scholarly journals An Ultra-Fast Power Prediction Method Based on Simplified LSSVM Hyperparameters Optimization for PV Power Smoothing

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (18) ◽  
pp. 5752
Author(s):  
Zhenxing Zhao ◽  
Kaijie Chen ◽  
Ying Chen ◽  
Yuxing Dai ◽  
Zeng Liu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Local Search ◽  
High Precision ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Search Algorithm ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Iteration Process ◽  
Prediction Algorithm ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Gray Wolf ◽  
Power Prediction

With existing power prediction algorithms, it is difficult to satisfy the requirements for prediction accuracy and time when PV output power fluctuates sharply within seconds, so this paper proposes a high-precision and ultra-fast PV power prediction algorithm. Firstly, in order to shorten the optimization time and improve the optimization accuracy, the single-iteration Gray Wolf Optimization (SiGWO) method is used to simplify the iteration process of the hyperparameters of Least Squares Support Vector Machine (LSSVM), and then the hybrid local search algorithm composed of Iterative Local Search (ILS) and Self-adaptive Differential Evolution (SaDE) is used to improve the accuracy of hyperparameters, so as to achieve high-precision and ultra-fast PV power prediction. The power prediction model is established, and the proposed algorithm is applied in a test experiment which can complete the power prediction within 3 s, and the RMSE is only 0.44%. Finally, combined with the PV-storage advanced smoothing control strategy, it is verified that the performance of the proposed algorithm can satisfy the system’s requirements for prediction accuracy and time under the condition of power mutation in a PV power generation system.

Wind power prediction method based on hybrid kernel function support vector machine

2017 ◽  
Vol 42 (3) ◽  
pp. 252-264 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhongda Tian ◽  
Shujiang Li ◽  
Yanhong Wang ◽  
Xiangdong Wang
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Wind Power ◽  
Kernel Function ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Power Prediction ◽  
Wind Power Prediction ◽  
Hybrid Kernel Function ◽  
Hybrid Kernel

The prediction accuracy of wind power affects the operation cost of the power grid, which is a direct result of the supply and demand balance of the grid. Therefore, how to improve the prediction accuracy of wind power is very important. Considering the prediction accuracy of current prediction methods is not high, a wind power prediction method based on a hybrid kernel function support vector machine is proposed. On the basis of the exhibited characteristics of different kernel functions, the hybrid kernel function is a linear combination of the radial basis function and the polynomial kernel function. The hybrid kernel function is selected as the kernel function of support vector machine. The global kernel function is used to fit the correlation of the distant sample data, while the partial kernel function is used to fit the correlation of the data in neighboring fields. The generalization performance of the support vector machine model is improved. At the same time, an improved particle swarm optimization algorithm is introduced to determine the optimal parameters of the hybrid kernel function and support vector machine prediction model. Finally, the built prediction model is used to predict the wind power. The simulation results demonstrate that the proposed prediction method has better prediction accuracy for wind power.

Research on Combined Prediction Model for Busy Telephone Traffic

2014 ◽  
Vol 610 ◽  
pp. 789-796
Author(s):  
Jiang Bao Li ◽  
Zhen Hong Jia ◽  
Xi Zhong Qin ◽  
Lei Sheng ◽  
Li Chen
Keyword(s):  
Prediction Model ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Low Frequency ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Pso Algorithm ◽  
Frequency Component ◽  
Least Square ◽  
High Frequency Component ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Telephone Traffic

In order to improve the prediction accuracy of busy telephone traffic, this study proposes a busy telephone traffic prediction method that combines wavelet transformation and least square support vector machine (lssvm) model which is optimized by particle swarm optimization (pso) algorithm. Firstly, decompose the pretreatment of busy telephone traffic data with mallat algorithm and get low frequency component and high frequency component. Secondly, reconfigure each component and use pso_lssvm model predict each reconfigured one. Then the busy telephone traffic can be achieved. The experimental results show that the prediction model has higher prediction accuracy and stability.

Wind power prediction based on wavelet denoising and improved slime mold algorithm optimized support vector machine

2021 ◽  
pp. 0309524X2110568
Author(s):  
Lian Lian ◽  
Kan He
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Wind Power ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Power Grid ◽  
Wavelet Denoising ◽  
Slime Mold ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Power Prediction ◽  
Wind Power Prediction

The accuracy of wind power prediction directly affects the operation cost of power grid and is the result of power grid supply and demand balance. Therefore, how to improve the prediction accuracy of wind power is very important. In order to improve the prediction accuracy of wind power, a prediction model based on wavelet denoising and improved slime mold algorithm optimized support vector machine is proposed. The wavelet denoising algorithm is used to denoise the wind power data, and then the support vector machine is used as the prediction model. Because the prediction results of support vector machine are greatly affected by model parameters, an improved slime mold optimization algorithm with random inertia weight mechanism is used to determine the best penalty factor and kernel function parameters in support vector machine model. The effectiveness of the proposed prediction model is verified by using two groups actually collected wind power data. Seven prediction models are selected as the comparison model. Through the comparison between the predicted value and the actual value, the prediction error and its histogram distribution, the performance indicators, the Pearson’s correlation coefficient, the DM test, box-plot distribution, the results show that the proposed prediction model has high prediction accuracy.

Gas Pipeline Corrosion Prediction Based on Modified Support Vector Machine and Unequal Interval Model

2013 ◽  
Vol 373-375 ◽  
pp. 1987-1994 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei Dong Zhang ◽  
Bin Shen ◽  
Yi Bo Ai ◽  
Bin Yang
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Oil And Gas ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Original Data ◽  
Gas Pipeline ◽  
Prediction Algorithm ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Grey Prediction ◽  
Interval Model ◽  
Pipeline Corrosion

The corrosion is an important problem for the service safety of oil and gas pipeline. This research focuses. This paper proposed a new prediction algorithm on corrosion prediction of gathering gas pipeline, which combined modified Support Vector Machine (SVM) with unequal interval model. Firstly, grey prediction method with unequal interval model was used to pretreatment original data because there is unequal interval problem in actual collected data of pipeline. Secondly, improved Support Vector Regression (SVR) based on Genetic Algorithm (GA) and Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) has been proposed to resolve parameters selection problem for SVR. Finally, the corrosion prediction model of gas pipeline has been proposed which combined improved SVR and unequal interval grey prediction method. The experiment results show this algorithm could increase precision of the pipeline corrosion prediction compared with the traditional SVM. This research provides reliable basis for in-service pipeline life prediction and confirming inspecting cycle.

A Review on User Recommendation System Based Upon Semantic Analysis

2017 ◽  
Vol 7 (11) ◽  
pp. 35
Author(s):  
Lovedeep Kaur ◽  
Naveen Kumari
Keyword(s):  
Recommender Systems ◽  
Recommendation System ◽  
Semantic Analysis ◽  
Pearson Correlation ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Prediction Algorithm ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
User Interest ◽  
Basic Algorithm ◽  
Abstract Class

Recommender system applied various techniques and prediction algorithm to predict user interest on information, items and services from the tremendous amount of available data on the internet. Recommender systems are now becoming increasingly important to individual users, businesses and specially e-commerce for providing personalized recommendations. Recommender systems have been evaluated and improved in many, often incomparable, ways. In this paper, we review the evaluation and improvement techniques for improving overall performance of recommendation systems and proposing a semantic analysis based approach for clustering based collaborative filtering to improve the coverage of recommendation. The basic algorithm or predictive model we use are – simple linear regression, k-nearest neighbours(kNN), naives bayes, support vector machine. We also review the pearson correlation coefficient algorithm and an associative analysis-based heuristic. The algorithms themselves were implemented from abstract class recommender, which was extended from weka distribution classifier class. The abstract class adds prediction method to the classifier.

Research on SVM Wind Power Prediction Based on Heuristic Algorithm

2013 ◽  
Vol 333-335 ◽  
pp. 1233-1238
Author(s):  
Jing Wang ◽  
Yu Zhang ◽  
Kun Xia ◽  
Qiang Qiang Wang
Keyword(s):  
Wind Power ◽  
Heuristic Algorithm ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Heuristic Algorithms ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Search Efficiency ◽  
Power Prediction ◽  
Wind Power Prediction ◽  
Svm Model

With the disadvantages of volatility, intermittent and randomness of wind power, a research on constructing a fairly accurate prediction model is imperative to improve the quality of power system. Considering the optimization ability of heuristic algorithm and the regression ability of support vector machine, a HA-SVM model is constructed.Case study shows that, compared with other heuristic algorithms, the search efficiency and speed of differential evolution are good, and the prediction accuracy of the model is high.

Research of Aggregated Wind Power Prediction Method for a Region

2013 ◽  
Vol 860-863 ◽  
pp. 262-266
Author(s):  
Jin Yao Zhu ◽  
Jing Ru Yan ◽  
Xue Shen ◽  
Ran Li
Keyword(s):  
Power Systems ◽  
Wind Power ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Wind Farm ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Power Prediction ◽  
Power Characteristics ◽  
Wind Power Prediction ◽  
Grey Correlation Theory

Wind power is intermittent and volatility. Some new problems would arise to power system operation when Large-scale wind farm is connected with power systems. One of the most important effect is the influence on the grid dispatch. An aggregated wind power prediction method for a region is presented. By means of analyzing power characteristics and correlation, then the greater correlation is selected as model input. Based on grey correlation theory, a least squares support vector machine prediction model is established. Finally, this method is executed on a real case and integrated wind power prediction method can effectively improve the prediction accuracy and simplify the prediction step are proved.

Telecommunication Traffic Prediction Based on Improved LSSVM

2017 ◽  
Vol 32 (03) ◽  
pp. 1850007 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jun-Xia Liu ◽  
Zhen-Hong Jia
Keyword(s):  
Communication Networks ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Computation Time ◽  
Traffic Prediction ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Forecasting Model ◽  
Traffic Forecasting ◽  
Model Based ◽  
Average Computation Time

Telecommunication traffic prediction is an important aspect of data analysis and processing in communication networks. In this study, we utilize the least-squares support vector machine (LSSVM) prediction method to improve the prediction performance of telecommunication traffic. As the parameters of LSSVM are difficult to determine, we propose to optimize the LSSVM parameters using the improved artificial bee colony (IABC) algorithm based on the fitness-prediction strategy (i.e. FP-IABC). We employ real traffic data collected on site to establish a telecommunication traffic forecasting model based on FP-IABC optimizing LSSVM (FP-IABC-LSSVM). The experiment results indicate that in the case involving no increase in the computational complexity, the proposed telecommunication traffic forecasting model-based FP-IABC-LSSVM has a higher prediction accuracy than the prediction model based on the ABC optimizing LSSVM (ABC-LSSVM), particle swarm optimizing LSSVM (PSO-LSSVM), and genetic algorithm optimizing LSSVM (GA-LSSVM). Further, with respect to the standard root mean square error and the average computation time, the proposed FP-IABC-LSSVM is the optimal prediction method of all of the comparison methods. The proposed prediction method not only improves the prediction accuracy, but also reduces the average computation time.

Protocol for detection of bacterial proteins involved in efflux mediated antibiotic resistance (ARE) and their sub-families

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Deeksha Pandey ◽  
Bandana Kumari ◽  
Neelja Singhal ◽  
Manish Kumar
Keyword(s):  
Antibiotic Resistance ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Query Protein ◽  
Prediction Algorithm ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Resistance Proteins ◽  
Bacterial Proteins ◽  
Proteomic Data ◽  
Tier System ◽  
Tier I

Abstract This protocol describes a method for detection of bacterial proteins involved in efflux mediated antibiotic resistance (ARE) and their sub-families as described in the research paper entitled "BacEffluxPred: A two-tier system to predict and categorize bacterial efflux mediated antibiotic resistance proteins” published in Scientific Reports. BacEffluxPred is a support vector machine based two-tier prediction method, that can be used for the detection of efflux proteins responsible for antibiotic resistance in bacteria and to identify the families to which it belongs. The overall prediction cycle includes three important steps: 1) The query protein is presented to the prediction algorithm. 2) If the query protein would be predicted to be a non-ARE protein, the prediction would stop at tier-I.3) If the query protein would be predicted as an ARE protein at the tier-I, the query protein would be forwarded to tier-II for ARE family prediction. By using these steps it is possible to generate the models that can be used on proteomic data to predict whether the given data have potential ARE proteins or not if yes it will further classified into their following families. This is the first in-silico tool for predicting bacterial ARE proteins and their families and it is freely available as both web-server and standalone versions at http://proteininformatics.org/mkumar/baceffluxpred/

A Research on user Recommendation System Based upon Semantic Analysis

2017 ◽  
Vol 7 (11) ◽  
pp. 72
Author(s):  
Lovedeep Kaur ◽  
Naveen Kumari
Keyword(s):  
Recommender Systems ◽  
Recommendation System ◽  
Semantic Analysis ◽  
Pearson Correlation ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Prediction Algorithm ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
User Interest ◽  
Basic Algorithm ◽  
Abstract Class

Recommender system applied various techniques and prediction algorithm to predict user interest on information, items and services from the tremendous amount of available data on the internet. Recommender systems are now becoming increasingly important to individual users, businesses and specially e-commerce for providing personalized recommendations. Recommender systems have been evaluated and improved in many, often incomparable, ways. In this paper, we review the evaluation and improvement techniques for improving overall performance of recommendation systems and proposing a semantic analysis based approach for clustering based collaborative filtering to improve the coverage of recommendation. The basic algorithm or predictive model we use are – simple linear regression, k-nearest neighbours(kNN), naives bayes, support vector machine. We also review the pearson correlation coefficient algorithm and an associative analysis-based heuristic. The algorithms themselves were implemented from abstract class recommender, which was extended from weka distribution classifier class. The abstract class adds prediction method to the classifier.

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