scholarly journals Investigating the Asymmetric Effect of Economic Growth on Environmental Quality in the Next 11 Countries

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 491
Author(s):  
Gideon Kwaku Minua Ampofo ◽  
Jinhua Cheng ◽  
Edwin Twum Ayimadu ◽  
Daniel Akwasi Asante

This study investigates the asymmetric cointegration and causal relationships between economic growth, carbon emissions, and energy consumption in the next eleven (11) countries over the period 1972–2013. The nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) bounds testing approach and nonpragmatic Granger causality tests are employed. This research’s empirical results have entrenched vital relationships that have significant policy implications. We affirm nonlinear cointegration among the variables in Bangladesh, Iran, Turkey, and Vietnam. The long-run asymmetric effect outcomes indicate a definite boom in economic growth, significantly increases carbon emission in Turkey, and a decline in Vietnam. Additionally, a positive shock to energy consumption significantly increases the carbon emission in Bangladesh, Iran, and Turkey, but a decrease in emissions in Vietnam. Findings from the Wald test reveal a long-run asymmetric effect between carbon emission and economic growth in Bangladesh, Iran, and Vietnam, and for Iran, an asymmetric short-run impact. Long-run and short-run asymmetric effects between carbon emission and energy consumption in Bangladesh and Iran. In terms of asymmetric causality results, bidirectional causality between carbon emission and economic growth was noted in Bangladesh and Turkey, and a unidirectional causality from economic growth to carbon emission in Egypt and South Korea. Energy consumption causes carbon emission in Bangladesh, Egypt, Pakistan, South Korea, and not vice versa. We determined a bidirectional asymmetric causality relationship between carbon emission and energy consumption in Vietnam and a unidirectional causality link from carbon emissions to Turkey’s energy consumption.

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (11) ◽  
pp. 3165
Author(s):  
Eva Litavcová ◽  
Jana Chovancová

The aim of this study is to examine the empirical cointegration, long-run and short-run dynamics and causal relationships between carbon emissions, energy consumption and economic growth in 14 Danube region countries over the period of 1990–2019. The autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing methodology was applied for each of the examined variables as a dependent variable. Limited by the length of the time series, we excluded two countries from the analysis and obtained valid results for the others for 26 of 36 ARDL models. The ARDL bounds reliably confirmed long-run cointegration between carbon emissions, energy consumption and economic growth in Austria, Czechia, Slovakia, and Slovenia. Economic growth and energy consumption have a significant impact on carbon emissions in the long-run in all of these four countries; in the short-run, the impact of economic growth is significant in Austria. Likewise, when examining cointegration between energy consumption, carbon emissions, and economic growth in the short-run, a significant contribution of CO2 emissions on energy consumptions for seven countries was found as a result of nine valid models. The results contribute to the information base essential for making responsible and informed decisions by policymakers and other stakeholders in individual countries. Moreover, they can serve as a platform for mutual cooperation and cohesion among countries in this region.


2020 ◽  
pp. 097215092091665 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Saeed Meo ◽  
Solomon Prince Nathaniel ◽  
Muhammad Murtaza Khan ◽  
Qasim Ali Nisar ◽  
Tehreem Fatima

Many developing countries are acutely vulnerable to global climate changes. In Pakistan, carbon emissions are primarily contributed by the factor of energy production from oil, gas and coal. The objective of this study is to estimate the asymmetric impact of temperature, energy use, economic growth, water scarcity on CO2 emissions in Pakistan over their period of 1960–2016. Based on nonlinear bounds testing (NARDL) approach, it is confirmed that there is an asymmetric relationship between temperature and CO2 emission, while energy use, population growth and economic growth have a positive effect in the short run. In the long run, energy consumption and economic growth were found to increase emission, while a temperature decrease by 1 per cent leads to 5 per cent decrease in carbon emissions. Population and water availability also reduces emission in Pakistan. Further, the study also confirms the long-run relationship between the variables. The finding of the study noticeably supports the policy to increase renewable energy consumption.


2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Salim Khan ◽  
Wang Yahong

Several researchers have studied the relationship between poverty and environmental degradation, as these concerns are remained at top priority in achieving Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). However, the symmetric and asymmetric impact of poverty and income inequality along with population and economic growth on carbon emissions (CO2e) has not been studied in the case of Pakistan. For this purpose, the short and long-run impact of poverty, income inequality, population, and GDP per capita on CO2e investigated by applying the Autoregressive Distributive Lag (ARDL) along with Non-linear Autoregressive Distributive Lag (NARDL) co-integration approach in the context of Pakistan for period 1971–2015. The symmetric results of the current study show poverty and population density along with GDP per capita increase carbon emissions in both the short and long-run, while income inequality has no impact on carbon emissions in the short-run. While in the long-run the symmetric results show that income inequality weakens environmental degradation in terms of carbon emissions. The analysis of NARDL also supports the results obtained from ARDL and suggests a positive effect of poverty, population, and economic growth on carbon emission in Pakistan. The empirical findings of the current study provide policy implications in light of the United Nation's SDGs for the development of Pakistan.


2020 ◽  
pp. 135481662091845 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiekuan Zhang ◽  
Yan Zhang

In this article, we for the first time applied the vector error correction model (VECM) Granger causality approach to investigate the short-run and long-run causal relationships among tourism, economic growth, energy consumption, and carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions for 30 Chinese provinces over the period 2000–2017. The results implied that the analyzed variables became stationary at their first differences. The panel cointegration tests indicated the presence of a long-term equilibrium relationship among these four analyzed variables. Results from the VECM Granger causality tests suggested that the bidirectional short-term causalities were statistically confirmed between gross domestic product (GDP) and tourism. Additionally, we found that some unidirectional short-run causalities existed running from energy consumption to other analyzed variables and bidirectional long-run causalities existed between CO2 emissions and GDP, CO2 emissions and tourism, and GDP and tourism. Moreover, we also found the existence of unidirectional long-term causalities running from energy consumption to other analyzed variables. Based on these findings, we highlighted some key policy implications to develop China’s sustainable tourism.


Author(s):  
Harishankar Vidyarthi

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to empirically examine the relationship between energy consumption, carbon emissions and economic growth for a panel of five South Asian economies namely India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka and Nepal over the period 1972-2009 within multivariate framework. Design/methodology/approach – The study uses Pedroni cointegration and Granger causality test based on panel vector error correction model to examine long-run equilibrium relationship and direction of causation in short run and long run between energy consumption, carbon emissions and economic growth in South Asia. Findings – Cointegration result indicates the long-run equilibrium relationship between economic growth, energy consumption and carbon emissions for panel. Causality results suggest that bidirectional causality exist between energy consumption-GDP, and unidirectional causality from carbon emissions to GDP and energy consumption in long run. However, energy consumption causes carbon emissions in short run. Practical implications – Implementing energy efficiency measures and reducing dependence on fossils fuels by scaling up carbon free energy resources like nuclear, renewables including hydropower in energy mix is necessary for sustainable and inclusive growth in the region. Originality/value – South Asia economies need to sacrifice economic growth for reducing the carbon emissions in long run if the region dependence on fossils fuels including coal, oil and natural gas in energy mix continues at same pace.


2013 ◽  
Vol 291-294 ◽  
pp. 1616-1619 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qun Wei Wang ◽  
Cheng Ling Cai ◽  
Dan Lu

This paper studies the relationships between economic growth, energy consumption and carbon dioxide emissions using an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) procedure and Engle-Granger causality test in China over the period 1965-2011. The empirical results show that GDP, energy and carbon emissions have appeared to be cointegrated. Moreover, there exists unidirectional causality from energy consumption to economic growth and carbon emissions to economic growth in short run. It has also been found that energy consumption and carbon emissions promote economic growth in long run. Some policy implications have been proposed finally.


2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fuliang Xue ◽  
Xiaotong Feng ◽  
Jing Liu

The development and competition of the new energy industry will become an important battlefield of a new round of technological and industrial competition. This study use the annual data from 1990 to 2019 to understand the factors affecting the development of new energy development in China by examining the long-run and causal relationship among the proportion of new energy consumption, energy prices, carbon emissions, industrial structure, economic growth, and new energy power generation in a multivariate model for China. The findings indicate that in the long run, new energy generation is positively linked with new energy consumption, whereas energy prices and carbon emissions have a negative and significant impact on new energy consumption. In the short run, economic growth can promote the growth of new energy consumption. However, this positive effect is gradually formed and is unlikely to happen soon. However, whether the impact of industrial structure optimization on new energy consumption is a long- or short-run estimate is not significant. Causality results suggest that a one-way Granger causality exists between each factor and new energy consumption in different lag orders, except for industrial structure. Re-examining the energy price mechanism and carbon emission mechanism policy, maintaining stable GDP growth, increasing the installed capacity of new energy power generation, and improving power generation conversion efficiency are vital for ensuring new energy development.


2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (2) ◽  
pp. 279-296 ◽  
Author(s):  
Syed Tehseen Jawaid ◽  
Mohammad Haris Siddiqui ◽  
Zeeshan Atiq ◽  
Usman Azhar

This study attempts to explore first time ever the relationship between fish exports and economic growth of Pakistan by employing annual time series data for the period 1974–2013. Autoregressive distributed lag and Johansen and Juselius cointegration results confirm the existence of a positive long-run relationship among the variables. Further, the error correction model reveals that no immediate or short-run relationship exists between fish exports and economic growth. Different sensitivity analyses indicate that initial results are robust. Rolling window analysis has been applied to identify the yearly behaviour of fish exports, and it remains negative from 1979 to 1982, 1984 to 1988, 1993 to 1999, 2004 and from 2010 to 2013, and it shows positive impact from 1989 to 1992, 2000 to 2003 and from 2005 to 2009. Furthermore, the variance decomposition method and impulse response function suggest the bidirectional causal relationship between fish exports and economic growth. The findings are beneficial for policymakers in the area of export planning. This study also provides some policy implications in the final section.


2013 ◽  
Vol 869-870 ◽  
pp. 746-749
Author(s):  
Tian Tian Jin ◽  
Jin Suo Zhang

Abstract. Based on ARDL model, this paper discussed the relationship of energy consumption, carbon emission and economic growth.The results indicated that the key to reduce carbon emissions lies in reducing energy consumption, optimizing energy structure.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
HArris Neeliah ◽  
Boopen SEETANAH

Abstract The non-reproducible nature of energy, coupled to its essentiality either as a direct or an intermediary input, makes it a crucial factor of production. We posit that it is, a complement to capital and labor and should be included in growth production models. Mauritius is a net energy importer, hence information about the nexus between energy consumption and economic growth is central to policy-making. This paper attempts to analyze this relationship for Mauritius within a multivariate framework over the period 1961 to 2019. The work adopts a dynamic time series framework (VECM approach) to account for dynamism, causality, endogeneity and omitted variables. Empirical results reveal long-run and short-run elasticities of energy consumption on economics growth of 0.33 and 0.17 respectively, thus giving credence to the thesis that energy is an important growth determinant in Mauritius. We also uncovered bi-directional causality between energy consumption and economic growth in both the long-run and the short-run. Therefore, unexpected and/ or voluntary contraction in either economic growth or energy consumption could result in a ‘feedback effect’ and dent either.JEL: Q4, O1


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