scholarly journals Spatially-Explicit Simulation Modeling of Ecological Response to Climate Change: Methodological Considerations in Predicting Shifting Population Dynamics of Infectious Disease Vectors

2013 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 645-664 ◽  
Author(s):  
Radhika Dhingra ◽  
Violeta Jimenez ◽  
Howard Chang ◽  
Manoj Gambhir ◽  
Joshua Fu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Infectious Disease ◽  
Population Dynamics ◽  
Simulation Modeling ◽  
Disease Vectors ◽  
Spatially Explicit ◽  
Ecological Response ◽  
Explicit Simulation ◽  
Methodological Considerations

scholarly journals The evolution of water balance in Glossina (Diptera: Glossinidae): correlations with climate

2008 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 93-96 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elsje Kleynhans ◽  
John S Terblanche
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Population Dynamics ◽  
Water Balance ◽  
Interspecific Variation ◽  
Disease Vectors ◽  
Tsetse Flies ◽  
Ancestral State ◽  
Tsetse Population ◽  
Climate Change Responses ◽  
Do So

The water balance of tsetse flies (Diptera: Glossinidae) has significant implications for understanding biogeography and climate change responses in these African disease vectors. Although moisture is important for tsetse population dynamics, evolutionary responses of Glossina water balance to climate have been relatively poorly explored and earlier studies may have been confounded by several factors. Here, using a physiological and GIS climate database, we investigate potential interspecific relationships between traits of water balance and climate. We do so in conventional and phylogenetically independent approaches for both adults and pupae. Results showed that water loss rates (WLR) were significantly positively related to precipitation in pupae even after phylogenetic adjustment. Adults showed no physiology–climate correlations. Ancestral trait reconstruction suggests that a reduction in WLR and increased size probably evolved from an intermediate ancestral state and may have facilitated survival in xeric environments. The results of this study therefore suggest an important role for water balance physiology of pupae in determining interspecific variation and lend support to conclusions reached by early studies of tsetse physiology.

Exploring tree species colonization potentials using a spatially explicit simulation model: implications for four oaks under climate change

2013 ◽  
Vol 19 (7) ◽  
pp. 2196-2208 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anantha M. Prasad ◽  
Judith D. Gardiner ◽  
Louis R. Iverson ◽  
Stephen N Matthews ◽  
Matthew Peters
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Simulation Model ◽  
Tree Species ◽  
Spatially Explicit ◽  
Explicit Simulation ◽  
Spatially Explicit Simulation Model

scholarly journals Real-time Forecasting of the 2014 Dengue Fever Season in Thailand

2015 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicholas G. Reich ◽  
Krzysztof Sakrejda ◽  
Stephen A. Lauer ◽  
Derek A. Cummings ◽  
Paphanij Suangtho ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Infectious Disease ◽  
Population Dynamics ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Dengue Fever ◽  
Third World ◽  
World Country ◽  
Third World Country ◽  
Potential Climate Change

Real-time surveillance of an infectious disease in a third world country poses many problems that are not conventionally confronted by statistical researchers. As the first ones - to our knowledge - to attempt real-time forecasts of dengue fever in Thailand, we have faced these problems head-on in our quest to build a model that accurately predicts case counts in the presence of erratic reporting, shifting population dynamics, and potential climate change.

scholarly journals Effects of Infectious Diseases on Population Dynamics of Marine Organisms in Chesapeake Bay

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jerelle A. Jesse ◽  
M. Victoria Agnew ◽  
Kohma Arai ◽  
C. Taylor Armstrong ◽  
Shannon M. Hood ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Population Dynamics ◽  
Infectious Diseases ◽  
Chesapeake Bay ◽  
Eastern Oyster ◽  
Marine Organisms ◽  
Ecosystem Dynamics ◽  
Climate Change Effects ◽  
Pathogen Dynamics ◽  
Growth And Reproduction

AbstractDiseases are important drivers of population and ecosystem dynamics. This review synthesizes the effects of infectious diseases on the population dynamics of nine species of marine organisms in the Chesapeake Bay. Diseases generally caused increases in mortality and decreases in growth and reproduction. Effects of diseases on eastern oyster (Crassostrea virginica) appear to be low in the 2000s compared to effects in the 1980s–1990s. However, the effects of disease were not well monitored for most of the diseases in marine organisms of the Chesapeake Bay, and few studies considered effects on growth and reproduction. Climate change and other anthropogenic effects are expected to alter host-pathogen dynamics, with diseases of some species expected to worsen under predicted future conditions (e.g., increased temperature). Additional study of disease prevalence, drivers of disease, and effects on population dynamics could improve fisheries management and forecasting of climate change effects on marine organisms in the Chesapeake Bay.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document