scholarly journals Gate Road Support Deformation Forecasting Based on Multivariate Singular Spectrum Analysis and Fuzzy Time Series

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (12) ◽  
pp. 3710
Author(s):  
Luka Crnogorac ◽  
Rade Tokalić ◽  
Zoran Gligorić ◽  
Aleksandar Milutinović ◽  
Suzana Lutovac ◽  
...  

Underground mining engineers and planners in our country are faced with extremely difficult working conditions and a continuous shortage of money. Production disruptions are frequent and can sometimes last more than a week. During this time, gate road support is additionally exposed to rock stress and the result is its progressive deformation and the loss of functionality of gate roads. In such an environment, it is necessary to develop a low-cost methodology to maintain a gate road support system. For this purpose, we have developed a model consisting of two main phases. The first phase is related to support deformation monitoring, while the second phase is related to data analysis. To record support deformations over a defined time horizon we use laser scanning technology together with multivariate singular spectrum analysis to conduct data processing and forecasting. Fuzzy time series is applied to classify the intensity of displacements into several independent groups (clusters).

2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 295-302
Author(s):  
Chuandong Zhu ◽  
Wei Zhan ◽  
Jinzhao Liu ◽  
Ming Chen

AbstractThe mixture effect of the long-term variations is a main challenge in single channel singular spectrum analysis (SSA) for the reconstruction of the annual signal from GRACE data. In this paper, a nonlinear long-term variations deduction method is used to improve the accuracy of annual signal reconstructed from GRACE data using SSA. Our method can identify and eliminate the nonlinear long-term variations of the equivalent water height time series recovered from GRACE. Therefore the mixture effect of the long-term variations can be avoided in the annual modes of SSA. For the global terrestrial water recovered from GRACE, the peak to peak value of the annual signal is between 1.4 cm and 126.9 cm, with an average of 11.7 cm. After the long-term and the annual term have been deducted, the standard deviation of residual time series is between 0.9 cm and 9.9 cm, with an average of 2.1 cm. Compared with the traditional least squares fitting method, our method can reflect the dynamic change of the annual signal in global terrestrial water, more accurately with an uncertainty of between 0.3 cm and 2.9 cm.


2018 ◽  
Vol 17 (02) ◽  
pp. 1850017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mahdi Kalantari ◽  
Masoud Yarmohammadi ◽  
Hossein Hassani ◽  
Emmanuel Sirimal Silva

Missing values in time series data is a well-known and important problem which many researchers have studied extensively in various fields. In this paper, a new nonparametric approach for missing value imputation in time series is proposed. The main novelty of this research is applying the [Formula: see text] norm-based version of Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA), namely [Formula: see text]-SSA which is robust against outliers. The performance of the new imputation method has been compared with many other established methods. The comparison is done by applying them to various real and simulated time series. The obtained results confirm that the SSA-based methods, especially [Formula: see text]-SSA can provide better imputation in comparison to other methods.


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