scholarly journals Mixed Kernel Function Support Vector Regression with Genetic Algorithm for Forecasting Dissolved Gas Content in Power Transformers

Energies ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (9) ◽  
pp. 2437 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tusongjiang Kari ◽  
Wensheng Gao ◽  
Ayiguzhali Tuluhong ◽  
Yilihamu Yaermaimaiti ◽  
Ziwei Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Gas Content ◽  
Power Transformers ◽  
Gaussian Kernel ◽  
Polynomial Kernel ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Forecasting Model ◽  
Dissolved Gas ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Forecasting Performance

Forecasting dissolved gas content in power transformers plays a significant role in detecting incipient faults and maintaining the safety of the power system. Though various forecasting models have been developed, there is still room to further improve prediction performance. In this paper, a new forecasting model is proposed by combining mixed kernel function-based support vector regression (MKF-SVR) and genetic algorithm (GA). First, forecasting performance of SVR models constructed with a single kernel are compared, and then Gaussian kernel and polynomial kernel are retained due to better learning and prediction ability. Next, a mixed kernel, which integrates a Gaussian kernel with a polynomial kernel, is used to establish a SVR-based forecasting model. Genetic algorithm (GA) and leave-one-out cross validation are employed to determine the free parameters of MKF-SVR, while mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and squared correlation coefficient (r2) are applied to assess the quality of the parameters. The proposed model is implemented on a practical dissolved gas dataset and promising results are obtained. Finally, the forecasting performance of the proposed model is compared with three other approaches, including RBFNN, GRNN and GM. The experimental and comparison results demonstrate that the proposed model outperforms other popular models in terms of forecasting accuracy and fitting capability.

scholarly journals An Interval Forecasting Model Based on Phase Space Reconstruction and Weighted Least Squares Support Vector Machine for Time Series of Dissolved Gas Content in Transformer Oil

Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (7) ◽  
pp. 1687
Author(s):  
Fang Yuan ◽  
Jiang Guo ◽  
Zhihuai Xiao ◽  
Bing Zeng ◽  
Wenqiang Zhu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Phase Space ◽  
Least Squares ◽  
Weighted Least Squares ◽  
Transformer Oil ◽  
Gas Content ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Forecasting Model ◽  
Dissolved Gas

Transformer state forecasting and fault forecasting are important for the stable operation of power equipment and the normal operation of power systems. Forecasting of the dissolved gas content in oil is widely conducted for transformer faults, but its accuracy is affected by data scale and data characteristics. Based on phase space reconstruction (PSR) and weighted least squares support vector machine (WLSSVM), a forecasting model of time series of dissolved gas content in transformer oil is proposed in this paper. The phase spaces of time series of the dissolved gas content sequence are reconstructed by chaos theory, and the delay time and dimension are obtained by the C-C method. The WLSSVM model is used to forecast time series of dissolved gas content, the chemical reaction optimization (CRO) algorithm is used to optimize training parameters, the bootstrap method is used to build forecasting intervals. Finally, the accuracy and generalization ability of the forecasting model are verified by the analysis of actual case and the comparison of different models.

Estimation of CO2 Diffusivity in Brine by Use of the Genetic Algorithm and Mixed Kernels-Based Support Vector Machine Model

2018 ◽  
Vol 141 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Qihong Feng ◽  
Ronghao Cui ◽  
Sen Wang ◽  
Jin Zhang ◽  
Zhe Jiang
Keyword(s):  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Diffusion Coefficient ◽  
Co2 Storage ◽  
Co2 Injection ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Hybrid Technique ◽  
Machine Model ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Wide Range

Diffusion coefficient of carbon dioxide (CO2), a significant parameter describing the mass transfer process, exerts a profound influence on the safety of CO2 storage in depleted reservoirs, saline aquifers, and marine ecosystems. However, experimental determination of diffusion coefficient in CO2-brine system is time-consuming and complex because the procedure requires sophisticated laboratory equipment and reasonable interpretation methods. To facilitate the acquisition of more accurate values, an intelligent model, termed MKSVM-GA, is developed using a hybrid technique of support vector machine (SVM), mixed kernels (MK), and genetic algorithm (GA). Confirmed by the statistical evaluation indicators, our proposed model exhibits excellent performance with high accuracy and strong robustness in a wide range of temperatures (273–473.15 K), pressures (0.1–49.3 MPa), and viscosities (0.139–1.950 mPa·s). Our results show that the proposed model is more applicable than the artificial neural network (ANN) model at this sample size, which is superior to four commonly used traditional empirical correlations. The technique presented in this study can provide a fast and precise prediction of CO2 diffusivity in brine at reservoir conditions for the engineering design and the technical risk assessment during the process of CO2 injection.

scholarly journals Sales Growth Rate Forecasting Using Improved PSO and SVM

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xibin Wang ◽  
Junhao Wen ◽  
Shafiq Alam ◽  
Xiang Gao ◽  
Zhuo Jiang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Decisive Role ◽  
Convergence Speed ◽  
Classification Model ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Local Optimum ◽  
Sales Growth ◽  
Local Optima ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Forecasting Performance

Accurate forecast of the sales growth rate plays a decisive role in determining the amount of advertising investment. In this study, we present a preclassification and later regression based method optimized by improved particle swarm optimization (IPSO) for sales growth rate forecasting. We use support vector machine (SVM) as a classification model. The nonlinear relationship in sales growth rate forecasting is efficiently represented by SVM, while IPSO is optimizing the training parameters of SVM. IPSO addresses issues of traditional PSO, such as relapsing into local optimum, slow convergence speed, and low convergence precision in the later evolution. We performed two experiments; firstly, three classic benchmark functions are used to verify the validity of the IPSO algorithm against PSO. Having shown IPSO outperform PSO in convergence speed, precision, and escaping local optima, in our second experiment, we apply IPSO to the proposed model. The sales growth rate forecasting cases are used to testify the forecasting performance of proposed model. According to the requirements and industry knowledge, the sample data was first classified to obtain types of the test samples. Next, the values of the test samples were forecast using the SVM regression algorithm. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed model has good forecasting performance.

scholarly journals A Novel Fault Diagnosis Method for Power Transformer Based on Dissolved Gas Analysis Using Hypersphere Multiclass Support Vector Machine and Improved D–S Evidence Theory

Energies ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (20) ◽  
pp. 4017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haikun Shang ◽  
Junyan Xu ◽  
Zitao Zheng ◽  
Bing Qi ◽  
Liwei Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Fault Diagnosis ◽  
Evidence Theory ◽  
Gas Analysis ◽  
Power Transformers ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Dissolved Gas ◽  
Dissolved Gas Analysis ◽  
Diagnosis Method ◽  
Multiclass Support Vector Machine

Power transformers are important equipment in power systems and their reliability directly concerns the safety of power networks. Dissolved gas analysis (DGA) has shown great potential for detecting the incipient fault of oil-filled power transformers. In order to solve the misdiagnosis problems of traditional fault diagnosis approaches, a novel fault diagnosis method based on hypersphere multiclass support vector machine (HMSVM) and Dempster–Shafer (D–S) Evidence Theory (DET) is proposed. Firstly, proper gas dissolved in oil is selected as the fault characteristic of power transformers. Secondly, HMSVM is employed to diagnose transformer fault with selected characteristics. Then, particle swarm optimization (PSO) is utilized for parameter optimization. Finally, DET is introduced to fuse three different fault diagnosis methods together, including HMSVM, hybrid immune algorithm (HIA), and kernel extreme learning machine (KELM). To avoid the high conflict between different evidences, in this paper, a weight coefficient is introduced for the correction of fusion results. Results indicate that the fault diagnosis based on HMSVM has the highest probability to identify transformer faults among three artificial intelligent approaches. In addition, the improved D–S evidence theory (IDET) combines the advantages of each diagnosis method and promotes fault diagnosis accuracy.

scholarly journals A Fuzzy Logic Model for Power Transformer Faults’ Severity Determination Based on Gas Level, Gas Rate, and Dissolved Gas Analysis Interpretation

Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 1009 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rahman Azis Prasojo ◽  
Harry Gumilang ◽  
Suwarno ◽  
Nur Ulfa Maulidevi ◽  
Bambang Anggoro Soedjarno
Keyword(s):  
Fuzzy Logic ◽  
Power Transformer ◽  
Local Population ◽  
Gas Analysis ◽  
Power Transformers ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Dissolved Gas ◽  
New Approach ◽  
Dissolved Gas Analysis ◽  
Novel Approach

In determining the severity of power transformer faults, several approaches have been previously proposed; however, most published studies do not accommodate gas level, gas rate, and Dissolved Gas Analysis (DGA) interpretation in a single approach. To increase the reliability of the faults’ severity assessment of power transformers, a novel approach in the form of fuzzy logic has been proposed as a new solution to determine faults’ severity using the combination of gas level, gas rate, and DGA interpretation from the Duval Pentagon Method (DPM). A four-level typical concentration and rate were established based on the local population. To simplify the assessment of hundreds of power transformer data, a Support Vector Machine (SVM)-based DPM with high agreements to the graphical DPM has been developed. The proposed approach has been implemented to 448 power transformers and further implementation was done to evaluate faults’ severity of power transformers from historical DGA data. This new approach yields in high agreement with the previous methods, but with better sensitivity due to the incorporation of gas level, gas rate, and DGA interpretation results in one approach.

SVM MODELS FOR DIAGNOSING BALANCE PROBLEMS USING STATISTICAL FEATURES OF THE MTC SIGNAL

2008 ◽  
Vol 07 (03) ◽  
pp. 317-331 ◽  
Author(s):  
DANIEL T. H. LAI ◽  
REZAUL BEGG ◽  
MARIMUTHU PALANISWAMI
Keyword(s):  
Feature Selection Method ◽  
Gaussian Kernel ◽  
Polynomial Kernel ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Statistical Features ◽  
Gait Patterns ◽  
Healthy Elderly ◽  
Svm Model ◽  
Balance Problems

Trip-related falls are a major problem in the elderly population and research in the area has received much attention recently. The focus has been on devising ways of identifying individuals at risk of sustaining such falls. The main aim of this work is to explore the effectiveness of models based on Support Vector Machines (SVMs) for the automated recognition of gait patterns that exhibit falling behavior. Minimum toe clearance (MTC) during continuous walking on a treadmill was recorded on 10 healthy elderly and 10 elderly with balance problems and with a history of tripping falls. Statistical features obtained from MTC histograms were used as inputs to the SVM model to classify between the healthy and balance-impaired subjects. The leave-one-out technique was utilized for training the SVM model in order to find the optimal model parameters. Tests were conducted with various kernels (linear, Gaussian and polynomial) and with a change in the regularization parameter, C, in an effort to identify the optimum model for this gait data. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) plots of sensitivity and specificity were further used to evaluate the diagnostic performance of the model. The maximum accuracy was found to be 90% using a Gaussian kernel with σ2 = 10 and the maximum ROC area 0.98 (80% sensitivity and 100% specificity), when all statistical features were used by the SVM models to diagnose gait patterns of healthy and balance-impaired individuals. This accuracy was further improved by using a feature selection method in order to reduce the effect of redundant features. It was found that two features (standard deviation and maximum value) were adequate to give an improved accuracy of 95% (90% sensitivity and 100% specificity) using a polynomial kernel of degree 2. These preliminary results are encouraging and could be useful not only for diagnostic applications but also for evaluating improvements in gait function in the clinical/rehabilitation contexts.

ARRHYTHMIA DISEASE DIAGNOSIS USING NEURAL NETWORK, SVM, AND GENETIC ALGORITHM-OPTIMIZED k-MEANS CLUSTERING

2011 ◽  
Vol 11 (04) ◽  
pp. 897-915 ◽  
Author(s):  
ROSHAN JOY MARTIS ◽  
CHANDAN CHAKRABORTY
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Normal Sinus Rhythm ◽  
Optimization Technique ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Disease Diagnosis ◽  
Back Propagation Neural Network ◽  
Polynomial Kernel ◽  
Support Vector

This work aims at presenting a methodology for electrocardiogram (ECG)-based arrhythmia disease detection using genetic algorithm (GA)-optimized k-means clustering. The open-source ECG data from MIT-BIH arrhythmia database and MIT-BIH normal sinus rhythm database are subjected to a sequence of steps including segmentation using R-point detection, extraction of features using principal component analysis (PCA), and pattern classification. Here, the classical classifiers viz., k-means clustering, error back propagation neural network (EBPNN), and support vector machine (SVM) have been initially attempted and subsequently m-fold (m = 3) cross validation is used to reduce the bias during training of the classifier. The average classification accuracy is computed as the average over all the three folds. It is observed that EBPNN and SVM with different order polynomial kernel provide significant accuracies in comparison with k-means one. In fact, the parameters (centroids) of k-means algorithm are locally optimized by minimizing its objective function. In order to overcome this limitation, a global optimization technique viz., GA is suggested here and implemented to find more robust parameters of k-means clustering. Finally, it is shown that GA-optimized k-means algorithm enhances its accuracy to those of other classifiers. The results are discussed and compared. It is concluded that the GA-optimized k-means algorithm is an alternate approach for classification whose accuracy will be near to that of supervised (viz., EBPNN and SVM) classifiers.

Technique for Magnetic Bearing Based on Mixed-Kernel Support Vector Machine Forecasting Model

2014 ◽  
Vol 529 ◽  
pp. 349-353 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jie Jin ◽  
Huang Qiu Zhu
Keyword(s):  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Mathematical Model ◽  
Magnetic Bearing ◽  
The Self ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Forecasting Model ◽  
Kernel Support Vector Machine ◽  
Vector Machines ◽  
Nonlinear Forecasting ◽  
The Cost

The self-sensing magnetic bearing can reduce the cost and the axial size of the magnetic bearing and increase its reliability. A mixed-kernel least squares support vector machines (LS-SVM) forecasting model is proposed for self-sensing technique of a hybrid magnetic bearing. The structure and mathematical model of the radial-axial hybrid magnetic bearing are introduced. Based on the principle of the mixed-kernel LS-SVM, the nonlinear forecasting model between the current and the displacement which realizes the displacement self-sensing control is built through genetic algorithm. Simulation has done to verify the validity and feasibility of proposed method.

scholarly journals A Genetic Algorithm based Hybrid Deep Learning Approach for Heart Disease Prediction

2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Khushbu Verma ◽  
Ankit Singh Bartwal ◽  
Mathura Prasad Thapliyal
Keyword(s):  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Heart Disease ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Early Stage ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Disease Prediction ◽  
The Past ◽  
Lifestyle Choices ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Tree Algorithms

People nowadays suffer from a variety of heart ailments as a result of the environment and their lifestyle choices. As a result, analyzing sickness at an early stage becomes a critical responsibility. Data mining uses disease data to uncover important knowledge. In this research paper, we employ the hybrid combination of a Genetic Algorithm based Feature selection and Ensemble Deep Neural Network Model for Heart Disease prediction. In this algorithm, we used a 0.04 learning rate and Adam optimizer was used for enhancement of the proposed model. The proposed algorithm has come to 98% accuracy of heart disease prediction, which is higher than the past approaches. Other exist models such as random forest, logistic regression, support vector machine, Decision tree algorithms have taken a higher time and give less accuracy compare to the proposed hybrid deep learning-based approach.

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