scholarly journals A Real Options Analysis for Renewable Energy Investment Decisions under China Carbon Trading Market

Energies ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 1817 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yanbin Li ◽  
Min Wu ◽  
Zhen Li
Keyword(s):  
Renewable Energy ◽  
Real Options ◽  
Investment Decisions ◽  
Carbon Trading ◽  
Energy Investment ◽  
Real Options Analysis ◽  
Trading Market ◽  
Renewable Energy Investment

scholarly journals Valuation of Wind Energy Turbines Using Volatility of Wind and Price

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Doron Greenberg ◽  
Michael Byalsky ◽  
Asher Yahalom
Keyword(s):  
Wind Energy ◽  
Real Options ◽  
Net Present Value ◽  
Discounted Cash Flow ◽  
Energy Investment ◽  
Real Options Analysis ◽  
The Real ◽  
Investment Projects ◽  
Managerial Flexibility ◽  
Renewable Energy Investment

The limitedness of the nonrenewable local energy resources in Israel, even in background of the later gas fields’ findings, continues to force the state to devote various efforts for the ‘green’ energy development. These efforts include installations both in the solar and in the wind energy, with a purpose to improve the diversity of energy sources. While the standard discounted cash flow (DCF) method using the net present value (NPV) criterion is extensively adopted to evaluate investments, the standard DCF method is inappropriate for the rapidly changing investment climate and for the managerial flexibility in investment decisions. In recent years, the real options analysis (ROA) technique is widely applied in many studies for valuation of renewable energy investment projects. Hence, we apply in this study the real options analysis approach for the valuation of wind energy turbines and apply it to the analysis of wind energy economic potential in Israel.

scholarly journals The Implications of Policy Uncertainty on Solar Photovoltaic Investment

Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (23) ◽  
pp. 6233
Author(s):  
Martina Assereto ◽  
Julie Byrne
Keyword(s):  
Renewable Energy ◽  
Electricity Market ◽  
Investment Decisions ◽  
Electricity Price ◽  
Policy Uncertainty ◽  
Solar Photovoltaic ◽  
Price Uncertainty ◽  
Solar Pv ◽  
Energy Investment ◽  
Renewable Energy Investment

Policy and electricity price uncertainty provide disincentives to investors considering renewable energy investments. While electricity price uncertainty impacts on investment decisions relating to any energy investment, whether renewable or non-renewable, policy uncertainty will affect renewable energy investment decisions to a far greater extent. In this study, we consider the two main sources of uncertainty a solar Photovoltaic (PV) project is exposed to: electricity price uncertainty and policy uncertainty. We focus our analysis on utility-scale solar photovoltaics in the Pennsylvania, Jersey, Maryland Power Pool (PJM) electricity market and the New Jersey Solar Renewable Energy Credit (SREC) market. Using Solar Renewable Energy Credits as a proxy for policy, we find that there is considerable volatility in both electricity prices and policy. In a sample covering eleven years, we implement univariate Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedastic (GARCH) and combinations of GARCH models with different weighting schemes and find that combination models provide superior forecasts. In renewable energy markets, policy supports have a significant impact on an investment’s profitability. The implication for policymakers is clear: to foster investment in solar PV, policy stability is critical.

scholarly journals Valuation of Wind Energy Turbines Using Volatility of Wind and Price

Electronics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (9) ◽  
pp. 1098
Author(s):  
Doron Greenberg ◽  
Michael Byalsky ◽  
Asher Yahalom
Keyword(s):  
Power Generation ◽  
Renewable Energy ◽  
Standard Deviation ◽  
Wind Energy ◽  
Real Options ◽  
Green Energy ◽  
Energy Sources ◽  
Energy Investment ◽  
Real Options Analysis ◽  
The Real

The limitedness of the nonrenewable local energy resources in Israel, even in the background of the later gas fields’ findings, continues to force the state to devote various efforts towards ‘green’ energy development. These efforts include installations, both for the solar and for wind energy, thus improving the diversity of energy sources. While the standard discounted cash flow (DCF) method using the net present value (NPV) criterion is extensively adopted to evaluate investments, the standard DCF method is inappropriate for the rapidly changing investment climate and for the managerial flexibility in investment decisions. In recent years, the real options analysis (ROA) technique has been widely applied in many studies for the valuation of renewable energy investment projects. Taking into account the above background, we apply, in this study, the real options analysis approach for the valuation of wind energy turbines and apply it to the analysis of wind energy economic potential in Israel, which is the context of our work. We hypothesize that due to nature of wind energy production uncertainties, the ROA method is better than the alternative. The novelty of this paper includes the following: real world wind statistics of the Merom Golan site in Israel (velocity 3.73 m/s, with a standard deviation of 2.03 m/s), a realistic power generation estimation (power generation of 1205.84 kW with a standard deviation of about 0.5% in annual value which is worth about 1.3 M$ per annum), and an economic model to evaluate the profitability of such a project. We thus discuss the existing challenges of diversifying renewable energy sources in Israel by adding wind installations. Our motivation is to introduce a method which will allow investors and officials to take into account uncertainties when deciding in investing in such wind installations. The outcomes of the paper, which are obtained using the method of Weibull statistics and the Black–Scholes ROA technique, include the result that market price volatility adds to the uncertainties much more than any wind fluctuations, provided that the analysis is integrated over a long enough time.

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