scholarly journals Modeling and Synchronous Optimization of Pump Turbine Governing System Using Sparse Robust Least Squares Support Vector Machine and Hybrid Backtracking Search Algorithm

Energies ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (11) ◽  
pp. 3108 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chu Zhang ◽  
Chaoshun Li ◽  
Tian Peng ◽  
Xin Xia ◽  
Xiaoming Xue ◽  
...  

In view of the complex and changeable operating environment of pumped storage power stations and the noise and outliers in the modeling data, this study proposes a sparse robust least squares support vector machine (LSSVM) model based on the hybrid backtracking search algorithm for the model identification of a pumped turbine governing system. By introducing the maximum linearly independent set, the sparsity of the support vectors of the LSSVM model are realized, and the complexity is reduced. The robustness of the identification model to noise and outliers is enhanced using the weighted function based on improved normal distribution. In order to further improve the accuracy and generalization performance of the sparse robust LSSVM identification model, the model input variables, the kernel parameters, and the regularization parameters are optimized synchronously using a binary-real coded backtracking search algorithm. Experiments on two benchmark problems and a real-world application of a pumped turbine governing system in a pumped storage power station in China show that the proposed sparse robust LSSVM model optimized by the hybrid backtracking search algorithm can not only obtain higher identification accuracy, it also has better robustness and a higher generalization performance compared with the other existing models.

2019 ◽  
Vol 44 (3) ◽  
pp. 266-281 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhongda Tian ◽  
Yi Ren ◽  
Gang Wang

Wind speed prediction is an important technology in the wind power field; however, because of their chaotic nature, predicting wind speed accurately is difficult. Aims at this challenge, a backtracking search optimization–based least squares support vector machine model is proposed for short-term wind speed prediction. In this article, the least squares support vector machine is chosen as the short-term wind speed prediction model and backtracking search optimization algorithm is used to optimize the important parameters which influence the least squares support vector machine regression model. Furthermore, the optimal parameters of the model are obtained, and the short-term wind speed prediction model of least squares support vector machine is established through parameter optimization. For time-varying systems similar to short-term wind speed time series, a model updating method based on prediction error accuracy combined with sliding window strategy is proposed. When the prediction model does not match the actual short-term wind model, least squares support vector machine trains and re-establishes. This model updating method avoids the mismatch problem between prediction model and actual wind speed data. The actual collected short-term wind speed time series is used as the research object. Multi-step prediction simulation of short-term wind speed is carried out. The simulation results show that backtracking search optimization algorithm–based least squares support vector machine model has higher prediction accuracy and reliability for the short-term wind speed. At the same time, the prediction performance indicators are also improved. The prediction result is that root mean square error is 0.1248, mean absolute error is 0.1374, mean absolute percentile error is 0.1589% and R2 is 0.9648. When the short-term wind speed varies from 0 to 4 m/s, the average value of absolute prediction error is 0.1113 m/s, and average value of absolute relative prediction error is 8.7111%. The proposed prediction model in this article has high engineering application value.


2020 ◽  
Vol 52 (3) ◽  
pp. 2371-2397
Author(s):  
Ting Ke ◽  
Lidong Zhang ◽  
Xuechun Ge ◽  
Hui Lv ◽  
Min Li

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