scholarly journals Modelling the Incursion and Spread of a Forestry Pest: Case Study of Monochamus alternatus Hope (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae) in Victoria

Forests ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 198 ◽  
Author(s):  
John Weiss ◽  
Kathryn Sheffield ◽  
Anna Weeks ◽  
David Smith
Keyword(s):  
Population Growth ◽  
Pest Species ◽  
Monochamus Alternatus ◽  
Pine Beetle ◽  
Monochamus Alternatus Hope ◽  
Model Size ◽  
Spatio Temporal ◽  
Business Site ◽  
Subsequent Failure

Effective and efficient systems for surveillance, eradication, containment and management of biosecurity threats require methods to predict the establishment, population growth and spread of organisms that pose a potential biosecurity risk. To support Victorian forest biosecurity operations, Agriculture Victoria has developed a landscape-scale, spatially explicit, spatio-temporal population growth and dispersal model of a generic pest pine beetle. The model can be used to simulate the incursion of a forestry pest from a nominated location(s), such as an importation business site (approved arrangement, AA), into the surrounding environment. The model provides both illustrative and quantitative data on population dynamics and spread of a forestry pest species. Flexibility built into the model design enables a range of spatial extents to be modelled, from user-defined study areas to the Victoria-wide area. The spatial resolution of the model (size of grid cells) can be altered from 100 m to greater than 1 km. The model allows core parameters to be altered by the user, enabling the spread of a variety of windborne insect species and pathogens to be investigated. We verified the model and its parameters by simulating and comparing the outputs with the 1999/2000 Melbourne incursion, but no establishment of a forestry pest beetle was believed to be Monochamus alternatus Hope (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae). The model accurately predicts the distance and direction of the historic incursion, and the subsequent failure to establish is due to low overall population density of the pest species.

Modelling the potential impact of climate change on future spatial and temporal patterns of biological control agents:Peristenus digoneutis(Hymenoptera: Braconidae) as a case study

2016 ◽  
Vol 148 (5) ◽  
pp. 579-594 ◽  
Author(s):  
O. Olfert ◽  
T. Haye ◽  
R. Weiss ◽  
D. Kriticos ◽  
U. Kuhlmann
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Biological Control ◽  
Temporal Dynamics ◽  
Potential Range ◽  
Pest Species ◽  
Spatial And Temporal Patterns ◽  
Climate Suitability ◽  
Potential Impact ◽  
Spatio Temporal

AbstractMechanistic species niche models were used to map the seasonal spatio-temporal dynamics of biological control pressure. Future climate scenarios were applied to these models to identify potential future trends in the patterns of biological control pressure through space and time during an annual seasonal cycle.Peristenus digoneutisLoan (Hymenoptera: Braconidae) is a parasitoid ofLygusHahn (Hemiptera: Miridae) species, important pests of glasshouse and field crops throughout Europe and North America. Consistent with theoretical expectations, the modelled potential range ofP. digoneutisexpanded polewards and contracted from its southern temperature range limits. However, its distribution did not change consistently across continents or countries. Locations near the outer limits of the current modelled distribution were more sensitive to changes in future climates than locations near the central core. Weekly climate suitability and stress maps were developed to provide insight into seasonal adjustments that accompany changes in the potential range of pest species and their natural enemies. Climate change may increase the number ofLygusgenerations in western Canada allowingP. digoneutisto establish in areas, where biological control attempts had failed in the past.

Migration and Population Growth: A Case Study of Assam

2011 ◽  
Vol 3 (6) ◽  
pp. 125-127
Author(s):  
Bandana Chowdhury ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Population Growth

Failure Analysis of CDM-ESD Damage in a GaAs RFIC

2000 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amy Poe ◽  
Steve Brockett ◽  
Tony Rubalcava
Keyword(s):  
Radio Frequency ◽  
Failure Analysis ◽  
Integrated Circuit ◽  
Production Test ◽  
Analysis Techniques ◽  
Device Model ◽  
Charged Device ◽  
Subsequent Failure

Abstract The intent of this work is to demonstrate the importance of charged device model (CDM) ESD testing and characterization by presenting a case study of a situation in which CDM testing proved invaluable in establishing the reliability of a GaAs radio frequency integrated circuit (RFIC). The problem originated when a sample of passing devices was retested to the final production test. Nine of the 200 sampled devices failed the retest, thus placing the reliability of all of the devices in question. The subsequent failure analysis indicated that the devices failed due to a short on one of two capacitors, bringing into question the reliability of the dielectric. Previous ESD characterization of the part had shown that a certain resistor was likely to fail at thresholds well below the level at which any capacitors were damaged. This paper will discuss the failure analysis techniques which were used and the testing performed to verify the failures were actually due to ESD, and not caused by weak capacitors.

Spatio-temporal approach for identification of critical conservation areas: a case study with two pine species from a threatened temperate forest in Mexico

2019 ◽  
Vol 28 (7) ◽  
pp. 1863-1883 ◽  
Author(s):  
Agustín Molina Sánchez ◽  
Patricia Delgado ◽  
Antonio González-Rodríguez ◽  
Clementina González ◽  
A. Francisco Gómez-Tagle Rojas ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Temperate Forest ◽  
Conservation Areas ◽  
Spatio Temporal ◽  
Pine Species

scholarly journals A comparison of multiple neighborhood matrix specifications for spatio-temporal model fitting: a case study on COVID-19 data

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Álvaro Briz-Redón ◽  
Adina Iftimi ◽  
Juan Francisco Correcher ◽  
Jose De Andrés ◽  
Manuel Lozano ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Model Fitting ◽  
Temporal Model ◽  
Spatio Temporal

scholarly journals Spatio-temporal analysis of COVID-19 incidence rate using GIS: a case study—Tehran metropolitan, Iran

GeoJournal ◽  
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Nasiri ◽  
S. Akbarpour ◽  
AR. Zali ◽  
N. Khodakarami ◽  
MH. Boochani ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Incidence Rate ◽  
Temporal Analysis ◽  
Spatio Temporal

scholarly journals Multi-Criteria, Co-Evolutionary Charging Behavior: An Agent-Based Simulation of Urban Electromobility

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 18
Author(s):  
Lennart Adenaw ◽  
Markus Lienkamp
Keyword(s):  
Urban Areas ◽  
City Planning ◽  
User Behavior ◽  
Transport Sector ◽  
Simulation Framework ◽  
Agent Based Simulation ◽  
Agent Based ◽  
Charging Station ◽  
Spatio Temporal

In order to electrify the transport sector, scores of charging stations are needed to incentivize people to buy electric vehicles. In urban areas with a high charging demand and little space, decision-makers are in need of planning tools that enable them to efficiently allocate financial and organizational resources to the promotion of electromobility. As with many other city planning tasks, simulations foster successful decision-making. This article presents a novel agent-based simulation framework for urban electromobility aimed at the analysis of charging station utilization and user behavior. The approach presented here employs a novel co-evolutionary learning model for adaptive charging behavior. The simulation framework is tested and verified by means of a case study conducted in the city of Munich. The case study shows that the presented approach realistically reproduces charging behavior and spatio-temporal charger utilization.

Seabird bycatch vulnerability in pelagic longline fisheries based on modelling of a long-term dataset

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-16
Author(s):  
CAN ZHOU ◽  
NIGEL BROTHERS
Keyword(s):  
Capture Event ◽  
Retrieval Rate ◽  
Competitive Environments ◽  
Global Concern ◽  
Competitive Species ◽  
Spatio Temporal ◽  
Longline Fisheries ◽  
Pelagic Longline

Summary The incidental mortality of seabirds in fisheries remains a serious global concern. Obtaining unbiased and accurate estimates of bycatch rates is a priority for seabird bycatch mitigation and demographic research. For measuring the capture risk of seabird interactions in fisheries, the rate of carcass retrieval from hauled gear is commonly used. However, reliability can be limited by a lack of direct capture observations and the substantial pre-haul bycatch losses known to occur, meaning incidence of seabird bycatch is underestimated. To solve this problem, a new measure (bycatch vulnerability) that links an observed interaction directly to the underlying capture event is proposed to represent the capture risk of fishery interactions by seabirds. The new measure is not affected by subsequent bycatch loss. To illustrate how to estimate and analyse bycatch vulnerability, a case study based on a long-term dataset of seabird interactions and capture confirmation is provided. Bayesian modelling and hypothesis testing were conducted to identify important bycatch risk factors. Competition was found to play a central role in determining seabird bycatch vulnerability. More competitive environments were riskier for seabirds, and larger and thus more competitive species were more at risk than smaller sized and less competitive species. Species foraging behaviour also played a role. On the other hand, no additional effect of physical oceanic condition and spatio-temporal factors on bycatch vulnerability was detected. Bycatch vulnerability is recommended as a replacement for the commonly used bycatch rate or carcass retrieval rate to measure the capture risk of an interaction. Combined with a normalized contact rate, bycatch vulnerability offers an unbiased estimate of seabird bycatch rate in pelagic longline fisheries.

Texts: A Case Study of Joint Action

SATS ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nivedita Gangopadhyay ◽  
Alois Pichler
Keyword(s):  
Social Cognition ◽  
Digital Media ◽  
Philosophy Of Mind ◽  
Joint Action ◽  
Digital Humanities ◽  
Linguistic Communication ◽  
Unique Type ◽  
Joint Actions ◽  
Spatio Temporal

Abstract Our linguistic communication often takes the form of creating texts. In this paper, we propose that creating texts or ‘texting’ is a form of joint action. We examine the nature and evolution of this joint action. We argue that creating texts ushers in a special type of joint action, which, while lacking some central features of normal, everyday joint actions such as spatio-temporal collocation of agency and embodiment, nonetheless results in an authentic, strong, and unique type of joint action agency. This special type of agency is already present in creating texts in general and is further augmented in creating texts through digital media. We propose that such a unique type of joint action agency has a transformative effect on the experience of our sense of agency and subjectivity. We conclude with the implications of the proposal for social cognition and social agency. The paper combines research in philosophy of mind with the emerging fields of digital humanities and text technology.

scholarly journals Contrasting Competitor and Predator Responses to a Short-Lived Southern Pine Beetle Outbreak: A Case Study

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephen R Clarke ◽  
Jessica Hartshorn
Keyword(s):  
Natural Enemy ◽  
Bark Beetles ◽  
Southern Pine Beetle ◽  
National Forest ◽  
Population Fluctuations ◽  
Thanasimus Dubius ◽  
Southern Pine ◽  
Widespread Application ◽  
Pine Beetle

Abstract The southern pine beetle (SPB) Dendroctonus frontalis Zimmermann, is the most important insect pest of pines in the southeastern United States, with outbreaks often resulting in thousands of hectares of pine mortality. Natural enemies and competitors have been cited as significant regulators of SPB populations and, therefore, outbreaks. A recent outbreak on the Homochitto National Forest (NF) in Mississippi provided an opportunity to undertake a case study comparing population fluctuations of SPB, its major predator Thanasimus dubius, and its competitors, Ips bark beetles. Trap catches of all three were tracked through the course of the outbreak on the Homochitto NF as well as in two other forests with low or no SPB activity. The number of predators collected initially increased on the Homochitto NF in response to the SPB outbreak, but their impact on reducing infestation numbers was unclear. Numbers of Ips trapped were similar across all three forests, indicating that other factors were regulating SPB populations. The outbreak only lasted a single year, and its brevity likely limited the availability of host resources for natural enemy and competitor populations. Additional studies are warranted to explore the mechanisms affecting the extent and duration of SPB outbreaks, such as active forest management. Study Implications: The widespread application of cut-and-leave treatments during a short duration southern pine beetle (SPB) outbreak on the Homochitto National Forest did not result in immediate increased collections of Ips bark beetles, competitors of SPB. Similar population trends of Ips bark beetles in areas with and without SPB infestations suggest that other factors, such as climate, regulate population numbers. Low numbers of the main SPB predator, Thanasimus dubius, immediately preceded an outbreak, and trap collections increased after outbreak onset, reaffirming the importance of this natural enemy in SPB population fluctuations.

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