scholarly journals Flash Characteristics and Precipitation Metrics of Western U.S. Lightning-Initiated Wildfires from 2017

Fire ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 5
Author(s):  
Brittany R. MacNamara ◽  
Christopher J. Schultz ◽  
Henry E. Fuelberg
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Rainfall Rate ◽  
Western United States ◽  
Precipitation Rate ◽  
Total Rainfall ◽  
P Values ◽  
Median Distance ◽  
Precipitation Total ◽  
Z Scores ◽  
Start Location

This study examines 95 lightning-initiated wildfires and 1170 lightning flashes in the western United States between May and October 2017 to characterize lightning and precipitation rates and totals near the time of ignition. Eighty-nine percent of the wildfires examined were initiated by negative cloud-to-ground (CG) lightning flashes, and 66% of those fire starts were due to single stroke flashes. Average flash density at the fire locations was 1.1 fl km−2. The fire start locations were a median distance of 5.3 km away from the maximum flash and stroke densities in the 400 km2 area surrounding the fire start location. Fire start locations were observed to have a smaller 2-min precipitation rate and 24-h total rainfall than non-fire start locations. The median 2-min rainfall rate for fire-starting (FS) flash locations was 1.7 mm h−1, while the median for non-fire-starting (NFS) flash locations was 4.7 mm h−1. The median total 24-h precipitation value for FS flash locations was 2.9 mm, while NFS flash locations exhibited a median of 8.6 mm. Wilcoxon–Mann–Whitney rank sum testing revealed statistically different Z-Scores/p-values for the FS and NFS flash populations. These values were −5.578/1.21 × 10−8 and −7.176/3.58 × 10−13 for the 2-min precipitation rate and 24-h total rainfall, respectively. Additionally, 24-h and 2-min precipitation rates were statistically significantly greater for holdover versus non-holdover fire events. The median distances between the fire start location and greatest 2-min precipitation rate and greatest 24-h precipitation total were 7.4 and 10.1 km, respectively.

scholarly journals Spatial, Temporal and Electrical Characteristics of Lightning in Reported Lightning-Initiated Wildfire Events

Fire ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 18 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christopher J. Schultz ◽  
Nicholas J. Nauslar ◽  
J. Brent Wachter ◽  
Christopher R. Hain ◽  
Jordan R. Bell
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
New Mexico ◽  
Negative Polarity ◽  
Lightning Flash ◽  
Electrical Characteristics ◽  
Search Methods ◽  
North Central ◽  
Peak Density ◽  
Median Distance ◽  
Start Location

Analysis was performed to determine whether a lightning flash could be associated with every reported lightning-initiated wildfire that grew to at least 4 km2. In total, 905 lightning-initiated wildfires within the Continental United States (CONUS) between 2012 and 2015 were analyzed. Fixed and fire radius search methods showed that 81–88% of wildfires had a corresponding lightning flash within a 14 day period prior to the report date. The two methods showed that 52–60% of lightning-initiated wildfires were reported on the same day as the closest lightning flash. The fire radius method indicated the most promising spatial results, where the median distance between the closest lightning and the wildfire start location was 0.83 km, followed by a 75th percentile of 1.6 km and a 95th percentile of 5.86 km. Ninety percent of the closest lightning flashes to wildfires were negative polarity. Maximum flash densities were less than 0.41 flashes km2 for the 24 h period at the fire start location. The majority of lightning-initiated holdover events were observed in the Western CONUS, with a peak density in north-central Idaho. A twelve day holdover event in New Mexico was also discussed, outlining the opportunities and limitations of using lightning data to characterize wildfires.

scholarly journals Recent Changes in United States Extreme 3-Day Precipitation Using the R-CAT Scale

2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (6) ◽  
pp. 1207-1221 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maryam A. Lamjiri ◽  
F. Martin Ralph ◽  
Michael D. Dettinger
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
East Coast ◽  
The United States ◽  
Western United States ◽  
Eastern United States ◽  
Atmospheric Rivers ◽  
The Past ◽  
Extreme Precipitation Events ◽  
Precipitation Total ◽  
Precipitation Events

AbstractExtraordinary precipitation events have impacted the United States recently, including Hurricanes Harvey (2017) and Florence (2018), with 3-day precipitation totals larger than any others reported in the United States during the past 70 years. The rainfall category (R-CAT) scaling method is used here to document extreme precipitation events and test for trends nationally. The R-CAT scale uses thresholds of 3-day precipitation total in 100-mm increments (starting with 200 mm) that do not vary temporally or geographically, allowing for simple, intuitive comparisons of extremes over space and time. The paper that introduced the scale only required levels 1–4 to represent historical extremes, finding that R-CATs 3–4 strike the conterminous United States about as frequently as EF 4–5 tornadoes or category 3–5 hurricanes. Remarkably, Florence and Harvey require extending the scale to R-CAT 7 and 9, respectively. Trend analyses of annual maximum 3-day totals (1950–2019) here identify significant increases in the eastern United States, along with declines in Northern California and Oregon. Consistent with these results, R-CAT storms have been more frequent in the eastern, and less frequent in western, United States during the past decade compared to 1950–2008. Tropical storms dominate R-CAT events along the southeastern coast and East Coast with surprising contributions from atmospheric rivers, while atmospheric rivers completely dominate along the West Coast.

scholarly journals Ambient Factors Controlling the Wintertime Precipitation Distribution Across Mountain Ranges in the Interior Western United States. Part I: Insights from Regional Climate Simulations

2018 ◽  
Vol 57 (8) ◽  
pp. 1931-1954 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaoqin Jing ◽  
Bart Geerts ◽  
Yonggang Wang ◽  
Changhai Liu
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Western United States ◽  
Precipitation Rate ◽  
Cloud Base ◽  
Precipitation Distribution ◽  
Mountain Ranges ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Teton Range ◽  
Resolution Simulation

AbstractThis study analyzes the control of upstream conditions on the distribution of wintertime precipitation across mountain ranges in the interior western United States using 10 winters of high-resolution regional climate model data. Three mountain ranges, the Wind River Range, the Park Range, and the Teton Range, are selected to explore the statistical relations between the precipitation distribution and upstream wind, stability, and cloud conditions. A 4-km-resolution simulation is used for the former two ranges, and a 1.33-km-resolution simulation driven by the 4-km-resolution simulation is used for the Teton Range, which is smaller and steeper. Across all three mountain ranges, the dominant factor controlling precipitation is the mountain-normal low-level wind speed. Statistically, stronger wind results in heavier precipitation and a lower upwind precipitation fraction. The low-level wind generally veers with height during precipitation events, but the amount of veering does not unambiguously affect the precipitation distribution or intensity. The more the terrain blocks the upstream flow, the more the precipitation shifts toward the upstream side of the mountain and the weaker the overall precipitation rate is. A higher cloud-base temperature and a lower cloud-base height typically are associated with heavier precipitation. Deeper clouds tend to produce heavier precipitation and a slightly lower windward/leeward contrast. Convective precipitation proportionally falls more on the lee slopes than stratiform precipitation. The upstream and macroscale cloud conditions identified herein predict both the mean precipitation rate and the upwind precipitation fraction very well for the three ranges studied here.

scholarly journals Structure and Detectability of Trends in Hydrological Measures over the Western United States

2009 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 871-892 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Das ◽  
H. G. Hidalgo ◽  
D. W. Pierce ◽  
T. P. Barnett ◽  
M. D. Dettinger ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Snow Water Equivalent ◽  
Western United States ◽  
Late Winter ◽  
Substantial Part ◽  
Catchment Scale ◽  
Climate System Model ◽  
Geographical Regions ◽  
Precipitation Total

Abstract This study examines the geographic structure of observed trends in key hydrologically relevant variables across the western United States at ⅛° spatial resolution during the period 1950–99. Geographical regions, latitude bands, and elevation classes where these trends are statistically significantly different from trends associated with natural climate variations are identified. Variables analyzed include late-winter and spring temperature, winter-total snowy days as a fraction of winter-total wet days, 1 April snow water equivalent (SWE) as a fraction of October–March (ONDJFM) precipitation total [precip(ONDJFM)], and seasonal [JFM] accumulated runoff as a fraction of water-year accumulated runoff. Observed changes were compared to natural internal climate variability simulated by an 850-yr control run of the finite volume version of the Community Climate System Model, version 3 (CCSM3-FV), statistically downscaled to a ⅛° grid using the method of constructed analogs. Both observed and downscaled model temperature and precipitation data were then used to drive the Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) hydrological model to obtain the hydrological variables analyzed in this study. Large trends (magnitudes found less than 5% of the time in the long control run) are common in the observations and occupy a substantial part (37%–42%) of the mountainous western United States. These trends are strongly related to the large-scale warming that appears over 89% of the domain. The strongest changes in the hydrologic variables, unlikely to be associated with natural variability alone, have occurred at medium elevations [750–2500 m for JFM runoff fractions and 500–3000 m for SWE/Precip(ONDJFM)] where warming has pushed temperatures from slightly below to slightly above freezing. Further analysis using the data on selected catchments indicates that hydroclimatic variables must have changed significantly (at 95% confidence level) over at least 45% of the total catchment area to achieve a detectable trend in measures accumulated to the catchment scale.

Writing Time in Metaphors

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jennifer J. Smith
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
The United States ◽  
Western United States ◽  
Entire System ◽  
Language And Culture ◽  
Space Race ◽  
Do So

Coherence of place often exists alongside irregularities in time in cycles, and chapter three turns to cycles linked by temporal markers. Ray Bradbury’s The Martian Chronicles (1950) follows a linear chronology and describes the exploration, conquest, and repopulation of Mars by humans. Conversely, Louise Erdrich’s Love Medicine (1984) jumps back and forth across time to narrate the lives of interconnected families in the western United States. Bradbury’s cycle invokes a confluence of historical forces—time as value-laden, work as a calling, and travel as necessitating standardized time—and contextualizes them in relation to anxieties about the space race. Erdrich’s cycle invokes broader, oppositional conceptions of time—as recursive and arbitrary and as causal and meaningful—to depict time as implicated in an entire system of measurement that made possible the destruction and exploitation of the Chippewa people. Both volumes understand the United States to be preoccupied with imperialist impulses. Even as they critique such projects, they also point to the tenacity with which individuals encounter these systems, and they do so by creating “interstitial temporalities,” which allow them to navigate time at the crossroads of language and culture.

Women's Studies in the Western United States

NWSA Journal ◽  
2004 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 180-189
Author(s):  
Karen L. Salley ◽  
Barbara Scott Winkler ◽  
Megan Celeen ◽  
Heidi Meck
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Women's Studies ◽  
Western United States ◽  
Women’S Studies
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