, and very high risk groups was 60.8% (59.9-61.8), 51.3% (50.8‐51.8), 27.0% (26.1‐27.8), 18.4% (17.1-19.8) (Figure 1). The same groups corresponded with increasing cumulative incidence of relapse; 8.9% (8.3-9.4), 19.3% (18.9-19.7), 39.0% (37.8-39.6), 45.1% (43.4-46.7), respectively. The DRI groups also showed increasing hazard between strata in the overall survival setting; intermediate risk was associated with a hazard ratio of 1.32, high risk 2.67 and very high risk 3.71 relative to low risk. Relapse showed a similar pattern. NRM was less strongly stratified by DRI (Table 1). The DRI groups maintained a similar risk, regardless of whether the transplantation was performed prior or after 2008. DRI was the strongest determinant of overall survival and relapse when introduced to a multivariable model with additional covariates. AUC for the index at 4 years was 62.5 for OS, 58.5 for NRM and 68.2 for relapse. Conclusions: We have validated the Disease Risk Index in a massive European data set. The groupings suggested by the DRI corresponded with distinct risk groups for overall mortality and relapse. Overall, our results indicate the international applicability of this robust prognostic tool. Figure 1. Kaplan-Meyer survival curves for overall survival, stratified by DRI Figure 1. Kaplan-Meyer survival curves for overall survival, stratified by DRI Table 1 Table 1. Disclosures Bader: Medac: Consultancy, Research Funding; Riemser: Research Funding; Neovii Biotech: Research Funding; Servier: Consultancy, Honoraria; Novartis: Consultancy, Honoraria. Bonini:Molmed SpA: Consultancy; TxCell: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees. Dreger:Gilead: Consultancy; Janssen: Consultancy; Novartis: Speakers Bureau; Gilead: Speakers Bureau; Novartis: Consultancy; Roche: Consultancy. Kuball:Gadeta B.V,: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees. Montoto:Roche: Honoraria; Gilead: Research Funding.


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